6200+ entries in 0.471s
assbot: BitBet - AlphaGo will defeat Lee Sedol overall in March 2016 match :: 80.22 B (54
%) on Yes, 68.59 B (46
%) on No | closed 1 week 5 days ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1pXwgVL )
shinohai: mv debug.log logs/$(date -d "today" +"
%Y
%m
%d
%H
%M").log
nubbins`: but i do suspect on a ~10
% probability that he's satoshi
assbot: BitBet - AlphaGo will defeat Lee Sedol overall in March 2016 match :: 80.22 B (54
%) on Yes, 68.59 B (46
%) on No | closed 1 week 4 days ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1RdvTNC )
mircea_popescu: 3
% in 1000 ad, 97
% in 1930s. today's israel has a fake 5 or 10
% or somesuch, made mostly of retirees and plastics.
mircea_popescu: the results - "1
% of the policemen are intelligent, 99
% of policemen are strong."
ben_vulpes: pete_dushenski: assuming: betbet revenue is 100x divs (fault in several ways), and 2500 hours of time, and 0.4
% of bitbet revenue to mods implies a .18 btc/hr mod rate. perverse incentive, though.
mircea_popescu: if one in 100 shorts you get a 1
% increase, which they don't care anyway.
assbot: BitBet - AlphaGo will defeat Lee Sedol overall in March 2016 match :: 80.22 B (54
%) on Yes, 68.59 B (46
%) on No | closed 1 week 16 hours ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1Q5VsDd )
thestringpuller: lol. p. sure 90
% of current pixar staff at one point were aspiring webcomic designers...
mircea_popescu:
http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=16-03-2016#1433659 << i dunno why you think this odd. as far as my experience goes, 100
% of english language literature (long before the days orwell quit and his naive, square jawed colonial subjects took over the pretense of empire) is exactly this "here are our assumptions, which clearly paint us as utterly and hopelessly stupid, let's lampshade it and carry on". i don't think by n
☝︎ assbot: Logged on 16-03-2016 04:16:51; phf: i was about 50
% into the logs that i missed, when i switched back to reading "the tunnels of cu chi" (mega book), so not sure if the gentoo recipe was posted
phf: i was about 50
% into the logs that i missed, when i switched back to reading "the tunnels of cu chi" (mega book), so not sure if the gentoo recipe was posted
☟︎ assbot: Logged on 15-03-2016 16:44:44; asciilifeform: already i work in a shop where the modem hiccups and 80
% work - stops...
assbot: Logged on 15-03-2016 13:22:14; mircea_popescu: you ARE willing to pay 50
% of the money for a 72
% item, and so there it is.
assbot: Logged on 15-03-2016 13:22:03; mircea_popescu: in the "i bet you don't understand what the bayesian approach to spam filtering turned into pretend-ai after its failure to filter spam" means for your country : the next step is for most all the jobs that are still left to be replaced by this kind of ai - it's cheaper. so you go to the hair salon and you get a hairdo - 80
% of the time. hey, accidents happen, here's a free coupon for another one. and
mircea_popescu: you ARE willing to pay 50
% of the money for a 72
% item, and so there it is.
☟︎ mircea_popescu: bsite made ? no problem. 72
% of the time it even works!
mircea_popescu: in the "i bet you don't understand what the bayesian approach to spam filtering turned into pretend-ai after its failure to filter spam" means for your country : the next step is for most all the jobs that are still left to be replaced by this kind of ai - it's cheaper. so you go to the hair salon and you get a hairdo - 80
% of the time. hey, accidents happen, here's a free coupon for another one. and yes, you want a we
☟︎ nubbins`: cazalla FWIW i'm selling another run of posters right now, and i bumped up the price by about 50
% phf: mircea_popescu: 50
% non-transferable shares split between owners, about 301btc in profit?
phf: so whatever
%1's been collected so far is divided between mp,kako,shareholders with receiver making a call there, pay outs go to original addresses, assets are auctioned and the auction proceeds are split between mp,kako with receiver making call there
mircea_popescu: if more people had at any point throughout the intervening tax seasons stopped and thought "hey, i made whatever, 100k dollars this year, of which i'm signing off 60k to usg - might as well send tmsr the 0.1
% it charges in tax!" then perhaps the foundation would have enough money and i could just donate it there as an endpoint.
mircea_popescu: well, i'm not entirely sure it can charge 1
% if it doesn't resolve the bets.
mircea_popescu: but currently, the actual bitcoin network fee doesn't even ammount to 1
% of the actual cost of interacting with this sprawling pile of shit.
