log☇︎
▁▁⏐︎▁▁▁▁▁▁ 5912
dub: so fishgame was hit and run?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 16800 @ 0.00052116 = 8.7555 BTC [-]
dub: hrm? people discussing in forums as if its up, been down over a day
Ukto: it was up a few hours ago ?
Ukto: http://78.47.168.188/
Ukto: no fish atm
Ukto: not that i quote know how it works
dub: google failing
Ukto: *quite
dub: using the dns I get a 404
Ukto: i have no idea
Ukto: all i know is that mircea_popescu had linked this url this morning
Ukto: first I saw of it
kakobrekla: ;;bc,stats
gribble: Current Blocks: 209572 | Current Difficulty: 3368767.1405329 | Next Difficulty At Block: 209663 | Next Difficulty In: 91 blocks | Next Difficulty In About: 14 hours, 32 minutes, and 5 seconds | Next Difficulty Estimate: 3421955.55190379 | Estimated Percent Change: 1.57886874195
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5050 @ 0.00052116 = 2.6319 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15738 @ 0.00052557 = 8.2714 BTC [+]
smickles: anyone know how to replicate this?
smickles: http://blockchain.info/unspent?active=1dice1e6pdhLzzWQq7yMidf6j8eAg7pkY
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14621 @ 0.00052831 = 7.7244 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5329 @ 0.00053 = 2.8244 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: !ticker s.dice
assbot: [MPEX:S.DICE] 1day: 0.00330708 / 0.00338032 / 0.0034 (48305 shares, 163.29 BTC), 30day: 0.00180002 / 0.00332073 / 0.0034 (985627 shares, 3,273.01 BTC)
mircea_popescu: what about it smickles ?
smickles: it hit the second tranche
smickles: ;;halfreward
gribble: Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 21:32:13 2012 UTC | Time remaining: 2 days, 23 hours, 10 minutes, and 0 seconds.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11771 @ 0.00053 = 6.2386 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4126 @ 0.00053067 = 2.1895 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15056 @ 0.00053082 = 7.992 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: it oh ?
mircea_popescu: ;;rate Bargheimer 1 Runs the biggest fish game. Nice coding.
gribble: Error: User doesn't exist in the Rating or GPG databases. User must be GPG-registered to receive ratings.
mircea_popescu: heh he said he was.
smickles: is that the correct name?
pigeons: http://wonder-tonic.com/books2barcodes/
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17544 @ 0.00053082 = 9.3127 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 209 @ 0.0005311 = 0.111 BTC [+]
dub: pigeons: why?
smickles: pigeons: lol, i was just thinking of producing the blockchain in qr format for the fun of it
pigeons: :)
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052714 = 1.2361 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 555 @ 0.00052708 = 0.2925 BTC [-]
jurov: ;;calc sqrt(3e9)
gribble: Error: invalid syntax (<string>, line 1)
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052776 = 1.2376 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 19522 @ 0.00052794 = 10.3064 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7734 @ 0.0005311 = 4.1075 BTC [+]
jurov: it's 54772... if a bit is 1x1mm, qr code would be 55x55meters
jurov: one would probably need spy plane/satellite to scan it :P
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052737 = 1.2367 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4455 @ 0.00052708 = 2.3481 BTC [-]
jurov: ;;ident Bargheimer
gribble: Error: I am not seeing this user on IRC. If you want information about a registered gpg user, try the 'gpg info' command instead.
pigeons: i'm going to make up for the lack of a glbse ticker by pasting semi-random links: http://offbeatchina.com/modeling-for-teen-girl-clothes-on-tmall-72-year-old-grandpa-from-becomes-internet-sensation
jurov: orly, someone misses glbse ticker?
pigeons: no, i just needed an excuse
jurov: granted, there were some mysterious symbols, nowadays it's all like s.mpoe
smickles: lol, ok, segfault when trying to encode the image
mircea_popescu: ahaha the guy kciks ass
jurov: oh that's a guy??? i read that as "grandma"... *hides*
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053083 = 1.2448 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6007 @ 0.0005311 = 3.1903 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1595 @ 0.00053162 = 0.8479 BTC [+]
smickles: http://offbeatchina.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/112.png lol
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8850 @ 0.00052919 = 4.6833 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: "It is not only GLBSE users that did not file claims or got double payments, some users that filed their claims and did not receive double payments are also not on the lists. "
mircea_popescu: could it get worse ?
mircea_popescu: at this point ?
Ukto: it can ONLY get worse
Ukto: why are you asking?
mircea_popescu: but i mean... how ?!
mircea_popescu: literally, there is no longer any possiblity, no matter how theoretical. all has been used.
