log☇︎
14000+ entries in 1.069s
mircea_popescu: there's approximately 0% chances of sevastopol falling this year.
cazalla: it'll be an awesome win if it does remain under 10%
Neil: I don't think we'll ever see a 25% (perhaps even 20%) difficulty rise again.
Neil: cazalla: I tend to agree it'll be above 10%, but not a lot above
Neil: Ooh, 9.46%
ozbot: Greek Bank Issues Bond at 5%. Really - MoneyBeat - WSJ
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1109 blocks | Estimated Change: 9.8846% in 6d 22h 12m 27s
ozbot: BitBet - BTC difficulty to increase by less than 10%
mircea_popescu: was a bet about 10% neh ?
ThickAsThieves: itll be more like 17-22% by the time it changes
mircea_popescu: holy shit 10%
dexX7: mirror: https://www.dropbox.com/s/o87zbble4z5fkhq/AM%20BE200%20Datasheet%20-%20Google%20Drive.pdf
mircea_popescu: they may add a say 30% surcharge for any us exports just for fun tho.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: one could probably get within 1% of 'gps' by using camera and images mooched from a crawl of 'google earth'
ninjashogun: Duffer1 - it' snot 'mine'. It's a feature suggestion for the cardano v2 or v3. it's still the cardano. 95% would be the same, including the basic invention that they described.
ninjashogun: I disagree, I think firefox running javascript is one of the simplest things to develop and target 100% of PC's with. Also it would work on some tablets, which have no USB subcomponent at all, but do have copy and paste and wifi connections.
asciilifeform: in gringolandia, 20% mebbe.
ninjashogun: However, the current version transfers files in the plain over the USB protocol. it is 100% vulnerable to a USB mitm - which could probably be made so small that it almost fits in a usb drive.
ninjashogun: You can convince yourself of this fact by being nearly 100% sure that more than $190B in wealth would be created if 10,000 qualified engineering and bioscience etc grad student founders were funded at $200K each for 100 years. It's not a lottery - it's just some unusual percentages.
ninjashogun: asciilifeform, given my high-risk profile what APR would you (personally) extend me on between $7K-$22.5K (amount I take depends on APR) with no collateral except a registered Delaware C-Corp I'm currently full owner of (100%) going to 90% after an investment clears that I've committed to - the company has intellectual property including a patent that is pending and trademark that has been assigned, as well the equipment I
BingoBoingo: mircea_popescu: One problem is mainstreaming, all the US students get exposed to the special ed curriculum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mainstreaming_%28education%29
ninjashogun: mircea_popescu, let me put it to you like this. If ughlol were farther along, and actually already convinced 10 engineers at his university to be 'cofounders' for equity totalling 5%, 95% to him (which would show GREAT founder skill) and got some traction. HIs company would still probably die, and those 10 people would leave. Because he is in India.
ninjashogun: Facebook could be called: "A myspace based on a radical idea. You can ONLY register if you have a .edu account! They have literally just blown myspace out of the water by getting AT MOST 0.5% as many users, because at most 0.5% - one in one two hundred - people in the world uses an active .edu account."
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1319 blocks | Estimated Change: 12.0150% in 8d 1h 25m 20s
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1379 blocks | Estimated Change: 10.1200% in 8d 14h 30m 21s
Duffer1: hirethestache money sent to any of those addresses in that list will probably be credited to your CB account, but i'm not 100% on that, by trying to dumb it down for the average person they make it way more complicated...
benderp: 50% of the land is covered with asphalt, and 40% with retarded californian lean-to's in the style of something elsewhere that actually matters
ThickAsThieves: what if ghash.io manages 80% of the CC ledger?
ThickAsThieves: hell, 99.9% of the people never even vetted the code
ThickAsThieves: regulating that no miner may have more than XX% of the network power is not an absurd notion
ThickAsThieves: obviously there is more to gain, but you can still lose 100%
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1456 blocks | Estimated Change: 8.4784% in 9d 5h 55m 19s
mircea_popescu: maybe this time a different 1% shows
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves afaik it was 50%
ThickAsThieves: interesting, if not obvious, stat I heard: 85% of new businesses in the US are started by immigrants or their children
mircea_popescu: yeah, basically if period increases settle around 8% then it'll be all covered.
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1624 blocks | Estimated Change: 8.5522% in 10d 7h 25m 37s
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1652 blocks | Estimated Change: 8.2775% in 10d 12h 8m 41s
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1656 blocks | Estimated Change: 8.3701% in 10d 12h 45m 45s
bitcoinpete: 100%
nubbins`: about 30% of it was me exiting my position
asciilifeform: might be just some guy now. it was 100% moscow funded, afaik
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1782 blocks | Estimated Change: 0.6603% in 12d 6h 49m 59s
mircea_popescu: then i quit it in 2008, at the time it was in power. it looks like it will make... about 3% next electoral cycle.
mircea_popescu: but anyway, for self-c0k stroking purposes : i was one in the "secret circle" of romanian national liberal party, which went from making 3% in an alliance to making its own government by the time i left romania.
Diablo-D3: $100 billion is about 1% of treasury bonds.
Neil: Yeah it'll take time, but it'll happen. I'm 100% sure.
Neil: The last 2 weeks are the first time in a long time at least 50% of the time I open blockchain.info it shows a block over 1hr old.
