log☇︎
126500+ entries in 1.061s
psztorc: Well I tried to do it when I discovered your blog, which was like last autumn.
pete_dushenski: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=18-09-2015#1278736 << turns out that i was off the mark here. to wit : "Emissions system and fuel economy testing is conducted while a vehicle is placed on a dynamometer—think of it as a two big rollers or a treadmill—rather than driving on the road. The vehicle has only its driving wheels rolling (the front ones, in the case of VW vehicles). But the rear tires are station ☝︎☟︎
psztorc: I thought I had, like a year ago. Does it expire or something?
mircea_popescu: how about you get registered in assbot so i can give you a rating so i don't have to keep doing the upping.
mircea_popescu: im not entirely sure what "market scoring rules" are. but by the excel reference i vaguely expect a bayesian atrocity.
mircea_popescu: unlike in my example, where i scrubbed off all incidentals that may hide the matter.
mircea_popescu: and i expect to see fair liquidity. say 10k to 1 against me.
mircea_popescu: i really don't care what they cost. i am taking them all.
mircea_popescu: i bet all the coins on yes.
mircea_popescu: uh... i am not putting any money on No.
mircea_popescu: for instance : when i put 1 btc on the theory that ethereum dies by the end of the year, i got liquidated 5:1 within hours.
mircea_popescu: now, suppose i make a bet that tomorrow will be a solar eclipse.
mircea_popescu: but as to the experiment : suppose your coin exists. suppose it has a total issued volume of 1mn coins. suppose i own them all, because i'm an asshole and i buy them all.
mircea_popescu: i mean srsly nobody cares if you came up with it or clark gable did. that's not at issue. and in general "original research" is even a topic only among the wikitards. it's not a legitimate consideration.
psztorc: I love experiments.
mircea_popescu: i'm kinda puzzled why the problem is not directly obvious.
psztorc: Again this isn't something I made up, a physicist designed it like 15 years ago and it is currently being used in a few places. With play money at SciCast.
asciilifeform: i could really use a monopole.
asciilifeform: i'd like to ask psztorc for a monopole magnet
psztorc: but I'm guessing.....
psztorc: I could link to a pdf on market scoring rules
mircea_popescu: fiat, delta knowledge on valuation. i doubtr you'll find anyone who even will entertain the approach, within finance. but moving on :
mircea_popescu: and you're like, almost there, and all i do is recite that and laugh. you're out on your ass.
mircea_popescu: suppose you're in a VC office trying to close a deal. and i drop by to take the guy out to golf.
mircea_popescu: because if i want to sink your chances, understand, all i need is to quote this and snicker.
psztorc: Also, I'm sure you've heard of the Lightning Network.
psztorc: And the sentence I wrote was to explain exactly why "proofs of solvency" are insufficient (which you have just restated)
psztorc: Of course, as I'm sure you know, "credit" comes from the latin "cred-" for "belief/faith"
mircea_popescu: "Before money or anything else. Money cannot buy it...Because a man I do not trust could not get money from me on all the bonds in Christendom."
psztorc: I'm afraid I couldn't find the definition.
mircea_popescu: the closest i ever came to stating a definition was in this 2012 article : http://trilema.com/2012/the-politics-of-bitcoin/
psztorc: It is a question of definition...I chose to define it that way.
psztorc: But I think that all Bitcoin exchanges are Bitcoin businesses.
psztorc: I'm familiar with some of JPM's history
psztorc: and of course I'm familiar with BitBet
mircea_popescu: no i meant the jpm quote.
psztorc: I know that you own and operate MPEX
mircea_popescu: (do you happen to be familiar with the exchange i'm referencing there ?)
psztorc: But I didn't write about it in that paper.
psztorc: Again, I am interested in fungibility.
psztorc: What I wrote has nothing to do with fungibility.
mircea_popescu: im sorry. the DIFFERENCE between the two situations is imaginary is what i mean.
mircea_popescu: i disagree with the notion that whether bitcoin was designed for people to hold own money or opm follows from bitcoin being p2p ; that there is a way to differentiate between opm and yom. and other things
psztorc: It is in the pdf formatting that I am continuing my explanation of prediction markets in a different way.
psztorc: That sentence is not a claim that I make.
mircea_popescu: "i once got formed an idea while in front of the tv ergo tv has a gift" ?
mircea_popescu: i do not agree.
psztorc: I assume you don't agree?
psztorc: I'm specifically choosing not to target the 3030 audience.
mircea_popescu: suppose i read this in 3030, at which point no fucking body knows what $ is, and we decide it stands for "trustcoin"
mircea_popescu: gernika it's a start, i'd say.
gernika: The problem I see is that there's no profit motive for the market owner, because there's no owner, so no one will drive the thing to work. Which I hope relates to your last point.
gernika: and it had all the porn I needed.
gernika: mircea_popescu: I can see a bbs as a public forum, yes. The decentralization is not as clear to me, at least not in the way I used them. I only ever dialed into one.
psztorc: Well, I can pastebin it for you.
psztorc: If you like to read, #1 of the lower 5 is about why I chose to create Truthcoin: http://www.truthcoin.info/papers/
psztorc: When I say meet, I mean same database.
psztorc: In the project I designed.
psztorc: When I say "decentralized", I mean it the same way Satoshi meant it: headless and immortal. The individual traders still all "meet" in one "place".
psztorc: I hope so.
mircea_popescu: and by gribble i mean assbot.
psztorc: I suppose I'm a "certain hostile element with bitcoin community".
mircea_popescu: recommended reading for asciilifeform just because i know he's a livresque masochist.