Ukto: if you dont know the answer, then you have not been paying attention to Nefario's history.
Ukto: End of Line.
mircea_popescu: Manual of Fail. A Textbook.
Ukto: I keep thinking about it
Ukto: and the only real opton I can come up wiht for doing "funds" non-backed things like rigs, but the passthroughs, etc.. is to just do it
Ukto: and put a giant red flag on the asset
Ukto: warning users
Ukto: I mean, there _are_ some good ppl, with good intentions, who wanna do things like mutual funds
mircea_popescu: Ukto it's how teramining was gonna go.
Ukto: I also dont want a certin someone >,> to go labeling my system as the asset sesspool. :P
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: so don't list shit.
Ukto: like "they" did w/ glbse :P
Ukto: well
Ukto: if someone cant explain where the money comes from to pay the divs
Ukto: then it wont go up
mircea_popescu: good principle.
mircea_popescu: none of that "secret business" bs.
Ukto: thats rule #1 no matter what
Ukto: yeah
mircea_popescu: yeah.
Ukto: thats why I didnt get hurt by pi8
Ukto: or bitcoinica
jurov: me too. exactly.
mircea_popescu: mother of god, giga's thread is on page 72 ? was 64 yest
mircea_popescu: what exactly do those people have to say ?!
Ukto: lol, to be expeted with the rabbit he pulled out of the hat :P
Ukto: I dont think a single person expected it
jurov: prolly everyone want to be hero members of btctalk
jurov: rewarding BS... what could probablo get wrong?
jurov: i got to "full member" only recently after several months of semi-daily visits
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8105 @ 0.00053162 = 4.3088 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15043 @ 0.00053294 = 8.017 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: jurov https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=101902.msg1357187#msg1357187
pigeons: gambling addict "don't loan to me" asks for another loan: https://btcjam.com/listings/682
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2000 @ 0.00339594 = 6.7919 BTC [+]
thestringpuller: alright we're here just sittin in the car
thestringpuller: I want you to show me if you can get far
jurov: can anyone elighten me what is ciuciu's problem? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=101902.msg1357221#msg1357221
jurov: *enlighten
jurov: You did this as to show some activity on your site. You forgot to mention that the activity is from you, the owner of the site. Do you think this is OK?
jurov: omfg omfg
mircea_popescu: welll... basically, some months ago MPOE-PR called him a scammer.
mircea_popescu: and now... he defaulted.
mircea_popescu: pretty much the only problems i know of.
pigeons: "Did Smikles knew about it?"
mircea_popescu: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=98574.0
mircea_popescu: that is kinda cool.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4230 @ 0.00053294 = 2.2543 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2404 @ 0.000533 = 1.2813 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: poor ciuciu.
dub: safe to class it as 'too stupid to warrant further interaction'
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13746 @ 0.000533 = 7.3266 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3704 @ 0.00053317 = 1.9749 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13577 @ 0.00053317 = 7.2388 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5123 @ 0.00053334 = 2.7323 BTC [+]
jurov: i can't stop giggling over that accusation
jurov: i'll prolly put it into btctalk profile "accused of addting activity to mpex charts"
jurov: *adding
mircea_popescu: i don't think he understands much of what's going on around him.
mircea_popescu: sorta like gumpy.
mircea_popescu: Stopped by Meze Grill today. It was one of my must-visit places during my trip to NY. The food was DELICIOUS! But, I was informed that they don't take Bitcoin any more. "It didn't work out" Anyone have any idea why?
mircea_popescu: yea, i have a fuckin idea why.
mircea_popescu: because btc doesn't work for retail, that'd be why.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17825 @ 0.00053334 = 9.5068 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 465 @ 0.00053342 = 0.248 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2274 @ 0.00339594 = 7.7224 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 884 @ 0.00339999 = 3.0056 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: !ticker s.mpoe
assbot: [MPEX:S.MPOE] 1day: 0.00049912 / 0.00052292 / 0.00053519 (5361144 shares, 2,803.46 BTC), 30day: 0.0004522 / 0.00049707 / 0.00053519 (79565476 shares, 39,550.20 BTC)
mircea_popescu: jurov https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=95826.40
mircea_popescu: at least he doesn't seem to be targetting you particularly.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 19700 @ 0.00053342 = 10.5084 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5805 @ 0.00053342 = 3.0965 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3500 @ 0.00053491 = 1.8722 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4709 @ 0.00053519 = 2.5202 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14500 @ 0.00053519 = 7.7603 BTC [+]
thestringpuller: jurov mr. broker
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C060T] 1000 @ 0.52001445 = 520.0145 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C070T] 1000 @ 0.43951686 = 439.5169 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C080T] 1000 @ 0.35901927 = 359.0193 BTC [-]
smickles: ;;ticker
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 12.49737, Best ask: 12.49738, Bid-ask spread: 0.00001, Last trade: 12.49737, 24 hour volume: 24521.28612267, 24 hour low: 12.31250, 24 hour high: 12.60000, 24 hour vwap: 12.49009
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053201 = 1.2476 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 20500 @ 0.00053184 = 10.9027 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3184 @ 0.00053166 = 1.6928 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1666 @ 0.00053166 = 0.8857 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 23134 @ 0.00053095 = 12.283 BTC [-]
thestringpuller: mr. smickles:
thestringpuller: http://codinginmysleep.com/block-reward-halving/
thestringpuller: what is your vote?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7778 @ 0.00053095 = 4.1297 BTC [-]
thestringpuller: ;;halfreward
gribble: Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 21:49:14 2012 UTC | Time remaining: 2 days, 20 hours, 40 minutes, and 0 seconds.
