9400+ entries in 0.791s
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin main net block size to increase in 2015 :: 0.03 B (3
%) on Yes, 1.07 B (97
%) on No | closing in 10 months 1 week| weight: 97`257 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1BWtIam )
mircea_popescu: contrairiwise, the first step towards not being quite so poor is "giving people control of the fruits of their own work", aka not taxing them 100
% (what is social media but an experimental regime of 100
% tax ?)
mircea_popescu: i call it the moruzov discovery. check it out yourself, see what
% of authors using both terms in the same text display an awareness of their meaning.
mircea_popescu: - Support for the fork should be overwhelming. If 95
% of the users agree with the fork, the 5
% that don't are pretty much forced to participate. Sure, they can keep running the non-forked version, but coins on that chain will be unlikely to keep their value."
mircea_popescu: in general, to keep 99
% out of any attacker's hands you'll need to spend 100x what they spend.
assbot: BitBet - Cardano to Ship in 2015 :: 4.93 B (83
%) on Yes, 1.04 B (17
%) on No | closing in 11 months 1 week| weight: 99`744 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1xZCXZY )
mircea_popescu: they don't stop crime, they just bother the 0.x
% remaining parisians who actually have a job that's not enacted by hollande's fiat
mircea_popescu: davout anyway, epic fucking police state you got there. so, some people driving through the armpit of paris run into three police patrols. because wtf, 30
% of all paris works as cops or something ?
decimation: 99
% of the time the room is completely empty except for the speaker, a few derps on the podium, and a clerk or two
decimation:
http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/01/02/1418761112 << lol usg 'research': "The number of principal investi- gators for R01s who are 36 y of age or youn- ger has declined from 18
% in 1983 to 3
% in 2010. Today, more than twice as many R01s are awarded to principal investigators who are over 65 y as are under 36 y, a reversal from only 15 y ago."
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.15 B (20
%) on Yes, 4375.82 B (80
%) on No | closing in 1 month 6 days | weight: 10`934 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1BSZ1mH )
[]bot: Bet placed: 2 BTC for No on "15
% incremental difficulty increase before April"
http://bitbet.us/bet/1099/ Odds: 0(Y):100(N) by coin, 0(Y):100(N) by weight. Total bet: 2 BTC. Current weight: 100,000.
mircea_popescu: but, just like in the case of shittywood and so on, the actual creatives get 1.5
% and tjhey gotta be in a union for that even.
mircea_popescu: because the us is built on "0
% risk", see. otherwise smoking is ok and no need for helmets.
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.15 B (20
%) on Yes, 4375.82 B (80
%) on No | closing in 1 month 1 week| weight: 11`042 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1tRAwHj )
mike_c: why would I bet on a 40
% likely event and 20
% odds?
mike_c: and OBVIOUSLY nobody is going to maintain the 60
% because the time weighting!
mircea_popescu: in which case your 1 will have to be covered to maintain the 60
%. do that.
mircea_popescu: and i'd argue it's fair you realise SOME of the 60-65 difference but not all, inasmuch as well... you're both on the right side of 50
%, just you're 50
% closer.
mircea_popescu: (if you throw 1 btc blindly on a 65
% odds event you should overall make .65 back)
mike_c: but you still can't bet profitably, because time weighting has progressed and only made it profitable if you think the odds are something like 82
% mike_c: you believe the odds are actually 65
% mike_c: "market", i.e. what the money says is that the odds of yes are 60
% assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin main net block size to increase in 2015 :: 0.03 B (3
%) on Yes, 1.07 B (97
%) on No | closing in 10 months 1 week| weight: 98`183 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1wyTgXy )
thestringpuller: This bet resolves no if Gavin's proposed hard fork is launched, and in succession achieves 51
% consensus of the network. This bet resolves yes, if the current Bitcoin fork keeps 51
% consensus of the network, or if Gavin's proposed hard fork is never launched.
mike_c: betting early on bitbets makes sense and betting late makes sense. you are cutting out 50
% of the time it makes good sense to bet.
davout: fluffypony: 21
% O2, 79
% N2
mircea_popescu: 1k txn is ~ 400kb. that means with a 800kb block that merely creating a 1k 1btc txn bundle will guarantee 50
% separation on gavincoin chain.
mircea_popescu: BingoBoingo here's a simple fact : bitpay made what, 1
% of less than 12mn in december ? that comes to... half what mpex made ?
mircea_popescu: a 360 baud modem loses 99
% of usenet messages out of a pipe which puts out 36kbps worth of messages continuously.
