10500+ entries in 0.865s
assbot: BitBet - Russia or Ukraine formally declares war on the other before September :: 0.03 B (12
%) on Yes, 0.22 B (88
%) on No | closed 6 days 17 hours ago
assbot: BitBet - Russia or Ukraine formally declares war on the other before September :: 0.03 B (12
%) on Yes, 0.22 B (88
%) on No | closed 6 days 17 hours ago
assbot: BitBet - Russia or Ukraine formally declares war on the other before September :: 0.03 B (12
%) on Yes, 0.22 B (88
%) on No | closed 6 days 17 hours ago
punkman: 150
% profit on the original 1000, that's gonna be nice
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.08 B (40
%) on Yes, 1695.6 B (60
%) on No | closing in 4 months 4 weeks | weight: 44`211 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.08 B (44
%) on Yes, 1445.6 B (56
%) on No | closing in 4 months 4 weeks | weight: 44`218 (100`000 to 1)
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 301190.90 in 987 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -83.96
[]bot: Bet placed: 4 BTC for Yes on "20
% difficulty increase before 2015"
http://bitbet.us/bet/1036/ Odds: 65(Y):35(N) by coin, 63(Y):37(N) by weight. Total bet: 14.48041982 BTC. Current weight: 79,149.
ThickAsThieves: i think this is at least partly people subscribing to the whole China does mega
% of btc volume lie
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 300390.52 in 1004 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -84.01
assbot: BitBet - BFL will deliver ASIC devices before March 1st :: 791.29 B (47
%) on Yes, 898.53 B (53
%) on No | closed 1 year 7 months ago
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 300997.11 in 1009 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -83.97
The20YearIRCloud: Always funny him defending their 20
%+ margin yet slamming walmart for their 5.6
% and exxon's 8
% mircea_popescu: actually washington is the king of margins. al gore makes a trillion
% on his "trade carbon" mafia scam.
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to drop under $400 before October :: 9.69 B (45
%) on Yes, 12 B (55
%) on No | closing in 5 days 4 hours | weight: 15`353 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1121.08 B (48
%) on Yes, 1195.58 B (52
%) on No | closing in 4 months 4 weeks | weight: 44`485 (100`000 to 1)
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform sadly i don't need it very precise, but it hastabe 0.3
% or so.
mircea_popescu: to imagine the entire set of noob exchanges today have 50
% of the volume of mtgox in 2012 is to overstate things.
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves well sadly they're pua concepts, but they already wrote fiddy billion words on the topic since 2010 and im too lazy to re-write the shit in 100k. especially since in the 5bn words they actually did cover 90
% of the 100k, and you should be able to filter.
mircea_popescu: <ThickAsThieves> "VC's will write $10M checks after 3 weeks of knowing someone, and there is 0
% legit fraud there." << what's ilegit fraud ? fraudy-fraud ?
mike_c: ^ 50
% above mkt price..
ThickAsThieves: "VC's will write $10M checks after 3 weeks of knowing someone, and there is 0
% legit fraud there."
thestringpuller: 17:20 <qq1932> That is how people protect themsevles in the real world, and it works. VC's will write $10M checks after 3 weeks of knowing someone, and there is 0
% legit fraud there. << ~_~
mircea_popescu: ouch. well this chick's overbite... here's the problem : before now when her pretentiousness flopped, it would have been just a young woman being naive. but now, with 4
% of overstock REVENUE, if the thing flops she's just a failure.
ThickAsThieves: "Overstock to Donate 4
% of Bitcoin Revenue to Foundations Advocating Cryptocurrency Adoption"
mircea_popescu: in other news : aggregate advertising and dating data seems to show that a 50
% increase in mixed race fantasy couples being displayed over 5 eyars corresponds to a 50
% increase in the affinity for white women for white men, and reciprocal, and further a decrease for both black men -> white women and black wome -> white men and reciprocal.
mircea_popescu: so apparently scottish women are 58
% for uk, 42
% for independence, and the gap is widening
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin $817 or above before Christmas :: 1.1 B (20
%) on Yes, 4.46 B (80
%) on No | closing in 3 months 2 days | weight: 97`758 (100`000 to 1)
BingoBoingo: I mean this diff thing is hitting Moore's law. Future 20
% diffs require... big foundries...
TheNewDeal: because 2000 blocks into each change, it's very easy to answer the question "will the current change be 20
% or less?"