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C060T] 1000 @ 0.52001445 = 520.0145 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C070T] 1000 @ 0.43951686 = 439.5169 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: basically an value investing vs efficient market theory vote.
mircea_popescu: judging by calls closing i guess there's not going to be much more of a jump.
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C080T] 1000 @ 0.35901927 = 359.0193 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053504 = 1.2547 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14760 @ 0.00053519 = 7.8994 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5495 @ 0.00053525 = 2.9412 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6454 @ 0.00053525 = 3.4545 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6146 @ 0.00053526 = 3.2897 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C060T] 1000 @ 0.52001445 = 520.0145 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C070T] 1000 @ 0.43951686 = 439.5169 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C080T] 1000 @ 0.35901927 = 359.0193 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4700 @ 0.00053526 = 2.5157 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053104 = 1.2453 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6484 @ 0.00053095 = 3.4427 BTC [-]
dub: ;bc,blocks
dub: ;;bc,blocks
gribble: 209592
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6604 @ 0.00053095 = 3.5064 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1396 @ 0.00053093 = 0.7412 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053136 = 1.246 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5452 @ 0.00053144 = 2.8974 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9278 @ 0.00053144 = 4.9307 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15350 @ 0.0005315 = 8.1585 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1000 @ 0.00053525 = 0.5353 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 28760 @ 0.00053526 = 15.3941 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053103 = 1.2453 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7305 @ 0.00053093 = 3.8784 BTC [-]
smickles: lol, that sudoghost guy didn't see the connection between a e-currency modeled on the idea of Libertarian economist and Bitcoin
smickles: for serious
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3831 @ 0.00053093 = 2.034 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5569 @ 0.00053045 = 2.9541 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13281 @ 0.00053045 = 7.0449 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8119 @ 0.00053027 = 4.3053 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 19831 @ 0.00053027 = 10.5158 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2769 @ 0.00053026 = 1.4683 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053214 = 1.2479 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1000 @ 0.00053226 = 0.5323 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8205 @ 0.00053227 = 4.3673 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3500 @ 0.00339999 = 11.9 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5795 @ 0.00053227 = 3.0845 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 21855 @ 0.00053465 = 11.6848 BTC [+]
dub: -otc is strange
pigeons: agreed
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9795 @ 0.00053465 = 5.2369 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 22905 @ 0.00053526 = 12.2601 BTC [+]
dub: 20% scam, 80% retard
kakobrekla: i got a btc paying job
kakobrekla: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=49971.msg1357503#msg1357503
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla i made 4 btc off teh fish today
kakobrekla: goddamn.
mircea_popescu: dub it jumped the shark back in april.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla but im done with it so.
mircea_popescu: o hey, so you're now kakobrekla-pr ? wd.
dub: kakobrekla: nice
dub: paid btc to hand out on IRC, tough gig
kakobrekla: :D
dub: s/hand/hang
mircea_popescu: coingenuity https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=127763
mircea_popescu: dub see, you're missing out
dub: I don't follow
mircea_popescu: how come you're not being paid to hang out
dub: I've had some rather arduous irc jobs before, never got paid though
mircea_popescu: nutjobs you mean ?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4089 @ 0.00053526 = 2.1887 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5611 @ 0.00053575 = 3.0061 BTC [+]
dub: herding nutjobs was one
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053037 = 1.2437 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 21167 @ 0.00053026 = 11.224 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2649 @ 0.00052956 = 1.4028 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5000 @ 0.00052956 = 2.6478 BTC [-]
coingenuity: mircea_popescu: aye, some specific items are delayed due to the hurricane in the USA
coingenuity: we've let those customers know via email
mircea_popescu: a ok. just thought you'd want to know.
