11100+ entries in 0.883s
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.08 B (86
%) on Yes, 186.56 B (14
%) on No | closing in 6 months 4 days | weight: 55`052 (100`000 to 1)
BingoBoingo: Approaching 50
% of danielpbarron's marketcap for his BTC/MEAT asset in just shit from years ago
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.08 B (86
%) on Yes, 186.56 B (14
%) on No | closing in 6 months 4 days | weight: 55`100 (100`000 to 1)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 186726.40 in 1990 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -90.06
dreamstring: in theory the hashrate doesnt mean anything besides securing from a 51
% and determining who contributed what amount of work
nubbins`: i have about 50
% success posting comments to trilema
Flerb: dpb_reddit: yes. We guarantee 100
% profit completely
dpb_reddit: They are not super risky. They profit very consistently. Of course I cannot guarantee 100
% of the time, but it generally does profit well and gets your money back. Backtests can show this. Kakobrekla, please do not be disrespectful, I am being honest here.
the20year: i hear they're aiming for a 0.5
% APY
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 189345.91 in 1995 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -89.92
assbot: BitBet - ATC to reach block 50000 on time :: 2.5 B (26
%) on Yes, 7.05 B (74
%) on No | closed 2 weeks 3 days ago
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 215279.89 in 1996 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -88.54
assbot: BitBet - LTC dead before Doge :: 0.02 B (2
%) on Yes, 0.88 B (98
%) on No | closing in 10 months 3 weeks | weight: 99`625 (100`000 to 10`000)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 1998 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
mircea_popescu: Blockbuster is gone. So are Lehman Brothers, Atari, Pan Am, Circuit City and countless others each year. Startups fail, too, with 80
% going belly up within the first 18 months. But here’s something to consider in comparison: criminal syndicates don’t go out of business. The Chinese Triads have been around since the 17th century. For 25 years, Mexico’s Sinaloa Cartel has outmaneuvered vicious competition at home a
mircea_popescu: (5
% of your under bet, which we are assuming it is 100 EUR) unless it is HT where there is no danger. If you place bets for 2 EUR profit, you need now 50 arbs to recover the losses and i doubt that you will make any money.
mircea_popescu: me statistics of collected data from such bets could reveal more, but this 1/20 goal scoring assumption seems to be close to reality. Base on my own stats the probability of the goal is 1,8
% , which means that 1,8 goals are scored in 100 bets. My net profit is smth like 65
% of my total profit, the rest (35
%) is the loss i have suffered from goals being scored in pending time. You must never place bets less than 5 EUR
mircea_popescu: Just don't place arbs which gives you less than 5
% of your "under" stake. If you place 100 EUR on under at Europeans , it means that you must place only arbs which give you more than 5 EUR. This way, you need only 20 arbs to recover the losses from " 1 goal" for the 30 (might even less) sec you need after you first bet is accepted probably is less than 1/20. This rule of 5
% profit from you under stake is reasonable. So
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to drop under $450 before September :: 1.22 B (9
%) on Yes, 11.62 B (91
%) on No | closing in 1 week 6 days | weight: 51`309 (100`000 to 1)
kyuupichan: Does anybody maintain a BTC market cap as
% of all coin cap? I think it must be near a 2-year high.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 2005 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
BingoBoingo: mike_c: It's like that for about 50
% of mine
ben_vulpes: thestringpuller: <asciilifeform> mircea_popescu: i don't believe 90
%+ of the derpage emitted by "advertising industry" << precisely this. as i understand, cargo cult.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform: i confess i'm somewhat suspicious of anything which suggests to 'monetize' my site, which is more or less the polar inverse of 'monetizable' in the usual sense. << in fairness, i don't believe 90
%+ of the derpage emitted by "advertising industry" in any way applies to van stuff.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 2008 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 2010 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 2011 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
BingoBoingo: ben_vulpes: Suppose the venue's perspective where it's in the venue commits space X by Y pixels already. Seems bidding from people confident in a text ad and properly sized images would, eventually be a desirable situation. I imagine for you as well since... with a 1
% house edge you've eventually got to get volume.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 2013 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 1878190.93 in 2014 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: 0.00
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1725635.23 in 2 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 267.51
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1742547.71 in 8 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 271.11
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1762865.42 in 19 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 275.44
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to drop under $300 before December :: 1.03 B (25
%) on Yes, 3.1 B (75
%) on No | closing in 2 months 2 weeks | weight: 98`791 (100`000 to 1)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1761109.84 in 175 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 275.07
punkman: "as detailed in chapter 9, having 100
% full reserve is not a feature, it is a bug that holds and prevents the network from reproducing or creating an actual banking system."
dignork: right, so fees jumped from 0.1
% to 0.2 #
assbot: BitBet - LTC to drop under $6.50 before September :: 1.48 B (68
%) on Yes, 0.71 B (32
%) on No | closing in 2 weeks 2 days | weight: 43`329 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - LTC <= 0.01 BTC before September 1st :: 2.47 B (87
%) on Yes, 0.37 B (13
%) on No | closing in 4 days 21 hours | weight: 4`074 (100`000 to 1`000)
assbot: BitBet - LTC to fall against BTC :: 9.02 B (90
%) on Yes, 0.98 B (10
%) on No | closing in 4 months 1 week| weight: 62`775 (100`000 to 1)
bitcointrader_: yout payout like a CFD. It's not fully eliminating cp risk but if you deposit 50
% with escrow is covers a substantial amount. Just have an auto stop loss in place
assbot: BitBet - LTC <= 0.01 BTC before September 1st :: 2.47 B (87
%) on Yes, 0.37 B (13
%) on No | closing in 4 days 22 hours | weight: 4`103 (100`000 to 1`000)
assbot: BitBet - LTC to fall against BTC :: 9.02 B (90
%) on Yes, 0.98 B (10
%) on No | closing in 4 months 1 week| weight: 62`796 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - LTC to drop under $6.50 before September :: 1.31 B (65
%) on Yes, 0.71 B (35
%) on No | closing in 2 weeks 2 days | weight: 43`444 (100`000 to 1)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1782205.17 in 304 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 279.56
mjr_: that is 100
% academic
mjr_: so when that pool got over 51
% pete_dushenski: kakobrekla: no more 10k btc ipos, no more 20
% increases . o wait << such gold
mircea_popescu: mjr_ nah that's not it at all. it's much more like the online scam "industry", ie, 90
% of volume is self-trading.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1783050.20 in 336 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 279.74
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 469547.33 Est. Next Diff: 1782214.48 in 362 blocks (#44352) Est.
% Change: 279.56