solrodar: mircea_popescu: as I understand the listing agreement, both you and kakobrekla need to agree before either of you can sell your joint 50
% nubbins`: so the outstanding liabilities to shareholders could be as high as 50
%, tho i doubt it.
ascii_field: mircea_popescu has grim but 100
% accurat point, as often
mircea_popescu: really, dice type sites (and no, pure chance is nothing but dice, no matter how you package it) should be happy with 0.1
% or less. bitbet WORKS for that 1
%.
mircea_popescu: nice font o.O. who's scws. where's the provably fair link ? why would i play roulette, i don't want to give you 5
% or w/e the fuck the edge was. 1
% is generous, this is not 1750.
BingoBoingo: <asciilifeform> by dieboldian fiat, naturally << The beauty of the diebold rigging is the 53
% mandate makes things look contested while still ensuring safety for the most scaled lizards
assbot: Logged on 11-03-2016 17:32:25; BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> if you run the data, it'd actually be BETTER for him if they refuse to nominate. helps more than hinders with voters. << yeah, this way he prolly gets 20-27
% of general election vote, GOP nominee gets 20-27
% of vote, and Clitler gets 51.5
% BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> if you run the data, it'd actually be BETTER for him if they refuse to nominate. helps more than hinders with voters. << yeah, this way he prolly gets 20-27
% of general election vote, GOP nominee gets 20-27
% of vote, and Clitler gets 51.5
% ☟︎ mircea_popescu: well, it cares, because that 500mn europe has a 1.x children per woman, and 90
% of them are made with idiots, and the 5mn are... also idiots. once you start looking at the actual demographic breakdown, it couldn't really take 50k of the derps.
kakobrekla: sometimes 95
% solution will be better than no solution at all
mircea_popescu: ok, so what i'll say is, "this machine, once deployed, would improve your workflow by about 15
%, which is worth about 50k or so. it could also be had hiring techs, at a cost of about 60k a year for the machine's lifespan"
mircea_popescu: <mircea_popescu> now, your addon, if deployed would, for the average usecase, provide an improvement of what ? 10
% ? 50
% ? 300
% ?
mircea_popescu: now, your addon, if deployed would, for the average usecase, provide an improvement of what ? 10
% ? 50
% ? 300
% ?
mircea_popescu: seems to me a 50
% speed gain in high thoroughput research would be worth money.
mircea_popescu: PeterL get him in room to pitch his thing, make 15
% or w/e ? asciilifeform you should prolly hire someone to make the pitch tho.
PeterL: with >50
% if nobody else likes you
mircea_popescu: 10
% failure rate is based on the concept that a)most will be artisans, ie, gardeners and b) periodic war and disease anyway.
assbot: Logged on 10-03-2016 20:09:20; trinque: if you bothered to breed well a 90
% failure rate is deplorable
trinque: if you bothered to breed well a 90
% failure rate is deplorable
☟︎ assbot: BitBet - AlphaGo will defeat Lee Sedol overall in March 2016 match :: 80.22 B (54
%) on Yes, 68.59 B (46
%) on No | closed 1 day 17 hours ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1U5fPD4 )
assbot: BitBet - AlphaGo will defeat Lee Sedol overall in March 2016 match :: 80.22 B (54
%) on Yes, 68.59 B (46
%) on No | closed 1 day 17 hours ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1Q5VsDd )
pete_dushenski: 100
% more parts are 'made in america' with gun than with phone too
assbot: BitBet - AlphaGo will defeat Lee Sedol overall in March 2016 match :: 80.22 B (54
%) on Yes, 68.59 B (46
%) on No | closed 3 hours 38 minutes ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1Q5VsDd )
nubbins`: ^ as admin of CoinBr, the current situation directly affects jurov. maybe that's why jurov and kako are the only ones not 100
% complicit in this scheme
jurov: asciilifeform: the price fell by 40
% last month
punkman: imho, bitbet can decide to spend its future profits on whatever they want, advertising, servers, or 100
% bonuses to random bettors. it doesn't make me want to buy more bitbet shares of course.
mircea_popescu: "pet miner". if pet miner has 1
% of hash, the observed phenomena occur 1
% of cases.
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin main net block size to increase before July 2016 :: 3 B (58
%) on Yes, 2.18 B (42
%) on No | closing in 2 months 3 weeks | weight: 40`287 (100`000 to 2`000) ... (
http://bit.ly/1U0ctRQ )