coingenuity: ya, thanks, let my staff know to speak to him
coingenuity: certain manufacturers are based in the manhatten area, they got hit REALLY hard in the hurricane
coingenuity: so there's a bit of a delay on specific items, but we're letting folks know as needed
coingenuity: as they fix the situation there with roads and electricity etc the delay will vanish pretty rapidly, but nothing we can do about freaksize hurricanes... yet!
mircea_popescu: still not fully restored power in manhattan have they ?
smickles: BAM!
smickles: I say BAM!
smickles: Macintosh was discussing Friedrich Hayek's model, not Bitcoins, and is a 14 year old document, discussing something 10 years before Bitcoin was introduced. I'm not following the correlation between Hayek's model possibly not being considered a security and Bitcoin, a different concept entirely. - SudoGhost 01:39, 26 November 2012 (UTC)
smickles: You don't see the connection between a Libertarian who advocated free experiment in methods of transmitting value and Bitcoin?
smickles: Did I miss something, I thought the relevant footnote was about an digital currency and Ginburg brought it up as reference for digital currencies being unlikely to be regulated as securities in a discussion about Bitcoin being a security or not which directly impacts whether or not Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme. --Smickles86 (talk) 02:13, 26 November 2012 (UTC)
smickles: Also, if you still see it hard to see, why don't we use the very next two sentences in the Grinberg text: "Bitcoin supporters may similarly argue, as elaborated below, that bitcoins do not look like securities or investments, especially because there is no money- making enterprise that is attempting to raise money, and that bitcoins are instead like commodities or currencies, which are generally not regulated under the federal securities laws. Fu
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053071 = 1.2445 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9543 @ 0.00053092 = 5.0666 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052966 = 1.2421 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 10305 @ 0.00052956 = 5.4571 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: lol smickles
smickles: it was a little exciting
smickles: ya know, that one guy not seeing the connection between digital currency based on austrian economics and Bitcoin
mircea_popescu: a person that has not the experience of a good beating
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053084 = 1.2448 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8957 @ 0.00053092 = 4.7555 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1748 @ 0.0005321 = 0.9301 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: has not the incentive and thus not the ability to back down when they've been proven wrong.
smickles: heh, I consider him moving the goalposts so many times to be backing down
mircea_popescu: i considered him an idiot since about a week ago, or was it two.
smickles: since the first week of November , iirc
mircea_popescu: time flies
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7252 @ 0.0005321 = 3.8588 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 19789 @ 0.00053575 = 10.602 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1000 @ 0.00053585 = 0.5359 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4209 @ 0.00053586 = 2.2554 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2960 @ 0.00339999 = 10.064 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052986 = 1.2425 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1155 @ 0.00052956 = 0.6116 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: Accuracy
mircea_popescu: The Merton model has been shown to be empirically accurate for non-financial firms, especially manufacturing entities. The highly leveraged nature of financial firms produces CDS spreads which are significantly higher than observed in the market due to the asset diffusion process.
mircea_popescu: they imply that the spreads observed in the market are correct
mircea_popescu: this is of course not the case : financials are overbought by degrees of fucking magnitude in the past decade+
smickles: 'degrees of fucking magnitude'
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053553 = 1.2558 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8155 @ 0.00053586 = 4.3699 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: yeah.
mircea_popescu: sorta like miner bonds in btc. on the strength of their revenue generating abilities, us investment banks for instance are 100 to 1000x oversized, all through the 90s and 00s
mircea_popescu: just like on the strength of their revenue generating abilities, miner bonds shouldn't really have seen investment over the 100 btc mark for the entire slate.
smickles: I feel like these models would benifit from being based on lognormal curves rather than gausian ones
smickles: but i don't have the time to work on that math
mircea_popescu: smickles it's not based on either.
mircea_popescu: merton is basically "let's consider holding a company as the equivalent of holding an european style call on its assets"
mircea_popescu: has some diffusion and a stochastic minlevel thing.
smickles: a Gaussian process is a stochastic process
smickles: The barrier itself is stochastic,
smickles: :P
smickles: i may have had it backwards a little
mircea_popescu: anyway, im not so sure moving from gauss to galton will necessarily benefit anything.
smickles: heh, i'm not sure either, but the longer tails feel better to me when i consider that LTCM got hit by a 'tail event' which may have been covered if their formula wasn't gaussian
smickles: of course, they did some other stupid shit too... but even so
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.0005299 = 1.2426 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17809 @ 0.00052956 = 9.4309 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3546 @ 0.0005293 = 1.8769 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: no, that's my point : they lied.
