log☇︎
237100+ entries in 0.15s
mircea_popescu: it's what it is, out of the final table in the latter case about 2/3 is robot work.
mircea_popescu: heh. laugh all you want, and take refuge in 1970s artworks if you will - but the fact remains that if you buy planks you buy planks but if you buy ikea you buy robotized planks.
mircea_popescu: ie - the visually driven notion of "robot" as "anthropomorphised tuna can" is not particularly useful in a discussion of economics and robots.
mircea_popescu: "robots" does not strictly mean r2d2. entirely automated process chain is also a robot in this sense, even if perhaps a meta-robot for they preoccupied with the physicality of things.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform no, plumbing mostly comes as part of the prefab components of construction nowadays. is not separate thing.
asciilifeform: well yes, it consists of 'read error code and throw part # into order form and replace assembly'
asciilifeform: referring here to digging machine ? (a bit of stretch to call 1890s item 'robot')
mircea_popescu: dat old ecosystem drives itself by supporting its niches and denying competing niches thing.
mircea_popescu: amusingly - i used to call plumbers in places where plumbing had been laid by hand. but in places where plumbing laid by robot - no need so far.
asciilifeform: this 'total robotization' thing, i can see it as a logical conclusion, but it isn't here yet. e.g., how many robots has mircea_popescu , to date, fucked ?
mircea_popescu: from "robotization" in the general sense of the term.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: from whence then comes this 'nothing to do' ??
mircea_popescu: this is how eg construction yards used to work, for milennia. not anymore, for decades now.
mircea_popescu: with the exception of tmsr, there is NO PLACE in this world which sticks to the modern tradition of, "random bozo walks in, is given a job"
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform no ; because modernism hadn't ended yet. but the chick herself - if she weren't twerking she'd be on reddit . there is literally NOTHING for her to do.
mircea_popescu: (kinda yet another angle of why the great again is so lulzy - what, economic trends will reverse by election ?)
mircea_popescu: the welfarization creates nothing. it is the maggot on the corpse of postmodern industry.
mircea_popescu: i suspect i might've talked to more industrial robots folks than you have over our respective careers, but be that as it may, the trend is towards not away job destruction.
asciilifeform: talk to folx who worked with industrial robots, dun take asciilifeform's word for it: robotization of a process is not 'magical free work while you supply mains current', but replaces 100 fungible gurlz with 1-3 'assembly line phd', which is not always a +ev trade
a111: Logged on 2016-12-05 16:09 asciilifeform: http://btcbase.org/log/2016-12-04#1577534 << the petrol engine is not well impedance-matched with anything, even auto wheels on asphalt ! hence the 'hybrids' thing
mircea_popescu: there are a number of reasons for this. 1. robots eat electricity ; humans eat a sort of oil derivate ; see http://btcbase.org/log/2016-12-05#1577962 ; 2. robots are an industrial product, this costs ~nothing while "well brainwashed humans" are the equivalent of a "well behaved wife". tell you what, here's a half billion girlies in your "civilised world", you have a week to find a wife. let me know what you spent. ☝︎☟︎
asciilifeform: you gotta take the ~hardest~-to-roboticize industrial processes as the basis for comparison, not the ~easiest~;
asciilifeform: and often i get distinct impression that mircea_popescu is posting from a parallel future on mars : where, e.g., robots are not three orders of magnitude more expensive than well-brainwashed 'work ethic' folx working with bare hands
asciilifeform: (egyptian, rather than ponzi, pyramid)
asciilifeform: if you have a massive project that nobody computes ROI on, and folks throw rotten eggs at anyone who suggests doing so --- pyramid.
mircea_popescu: the Floating Littoral Embarassment is very much the symbolic product of "technology by modernist means in postmodernist times"
mircea_popescu: and not just in github, it results in 5bn for BART's 16 track miles and in 12mn/year for 1bn database for microsoft.
mircea_popescu: back in 1616 there was a "do something - anything". today that results in github.
mircea_popescu: except there is no "work" in the abstract, as a byproduct of anti-idlehandsaredevilswork. not anymore.
asciilifeform: you can prevent 'работа стоит -- а срок идет!' by imposing 'no work - no food' quotas, and this was often tried in gulag, but led to unexpected problems
asciilifeform: there are not so many ways to make folks work.