BingoBoingo: Oh, I guess that was oe
BingoBoingo: asciilifeform: Consider bupropion, the one USG blessed mood regulating dopamine reuptake inhibitor. Simple chlorinated amphetamine on the ring. I wonder more who can't make it than who can
asciilifeform: of course, i won't know when this has happened, you'll have to ask somebody who lives on the 'tide usd' planet.
asciilifeform: BingoBoingo: aha, i specifically said 'pill'
asciilifeform: i watched it happen, on usg tax dollar no less.
BingoBoingo: asciilifeform: SInce it is old news but super trending I'll have a piece on the particulars of this FDA sanctioned pharma racket in the next day or so
asciilifeform: i.e. something which can only exist at usg gunpoint.
asciilifeform: why this particular schmuck was chosen as the whipping boy of the day, i do not know. but tlp's dictum 'if you're reading it, it's for you' comes to mind.
assbot: Logged on 23-09-2015 00:20:26; mircea_popescu: i bet the "controversial" ceo now uses his vast wealth to fucking hang the entire troop of assholes, including the da involved.
asciilifeform: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=23-09-2015#1283048 << i didn't see any mention of a da ☝︎
assbot: BECK$ on Twitter: "@danielpbarron I'm personally too busy to kick your ass but don't worry I'm sure someone else will" ... ( http://bit.ly/1WhlLYq )
danielpbarron: https://archive.is/SQvAX << doesn't this just sum up all of progressivism? "I have an excuse as to why I can't do X, but I'm sure someone else has it covered anyway."
mircea_popescu: i bet the "controversial" ceo now uses his vast wealth to fucking hang the entire troop of assholes, including the da involved. ☟︎
shinohai: https://twitter.com/TechCrunch/status/646464253520662528 <<< looking like that, I'll bet she could disrupt damn near anything.
asciilifeform: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=22-09-2015#1282971 << omg1111111111 i can't afford 'boeing' !! where is my NEED-BASED AID !??!! ☝︎☟︎
shinohai: I further explained the sheer idiocy of using a cloud instance to mine with, I wasn't some redditard from r/beermoney trying to collect dust.
shinohai: CS told me when I paid for initial service it wouldn't be a problem. I tried to explain it in the clearest way possible.
shinohai: Accused me of "mining" from the get-go, shut me down, I bitched and got it back up only to be charged that insane fee.
shinohai: I still have an account, just not gonna try and run bitcoind there, especially when they don't have a clue what it is.
shinohai: I might host a node down the road a bit, my experience trying this with Atlantic was less-than-stellar and set me back some.
BingoBoingo: I've seen 1U hosting as low as $45-50
shinohai: That's what I'm using, a cruddy old laptop. Glad it was in the library locked up really well.
gernika: Would like to get my machine in a DC - but the cheapest hosting rate for a 1U I can find around here is $200.00/mo. Which is 4x more than I last paid for the same service.
shinohai: I'm at 320740 and climbing, slow but sue.
gernika: 1 month + later I make it past 367850. anyway. moving forward.
shinohai: I was too lazy to alt to the hyphen, using my ancient droid to irc.
mircea_popescu: i know i've not seen nearly enough of it yet to suit my tastes.
BingoBoingo: I'm not even sure if this is actually Marxism any more
mircea_popescu: in the us, i am deeply unsurprised it would do nothing.
BingoBoingo: I thought it was more like 8:::::::D
BingoBoingo: Apex reddit https://i.imgur.com/7Ldn6gD.jpg
mircea_popescu: anyway, the angry jealous poor club should take solace in the knowledge that i've shed more dollar value this calendar year than they will ever manage to see.
ascii_field: by - supposedly - itself. but this is where we go back to 'i don't have a public key for it, so what, if anything, is to be taken as 'it said' is a ???.'
mircea_popescu: as far as i can see the only salient points re isis are that a) has own agency ; b) percepibly unalligned to usg.
mircea_popescu: so i guess the real story here is, mujahedeen cultivated usg to provide them with apples.
mircea_popescu: so it did exactrly nothing. the men i nthat relationship are non-us
ascii_field: i suppose next mircea_popescu will reveal that usg dropped stingers 'for mujahedeen' but not for taliban.