mircea_popescu: to get any benefit from the fins discussion of statistics we'd have to have solved all the other problems
mircea_popescu: LCTM is actually a fine example. the idea of arbitraging off-run bonds is probably workable, if you keep expenses low.
mircea_popescu: then they suddenly saw 1bn+ in capital and well... there just wasn't room to spend that much in their intended market
mircea_popescu: so they just... fucked it up instead.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3901 @ 0.0005293 = 2.0648 BTC [-]
dub: http://securityaffairs.co/wordpress/10404/security/bitcoin-the-new-paradise-for-money-laundering.html lulzy
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053439 = 1.2531 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8505 @ 0.00053463 = 4.547 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 4300 @ 0.00339999 = 14.62 BTC [+]
Namjies: dub: I usually stop reading when the english is this badly written.
mircea_popescu: wait.
dub: maybe its ciuciu
mircea_popescu: anyone else see the funny in "security affairs"
mircea_popescu: what with the recent head of the cia scandal ?
dub: The lack of control on the financial flows to and from the cyberspace makes recycling operations through a virtual currency extremely efficient and very difficult to prevent, it must be also considered the absence of a regulation to approach the cyber laundering phenomena.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052961 = 1.2419 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 185 @ 0.0005293 = 0.0979 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7846 @ 0.00052878 = 4.1488 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: how about they just suck my cock.
mircea_popescu: this attitude as if "control" is something that's feasible, possible, desirable or even allowable is getting on my nerves.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053461 = 1.2537 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 12155 @ 0.00053463 = 6.4984 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3727 @ 0.00338876 = 12.6299 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 573 @ 0.00338509 = 1.9397 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14050 @ 0.00053463 = 7.5116 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: http://trilema.com/2012/the-problem-of-too-much-money/
mircea_popescu: here!
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052913 = 1.2408 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5555 @ 0.00052878 = 2.9374 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14614 @ 0.00052884 = 7.7285 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 26436 @ 0.00053463 = 14.1335 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13850 @ 0.00053123 = 7.3575 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5649 @ 0.00052878 = 2.9871 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 401 @ 0.00052871 = 0.212 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053444 = 1.2533 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11286 @ 0.00053463 = 6.0338 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2169 @ 0.00053561 = 1.1617 BTC [+]
Namjies: mircea, what's that thing at the bottom: UPCOMING - K.KBRL - Pending, due klim.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00052872 = 1.2398 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2399 @ 0.00052871 = 1.2684 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9806 @ 0.00052855 = 5.183 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: just a little inside jok
mircea_popescu: e
Namjies: eh
toffoo: mircea: I enjoy your entertaining blog, so I'll leave you one little tip I often mention to non-native writers of English: the correct key for an apostrophe (used in possessives and contractions) is this one: ' not this one: `
mircea_popescu: and i do use '
mircea_popescu: don't i?
toffoo: it's probably your keyboard's fault
mircea_popescu: my keyboard is and always was us ?
mircea_popescu: course, i see wp renders it as ’
mircea_popescu: or do you mean specifically numbers, such as 20`000 ?
toffoo: you sure you're using a U.S. keyboard?
mircea_popescu: yep
toffoo: or maybe your OS it set up with some other weird key mapping
mircea_popescu: i can't stnad localised kbds. never used anything but us101
toffoo: it happens all the time
mircea_popescu: mnope, my os is also us
mircea_popescu: do you see ' and ' different on your terminal ?
toffoo: weird .. well the apostrophes that come out on your blog are definitely wrong
toffoo: no, here those look the same to me
mircea_popescu: ok, quote me a sentence off the blog ?
pigeons: I only have ' and ` I don't have ’
mircea_popescu: on your kbd you mean pigeons ?
pigeons: yeah
mircea_popescu: me too. but for some reason wp decided " is to be curlified
mircea_popescu: and same for '
toffoo: hmm…ya, when I paste it here it looks right
mircea_popescu: well then maybe... YOUR terminal has some localisation weirdness ?
toffoo: maybe it's just the font or the way the blog is rendering it .. weird
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2250 @ 0.00339999 = 7.65 BTC [+]
toffoo: well I mentioned it because I only noticed it on your blog
toffoo: and I see the same thing all the time around here from non-English writers around here
mircea_popescu: you're the first one to have mentioned it, so i guess we got something here.
mircea_popescu: just so happens i'm millitant against dumbass special chars. wrote romanian for years w/o any of their little squigly shits
mircea_popescu: much to everyone's chagrin
toffoo: ya, i'm sure romanian is a lot worse
mircea_popescu: îţâşă
mircea_popescu: there's a word dedicated to it.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 21313 @ 0.00052855 = 11.265 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 533 @ 0.00052821 = 0.2815 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 16055 @ 0.00052821 = 8.4804 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1395 @ 0.00052819 = 0.7368 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: http://www.jeg.ro/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/obama-biscuits.jpg
Namjies: Dafuq?
