7300+ entries in 0.644s
assbot: BitBet - Donald Trump gets Republican Nomination :: 10.02 B (95
%) on Yes, 0.58 B (5
%) on No | closing in 6 months 2 weeks | weight: 99`980 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1KAXLHg )
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform hey, you wanted irl chips with tolerances ? +-10
%!
mircea_popescu: "Sure, go ahead and "challenge gatekeepers" with your TOR blacklists and awesome ~0
% of network mining power.
assbot: pizzaface18 comments on ELI5 21Inc. (part 2): Why do we panic when mining pools hit 51
%, but support 21Inc.'s inevitable 51
% IoT-based pool? (Since it's "Not about the mining", it's about microtransactions mined for free by 21Inc51
%Pool^TM?) ... (
http://bit.ly/1LxD97X )
assbot: BitBet - BTC to top $700 before November :: 5.03 B (4
%) on Yes, 118.82 B (96
%) on No | closing in 2 weeks 2 days | weight: 38`035 (100`000 to 22`000) ... (
http://bit.ly/1FuQ1uw )
pete_dushenski: funkenstein_: vw is under investigation for 'studying to the test' atm. i'm sure they'll be slapped with a big ol' fine by usg and then watch their sales fall by 10-20
% mircea_popescu: and the "MtGox-failure, a failure that itself resulted in the loss of 6
% of the circulating Bitcoin money supply." verbiage is particularly ill advised. the bitcoin mtgox lost never circulated for the most part, in that they were imaginary.
assbot: BitBet - BFL will deliver ASIC devices before March 1st :: 791.29 B (47
%) on Yes, 898.53 B (53
%) on No | closed 2 years 7 months ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1KzV49K )
mircea_popescu: understand, the scenario is in no sense astonishing or at all unlikely. the scenario repeats itself 100
% of the time in your model, just, you're not usually well instrumented to notice this.
psztorc: How do you square your 90
% figure against MtGox's loss of 850,000 Bitcoins.
mircea_popescu: now, feel free to generalize on the remainder 10
%, but it is not unlike saying "men are evil and should be locked up".
mircea_popescu: together these make up a good 90
% of bitcoin busiensses.
mircea_popescu: interestingly enough, poloniex lost its 50
% eth trading marketshare. now #3, #1 being something "gatecoin"
mircea_popescu: that's 100
% of psycho, and most of nonspeciffic pain (which only exists because gps wanted a loophole to prescripe medocal social security to healthy men) and then "old age/shit habits" diseases. like some arthitis types (aka gout)./
mircea_popescu: at 500 lbs average and with a 30
% survival rate the numbers show a 300
% gross margin available
mircea_popescu: "Link your 21 box to your Twitter account, and any paywall website lets you read anything you want without popups, ads, or subscriptions." << except 90
% of all paywall usage in bitcoin is to read trilema. which isn't in on this plan.
assbot: BitBet - Cardano to Ship in 2015 :: 4.97 B (68
%) on Yes, 2.34 B (32
%) on No | closing in 2 months 3 weeks | weight: 25`126 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1YxlJxy )
mircea_popescu: also, it's not exactly clear what the bitcoin per-transaction COSTS are, but it is quite obvious that a) mining is designed to be a ~0
% margin activity and has been exactly that without exception through the history and b) the PRICE paid for a block which is usually 1-2k transactions is usually 25ish BTC, which is for simplicity 5k dollars.
assbot: Logged on 21-09-2015 16:49:58; ascii_field: '
%g is the application system, currently
%gall (1300 lines)
%gall is half process table and half systemd, sort of.' << satan preserve us.
BingoBoingo: they call the shit "adblue" 35
% urea in aqueaous solution. Gets pissed into the exhaust stream
ascii_field: '
%g is the application system, currently
%gall (1300 lines)
%gall is half process table and half systemd, sort of.' << satan preserve us.
☟︎ ascii_field: the one and only workstation-class chip that will run 100
% blobless
davout: VariaVarietatis: when it's said peter owns 20
% of the million after the deal, he owns it indirectly through richard's company that owns 1mn, he now owns 20
% of
mircea_popescu: so he paid 1mn for 20
% of fish + 20
% of million. so he paid in the end 800k for 20
% of fish, so he got fish at 1mn with 20
% discount.
mircea_popescu: dude. richard has a fish. peter has a million. they make a deal, now peter has 20
% of (fish+million).
VariaVarietatis: mircea_popescu: so the company only gets 20
% of the 1mn, what about the other 80
% where does that come in?
VariaVarietatis: mircea_popescu: so he gets 200k cash 800k goes into the company account richard gets 80
% peter gets 20
% going from PP1 to PP2 here? also how does the note part work I thought notes didn't get converted into equity until the company investors or is he filling his own note? still lost.
mircea_popescu: he doesn't trade 1mn for 20
% of richard's company. he trades 1mn for 20
% of richard's company and 20
% of 1mn.
mircea_popescu: anyway, 20
% discount because he gets to own 20
% of the million he brought himself, as well as of richard's company.