asciilifeform: re 'cheap protestant tricks', and also in re 'argentinians who sit in chair and won't work', a good chunk of the weirdo mass-programming the protestants have been doing for 200+ yrs is precisely to 'make'em work'
asciilifeform: iron, turns out, is not such a handy 'iq test', plenty of folx passed the iron exam and failed everything else.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform iron age is ~norman conquest. industrial age is a different thing.
mircea_popescu: (the discussion of all this, for the curious, is probably best started with the trilema on the mind's compartments, http://trilema.com/2014/the-bicameral-world-in-one-room-the-city-dump-in-the-other-room-the-starred-restaurant-do-these-talk-to-each-other-read-on-to-find-out/ (
asciilifeform: just stuck there.
asciilifeform: eh the bantu -- who enslaved them -- iirc had iron.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform pygmystan is not actually a culture ; stone age tribes don't get names.
asciilifeform: and fundamental myth of pygmistan is that magical horn (today replaced with drainpipe, they forgot how to carve wood) that talks to the dead
mircea_popescu: fundamental myth of english modernism is "blind love", which, if you'll notice, is at the time of its introduction a very cheap trick very much in the manner of protestantism ; and also a mythical beast :
mircea_popescu: fundamental myth of english feudalism is a sword that cared.
asciilifeform: or did the horse ?
asciilifeform: did the sword 'care' whether knight came from 10 or 40 generations of pure-blooded norman ?
mircea_popescu: and this is what all the unicode wastage is : they, the lost souls of a dead world, are trying to make computers more like cotton ginnies. more inclusive, more capable to work with a modernist perspective, where who dun matter and what is considered.
mircea_popescu: whereas most computing jobs require identity in terms entirely impossible in the brief modernist interlude. what cares the cotton ginny whether you are white or black skinned ?
mircea_popescu: most computing jobs are unspecifiable in the terms most industrial jobs of the brief modernist interlude were specifiable.
mircea_popescu: in short, in the entirety of the observable universe, we are reverting to traditionalist systems, approaches and altogether a reality.
mircea_popescu: see, when I hire diana_coman to do dev work for eulora, OF FUCKING COURSE she gets to redefine the job on the basis of the title. because before she got it she hadn't seen the code, and after she had, for instance. or for any other reason.
mircea_popescu: aha. HOWEVER - which is why i bring all this up - the reversal is fucking evident here too.
asciilifeform: modify, perhaps, for modern world, 'work stands still, but the paycheque still approaches')
asciilifeform: ('work stands still, but the [prison] sentence still moving!')
asciilifeform: eh it's an orc thing, 'работа стоит -- а срок идет!' (tm) (r)
mircea_popescu: which is exactly why simple minded folks in third countries such as argentina etc display the strange behaviour where they don't wish to actually work, first discussed in the article about whores
mircea_popescu: nce he gets it, once he IS the job title, then of course he finds himself in a more elevated position, which should mean by his logic that he gets to renegotiate and eliminate some of the burdens.
mircea_popescu: getting back to the modern/traditional thing : there's a very visible and practically relevant distinction in trade. when i hire a modernist, i hire him to do a job, and i expect him to do a job. but when i hire a traditionalist, i am essentially assigning office. and as it is LOGICAL in that context, he may agree to any "job" specification ie burdens on the title before he gets it, while all he IS is humble applicant ; but o
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: serious aficionados today have proggies for browsing tree, e.g., 'kombilo'
mircea_popescu: no, my idea simply was "explore all the trees for my convenience".
asciilifeform: and simply tape-played it back.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: no, it wasn't even that they played 'blitz', but ~memorized game~
mircea_popescu: just because i can't keep up with the horse doesn't mean it won't get its exercise. we have mechanics!
asciilifeform: and, BingoBoingo , this is 1000+ yrs before pro wrestling!!111
mircea_popescu frequently requires better go players to play very fast and train for it in advance.
asciilifeform: ( royal folk dun like to wait for moves ! )
asciilifeform: not as such. though mircea_popescu's asian rituals and 'no optionality' thread reminds me of the infamous 'castle tournaments' in jp, where go players would rehearse same game dozens of times in advance
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform so if i give you a lined mat and a pile of all black tiles you thereby "still have a game of go" ?
mircea_popescu: hence the "useful evil minister" strategy deployed in england and france as well as everywhere else - get the guy to do things then behead him.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: when my time machine malfunctions and aztec priest eats my heart so that quetzalcoatl will shit the sun back out, it will still be semantic game.
mircea_popescu: phf this is very true yes.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform they're only semantic games to you ; for they to be games they need the optionality.