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1800 blocks | Estimated Change: 4.0162% in 11d 23h 55m 0s
ozbot: BitBet - BTC difficulty to increase by less than 10%
mircea_popescu: this should be vig-profitable, whatever it's supposed to make, 8% or what was it.
mircea_popescu: A total of 215,273 homicides were studied, 77% of which involved male victims and 23% female victims. Although women comprise more than half the U.S. population, they committed only 14.7% of the homicides noted during the study interval.
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1845 blocks | Estimated Change: 10.5056% in 11d 11h 7m 10s
BingoBoingo: Of course, the Queen being 40% of East Saint's revenue and somehow managing to at the same time be a bigger shithole than East Saint
Azelphur: https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/3832397/Photos/From%20Google/DCFN0033.JPG observe, shit from a skip :)
ughlol: To me, even if it helps 1%, its a success.
ughlol: thinking that it can't help 100% of the rape victims
gribble: http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=crab%20trap | When the recipient of anal sex squeezes his or her sphincter trapping the giver's penis so he cannot pull out easily.
benkay: stop lending them money at 0% and letting them lend it to the usg at 2 or whatever
ThickAsThieves: they were going at like 5% premium
ThickAsThieves: An interest rate of ~22%/year (0.38%/week) based on EUR/BTC value at time of issue (eg. ~€0.0032 / bond / week.
dexX7: "For the purposes of the examples below we have used a price of €85.00 EUR/BTC. An interest rate of ~22%/year (0.38%/week) based on EUR/BTC value at time of issue (eg. ~€0.0032 / bond / week)." ... "100,000 bonds"
mircea_popescu: bitcoin has managed to maintain the time needed to get 2k blocks within one to three weeks in spite of infinite % growth of hash power.
mircea_popescu: if a company got 10mn coupons, each person got 0.0001% etc.
mircea_popescu: if a company got 10 coupons, every one guy got 10% of it.
Neil: Actually 2% is also low; probably 3-4% is better.
Neil: In a parallel universe with no risk you see, I mighta been interested in investing in some of your ventures. Though the terms are clear, it's also the problem, as a) a 30BTC fine to "play" means there's gotta be something worth playing for, and b) I worry about you getting run over by a bus, for example, because c) it's all really quite opaque and I rate b) as ~2% annually, which is quite a JTD risk.
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 1964 blocks | Estimated Change: 29.2943% in 9d 15h 15m 43s
ozbot: 4.250 billion | Next Diff in 2014 blocks | Estimated Change: -14.4080% in 15d 23h 56m 54s
ThickAsThieves: http://www.neimanmarcus.com/Christian-Louboutin-Snakilta-Spiked-Red-Sole-Ankle-Boot-Black-Matte-Shoes/prod162100114_cat39620738__/p.prod?icid=&searchType=EndecaDrivenCat&rte=%252Fcategory.jsp%253FitemId%253Dcat39620738%2526pageSize%253D30%2526No%253D0%2526refinements%253D&eItemId=prod162100114&cmCat=product
Neil: One of the inputs to that address used for the payout was 4368 BTC; which is like 40% of bitbet volume at that time...
gribble: WARNING: Currently not authenticated. Trust relationship from user ThickAsThieves to user nubbins`: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 2 via 2 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=ThickAsThieves&dest=nubbins%60 | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=nubbins%60 | Rated since: Wed Oct 16 19:58:53 2013
mircea_popescu: alcohol that'll kill a pacific islander = 0.1% of the dose well tolerated by a caucasian
asciilifeform: coffee shop in this town is, afaik, 100% uni grads.
benkay: i have no idea what exactly the dropoff is, but 75% protein for an extended period of time is fukken dangerous.
benkay: 75% protein is a recipe for gout
benkay: so 20%
asciilifeform: incidentally, even a 100% proper science/maths/etc degree can be a liability, as you'll only be considered for the higher paygrades (naturally tighter musical chairs)
Neil: "BTC difficulty to increase by less than 10% 6.00000000 BTC on No" << wow, that's almost reckless
ozbot: 3.816 billion | Next Diff in 81 blocks | Estimated Change: 10.8910% in 0d 11h 56m 42s
ozbot: 3.816 billion | Next Diff in 91 blocks | Estimated Change: 10.7103% in 0d 13h 28m 27s
cazalla: and then NEOBEO comes and takes the remaining 90%
Neil: My history is over 10%
kakobrekla: i think the biggest roller is 10%
Neil: Confirmed total: 12,479 BTC on bitbet's site. I'm well over 5% of that.
Neil: The amount of hardware to come online to get 30% increases every 10 days is just nuts
cazalla: 10% this cycle is a bit of a lull, fingers crossed for 30%+ next
cazalla: it'll be a close one re: the under 10% bet
cazalla: didn't think it would stay under 10%
the20year2: Compared to say offering just 4% to the seller's agent, which would result in just $2k to them
the20year2: So, with say a $100k property @ 3% selling agent comission they're gonna get $1500, with the $2500 bonus they end up getting $4k
the20year2: And for most new agents, the cut is 50/50 , so they only get half of the 3%
the20year2: If I have control what I do is usually 2% to the listing agent and then 3% + $2500 for the selling/buyer's agent
the20year2: 5% to 6%
Chris_Sabian_: september to december was ~ 1000%, december to now was down ~50%, september to now ~550%.
the20year2: It comes down to waiting for BTC price increase, or increase NAV of properties by 30%, 40%, 50% in a few months
the20year2: We've utilized, or have in contract about 50% of the given capital
mircea_popescu: out of that 1% i'll have to justify someone sitting with eyes glued to your thing
mircea_popescu: well, consider the business caseas first and foremost. bitbet takes 1%
moiety: benkay: http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=bumping%20his%20gums