TheNewDeal: well if you look at the bet I just pasted, the diff 20
% increase one
assbot: BitBet - 20
% difficulty increase before 2015 :: 5.39 B (51
%) on Yes, 5.09 B (49
%) on No | closing in 2 months 2 weeks | weight: 80`729 (100`000 to 1`000)
TheNewDeal: Can someone explain this bet to me? Why not wait 7ish days Bet placed: 2.89738396 BTC for Yes on "20
% difficulty increase before 2015"
http://bitbet.us/bet/1036/ Odds: 51(Y):49(N) by coin, 50(Y):50(N) by weight. Total bet: 10.48041982 BTC. Current weight: 80,754.
[]bot: Bet placed: 2.89738396 BTC for Yes on "20
% difficulty increase before 2015"
http://bitbet.us/bet/1036/ Odds: 51(Y):49(N) by coin, 50(Y):50(N) by weight. Total bet: 10.48041982 BTC. Current weight: 80,754.
BingoBoingo: After 4 years of pay freezes someone did the math and real estate going down 20
% while everything else goes up 23
% actually means they make less than they did when I was a wee lad.
assbot: BitBet - Rob Ford will withdraw from the Toronto mayoral race before September 12th :: 0.04 B (36
%) on Yes, 0.07 B (64
%) on No | closed 2 weeks 5 days ago
nubbins`: i'm charging enough that if i worked at 25
% speed i'd still be making money
assbot: BitBet - Euro sinks against USD :: 0.03 B (2
%) on Yes, 1.83 B (98
%) on No | closing in 3 months 1 week| weight: 90`680 (100`000 to 1)
punkman: "FortressFone™ is a 100
% reengineered and reimagined secure mobile solution. The first truly hardened Android Smartphone, it stops intercepts of all communications and blocks any kind of spying."
nubbins`: i think epidemic is the word they use when 50
% of cases have appeared in the past three weeks 8)
The20YearIRCloud: GPS has essentially had 100
% uptime since the 80s. Glonass started in 1976 and hasn't worked correctly till about 2004
mircea_popescu: This is why I say that all men should have an annual mandatory mental checkup. Over 80
% of inmates are men, and 40
% of the global male population ends up in prison at some point in their life. It is clear that they have some sort of genetic defect that makes them act irresponsibly and end up putting others at risk. Peace and civility can only be achieved if we ensure that the male population has a normal functioning st
mircea_popescu: 1
% of earth is worth 1
% of earth at any point in time.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform
% of total world still works as a comparison term.
[]bot: Bet placed: 2 BTC for No on "20
% difficulty increase before 2015"
http://bitbet.us/bet/1036/ Odds: 32(Y):68(N) by coin, 33(Y):67(N) by weight. Total bet: 7.48303586 BTC. Current weight: 81,841.
[]bot: Bet placed: 3.14590287 BTC for No on "Iron Ore 62
% Fe, CFR China (TSI) Jan 2015 over $200 at any point in 2014"
http://bitbet.us/bet/775/ Odds: 18(Y):82(N) by coin, 27(Y):73(N) by weight. Total bet: 11.27138403 BTC. Current weight: 31,667.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 1878190.93 Est. Next Diff: 293762.94 in 1081 blocks (#46368) Est.
% Change: -84.36
bounce: what makes a palace economy? >50
% of the population on the dole?
qq1932: it's okay. Nobody has self-qualified. Without the self-qualification, it 100
% sounds like a scam. But then, so would the Watt steam engine.
qq1932: here's the deal guys. if you google >patents public disclosure< you will see that there are limits to what can be said in a public channel, since I do not plan on entering the manufacturing field of the project. privately after a brief agreement I can and am happy to share 100
%. tihs is part of why I need someone who would self-qualify as being able to discriminate and, e.g., understand the Watt steam engine in 1700.
mircea_popescu: you are not in the position to even remotely as a joke consider anything but slavish 100
% dedication 16 hours a day with no sundays
qq1932: mircea_popescu: this means, however, that I am at liberty to share 100
% of it within hte limits of what IP law permits (as this is a licensing play, like Watt's engine).
qq1932: I asked you to self-qualify on a basic physics level in PM. Depending on your answer, may have an interesting proposition for you. Unlike the two outside ventures, I am acutally prepared to share 100
% of this (privately, due to IP considerations) because it is a discretionary project for me.
rithm: i'm only about 25
% french reading and hearing
midnightmagic: mircea_popescu: I can speak it well enough to order a beer, buy groceries, and insult the locals, with a halfway bastardized accent between parisian and quebecois, and I can hear it enough to get about 70
% of radio broadcasts and conversational (polite) parisian french, and about 30
% of slangy quebecois..