12500+ entries in 1.236s
assbot: BitBet - Brazil will win FIFA World Cup 2014 :: 0.49 B (26
%) on Yes, 1.41 B (74
%) on No | closing in 1 day 6 hours | weight: 486 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Spurs to win 2014 NBA Finals :: 0.8 B (41
%) on Yes, 1.13 B (59
%) on No | closed 1 week 17 hours ago
assbot: BitBet - An Eastern Conference team will win the NBA Finals :: 0.97 B (43
%) on Yes, 1.28 B (57
%) on No | closed 1 week 5 days ago
assbot: BitBet - Joel Embiid to be #1 NBA Draft Pick :: 0.22 B (71
%) on Yes, 0.09 B (29
%) on No | closing in 1 week 5 days | weight: 90`156 (100`000 to 75`000)
assbot: BitBet - OKC Thunder to top NBA regular season rankings :: 0.03 B (30
%) on Yes, 0.07 B (70
%) on No | closed 2 months 1 day ago
assbot: BitBet - A golfer from USA will win the 2014 Masters :: 0.06 B (47
%) on Yes, 0.07 B (53
%) on No | closed 2 months 2 days ago
assbot: BitBet - Nadal to win French Open :: 0.13 B (59
%) on Yes, 0.09 B (41
%) on No | closed 1 week 1 day ago
assbot: BitBet - Dee Gordon, Most Stolen Bases 2014 :: 0.07 B (70
%) on Yes, 0.03 B (30
%) on No | closing in 3 months 4 days | weight: 92`205 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Billy Hamilton Rookie of the Year :: 0.08 B (45
%) on Yes, 0.09 B (55
%) on No | closing in 4 months 3 weeks | weight: 96`230 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - Yankees to get most all-star selections :: 0.03 B (25
%) on Yes, 0.09 B (75
%) on No | closing in 3 weeks 5 days | weight: 94`494 (100`000 to 1)
mircea_popescu: anyway, in 1994 a good affiliate could send you even 100k clicks which'd convert upwards of 10
% assbot: BitBet - Difficulty over 21Bn by Summer's end 2014 :: 0.6 B (55
%) on Yes, 0.48 B (45
%) on No | closing in 2 months 1 week| weight: 90`314 (100`000 to 3)
mircea_popescu: fluffypony they finally figured out that 60
% return rate isn't really such a good number ?
mircea_popescu: "Ideally, I prefer to have the entire 1,132 BTC, sans the 400 BTC bounty amount, paid in full to me, but knowing that sometimes arbitration takes place, I'm willing to settle for a minimal amount, with anybody acting as liaison to broker their reward up to 100
% of what I may finally recognize. The minimum I'm welling to settle for is $50K USD via BTC or fiat to compensate for my initial investment and the mega hours I
mircea_popescu: decimation: waiting around and doing nothing while you hope a magic "process" or "committee" or "standarization" will do your job constitutes at least 50
% of western officeworker employment << the best part is that this used to actually work, a century or so ago.
decimation: waiting around and doing nothing while you hope a magic "process" or "committee" or "standarization" will do your job constitutes at least 50
% of western officeworker employment
mircea_popescu: in spite of all the pretense as to "exchanges" and tips and whatnot, it'd seem 99
%+ of all doges are actually held by the admin group
mircea_popescu: <kakobrekla> and dropping << nah was -80
% a coupla days ago
atcbot: [ATC Diff] Current Diff: 715369.85 Est. Next Diff: 502280.32 in 1204 blocks (#36288) Est.
% Change: -29.79
assbot: BitBet - May I suggest 9B difficulty? :: 6.44 B (8
%) on Yes, 72.03 B (92
%) on No | closed 1 month 2 weeks ago
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin difficulty over 5.6B before April :: 9.83 B (5
%) on Yes, 180.55 B (95
%) on No | closed 2 months 3 weeks ago
jurov: how many
% actm has?
mircea_popescu: the only reason "renewables" seem economical atm is because govt picks up 80
% of the tab.
TheNewDeal: April 29 - May 12 the difficulty increased 10.66
%. Blocks came through on average 542 seconds. To get 3 changes, we need to find blocks at an average of 554 seconds
TheNewDeal: would be interested to see what
% of bitbet is made into private bets
TheNewDeal: updating the diff change estimate to 6.8
% pankkake: why not remove the "fsdfdf" bets? they make up 80
% of the page
assbot: BitBet - S.MG profitable in 2014 :: 0.06 B (60
%) on Yes, 0.04 B (40
%) on No | closing in 4 months 4 weeks | weight: 99`823 (100`000 to 1)
assbot: BitBet - S.MG profitable in 2014 :: 0.06 B (60
%) on Yes, 0.04 B (40
%) on No | closing in 4 months 4 weeks | weight: 99`875 (100`000 to 1)
BingoBoingo: Nah, hanging, because blocking itself in a controlled way. One core is at 100
% the other lazing like usual.
mircea_popescu: about 4
% of the monetary mass in circulation sold out, bitcoin dropped from 5.3 to 4.5, and people were in agreeemnt that it's prolly the end
mike_c: aapl is under $100 now! totally a good reason for the stock to shoot up 20
%!
