assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13500 @ 0.00064 = 8.64 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 54054 @ 0.0036 = 194.5944 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 12780 @ 0.00064 = 8.1792 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4500 @ 0.00064 = 2.88 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX:S.DICE] 1day: 0.00343244 / 0.00357478 / 0.0036 (100846 shares, 360.50 BTC), 30day: 0.0014 / 0.00307919 / 0.0037 (8771555 shares, 27,009.29 BTC)
smickles: thestringpuller: I noticed a hilight from you?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1300 @ 0.00347687 = 4.5199 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 700 @ 0.00347687 = 2.4338 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4752 @ 0.00064 = 3.0413 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9479 @ 0.00064 = 6.0666 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 756 @ 0.00064 = 0.4838 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5380 @ 0.00064 = 3.4432 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3950 @ 0.00064 = 2.528 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9450 @ 0.00064 = 6.048 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4800 @ 0.00064 = 3.072 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1950 @ 0.00064 = 1.248 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6450 @ 0.00064 = 4.128 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15600 @ 0.00064 = 9.984 BTC [+]
Ukto: you know.. i havent see goat on irc lately..
Ukto: chang... you there?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5060 @ 0.00064 = 3.2384 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2000 @ 0.00064 = 1.28 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5650 @ 0.00064 = 3.616 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7550 @ 0.00064 = 4.832 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2140 @ 0.0036 = 7.704 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 10700 @ 0.00064 = 6.848 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3550 @ 0.00064 = 2.272 BTC [+]
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 13.47001, Best ask: 13.49500, Bid-ask spread: 0.02499, Last trade: 13.36634, 24 hour volume: 11919.39373294, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.45637
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2165 @ 0.00064 = 1.3856 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3457 @ 0.0036 = 12.4452 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1500 @ 0.0036128 = 5.4192 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2061 @ 0.00364366 = 7.5096 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 600 @ 0.00365195 = 2.1912 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 184750 @ 0.0036675 = 677.5706 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 385000 @ 0.00368 = 1416.8 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 98307 @ 0.00369 = 362.7528 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX:S.DICE] 1day: 0.00343244 / 0.00366364 / 0.00369 (777923 shares, 2,850.03 BTC), 30day: 0.0014 / 0.0031218 / 0.0037 (9438672 shares, 29,465.71 BTC)
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 349193 @ 0.00369 = 1288.5222 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 191347 @ 0.0036999 = 707.9648 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 68558 @ 0.0036999 = 253.6577 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P190T] 1000 @ 0.41704471 = 417.0447 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P200T] 1000 @ 0.49178391 = 491.7839 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX:S.DICE] 1day: 0.00343244 / 0.00367707 / 0.0036999 (1387021 shares, 5,100.18 BTC), 30day: 0.0014 / 0.0031565 / 0.0037 (10047770 shares, 31,715.85 BTC)
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8150 @ 0.00064 = 5.216 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7600 @ 0.00064 = 4.864 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2500 @ 0.00064 = 1.6 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4200 @ 0.00064 = 2.688 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C120T] 3 @ 0.18636531 = 0.5591 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.10171553 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C130T] 1 @ 0.1571495 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.14 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.132 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P140T] 4 @ 0.16782549 = 0.6713 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.09210954 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P150T] 2 @ 0.20838298 = 0.4168 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P190T] 1000 @ 0.41704471 = 417.0447 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P200T] 1000 @ 0.49178391 = 491.7839 BTC [+]
Ukto: u get some action? :P
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 13.37397, Best ask: 13.46467, Bid-ask spread: 0.09070, Last trade: 13.37394, 24 hour volume: 11910.87556799, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.46368
gribble: smickles was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 3 hours, 47 minutes, and 8 seconds ago: * smickles fruktose
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15504577 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
smickles: Namjies: there is not mpsic for btc
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17406879 BTC [+]
smickles: Namjies: however, stat reports btc as CxBTC
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15500665 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17402496 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4300 @ 0.00064 = 2.752 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15500665 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 13.45001, Best ask: 13.49880, Bid-ask spread: 0.04879, Last trade: 13.45001, 24 hour volume: 12002.95742282, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.46419
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17398581 BTC [-]
Bugpowder: Is there a web feed of 24 hour vwap that I can scrape from somewhere?
Bugpowder: I am scraping mtgox last price off bitcoincharts which gives volativilty in my spreadsheet
smickles: but bitcoincharts 24h vwap is different
smickles: it seems the bitcoincharts # is based on all exchanges
gribble: Error: I tried to send you an empty message.