dub: is there a new url format for fishgame my old code no work
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053381 = 1.2518 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11749 @ 0.00053407 = 6.2748 BTC [+]
pigeons: https://btcjam.com/listings/671
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.0005285 = 1.2393 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 10955 @ 0.00052819 = 5.7863 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8450 @ 0.00052819 = 4.4632 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2450 @ 0.00052764 = 1.2927 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: pigeons Amount @ Rate BTC 10000.00000 @ 1.0%
mircea_popescu: cute.
pigeons: yes, the rate displayed on that site is a monthly rate, but still
mircea_popescu: 0 Active , 0 Repaid
pigeons: lot of coins to come out of nowhere and ask for
mircea_popescu: basically, the people with too much btc have to have a way to get rid of the burden
pigeons: this looks like a helpful way to accomplish that
mircea_popescu: This WOT is so complicated! I'm a usual game developer. I'm not able to get how to
mircea_popescu: register there and I've never used GPG or something like that. :)
mircea_popescu: Thanks for your offer though.
mircea_popescu: teh suck.
pigeons: is that from the forum?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 7105 @ 0.00339999 = 24.1569 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: not even.
pigeons: so danieldaniel can figure out how to read the guide and register, but this guy is a "developer"
pigeons: here you go, 50% per month https://btcjam.com/listings/663
mircea_popescu: Need for site program
mircea_popescu: 0 Active , 0 Repaid
mircea_popescu: basically... all these people making sites on the theory that bitcoin is the new hip social media and the userbase will sort it out itself need to go away
mircea_popescu: preferably back to wow or whatever the fuck they were doing.
mircea_popescu: "I need this so I can pay my hosting and other things. I have very good credit and can furnish." pff
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053372 = 1.2516 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14705 @ 0.00053407 = 7.8535 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C120T] 5 @ 0.06577646 = 0.3289 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C120T] 2 @ 0.06577646 = 0.1316 BTC [-]
pigeons: i guess i could just say, haha look at all the btcjam listings, but i will do you the service of filtering: https://btcjam.com/listings/691
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C130T] 1 @ 0.03353922 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: freemoney is borrowing 2btc ?!
pigeons: i doubt that is the same freemoney
mircea_popescu: i guess name squatting is the next big scam.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053211 = 1.2478 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 12376 @ 0.00053193 = 6.5832 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9119 @ 0.00052764 = 4.8115 BTC [-]
pigeons: i'm going through btcjam and leaving comments since there's nothing on tv
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2352 @ 0.00338509 = 7.9617 BTC [-]
pigeons: why are you going to borrow at 7%/month to pay your cell phone bill that's in collections and stopped accruing interest?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.00053402 = 1.2523 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9446 @ 0.00053407 = 5.0448 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11417 @ 0.00053481 = 6.1059 BTC [+]
pigeons: and the BTC could go up in value vs the USD his bill is in
mircea_popescu: did the person actually say that's what the btc is for ?!
pigeons: yes
mircea_popescu: ask them to join the wot.
pigeons: oh ok actually they give a reason (can't get grad school loan with that collection on report) https://btcjam.com/listings/646
pigeons: can't be a scam either, they have a verified facebook page!
Namjies: right...
Namjies: Aww... I'm sad without GLBSE... no crazy sellers/buyers for fast 100%+ profit flips.
mircea_popescu: grad school loan ?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2183 @ 0.00053481 = 1.1675 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3810 @ 0.00053561 = 2.0407 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: they want to borrow untraceable btc to repay phone bill in collections to be able to get money off the state that they will NEVER repay
mircea_popescu: while "studying" some bs social pseudosciences ?
pigeons: yeah basically, but they asked nicely
mircea_popescu: they need the "substance not form" doctrine extended to apply to this.
mircea_popescu: send him to jale on obscenity charges.
pigeons: i wish there were more loan requests, i could browse these all day
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2345 @ 0.0005279 = 1.2379 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13481 @ 0.00052764 = 7.1131 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1524 @ 0.00052708 = 0.8033 BTC [-]
pigeons: "Need 12 more bitcoins for medication 4 son'
pigeons: "Loan to Buy Girlfriend Perfect Supprise Birthday Present"
mircea_popescu: ya well that's all for me. gnite.
mircea_popescu: pigeons https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=112447.msg1358331#msg1358331
mircea_popescu: this is going well.
pigeons: shocking!
