12200+ entries in 0.986s
kakobrekla: bitcoinpete did like 30
% in less than an hour ?
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin price above $525 before May :: 10.29 B (87
%) on Yes, 1.51 B (13
%) on No | closed 2 months 1 week ago
assbot: BitBet - Difficulty at block 302,400 over 10 billion :: 0.05 B (11
%) on Yes, 0.43 B (89
%) on No | closed 1 month 1 week ago
assbot: BitBet - Block 315k mined on or before July 28th :: 0.44 B (5
%) on Yes, 8.39 B (95
%) on No | closing in 2 weeks 5 days | weight: 15`645 (100`000 to 5`000)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 511511.43 Est. Next Diff: 511511.43 in 2016 blocks (#38304) Est.
% Change: 0.00
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 436273.12 in 1 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -39.01
assbot: BitBet - LeBron James to take his talents elsewhere :: 0.03 B (25
%) on Yes, 0.09 B (75
%) on No | closing in 3 months 3 weeks | weight: 98`864 (100`000 to 1)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 437759.59 in 2 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -38.81
pankkake: looks scientific enough. I'd they less than 90
% though
pankkake: Quoting numerous recent red head studies published in The Lancet, the ASA did confirm that red heads do in fact have souls, the carpet matches 90
% of the time, most red heads hate when ‘red headed slut’ shots are ordered for them, and yes they truly are amazing in bed.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 438899.48 in 5 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -38.65
Namworld: I'll admit a 100
% flawless system is probably not possible... but the PrimeDice implementation is far from even being half-right.
Namworld: Yes, but then even if only a small portion checks their bets, it would get caught. Even if a site did it only 1
% of the time, it would quickly be discovered.
Namworld: You can't change to 1.1
% without changed the target number/giving the wrong number for the roll.
Mats_cd03: all cheating. what prevents a server side tweak for 1.1
% being switched on and off irregularly to evade persistent monitoring for cheating in your scenario?
Namworld: With all parameters/seeds/rolls always matching and not changing, yet obtaining a house edge that is not 1
% atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 444380.80 in 8 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -37.88
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 444380.80 in 8 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -37.88
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 445034.21 in 9 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -37.79
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 446874.29 in 13 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -37.53
assbot: BitBet - And Then There Was One :: 7.59 B (56
%) on Yes, 5.94 B (44
%) on No | closing in 4 months 3 weeks | weight: 39`983 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 172.25671059 BTC; -0.14834219 BTC (-0.0860
%) since last check 1d 4h 17m 52s ago.
assbot: BitBet - Costa Rica will advance from the 2014 World Cup group stage :: 0.41 B (35
%) on Yes, 0.75 B (65
%) on No | closed 2 days 17 hours ago
assbot: BitBet - Costa Rica will advance from the 2014 World Cup group stage :: 0.41 B (35
%) on Yes, 0.75 B (65
%) on No | closed 2 days 17 hours ago
assbot: BitBet - Costa Rica will advance from the 2014 World Cup group stage :: 0.41 B (35
%) on Yes, 0.75 B (65
%) on No | closed 2 days 16 hours ago
BingoBoingo: HeySteve: Bitpay is sponsoring a fucking bowl game. They probably spent ~10
% of their last round on a notoriously poor form of advertising.
assbot: BitBet - Costa Rica will advance from the 2014 World Cup group stage :: 0.41 B (35
%) on Yes, 0.75 B (65
%) on No | closed 2 days 14 hours ago
assbot: BitBet - Costa Rica will advance from the 2014 World Cup group stage :: 0.41 B (35
%) on Yes, 0.75 B (65
%) on No | closed 2 days 13 hours ago
mircea_popescu: b) each bot has a 0 to 20
% chance of knowing how their opponent player against each bot of their type
mircea_popescu: specifically : a) each bot has a 0 to 20
% chance of knowing how their opponent played against each other bot. this is fixed for the respective bot.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 450695.27 in 113 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -37.00
assbot: celia basto | 100
% art | 100
% ART
mircea_popescu: here's an interesting if unrelated point : what characteristic of classical english theatre, cca 1600s, was shared by both classical french and italian, but not ever since ? so that 99.x
% of all good plays, all good actors and all good performances have this one thing in common, that's not been seen again ?
benkay: unequivocal: the 98
% are almost perfectly good, while the 2
% are almost perfectly evil. After all, the 98
% are nice to almost everyone, while the 2
% are mean to those who are nice to almost everyone, and nice only to a tiny minority who are mean to almost everyone. Of course, for much of human history, this is precisely how morality worked, in many people’s minds. But I dare say it’s a result that would make moderns uncomfortable."
benkay: "Imagine, for instance, that 98
% of the players are unfailingly nice to each other, but unfailingly cruel to the remaining 2
% (who they can recognize, let’s say, by their long noses or darker skin—some trivial feature like that). Meanwhile, the put-upon 2
% return the favor by being nice to each other and mean to the 98
%. Who, in this scenario, is moral, and who’s immoral? The mathematical verdict of both eigenmoses and eigenjesus is
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 172.40505278 BTC; +0.42724399 BTC (+0.2484
%) since last check 1d 23h 33m 35s ago.
mircea_popescu: "A 1994 study in the United States, which looked at the number of sexual partners in a lifetime, found that 20
% of heterosexual men had only one partner, 55
% had two to twenty partners, and 25
% had more than twenty partners."
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 452941.55 in 146 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -36.68
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin incremental difficulty to increase by 3B or more :: 3.81 B (81
%) on Yes, 0.87 B (19
%) on No | closing in 2 months 2 weeks | weight: 47`543 (100`000 to 6`000)
mircea_popescu: well yeah. but by playing hard to get you may get +10 on your average catch, but also get the guarantee you're never getting in the bed of that 0.whatever
% ☟︎ Cosmos: yea they're just rip-offs cept for those that don't use btc tech at all..but, some still have good, relevant, unique applications, and quite a few have presented astronomical
% gain opportunities, just cashout to BTC b4 the dump and keep multiplying it.......
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 442680.02 in 281 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -38.12
mircea_popescu: mike_c: but even that was better tested. hypothesis was formed before the analysis, not as a result of the analysis. << not to mention independently tested etc. more's ther point, mpif wants unalligned risks, which is 90
% of thy that even makes sense
TheNewDeal: 2
% is more like a fee for an index fund
mike_c: TheNewDeal: last comment from me, i'm really not trying to sell you. But that 'tiny percentage' you were talking about from hedge fund managers is usually 2
%. which is the same fee as coinbr in your 10 BTC example.
punkman: well if this retarded strategy can do 46
% I think I got some margin for error
TheNewDeal: I would prefer that he were like a hedge fund manager, making
% off your winnings