BingoBoingo: muh_buttcoins: It depends. What
% of your net wealth do you presently depend on for provisioning a roof and some food?
muh_buttcoins: what
% of your net wealth do you think is a good amount to invest in bitcoin
mircea_popescu: jurov that 99
% figure is mostly a joke. look at the exchanges as they are, think what even a 50k wall would do at say 30 usd per. how exactly are thjose 99
% of miners going to finance operations for a week when their block reward is worth ~750 bux ?
mircea_popescu: from the perspective of the blockchain, the situation is identical to "what woud happen if 99
% of miners turned their rigs off"
jurov: but if 99
% of miners move to the fake chain, then it will take years till difficulty adjusts.. or we§d have to fork it and adjust anyway
ben_vulpes: <mircea_popescu> heck, if 99
% of miners move to the fake chain all the better - lower real diff for a while. << why if 99
% of miners move onto that chain, would anyone ever move off?
mircea_popescu: heck, if 99
% of miners move to the fake chain all the better - lower real diff for a while.
Apocalyptic: kakobrekla, wait for the new exclusive presale of new ethers, -50
% NOW !
assbot: BitBet - Obama Approval Rating over 45
% in 2014 :: 0.16 B (53
%) on Yes, 0.14 B (47
%) on No | closed 2 weeks 5 days ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1xOWMjn )
mircea_popescu: it occurs to me... it must suck to be a lesbian. i mean a real one, the whatever, .4
% demographic.
mike_c: the new analyzer will tell you how much to bet based on your input of
% of event happenning.
mike_c: well, the "correct" amount to bet depends on what you think the
% chance of the event happening is.
decimation: asciilifeform: yeah, it has 99
% accuracy!!!
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin-Central out of business in 2014 :: 0.88 B (8
%) on Yes, 10.19 B (92
%) on No | closed 1 week 2 days ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1wPz2HU )
Fun: those are 125,000 lots so say 1
% move is 1,250 gain?
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to drop under 200$ before Feb :: 1.05 B (33
%) on Yes, 2.09 B (67
%) on No | closing in 2 weeks 2 days | weight: 98`291 (100`000 to 10`000) ... (
http://bit.ly/1xJbLeE )
decimation: mircea_popescu: re: knc miner refund << yeah in BTC terms they took about
%70 haircut, but I think they do all their accounting in fiat (they convert bitcoin to fiat upon reception)
ben_vulpes: <mircea_popescu> ben_vulpes: translate the significance of this for the aerodynamically innocent ? << less about the aerodynamic stuff; glider guys are wealthy business owners in yacht/building fabrication (among others businesses) and they're complaining about 5
% increase in cost of materials everywhere
mircea_popescu: ben_vulpes: gossip from the glider club: guys in construction (yachts etc) are talking about 5
% cogs increases every month for the past 3 << translate the significance of this for the aerodynamically innocent ?
thestringpuller: mircea_popescu should donate 10
% of the MPOE profits to charity
mircea_popescu: the part where this thing ended up traded with usagi and who knows what else in bitcointalks most outrageous example of retardation, doing all sorts of insane valuations that essentially resulting in his few investors being fleeced about 95
% in the first year also omitted.
BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> still a horrible use of dollars. apple got to be apple by paying about 2-5
% of that, over a decade. << It's a fake money problem really. Too many VC dollars that can't actually buy things so they go marketing pissing matches.
mircea_popescu: still a horrible use of dollars. apple got to be apple by paying about 2-5
% of that, over a decade.
mircea_popescu: mats: then shadowban 90
% of posters <<< can only shadowban 10
% of users. because percents, and "new version of the world"
ascii_modem: in my tests, bled out 100
% of the time during sync
mircea_popescu: the lit lcd bs is absolutely insane. i use brighness at 1-2
% on all these lcd things.
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin main net block size to increase in 2015 :: 0 B (50
%) on Yes, 0 B (50
%) on No | closing in 10 months 2 weeks | weight: 100`000 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1zJpxMJ )
mircea_popescu: imagine this, by the way : after three months of the practical equivalent of going to people's houses and leaving them a post-it note, the fix rate is under 1
%.
cazalla: i'd much rather play with people who play every single hand to the river than a bunch of folk with a VPIP of 10-15
% even if they 'respect my hand' and fold
punkman: yeah 20
% tax on winnings is insane
ben_vulpes: gossip from the glider club: guys in construction (yachts etc) are talking about 5
% cogs increases every month for the past 33
adlai: 99
% of this channel doesn't see my roommate's atrocious dishwashing habits, or lack thereof, as a problem - because they're not aware of them.
decimation: on the other hand, 99.999
% of the world doesn't see it as a problem at all, and a good portion of them also see it as a government's duty
Adlai: scalpl executes approximately 0.1
% of the orders it places, i guess i'm fucked
punkman: VLC = 150
% CPU utilization and no video
dignork: well, not absolute 0, but some very small negligible
% jborkl: sweet action, 7
% per week... seems so realistic
mircea_popescu: jborkl: What was the rate, 7
% per day? Or week << per week