mircea_popescu: im really impressed with the "we won't spend 30 btc to get reg'd on mpex cause it's expensive"
mircea_popescu: "we shall invest it in hiar instead"
mircea_popescu: crowd
mircea_popescu: http://english.pravda.ru/opinion/columnists/19-11-2012/122849-obama_soviet_mistake-0/ meanwhile in soviet russia...
smickles: heh, btcjam scammers, who'd've thunk it
mircea_popescu: apparently there's still people who have too much btc for their sense.
mircea_popescu: someone has to service them.
gigavps: good morning gents
mircea_popescu: o hi
mircea_popescu: did the angry mob sue you yet ?
smickles: good forenoon
gigavps: the angry mob has quitted down a bit
gigavps: i was trending on bitcoinx.com for a couple days though
smickles: heh, i stopped looking at bitcoinx because of that
smickles: you made it useless
gigavps: hopefully things will get better when i post the list and some faqs
gigavps: deprived seems to think i've changed the contract for some reason because of the way quentin wrote the claims letter
mircea_popescu: lol trending shavers.
mircea_popescu: Topic Score
mircea_popescu: CGMINER GPU FPGA overc monit fanspd RPC stratum linux/windows/osx/mip/r-pi 2.9.5 59
mircea_popescu: [GLBSE] BFLS.RIG - BFL Hardware mining & Sales 27
mircea_popescu: i fail to see what sense this makes.
mircea_popescu: gigavps : i think that argument revolves around the use of I. i guess many people figured you were doing the bonds personally
mircea_popescu: rather than as a business.
gigavps: well, they will believe whatever they want to believe
mircea_popescu: im sure there's plenty of that heaped on top hehe
gigavps: giga vps is my handle for a reason
gigavps: my personal handle is liferealized
mircea_popescu: "Then we need a lawyer, ideally available to get paid when he recovers our stolen funds. Anyone can suggest one?"
mircea_popescu: that part was really funny.
Diablo-D3: bwhahaha
Diablo-D3: oh man
Diablo-D3: I think I almost pissed myself
mircea_popescu: need to start on those kegels ?
gigavps: LOL
gigavps: i haven't heard about kegels in a while
Diablo-D3: mircea_popescu: I thought that in guys made it worse not better
mircea_popescu: hm... i have no idea honestly.
gigavps: better stop doing those kegels mircea_popescu
mircea_popescu: bah
mircea_popescu: next im gonna have to stop eating babies
mircea_popescu: what's this world coming to.
mircea_popescu: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/78/Kegel_exercises_diagram.png doesn't this look like the diagram of a pussy fart ?
mircea_popescu: "Exercises are usually done to reduce urinary incontinence,[3] reduce urinary incontinence after childbirth,[4] and reduce premature ejaculatory occurrences in men,[5] as well as to increase the size and intensity of erections.[6]" <<< there you go Diablo-D3
gigavps: the arrows are going in the wrong direction
Diablo-D3: >size
Diablo-D3: dude, if my erect dick gets any bigger, Im going to have to start having sex with female horses.
mircea_popescu: hey, i don't judge.
mod6: haha
mircea_popescu: mod6 someone should make a "choicest bits of -ass and other sets" programme.
Diablo-D3: when does the reward half happen?
gigavps: 2 days
gigavps: ;;halfreward
Ukto: [11:55] <gribble> Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 12:23:00 2012 | Time remaining: 2 days, 2 hours, 30 minutes, and 0 seconds
gribble: Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 20:23:18 2012 UTC | Time remaining: 2 days, 2 hours, 30 minutes, and 0 seconds.
gigavps: nice
mod6: mircea_popescu: oh like a bash.org for classic moments in -ass land?
pigeons: look at the /q namespace on namecoin for quotes
pigeons: http://explorer.dot-bit.org/n/74239
gigavps: where is usagi?
smickles: here and there
smickles: mostly in lala land
pigeons: http://explorer.dot-bit.org/n/74241
gigavps: he/she/whomever seems to like to jump on the drama bandwagon
smickles: what is this /q namespace on namecoins a place to spend a little namecoin to permanently quote someone?
pigeons: seems so
pigeons: http://explorer.dot-bit.org/n/74240
gigavps: lol
smickles: woah
smickles: that's shocking and funny\
mircea_popescu: {"info": "we can spin it as 'we are closing' and do the neatest, cleanest, best run shut-down ever..."}
mircea_popescu: lol
smickles: !ticker s.dice
smickles: assbot?
jurov: assbot is afk, apparently
smickles: ;;later tell kakrobrekla I think we lost assbot
gribble: The operation succeeded.
mircea_popescu: http://live.coinbr.com/?mpsic=S.MPOE
mircea_popescu: check that out! it's like... diffusion ?
