335 entries in 0.671s
xmj: moriarty: who stated
taleb's black swan before him?
mircea_popescu: and the argument that
taleb is "popularizing" brought by butthurt but otherwise worthless "statisticians" in their own estimation neatly mirrors the same criticism brought by "economists" in their own estimation re buffett.
moriarty: Ayn Rand is the philosophical equivalent (you would know this better than me), of Nassim
Taleb of the statistical world
decimation: in
taleb's antifragile, Fat Tony would have said that the chumps wouldn't believe you if you told them
pete_dushenski: ^Unique Option Pricing Measure With Neither Dynamic Hedging nor Complete Markets, by
Taleb decimation: asciilifeform: also recommended by
taleb. seems reasonable to do what humans have been doing for millennia
mircea_popescu: the way that thing must read is "we, including myself personally, and the institution i work for - the imf - are a collection of contemptioble idiots with wholy unsupported delusions of cultural relevance and scientific rigour. fortunately for the world nassim
taleb has been saying this for a long time ; unfortunately for the world we thought we knew better, like any clueless two bit scammer on an infamous web forum"
mircea_popescu: dignork i take the fact that Olivier Blanchard fucktard writes that whole piece without including the string "
Taleb" as a personal insult.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform: (how to know that schwartz (or
taleb, or...) collects 'prize' rather than usg stooge with a shannonizer and irc connection - exercise for alert reader.) <<< if you recall something sort-of like that was tried, except this "major prize" approach is flawed as you explain. so, better version was tried :)
decimation:
Taleb would probably say that being cheap is antifragile, the less you spend the lower your risk and the more likely random events will pay off
decimation: asciilifeform:
Taleb would say that some bit redundancy is probably a good idea
decimation: asciilifeform: in this sense cryptography is "fragile" in
Taleb's way of thinking - it has a very deep but very tiny "crack"
pete_dushenski: mircea_popescu: decimation so
taleb's mistake is that he's being a BANAL asshole ? << he does get a lot of the "o this is nothing new" retort
pete_dushenski: mircea_popescu:
taleb << asciilifeform of course, who else?
mircea_popescu: decimation so
taleb's mistake is that he's being a BANAL asshole ?
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform cause i was thinking, i prolly do more of it than poor
taleb.
pete_dushenski:
taleb's too distracted by the shenanigans in his homeland
pete_dushenski: decimation: to the extent that bitcoin is short usd,
taleb would love it to the extent that he could be bothered to understand it
decimation: anti-fragile by
taleb has some interesting points. I wonder if he would consider bitcoin "fragile". In one sense, it is fragile because its current implementation relies on fragile computers and somewhat poorly wrought software. In another sense, it is strongly anti-fragile because it benefits from any event that casts doubt on the ability of nation-states to manage their own scrip.
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves: i'm listening to Snow Crash currently, after getting burnt out on
Taleb telling everything what it's problem is <<< ahahah good one.
ThickAsThieves: i'm listening to Snow Crash currently, after getting burnt out on
Taleb telling everything what it's problem is
pete_dushenski: ben_vulpes: fooled by randomness, being the first, was also the least developed of
taleb's trilogy
decimation: re: engineering thinking <
taleb makes this point, if you want to learn about reality, ask someone who has tried to get things done, not someone who is a bureaucrat
xmj: Soon we'll have GMO cannabis on the cheap, all the hipsters and Nassim
Taleb will bitch about it
pete_dushenski:
taleb can also be pretty emotional, lashing out on tards at the drop of a hat
pete_dushenski: contravex, for those who care, is a riff off convex, as in convex payoffs, à la
taleb.
BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> he recently convinced weev to "go the kickstarter route", with results that still make people lol. << Weev is going to learn the hard way he isn't old enough for
Taleb or even Orlov's deference
mircea_popescu: xmj_
taleb sed so, AndrewJackson even has it in his part message.
mircea_popescu: bitcoinpete: mircea_popescu: there's very little doubt in my mind that if i were in the sort of situation most folk over there enjoy, i'd simply be shooting people. << and yet
taleb survives in nyc just fine << yes, he's not in the sort of situation. he's got teh dough.
chetty: persons is often, detectably, the waiter.(
Taleb)
bitcoinpete: mircea_popescu: there's very little doubt in my mind that if i were in the sort of situation most folk over there enjoy, i'd simply be shooting people. << and yet
taleb survives in nyc just fine
bitcoinpete: Nassim N.