gribble: Error: I tried to send you an empty message.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8100 @ 0.00064 = 5.184 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15493302 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17394246 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11996 @ 0.00064 = 7.6774 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: its not in table or list format so I can't figure out how to pull it properly into the google doc. any suggestions smiles?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3983 @ 0.00064 = 2.5491 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: I gotta write a sciprt to do it then
Bugpowder: I will figure this out later... mush watch this game
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 28 @ 0.0036999 = 0.1036 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15474813 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17373531 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2200 @ 0.00064 = 1.408 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: TONY ROMO comes thru in the clutch
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P190T] 1000 @ 0.41598735 = 415.9874 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P200T] 1000 @ 0.49067089 = 490.6709 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15433309 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17399111 BTC [+]
smickles: hmm, yeah, apparently my volatility measure is up there
smickles: I'm mostly workin out other kinks right now tho
smickles: but 10.43 seems like a long way to go down to to break even on that
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.15433309 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14318 @ 0.00064 = 9.1635 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P130T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C140T] 1 @ 0.19999999 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C150T] 1 @ 0.17399111 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P190T] 1000 @ 0.41598735 = 415.9874 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P200T] 1000 @ 0.49067089 = 490.6709 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX:O.BTCUSD.P200T] 1day: 0.49067089 / 0.4912274 / 0.49178391 (4000 shares, 1,964.91 BTC), 30day: 0.47526087 / 0.56767292 / 0.62061168 (18000 shares, 10,218.11 BTC)
Bugpowder: over 80k bet on S.DICE this morning
Bugpowder: currently SDICE is up another 3000
Bugpowder: but 20 minutes ago they were down 3000
Bugpowder: They may surpass 500,000 BTC volume this month
Bugpowder: Wait a sec.... is that more than MPEX???
mircea_popescu: i guess the problem with sdice is that anyone can make competition for them etc
Bugpowder: If this volume keeps up after Jan 1...
Bugpowder: We are looking at expected revenue of 10,000/mo
mircea_popescu: well, very different things. mpoe was mostly profitable through share appreciation, dice mostly through dividends
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 13.43996, Best ask: 13.44994, Bid-ask spread: 0.00998, Last trade: 13.43996, 24 hour volume: 15187.67923515, 24 hour low: 13.36000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.46604
mircea_popescu: tbh it's likely s.mpoe was overbought because the large blocks on sale for s.dice had a depressing effect.
mircea_popescu: i am curious if it will resolve by massive buys into s.dice or by sales of s.mpoe
Bugpowder: It's like 2000 BTC a minute swings
Bugpowder: Also fascinating, who is doing this?
mircea_popescu: single entity ? wide diversity ? something in between ?
mircea_popescu: isn't something like taint analysis usable in principle to do it ?
mircea_popescu: you're the research scientist cum brain surgeon, do something
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 26234 @ 0.00064 = 16.7898 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: You know more about bitcoin and network analysis than me
mircea_popescu: so basically someone bought 200k worth of btc and bet it all ?
Bugpowder: They are all going to be traced back to evorhees
mircea_popescu: i tell you what, if you can prove that one you're the new bitcoin star.
mircea_popescu: evoorhees ? possibly because most of it come from mpex lol
Bugpowder: This evoorhees recycling mpex share sales to goose volumes hypothesis is... disturbingly plausible.
Bugpowder: Its a small number of addresses that bet heavily for a day at irregular intervals
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3700 @ 0.00064 = 2.368 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: The dates of IPO share sales don't consistently lead the volume spike days though
Bugpowder: which you might expect if someone stupid would try to pull this off
kakobrekla: ;;rate pizzaman1337 1 a valued customer
gribble: Rating entry successful. Your rating of 1 for user pizzaman1337 has been recorded.
mircea_popescu: the thing is, long or short interval, makes no difference in the blockchain
mircea_popescu: but on the other hand, mpex volume isn't 500k. it's 100k. not all of that is s.dice either. he'd have 20k or something to pump price with
mircea_popescu: drop in the bucket. unless he'd spin it like 50 times each coin, in which case it should be bleedingly obvious.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder that is an entirely plausible hypothesis also
Bugpowder: clicking through blockchain.info is not the right way to do this
mircea_popescu: well ya, thing is... crime usually gets caught not by whatever having been too difficult, but by it being trivial and nobody thinking of it.
Bugpowder: that's just about enough to sell through the S.DICE IPO
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 152067 @ 0.0036999 = 562.6327 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 460 @ 0.00369999 = 1.702 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2550181 @ 0.0037 = 9435.6697 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7887 @ 0.00064 = 5.0477 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX:S.DICE] 1day: 0.00343244 / 0.00369289 / 0.0037 (4067561 shares, 15,021.09 BTC), 30day: 0.0014 / 0.00327158 / 0.0037 (12729838 shares, 41,646.72 BTC)
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3400000 @ 0.00064 = 2176 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: Thats the exact right strategy to buy S.MPOE though
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3268 @ 0.00361906 = 11.8271 BTC [-]
gribble: Error: unexpected EOF while parsing (<string>, line 1)
Bugpowder: that person that sold 1.5M @ .0018..
