12600+ entries in 1.31s
mircea_popescu: the more a
% of your stake the income is, the more risk you take.
mike_c: if you have a 5
% edge, bet 5
% of your bankroll
TheNewDeal: in reference to the mike_c 95
% invested
TheNewDeal: MP, so what's the magic number of
% assets invested for us young guns
mike_c: i'm not saying put 95
% of your cash in pirate. or in a variety of investments that are all actually putting their money in pirate.
mircea_popescu: that shit where you're 95
% invested at age 30 because whatever, you'll make more stiictly depends on fiat being paper.
mike_c: my theoritcal model would be 95
% invested, yeas
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.49500922 BTC; -0.06019199 BTC (-0.0353
%) since last check 1d 21h 52m 10s ago.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 130223.83 in 1902 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -81.80
TheNewDeal: oh my gosh. Gold from yahoo answers "Unspayed female: drastically shorter lifespan due to a high rate of reproductive cancer (85
% unaltered females die of it before 5 years of age). Extremely territorial, some can be very aggressive, the intensity is often higher than a buck. You have to deal often with 'false pregnancies' where she will pull out large chunks of fur, nest, and get moody and extra-territorial, often for mont
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin difficulty over 21B before June :: 0.02 B (7
%) on Yes, 0.26 B (93
%) on No | closed 3 weeks 6 days ago
assbot: Cryptovest Financial Services (CVFS) Stock IPO 0.5-4
% dividends p/m
assbot: BitBet - Billy Hamilton Rookie of the Year :: 0.08 B (45
%) on Yes, 0.09 B (55
%) on No | closing in 5 months 1 day| weight: 99`454 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin to surpass Berkshire as an investment :: 1120.86 B (86
%) on Yes, 186.18 B (14
%) on No | closing in 8 months 1 week| weight: 75`215 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Lewis Hamilton to win 2014 F1 World Champion :: 0.06 B (60
%) on Yes, 0.04 B (40
%) on No | closing in 5 months 2 weeks | weight: 99`893 (100`000 to 1)
TheNewDeal: I'm going to put out TheNewDeal's current prediction of 6.9
% increase
benkay: there is the thing called buying the hole, where you buy a building or some fraction thereof during/prior to construction for some 30
% discount. whether or not the position is liquidatable later, i cannot speak to.
other_mp: en la comparacion interanual, las escrituras se redujeron 2.1
% y de acuerdo al colegio de escribanos, la cantidad total aumeno un 20.6
% respecto del mes anterior que registro 2223
other_mp: cayeron 2
% las escrituraciones de abril.
mircea_popescu: they eat a -.1
% on 20
% so they may make 8
% pon 80
% or w/e it is they make
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.36972219 BTC; +0.01309834 BTC (+0.0077
%) since last check 1h 25m 54s ago.
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 173891.58 in 1948 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -75.69
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.35662385 BTC; +3.01016512 BTC (+1.7988
%) since last check 2d 17h 37m 39s ago.
BingoBoingo: mike_c: You also have to consider the 18
% workplace mortality rate...
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 172931.71 in 1949 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -75.83
mike_c: isn't your constraint 1
%?
jurov: and underpriced must get below my 2
% band
ThickAsThieves: you have plenty info, but i'm guessing there is no action on the books outside 1
% pankkake: deprived wasn't 100
% in it right?
mircea_popescu: ;;later tell TheNewDeal if the network hovers at let's say, 1.1
%/day growth, what will be the hash rate on October 1st << what's wrong with 1.0011^x like sane people ?
TheNewDeal: the network would have to pump out blocks like 15
% faster over the next 10,000 for that block 315k to be yes
assbot: BitBet - Block 315k mined on or before July 28th :: 0.44 B (5
%) on Yes, 8.39 B (95
%) on No | closing in 1 month 1 week| weight: 25`709 (100`000 to 5`000)
TheNewDeal: when I was betting, it was about a 12
% (constant) difficulty increase that would make it happen
TheNewDeal: i'm wondering why someone laid down 6 on No, betting about a day apart. They lost 13
% of the timeweight they would have had if they would have wagered it all at once
TheNewDeal: if the network growth rate is 1.1
%, how long will it take to find 2016 blocks?
TheNewDeal: if the network hovers at let's say, 1.1
%/day growth, what will be the hash rate on October 1st
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin network difficulty > 14Bn on Bastille day :: 112.59 B (85
%) on Yes, 19.55 B (15
%) on No | closing in 1 week 19 hours | weight: 4`539 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - BTC network hashrate will exceed 1 Exahash/s before 2015 :: 2.28 B (35
%) on Yes, 4.29 B (65
%) on No | closing in 5 months 4 weeks | weight: 57`534 (100`000 to 5`000)
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin incremental difficulty to increase by 3B or more :: 0.49 B (39
%) on Yes, 0.77 B (61
%) on No | closing in 3 months 6 days | weight: 56`015 (100`000 to 6`000)
TheNewDeal: lets say we have a 1
%/day growth rate over a period of 13 days
TheNewDeal: how does one calculate a
%/day of the network
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 164505.44 in 1975 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -77.00
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 155380.44 in 1983 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -78.28
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 155380.44 in 1983 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -78.28
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 164414.15 in 1987 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -77.02
benkay: we also don't really talk about the stack to non-devs. it's just not relevant about 100
% of the time.
chetty: interest rate on its deposit facility to -0.1
% from 0
% Vexual: why would a successful pol ever try to 51
%? to get cheap ebay shit?
mircea_popescu: Not closing registration as their pool is approaching a (visible) 51
% atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 715369.85 in 2016 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: 0.00