VariaVarietatis: mircea_popescu: I got a question about one of the footnotes in that article vi if peter is trading away 80
% of his company to Richard for 1m at a 5m valuation?(number she used) but selling it at a 20
% discount does that mean the term value is 4m and the valuation is 5m how does that work?
punkman: I thought you were supposed to only lose ~20
% a year
assbot: [PSA] I end up losing 17
% on P2P lending sites after 2 months. I strongly advise avoiding using them if you are a lender. : Bitcoin ... (
http://bit.ly/1Lr76ql )
assbot: BitBet - The ETH scam won't see 2016 :: 22.83 B (29
%) on Yes, 55.6 B (71
%) on No | closing in 2 months 1 week| weight: 94`816 (100`000 to 10`000) ... (
http://bit.ly/1iDIjEg )
assbot: BitBet - The Hearn-Gavin scamcoin will fizzle in 2016 :: 101.11 B (97
%) on Yes, 2.91 B (3
%) on No | closing in 9 months 2 weeks | weight: 91`180 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1JoYZVq )
mircea_popescu: it does maybe 20mn profit over half bn revenue. which half bn revenue dropped 80
% over the decade and will drop 90
% over the next decade.
mircea_popescu: 5 BitShares $ 14,993,647 $ 0.005969 2,511,953,117 BTS $ 468,786 12.20
% mircea_popescu: 4 Ethereum $ 61,476,700 $ 0.838699 73,300,075 ETH $ 426,907 -1.99
% mircea_popescu: 3 Litecoin $ 121,542,198 $ 2.87 42,357,610 LTC $ 811,946 -3.64
% mircea_popescu: 2 Ripple $ 242,349,655 $ 0.007460 32,488,247,336 XRP $ 614,620 -0.87
% mircea_popescu: 1 Bitcoin $ 3,380,982,278 $ 231.09 14,630,650 BTC $ 14,104,800 -1.02
% assbot: BitBet - The ETH scam won't see 2016 :: 10.04 B (19
%) on Yes, 43.35 B (81
%) on No | closing in 2 months 1 week| weight: 95`867 (100`000 to 10`000) ... (
http://bit.ly/1iDIjEg )
assbot: BitBet - Connor McDavid will live up to the hype :: 0.2 B (12
%) on Yes, 1.41 B (88
%) on No | closing in 4 months 2 weeks | weight: 94`846 (100`000 to 25`000) ... (
http://bit.ly/1Yiah8L )
assbot: BitBet - Rand Paul will get less than 7 minutes in Sept. 16th Republican debate :: 5.04 B (94
%) on Yes, 0.31 B (6
%) on No | closed 3 days 2 hours ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1Yia1GT )
assbot: BitBet - Rand Paul will get less than 7 minutes in Sept. 16th Republican debate :: 5.04 B (94
%) on Yes, 0.31 B (6
%) on No | closed 2 days 9 hours ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1KkQ9bU )
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform it's a product. 50
% stupid 50
% fat is more stupidfat than 150
% fat 5
% stupid.
BingoBoingo: Up until that summer I used to be able to get all but the last line on the snell chart without effort. Last line could get about 75
% nao cursed with 20/20 ish vision
jurov: mircea_popescu: try suggesting moving to shenzhen. 99
% guaranteed to push alf's buttons
assbot: BitBet - Rand Paul will get less than 7 minutes in Sept. 16th Republican debate :: 5.04 B (94
%) on Yes, 0.31 B (6
%) on No | closed 1 day 19 hours ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1KkQ9bU )
mircea_popescu: "given a panel of 5 identical lcds, that have been on doing WoW for the past 5.5 years, if the same numeric value is rendered as red 10
% more saturated on the most versus the least, calculate the probability"
thestringpuller: mircea_popescu: you once said bitcoin will get rid of the stupid by pushing the 99
% of garbage and waste so far underground we don't have to deal with it. Can this happen sooner plz?
mircea_popescu: will happen because things can't just go to waste (in fiction - nevermind that in reality 99
% of everything exists as waste and that includes his entire existence)
assbot: BitBet - Rand Paul will get less than 7 minutes in Sept. 16th Republican debate :: 5.04 B (94
%) on Yes, 0.31 B (6
%) on No | closed 1 day 1 hour ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1KkQ9bU )
assbot: BitBet - The Hearn-Gavin scamcoin will fizzle in 2016 :: 101.11 B (97
%) on Yes, 2.91 B (3
%) on No | closing in 9 months 2 weeks | weight: 92`522 (100`000 to 1) ... (
http://bit.ly/1JoYZVq )
assbot: BitBet - Rand Paul will get less than 7 minutes in Sept. 16th Republican debate :: 5.04 B (94
%) on Yes, 0.31 B (6
%) on No | closed 17 hours 23 minutes ago ... (
http://bit.ly/1KkQ9bU )
ascii_field: as it is, you gotta understand that yields are nowhere near 100
% and especially not in a discount factory primarily used by students graded on a curve.
mircea_popescu: and then one needn't explain why interest rates are 20-50
% pa for some schmucks, and yet "0.0
%" for thje fed.
mircea_popescu: (if i actually lived there and was doing a dc business, 100
% what i'd call it.)
assbot: Logged on 14-09-2015 16:27:56; shinohai: fluffypony: "Seriously, wtf. even a retard can put the wallet.dat on DropBox and be 99
% safer than this." <<< LOLZ
assbot: Logged on 13-09-2015 04:22:30; *: asciilifeform just popped a crate with ~2kg of orwell. before anyone asks, no, nothing like even 20
% of his output is on the net. in the 1968 four-volume set, there is perhaps 90
% of it.
shinohai: fluffypony: "Seriously, wtf. even a retard can put the wallet.dat on DropBox and be 99
% safer than this." <<< LOLZ
☟︎ mircea_popescu: shinohai in other news, the isis throughput seems to be about 3
%.
mircea_popescu: maybe 1
% or so is the best you can hope for, as a human.
mircea_popescu: <trinque> maybe 75
% because I want in-WoT warez << win.
trinque: maybe 75
% because I want in-WoT warez
nubbins`: there is 100
% probable doubt that you are not the person who signed the contract last year.
mircea_popescu: nubbins` 90
% of what commercial disputes are. ask any judge.
nubbins`: antonosika i think it's fair to say that you understand 100
% that you fucked up and you're just trying to "reason" your way into changing the terms of the original
nubbins`: mircea_popescu i'm not 100
% sure that our contract allows such