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 7196 @ 0.0037 = 26.6252 BTC [+]
Bugpowder: almost everything I panic sold has crashed
Bugpowder: S.MPOE was not a panic sell, just a profit taking trade that I didn't get back in on in time before uber rally
mircea_popescu: the thing is, on fundamentals sdice is so much better than lottery
mircea_popescu: no lottery can be run this efficiently. not in the same degree of magnitude either
mircea_popescu: that's nonsense, what value does ford provide to non drivers
Bugpowder: "In 2012, the Global Casinos and Online Gambling industry is expected to generate revenue of $126.6 billion"
mircea_popescu: conswevatively s.dice could have 1% of the entire market
mircea_popescu: hey, we want to travel but we can't afford 50 bux or w/e 8ball costs
Bugpowder: easiest way to case a place for robbery
mircea_popescu: it's a no starter for both ends of the deal. pretty much spiral of doom both ways.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2450 @ 0.00368818 = 9.036 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2016 @ 0.00368818 = 7.4354 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15051 @ 0.00064 = 9.6326 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15200 @ 0.00064134 = 9.7484 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: it's how it works for most people, they do something early in their 30s and then enver live up to it.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 634 @ 0.00368818 = 2.3383 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 266 @ 0.0037 = 0.9842 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: Could not create connection to database server. Attempted reconnect 3 times. Giving up.
Bugpowder: S.DICE bettor is dossing blockchain to prevent discovery
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 181 @ 0.00361906 = 0.655 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 5519 @ 0.00360726 = 19.9085 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1531 @ 0.00360726 = 5.5227 BTC [-]
Bugpowder: looks like the S.MPOE buy bot has switched to S.DICE :)
pigeons: stop calling me a bot. i'm dollar cost averaging.
Bugpowder: looks like they are ready to roll off the presses
pigeons: haha i love the shill commentary on that one
pigeons: "they might not actually have asic chips in hand like the competition, but wouldn't you rather have big mystery machinery?"
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1019 @ 0.00349157 = 3.5579 BTC [-]
pigeons: surely they wouldn't buy pnp machines if they were scammers? where else can you get a photo?
Bugpowder: blah 12-12-31 16:50:49 lessthan 6000 f76015a6 8bad83bc 1MqrpPC CONFIRMED 100.00000000 WIN 1066.55176666 5767
Bugpowder: man if every day had this level of betting action.... 15% avr monthly dividends....
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3381 @ 0.00356415 = 12.0504 BTC [+]
smickles: < thestringpuller> mircea_popescu: do you ever spend your bitcoins? <<< question successfully evaded :D
smickles: that's not really 'you' though
smickles: anyone want to sell me 2 MPExBTC?
smickles: or fund an unproven, possibly buggy, options market maker bot, possibly losing all your btc, or possibly gaining a little btc?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9450 @ 0.00065652 = 6.2041 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15625 @ 0.00065999 = 10.3123 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 47778 @ 0.00066 = 31.5335 BTC [+]
smickles: in all likelyhood it's lose some vs gain some, but losing all sounds scarier, and I don't want to deal with pussies
markedathome: mf bollox ... now down one click of death seagate 1TB truecrypt disk. and of course it is too late to get the usb-terminal cable to find out whether i can reflash the drive bios.
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.C120T] 1 @ 0.18457935 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [O.BTCUSD.P120T] 1 @ 0.09886507 BTC [-]
Namjies: wait, someone had over 60k SS?
smickles: Namjies: it was a mixed payment of peeps who got all 3 payments in one, and peeps who got their third payment
Namjies: seems like a mess to manage
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 65650 @ 0.00066 = 43.329 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1469 @ 0.00354422 = 5.2065 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2100 @ 0.00358157 = 7.5213 BTC [+]
markedathome: [18:29:47] <smickles> one click of death? --< one "click-of-death" seagate drive
markedathome: apparently it has some firmware that when it fails tries to write to somewhere in the outer solar system...
Namjies: It's a firmware that "smartly target the most empty space"
Namjies: The microscopic disclaimer vaguely mention that the empty space might not even be on a disk.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2000 @ 0.00361366 = 7.2273 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 900 @ 0.00361366 = 3.2523 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2200 @ 0.0036969 = 8.1332 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 728 @ 0.0036969 = 2.6913 BTC [+]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2550 @ 0.00359888 = 9.1771 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5504 @ 0.00066 = 3.6326 BTC [+]
kakobrekla: so, the only non automated message i got wishing me good luck in 2013 got into my email by mistake (not ment for me)
kakobrekla: even got some strangers pic along with it
Namjies: Well Diablo-D3, it seems like that person I was talking about actually is the claimed person.
Namjies: Highest investor profile I've seen yet.
mod6: Namjies: what's the deal with BitVPS -- are you guys going to publish a statement?
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1055 @ 0.00359888 = 3.7968 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3445 @ 0.00350619 = 12.0788 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 2400 @ 0.00350619 = 8.4149 BTC [-]
kakobrekla: o, thank you pizzaman1337! I wish a prosperous year for you too :)
kakobrekla: brb gotta throw some wood in the chimney
smickles: chimney? Might I suggest that you aim lower, for the furnace ;)
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1400 @ 0.00362226 = 5.0712 BTC [+]
kakobrekla: yeah, chimney... i guess a bad translation of a metaphore
kakobrekla: i would need to go to the roof to fill it through the chimney
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1500 @ 0.00350619 = 5.2593 BTC [-]
assbot: [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1550 @ 0.00354441 = 5.4938 BTC [+]