Taleb @nntaleb · 38m Up to 19thC, people in the Levant changed religion to stay in the land. Today they change land to keep religion. (Druzes⇒Maronites⇔Shiites) << sounds downright civilized
gabriel_laddel: mircea_popescu: You don't have to tell houseguests to flush the toilet. I see no reason you would have to tell SB,
Taleb, etc. that they should use their brains. (Which is all I got from fluffypony's post)
gabriel_laddel: So what we've got so far: There needs to be a list of people that we want here, and reasons why. We don't want them here on any terms and since they're VIP, we should have reasons for each of them. Why NS? Why
Taleb specifically?
gabriel_laddel: mircea_popescu: Who do you have in mind for this list other than NS and
Taleb?
gabriel_laddel: mircea_popescu: Is your express purpose for the cam video to get people like Nick Szabo and
Taleb to join #-assets?
mircea_popescu: imo it'd be a shit move, seeing how plenty of people google
taleb to, you know, find
taleb.
mthreat: mircea_popescu: (assuming you're trying to get
taleb here)
mthreat: mircea_popescu: have you tried running a google adword on
taleb's own name? people often google themselves. I remember reading a blog post from a guy who used that approach to reach someone.
benkay: <nubbins`> wait, so
taleb didn't take the bait from that really super cringey video you paid for? // 30 second doses were all i could handle
nubbins`: wait, so
taleb didn't take the bait from that really super cringey video you paid for?
Pierre_Rochard: re:
taleb, if the point hasn’t already been made, isn’t the noble’s retinue paid? If you want a scholar in your court, you may have to bribe him
bitcoinpete: ok so 50+ people fuck and i'm sure
taleb isn't immune to babes
bitcoinpete: mircea_popescu: myeah.
taleb isn't the most sexually inclined type
bitcoinpete: so if you send
taleb the dead sea scrolls to his house with a hand-written card asking him to hit dat webchat
benkay: the thing ms saffron did for
taleb assbot: Nassim N.
Taleb (nntaleb) auf Twitter
mircea_popescu: cool. so your next task is, beg nassim
taleb to come here. tell him what a great scientific mind he is, too.
mircea_popescu: nassim
taleb is one of the smartest brains of our generation. ever heard of "black swans" ?
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform: herr
taleb alternates between ruminating on his personal sense of brilliance and excellent pedigree, and... punching a boxer's bag. how much fun to watch a man punch a bag? << kinda why i wanted him to come here.
assbot: Nassim
Taleb on Anti-Fragility - YouTube
davout: that resonates with asciilifeform's comment wrt
taleb piercing the bozo field
decimation: heh no the link is entitled "my best interview" on
taleb's page
assbot: nntaleb comments on IAm Nassim
Taleb, author of Antifragile, AMA
ThickAsThieves: i'm totally ignorant of
taleb other than gaining a familiarity of his name from you guys over the months
mircea_popescu: i dare say the
taleb notes and the gangue of great minds found at their burial are not the same
mircea_popescu: odds are
taleb wouldn't think much of your understanding of odds tho
bitcoinpete: CryptoConsultor: been playing with tech stocks for about 15 years, did some lending and gambling as a kid, then started reading
taleb and others about 4 years ago and here we are
mircea_popescu: "60 Religion Protects You From Bad Science --Medicine, Expert Problems, and the Rationality of Temples" quoth
taleb.
xmj: on that note,
Taleb has good things to say in Antifragile
bitcoinpete: mircea_popescu: i am assuming that precision strikes aren't to be preferred because punishment must be disproportionate and impredictable to work. <<
taleb says the same thing. like china when they execute heads of companies for losing quarters
bitcoinpete: mircea_popescu: lol
taleb faved a pic i posted of the black swan in romanian
mircea_popescu: ima pay 1 btc to
taleb and 1 btc to whoever gets him to come here.