14600+ entries in 1.166s
mircea_popescu: anyway, in the case there : at the time the difficulty had gone up maybe 50
% over 3 months, the dividends were mostly absent and the thing still traded "At price"
benkay: not epic at all. barely 4
% of the way through known assets.
mircea_popescu: just by looking at them i can tell you they're at least 0.1
% off
mircea_popescu: herbijudlestoids: 20
% was the lowest ROC i found << unless you normalized to some absurd time interval (month ?) 20
% is not the lowest.
herbijudlestoids: maybe 0.5
% is too much, thats 30 million people, you took me literally sir
herbijudlestoids: well the target audience is slightly larger mp, between 50
% of the romanian population who are potentially interested (+ gay guys) versus what...0.5
% of global pop interested in bitcoin?
ozbot: 2621404453.06462 | Next Diff in 1487 blocks | Estimated Change: 15.5173
% in 8d 17h 20m 35s
herbijudlestoids: i.e. over any given 30 day window, 20
% was the lowest amount difficulty grew and 100
% was the largest amount
herbijudlestoids: lets say i invest $100,000 into trading BTC assets like MPOE, and i make 10
% in a year, am i supposed do $10k cash in hand?
herbijudlestoids: ah, as in difficulty rising faster than expected will mean it cant ROI? i guess so, the calculation i used assumed 50
% increase/month in difficulty
jurov: and what' worse, ukyo hasn't paid out 92
% of btc, again due to undisclosed problems
the20year: Especially when the F22 can do the same crap it does, with 10 year older technology for a unit cost that's 30
% lower
theo__: ok, and is each share = to 1 vote in the company? so at the end of the day with you retaining 60
% stock you always have the winning vote? or will you have your's as a vote of absence and decided only in deadlock?
mircea_popescu: nubbins` according to the onion, 80
% of us adults get their news from the onion.
theo__: And you will have first dividend out on the 15th? Which if i look at it right will be averaging a ~3
% yield because of the new IPO purchasing power not being included. This would be about right?
the20year: last time we had a vote to ask the direction of what shareholders wanted to do , it came back as 40/60 in terms of distribution (Re-investing 40
%, distributing the rest)
the20year: Well, lower than many, we're only looking at around an average of 60
% LTV
the20year: Some markets increased by say 500
% in the US and then promptly crashed 450
% the20year: From the 2006-2011 collapse we decreased by around 25
% the20year: Well , during the 2001-2005 run up in prices, we increased maybe 30
% the20year: Additionally we're not overloaning properties, or going for absurdly low incomes, we could theoretically lower rents by 30
% or more and still provide somewhat decent yields to invesors
mircea_popescu: can't fire people. can't evict people. the tax burden is like... 80
% ?
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder they deployed 6mn in capital, took it in the teeth for 10
% the next day. sounds kinda chump-y.
mircea_popescu: yeah, only about 60
% of all kids want to be the other kind. sites like that are fucking abuse.
punkman1: it certainly can't continue going up 20
% on each adjustment forever
herbijudlestoids: i must admit, in nov of last year when i randomly read a thread on bitcointalk where someone was asking for projections of how fast difficulty would grow into 2014, i scoffed at someone suggesting it would simply continue at 30
%/month
jurov: about 16
% profit for mpex if they exercise now
herbijudlestoids: if the price goes to 500 but IV when puts were purchased was at 50
% and goes down to 20
% then the puts might still be worthless
ThickAsThieves: is keiser promoting maxcoin legal? i mean it's like 99
% ponzi no?
mircea_popescu: i'll bet you an altcoin this thing isn't growing 1000
% in three months.
herbijudlestoids: mircea_popescu: if i didnt think the company was about to grow by about 1000
% i wouldnt be working here :)
ozbot: New Survey: 79
% Of Consumers Would Never Consider Using Alternative Currency Like Bitcoin (NASDAQ:TS
pLambert: mircea_popescu: if mtgox had suddenly shut down when they had 90
% of the market the price would tank, now the price might slip a bit but not much
Namworld: Would anyone be interested in loaning me 290 BTC @ 10
% per year, with collateral?
Dimsler__: 1988-1990 had mortgages rates up to 16
% nubbins`: imagine, 18
% interest on a mortgage
nubbins`: dad: "7.25
% locked in for 35 years. a real bargain at the time, as rates soared to 18
% at one point"
mircea_popescu: problem is... no. canada economy can't support rates over 5
% , and won't. possibly ever in the history of canada.
nubbins`: seriously, $6 for non-organic cotton and $15 for 6.25
% organic
nubbins`: punkman1: for some reason, you can't buy 100
% organic cotton tank tops.
nubbins`: 6.25
% organic cotton and 6.25
% recycled polyester
punkman1: so it only contains 6.25
% organic cotton?
nubbins`: who would rather fly 6.25
% organic cotton tank tops in from the exact opposite end of the north american continent
ThickAsThieves: something like, 85
% of bitcointalk thinks A is the right choice, thus B is more likely to be correct
herbijudlestoids: because i have to explain to the tax office where the money in my account is coming from? and if i just say "selling bitcoins" then i have to pay 50
% capital gains tax?
herbijudlestoids: these are models where the goal is to generate a ~10
%CAGR over ~10y with low/no correlation to regular asset classes
herbijudlestoids: well, i guess all i can say is i hope you never experience a 1
% adverse move when youve got a 100:1 open trade :)
ozbot: 2193847870.17428 | Next Diff in 0 blocks | Estimated Change: 19.4628
% in -1d 23h 39m 51s
mircea_popescu: if tomorrow i invent a new way to make cakes, and cake prices drop 95
% mircea_popescu: dub i bet you 90
% of the ppl who read it because it's about doge never heard of dump and dillute.
nubbins`: more badass than 90
% of rap videos
chipug: i'm sorry guys but i see the forum like a daily soap or something. i can only find 8
% serious
jurov: and if it will be ~ 1400 it will be ~50
% loss
kakobrekla: 22:33.28 ( kingofsports ) I'd sell that option anyday. 400
% gain in price in 30 days. VERY doubtful. < never happend in btc, ever.
kingofsports: I'd sell that option anyday. 400
% gain in price in 30 days. VERY doubtful.
jcpham: here i am. I'm approximately 72
% up the chain right now
mircea_popescu: in the end, same story as their mother : -50
% in half a year.
nubbins`: and were 100
% turned on preserved foods by the time the big grocery chains moved in
nubbins`: plus newfoundland produces only about 10
% of its own food supply, so farmer's markets aren't a general solution
herbijud1estoids: like i said, if i borrow a million for the endeavour of trading mean reversion model on MPOE at 3
%, then my returns are only dependent on MPBOR in the sense that MPOE is the business handling MPBOR
herbijud1estoids: ThickAsThieves: i would check the model to make sure its not broken and if not probly trade on a volatility adjusted level...i like ~15
%/pa STDDEV
mircea_popescu: accorfding to the largest stock in the marketplace it's more like 0.5 - 0.2
% a year
mircea_popescu: according to discounted future cash flow approach it's maybe 0.01
% a year.
mircea_popescu: according to mpbor it's something crazy like 1k
% a year.
herbijud1estoids: if you think you have an edge and borrow a million dollars at 3
% to implement an algo that trades this, then obviously your cost of capital is 3
%+R&D
kakobrekla: the refunded the broken txes but now the success rate of making a withdrawal is even lower, down to 25
% Mats_cd03: when 99
% of your revenue is from ads, you can do wutever you want