log☇︎
65600+ entries in 0.027s
mircea_popescu: trinque always struck me as a case of "i know these people are right but i don't want them to be" internal tension. ☟︎
mircea_popescu: and in other antique lulz, http://btcbase.org/log/2014-02-20#518006 ☝︎
mircea_popescu: trinque i imagine dood just didn't know how to proceed and too weird to ask.
mircea_popescu: quite not what pantsuit wants statistics for.
mircea_popescu: jamais sans une grande perte de force vive."
mircea_popescu: ages auxquels nous sommes depuis longtemps pliés. Nous connaissons bien par l'expérience du passé, les inconvéniens qu'ils présentent ; mais nous ignorons quelle est l'étendue des maux que leur changement peut produire. Dans cette ignorance, la théorie des probabilités prescrit d'éviter tout changement : surtout il faut éviter les changemens brusques qui, dans l'ordre moral comme dans l'ordre physique, ne s'opèrent
mircea_popescu: http://btcbase.org/log/2017-09-14#1714098 << since might as well, "Appliquons aux sciences politiques et morales la méthode fondée sur l'observation et sur le calcul, méthode qui nous a si bien servis dans les sciences naturelles. N'opposons point une résistance inutile et souvent dangereuse aux effets inévitables du progrès des lumières ; mais ne changeons qu'avec une circonspection extrême nos institutions et les us ☝︎
mircea_popescu: concentration is the exactly wrong answer here.
mircea_popescu: no, sanity. wtf would everything live in same place as trilema ?
mircea_popescu: it is exactly what it is, what use is pretending. so much caked youthful spunksocks.
mircea_popescu: yup.
mircea_popescu: but meanwhile it's also become critical.
mircea_popescu: well, something will eventually happen. the situation is just as untenable as it was back in the days of http://btcbase.org/log/2017-04-21#1646924 ☝︎
mircea_popescu: i guess we wait and see.
mircea_popescu: in no case am i debugging this stack of strange.
mircea_popescu: wait for grow-up.
mircea_popescu: we';re not old enough to be online, what can be done.
mircea_popescu: i guess so.
mircea_popescu: maybe one day there's a place to rent servers from. until such a time, so long phuctor.
mircea_popescu: so im guessing that a) disk phuctor disk is never getting replaced, when it fails it faisl and b) im not going to be paying these schmucks anymore, when they turn it off they turn it off.
mircea_popescu: this a) re an ip that hasn't sent any mail in the past i dunno, six months ? and b) from the phuctor people.
mircea_popescu: [HE1EUR02FT027.eop-EUR02.prod.protection.outlook.com] ☟︎
mircea_popescu: http://go.microsoft.com/fwlink/?LinkID=526655 (AS16012609)
mircea_popescu: directions. For more information please go to
mircea_popescu: from this list please visit https://sender.office.com/ and follow the
mircea_popescu: 550 5.7.606 Access denied, banned sending IP [91.218.246.31]. To request removal
mircea_popescu: SMTP error from remote mail server after RCPT TO:<info@cherryservers.com>:
mircea_popescu: host cherryservers-com.mail.protection.outlook.com [213.199.180.170]
mircea_popescu: info@cherryservers.com
mircea_popescu: recipients. This is a permanent error. The following address(es) failed:
mircea_popescu: A message that you sent could not be delivered to one or more of its
mircea_popescu: This message was created automatically by mail delivery software.
mircea_popescu: everything to do with a honest day's work is an incomprehensible ball of contradictions to the comfortable lazy, ever so convinced of the usual slate of "can make own decisions" and whatnots.
mircea_popescu utterly can't be arsed to care anymore.
mircea_popescu: but whatever, why should anything work well by itself.
mircea_popescu: why exactly i am still paying fucking fiatola ugstani retards to host servers for me when there's a whole lot of supposedly competent, supposedly business oriented and not yet entirely senile bright minds also an open question
mircea_popescu: why exactly raid reconstruction would require reboot is an open question, and exactly contrary to the specific design of this item
mircea_popescu: and if not, 3am next day ?
mircea_popescu: so in gmt, 3 am ?
mircea_popescu: in other lulz asciilifeform : phuctor server raid array failing, when'd you like the item restarted ? ☟︎☟︎☟︎
mircea_popescu: aha
mircea_popescu: tho really, there's more em planes in coil of wire than there's cleavage planes in foundry glass.
mircea_popescu: aha
mircea_popescu: the wireball idea is sound ; the rest of the crap... notrly. i'd say it's been already fully recorded as is. ☟︎
mircea_popescu: http://promeggog.fu
mircea_popescu: a) рф ? rly ? wtf is рф ? b) publicdocumens/1312420 ? really ? WHAT THE FUCK is being communciated, am i often going to do select where = randomnumber ? c) pdf, really ? fu
mircea_popescu: holy fuck these people do not understand the web. at all.
mircea_popescu: and in other "wikipedia is great because social media is science and consensus is truth" lulz, http://www.piticigratis.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/1504781940364.jpg
mircea_popescu: no idea why, i mean you fucking owned the item, and you coudl actually buy replacement resistences for it.
mircea_popescu: nope.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform amusingly, the space heaters of the era came with, shit you not, nickeline wire + lead stamp seal on the screw-in cover.
mircea_popescu: well, more evolved versions actually. (have item that hashes time counter + fixed salt through known process ; wipe salt if sprung.
mircea_popescu: aha
mircea_popescu: !#s Don the Crown
mircea_popescu: shinohai cat got your kbd ?