smickles: So, on wikipedia, the statement about some people thinking that bitcoin is a ponzi with lame ass sources, seems to need to be countered wit a powerful statement sourcing the SEC, the ECB, a law professor discussing bitcoin, and a law professor discussing a digital currency based on Austrian school economics
smickles: woah, that does look like diffusion
smickles: it is certainly two divergent trends
mircea_popescu: its actually exciting to watch this!
mircea_popescu: i wonder what's next.
smickles: one wide will win out, there are more bids than asks overall, but the asks 'pile up' much steaper
smickles: DeaDTerra: irc is better :P
smickles: ;;halfreward
gribble: Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 20:32:11 2012 UTC | Time remaining: 2 days, 1 hour, and 0 seconds.
mircea_popescu: i'm even more curious where btc ends on month close.
mircea_popescu: every few months there's one of these that might make or break a few fortunes
smickles: well, how likely are people to freak out? taking the question in general... I'd say that we're doomed
mircea_popescu: i frankly can see anything between 10 and 20
smickles: clearly we should take icbit's futures marked as an acceptable prediction of the price after the reward halving
smickles: it says 12.25
mircea_popescu: lolk
dub: is it safe to click his link, might be a scam
mircea_popescu: which link ?
dub: the DeaDTerra one
mircea_popescu: "Apparently usagi's now selling off FPGAs bought using BMF funds on behalf of BMF shareholders and using the proceeds to repay the "liquidity loans" he took out for CPA, presumably because he offered to make himself personally liable for those loans"
mircea_popescu: this is like the drama goose
Guest28801: back
Guest28801: ops
kakobrekla: link me to drama.
mircea_popescu: assbot is dead
kakobrekla: oh
kakobrekla: havent noticed
mircea_popescu: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=113708.msg1358922#msg1358922 drama
kakobrekla: dunno why it dies here and there, has to do something with ssl
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 27900 @ 0.00053197 = 14.842 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2300 @ 0.00053197 = 1.2235 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15000 @ 0.00053853 = 8.078 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 28513 @ 0.00053853 = 15.3551 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1000 @ 0.00053859 = 0.5386 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3472 @ 0.0005386 = 1.87 BTC [+]
pigeons: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=126616.msg1358837#msg1358837
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17900 @ 0.0005386 = 9.6409 BTC [+]
dub: lol
dub: that guys mom needs to take away his computer
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6400 @ 0.00053597 = 3.4302 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: all the everyday losers are too soon.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3000 @ 0.00052898 = 1.5869 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5500 @ 0.00052824 = 2.9053 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17750 @ 0.00053525 = 9.5007 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: lmao
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13450 @ 0.0005386 = 7.2442 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: nov 25th, i write on the problem of too much money
mircea_popescu: nov the 26th, graham does too.
mircea_popescu: thought leader i.
smickles: graham?
mircea_popescu: http://ycombinator.com/ycvc.html
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6700 @ 0.00052824 = 3.5392 BTC [-]
mircea_popescu: https://www.privateinternetaccess.com/blog/2012/11/even-a-vpn-service-cant-protect-your-privacy-if-youre-using-bank-of-america/
mircea_popescu: lol
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9650 @ 0.00053173 = 5.1312 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 500 @ 0.00052824 = 0.2641 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3050 @ 0.00336849 = 10.2739 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11250 @ 0.00052824 = 5.9427 BTC [-]
smickles: http://blog.smickles.com/bitcoin/proposal-for-rewording-the-ponzi-accusation-statement/
smickles: More wiki 'debate' pr0n
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2150 @ 0.00052824 = 1.1357 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 10450 @ 0.00052679 = 5.505 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8500 @ 0.00052881 = 4.4949 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6500 @ 0.00053133 = 3.4536 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4000 @ 0.00052881 = 2.1152 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 22600 @ 0.00053133 = 12.0081 BTC [+]
smickles: interesting, http://www.forbes.com/sites/jonmatonis/2012/11/26/payments-startup-balanced-innovates-in-wrong-direction/ leading to https://github.com/balanced/balanced-api/issues/204
mircea_popescu: aw
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4100 @ 0.00052887 = 2.1684 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2441 @ 0.00053133 = 1.297 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8550 @ 0.00052881 = 4.5213 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15250 @ 0.00052679 = 8.0335 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3000 @ 0.00052665 = 1.58 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1800 @ 0.00052548 = 0.9459 BTC [-]
smickles: anyone notice http://tools.ietf.org/html/draft-stanish-x-iso4217-a3-00#section-2.3 and http://www.ifex-project.org/our-proposals/x-iso4217-a3?