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.62354623 BTC; +0.05388901 BTC (+0.0316
%) since last check 3h 59m 57s ago.
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.56965722 BTC; +0.09045396 BTC (+0.0531
%) since last check 22h 25m 29s ago.
davout: it just has a 0,3
% floor
fluffypony: davout: apparently even their Enterprise packages for > $100k daily are flat fee and not
% davout: gambling & porn is usually > 6
% i hear
thestringpuller: I guess I'm just bitter since back in the day I could buy BTC pretty much at market price with 0.5
% in fees.
pankkake: I don't know many who have only 1
% for CC
davout: "1
% which is pretty much what most niggas pay for CC processing" <<< it really depends
fluffypony: thestringpuller: Bitpay is 1
% on starter, else $30/month no fees
thestringpuller: Coinbase wants 1
% which is pretty much what most niggas pay for CC processing
assbot: BitBet - Simona Halep to win Roland Garros :: 1.03 B (14
%) on Yes, 6.22 B (86
%) on No | closed 2 weeks 1 day ago
assbot: BitBet - ATC to reach block 50000 on time :: 2.25 B (24
%) on Yes, 7.05 B (76
%) on No | closing in 1 month 2 weeks | weight: 51`392 (100`000 to 1)
TheNewDeal: the last time there was a 6
% change was ?
TheNewDeal: the network has to average around 6
% over 3 diff changes
TheNewDeal: my return would be 16.5
% on yes, -77
% no
TheNewDeal: which would be drastically reduced from the 370
%+ you have now
BingoBoingo: As an example of fresh bet of .33 BTC on No returns the line [ 52] No 30000 0.33000000 1.93420100 1.60420100 covering 32.8
% of your 5.9 BTC stake.
TheNewDeal: for me I would be winning 10
% on my investment of 5.9 BTC on YES, or returning 27
% of that investment on no
TheNewDeal: if I purchased your whole position, I would make 3.78
% on yes, or lose 28.8 percent
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin network difficulty > 14Bn on Bastille day :: 112.84 B (85
%) on Yes, 19.55 B (15
%) on No | closing in 3 days 20 hours | weight: 2`243 (100`000 to 1)
TheNewDeal: gribble was guessing like 0
% when I was guessing around 5
TheNewDeal: updating TheNewDeal's prediction to 6.3
% assbot: BitBet - Simona Halep to win Roland Garros :: 1.03 B (14
%) on Yes, 6.22 B (86
%) on No | closed 2 weeks 1 day ago
Namworld: They don't, but assuming a large amount of varied goods, probably rarely more difference than 10
%-15
% for the same stuff.
benkay: pankkake: it pops a modal. maybe one of the designers knows how to make it happen without js, but that's like 0.001
% of potential clients.
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.47920326 BTC; -0.03277293 BTC (-0.0192
%) since last check 8h 41m 3s ago.
fluffypony: or even worse - they could be 100
% genuine and yet still be involved in completely baseless court action that someone has taken against them (pissed off ex-girlfriend or ex-employee or ex-business-partner)
assbot: Current MPIF account balance on Just-Dice: 170.51197619 BTC; +0.01696697 BTC (+0.0100
%) since last check 7h 8m 41s ago.
TheNewDeal: totally just updated my prediction to 4.8
% TheNewDeal: I'm updating TheNewDeals estimate to 4.8
% increase
mircea_popescu: which brings us to the problem : because bitcoin is fixed, a 95
% investment situation will be unavoidable statistically. as the value of all paper will much exceed the value of cash btc available, willy-nilly.
mike_c: ok.. perhaps this will bring our lines of thought closer: in my theoretical model, someone with as much bitcoin as you should absolutely not be 95
% invested.
mircea_popescu: or, there's benkay's ocean mining conglomerate, which will gain 10
% over the same decade
mike_c: why would i expend effort on something that may significantly increase 1
% of my base instead of something that will only moderately increase 20
% of my base? it would be unprofitable.
mike_c: it is not profitalbe to spend my time making 50
% on 2m instead of 2
% on 100b.