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform is that a ~hardened~ calculator ? ☟︎
mircea_popescu: (reasons being mostly moon driving tides which slow down earth, and imperfect free movement due to friction in charged plasma field.)
mircea_popescu: ie, days become longer by a few ms each century because reasons.
mircea_popescu: (current value is 365.2422, but it is likely his value was closer to the correct value at his time than ours.)
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: (it exists in teh original)
mircea_popescu: a 3 got lost in there.
mircea_popescu: !~calc 1826213/5000
mircea_popescu: BingoBoingo hey, nothing can stop you! great us novel still awaiting the pen.
mircea_popescu: pretty fine 365 days and 1/4 value he got there, too.
mircea_popescu: !~calc 182621/5000
mircea_popescu: shinohai i actually don't mind it, it's sort of like trying to write only in aliterations.
mircea_popescu: anyway, his point stands -- absent any qualitative understanding, ie for a black box world, the probability as declared is the best approximation. this is no small matter, at all.
mircea_popescu: um. i spoke french before i spoke english.
mircea_popescu: they want observation-by-proxy, like everything else.
mircea_popescu: and the exact problem is directly obvious if one considers HOW exactly the "data" of "climate science" was obtained. "what do you mean you have to be there to observe!"
mircea_popescu: gulateur des jours et des saisons, voit que rien dans le moment actuel ne peut en arrêter le cours."
mircea_popescu: the exact quote is "En faisant, par exemple, remonter la plus ancienne époque de l'histoire à cinq mille ans, ou à 1 826 21jours, et le soleil s'étant levé constamment dans cet intervalle , à chaque révolution de vingt-quatre heures, il y a 182621/1 à parier contre un qu'il se lèvera encore demain. Mais ce nombre est incomparablement plus fort pour celui qui connaissant par l'ensemble des phénomènes le principe ré
mircea_popescu: not really. pretty much everything that's pompously called "bayesian statistics" in the "rationalist" circles (not just the self-labeled internet tards, but eg googleheads) is simply lifted laplace / serials shaved off.
mircea_popescu: (no, "global warming" is absolutely not novel ; the same sort of cathar nonsense was prevalent in all ages of great pretense and low literacy, usuallyu known as dark ages)
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform the above is very problematic for the "global warming" mindset.
mircea_popescu: shinohai laplace points out (correctly) that a first heuristic for "what is the probability of sun rising tomorrow" is to divide the number of times it was observed rising to the total number of assays. in this case, your life in days / your life in days + 1.
mircea_popescu: ie, it's not just cryptography that suffers from a shocking dearth of actually useful contribution,
mircea_popescu: speaking of paucity in scientific literature : /me has not to date encountered a proper discussion of laplace's "sun also rises" probability ; notwithstanding the pantsuits got butthurt enough over the "absurdity" of it to pretend "bayesian" is the proper name for laplaceian statistics, nobody seems to have put the elbow greate into it.
mircea_popescu: http://68.media.tumblr.com/f3e231e4b02fbeedcd44811027eb3f7c/tumblr_nvgh93W86o1sjfoovo1_500.gif << i take it everyone knows the "guys, change the corpse in 3B, it's full" joke ?
mircea_popescu: in other news, should saucy mcsaucerson be a burlesque magic act ? or a really bad apple juggler ?
mircea_popescu: well, the perpetuation of the species is proof positive that most females could do it fine.
mircea_popescu: lel
mircea_popescu: what's she do anyway ?
mircea_popescu: i dun think so!
mircea_popescu: tits are not bare.
mircea_popescu: there's something fundamentally wrong with that pic...
mircea_popescu: ahaha check that out.
mircea_popescu: heh
mircea_popescu: aanyway, minor point.
mircea_popescu: right, but the same item went from vague to pointed is all.
mircea_popescu: wnat me to dig it up ?
mircea_popescu: heck, in one of the many plaintive items about "omfg you aren;'t going to believe the state of nuke tech", there even was the story of jhow bluetooth is bannable offense.
mircea_popescu: buyt anyway, it was a long known thing neh ?
mircea_popescu: i think we were busy with actually interesting things.
mircea_popescu: then willy nilly he has to sleep.
mircea_popescu: except to where it's one week every week and a half
mircea_popescu: WILL THIS SHIT END SO I CAN GET OUT BEFORE SUNUP!
mircea_popescu: phf goes to moscow, is to find ivory micrograph and bdsm club photograph, instead stuck in hotel room reading up on logs
mircea_popescu: induction coil, somerthing. (mobos still have them for instance)