asciilifeform: 'mandate of heaven' is about as logically consistent as the proverbial witch-drowning tester
phf: i think i'm being misunderstood. i'm saying that fake-tzars were cases of "emperor asking of you", because both tzar and barin (i.e. immediate supervisor) were seen as fundamental good. peasants consistently and historically allocated blame on various random hangerons. boyars, traders, foreigners, etc. in fact in fake-tzar cases the narrative was consistent "evil boyars have deposed our tzar-father and we won't stand for it"
mircea_popescu: similar to the whole "mandate ofheaven" chinese thing - IS he or ISN'T he the "one true emperor" ; whether his being anything in particular matters with regards to "his job" ie, what he has to do is not discussed. even the notion that emperorhood is a job is nonsensical in context.
mircea_popescu: and the fake ivans etc are not exactly attacks on the tsar ; they're just a discussion of identity , not actually a modernisation proposal.
phf: no, no, i'm saying the opposite. ~barin~ in this case is the dude who worked you to the bone
mircea_popescu: phf you did ; nevertheless - in the case of those runaways who were discovered in the 60s after however many centuries of absence, what figured greatly was that a) the tsar is good and b) that woe on random anon merchant for refusing to donate a quarter ton of potatoes to the cause.
asciilifeform: well yes, you blame the d00d who actually worked you to the bone ☟︎
phf: also kind of tru re famine, but typically boyars were blamed rather then tzar or barin
asciilifeform: analogous to chain forks..
phf: not quite true, you had лжецаревич uprisings
mircea_popescu: "the emperor is ; this gold is ; they go together."
mircea_popescu: this "what care i" is very much a proposal to modulate behaviour ; whereas this active diatesis is not there contemplated.
asciilifeform: good part of 'царь-батюшка' is that he never asks you directly to do anything
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform not really. ru peasant aslo thought emperor is good ; and right here.
asciilifeform: afaik standard feudal org chart works in steps (d00d answers to ~immediate~ commanding officer)
mircea_popescu: socialist] state as a persuasive and credible justification for the need to rebalance administratively imbalances induced administratively. same exact problems psychology resolves."
mircea_popescu: fuck i love this article. "Deci, ce probleme rezolva ecologia ? Niciunele. Ecologia se bucura insa de sprijinul institutional al statului ca justificare persuasiva si credibila a nevoii de-a reechilibra administrativ dezechilibre economice induse administrativ. Tot aceleasi probleme pe care le rezolva si psihologia," -> "So, what problems does ecology resolve ? No problems. Ecology simply enjoys institutional support of the [
asciilifeform: in traditional society we also have 'emperor is far away, what care i'
mircea_popescu: why the fuck would cunt lubricate to ease penile intromission ?
mircea_popescu: because the emperor is ; in traditionalist societies existence is predicated on existence.
asciilifeform: but, why the fuck would anyone donate family gold to prop up emperor's golden toilet
asciilifeform: i can actually see the tank;
mircea_popescu: it seems credible to me qualitatively ; quantitatively i have nfi.
asciilifeform: i.e. i have nfi how many parts fact to how many parts propagandistic swill
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: re ^ and the part where the asian folk donated jewelry to motherland's central bank , quite reminiscent of the 'old woman who bought t-34 tank and named it after stalin and her five dead sons' recurring item in ww2
mircea_popescu: and in today's "very early trilema article remarkably on point", http://trilema.com/2011/ce-probleme-rezolva-ecologia/
a111: Logged on 2015-03-03 01:48 BingoBoingo: So... Anyone here know chinese? Good enought to translate a Hand complete police report?
mircea_popescu: sadly that's about the extent of my recollection ;/
mircea_popescu: there was some badly translated "proceeds of miner conference" sometime earlier this year
BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> actually BingoBoingo what was that thing vaguely mentioned on qntra recently ? << You'd have to be a bit more specific
deedbot: http://phuctor.nosuchlabs.com/gpgkey/5AB617368C211177E70A6D35E959F5F5D02B25D9A6AE8A81E3291C4BE369B494 << Recent Phuctorings. - Phuctored: 1361...9417 divides RSA Moduli belonging to '219.83.84.138 (ssh-rsa key from 219.83.84.138 (13-14 June 2016 extraction) for Phuctor import. Ask asciilifeform or framedragger on Freenode, or email fd at mkj dot lt) <ssh...lt>; ' (Unknown ID BA)