log☇︎
994700+ entries in 0.734s
mircea_popescu: The Merton model has been shown to be empirically accurate for non-financial firms, especially manufacturing entities. The highly leveraged nature of financial firms produces CDS spreads which are significantly higher than observed in the market due to the asset diffusion process.
smickles: since the first week of November , iirc
mircea_popescu: i considered him an idiot since about a week ago, or was it two.
smickles: heh, I consider him moving the goalposts so many times to be backing down
mircea_popescu: has not the incentive and thus not the ability to back down when they've been proven wrong.
mircea_popescu: a person that has not the experience of a good beating
smickles: ya know, that one guy not seeing the connection between digital currency based on austrian economics and Bitcoin
smickles: Also, if you still see it hard to see, why don't we use the very next two sentences in the Grinberg text: "Bitcoin supporters may similarly argue, as elaborated below, that bitcoins do not look like securities or investments, especially because there is no money- making enterprise that is attempting to raise money, and that bitcoins are instead like commodities or currencies, which are generally not regulated under the federal securities laws. Fu
smickles: Did I miss something, I thought the relevant footnote was about an digital currency and Ginburg brought it up as reference for digital currencies being unlikely to be regulated as securities in a discussion about Bitcoin being a security or not which directly impacts whether or not Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme. --Smickles86 (talk) 02:13, 26 November 2012 (UTC)
smickles: You don't see the connection between a Libertarian who advocated free experiment in methods of transmitting value and Bitcoin?
smickles: Macintosh was discussing Friedrich Hayek's model, not Bitcoins, and is a 14 year old document, discussing something 10 years before Bitcoin was introduced. I'm not following the correlation between Hayek's model possibly not being considered a security and Bitcoin, a different concept entirely. - SudoGhost 01:39, 26 November 2012 (UTC)
mircea_popescu: still not fully restored power in manhattan have they ?
coingenuity: as they fix the situation there with roads and electricity etc the delay will vanish pretty rapidly, but nothing we can do about freaksize hurricanes... yet!
coingenuity: so there's a bit of a delay on specific items, but we're letting folks know as needed
coingenuity: certain manufacturers are based in the manhatten area, they got hit REALLY hard in the hurricane
coingenuity: ya, thanks, let my staff know to speak to him
mircea_popescu: a ok. just thought you'd want to know.
coingenuity: we've let those customers know via email
coingenuity: mircea_popescu: aye, some specific items are delayed due to the hurricane in the USA
dub: I've had some rather arduous irc jobs before, never got paid though
mircea_popescu: how come you're not being paid to hang out
dub: paid btc to hand out on IRC, tough gig
mircea_popescu: dub it jumped the shark back in april.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla i made 4 btc off teh fish today
smickles: lol, that sudoghost guy didn't see the connection between a e-currency modeled on the idea of Libertarian economist and Bitcoin
mircea_popescu: judging by calls closing i guess there's not going to be much more of a jump.
mircea_popescu: basically an value investing vs efficient market theory vote.
gribble: Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 21:49:14 2012 UTC | Time remaining: 2 days, 20 hours, 40 minutes, and 0 seconds.
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 12.49737, Best ask: 12.49738, Bid-ask spread: 0.00001, Last trade: 12.49737, 24 hour volume: 24521.28612267, 24 hour low: 12.31250, 24 hour high: 12.60000, 24 hour vwap: 12.49009
mircea_popescu: at least he doesn't seem to be targetting you particularly.
mircea_popescu: because btc doesn't work for retail, that'd be why.
mircea_popescu: Stopped by Meze Grill today. It was one of my must-visit places during my trip to NY. The food was DELICIOUS! But, I was informed that they don't take Bitcoin any more. "It didn't work out" Anyone have any idea why?
mircea_popescu: i don't think he understands much of what's going on around him.
jurov: i'll prolly put it into btctalk profile "accused of addting activity to mpex charts"
jurov: i can't stop giggling over that accusation
dub: safe to class it as 'too stupid to warrant further interaction'
mircea_popescu: pretty much the only problems i know of.
jurov: You did this as to show some activity on your site. You forgot to mention that the activity is from you, the owner of the site. Do you think this is OK?
thestringpuller: I want you to show me if you can get far
thestringpuller: alright we're here just sittin in the car
pigeons: gambling addict "don't loan to me" asks for another loan: https://btcjam.com/listings/682
jurov: i got to "full member" only recently after several months of semi-daily visits
jurov: prolly everyone want to be hero members of btctalk
Ukto: I dont think a single person expected it
Ukto: lol, to be expeted with the rabbit he pulled out of the hat :P
mircea_popescu: what exactly do those people have to say ?!
mircea_popescu: mother of god, giga's thread is on page 72 ? was 64 yest
jurov: me too. exactly.
mircea_popescu: none of that "secret business" bs.
Ukto: if someone cant explain where the money comes from to pay the divs
Ukto: I also dont want a certin someone >,> to go labeling my system as the asset sesspool. :P
mircea_popescu: Ukto it's how teramining was gonna go.
Ukto: I mean, there _are_ some good ppl, with good intentions, who wanna do things like mutual funds
Ukto: and put a giant red flag on the asset
Ukto: and the only real opton I can come up wiht for doing "funds" non-backed things like rigs, but the passthroughs, etc.. is to just do it
Ukto: I keep thinking about it
mircea_popescu: Manual of Fail. A Textbook.
Ukto: if you dont know the answer, then you have not been paying attention to Nefario's history.
mircea_popescu: literally, there is no longer any possiblity, no matter how theoretical. all has been used.
mircea_popescu: at this point ?
mircea_popescu: "It is not only GLBSE users that did not file claims or got double payments, some users that filed their claims and did not receive double payments are also not on the lists. "
jurov: oh that's a guy??? i read that as "grandma"... *hides*
mircea_popescu: ahaha the guy kciks ass
smickles: lol, ok, segfault when trying to encode the image
jurov: granted, there were some mysterious symbols, nowadays it's all like s.mpoe
jurov: orly, someone misses glbse ticker?
pigeons: i'm going to make up for the lack of a glbse ticker by pasting semi-random links: http://offbeatchina.com/modeling-for-teen-girl-clothes-on-tmall-72-year-old-grandpa-from-becomes-internet-sensation
gribble: Error: I am not seeing this user on IRC. If you want information about a registered gpg user, try the 'gpg info' command instead.
jurov: one would probably need spy plane/satellite to scan it :P
smickles: pigeons: lol, i was just thinking of producing the blockchain in qr format for the fun of it
smickles: is that the correct name?
gribble: Error: User doesn't exist in the Rating or GPG databases. User must be GPG-registered to receive ratings.
mircea_popescu: ;;rate Bargheimer 1 Runs the biggest fish game. Nice coding.
gribble: Estimated time of bitcoin block reward halving: Wed Nov 28 21:32:13 2012 UTC | Time remaining: 2 days, 23 hours, 10 minutes, and 0 seconds.
smickles: it hit the second tranche
smickles: anyone know how to replicate this?
Ukto: all i know is that mircea_popescu had linked this url this morning
dub: using the dns I get a 404
Ukto: not that i quote know how it works
jurov: and to think it has catched dust unused for few months...
jurov: lmao the bot looks like most profitable mpex venture of mine :p
knotwork: since they all did i am guessing they maybe didnt take a bump at all but, rather, litecoin went up briefly then back down
knotwork: ahh its really clear in http://galaxies.mygamesonline.org/plotsharesinltc.html that shares took a bump in terms of litecoin but recovered
knotwork: kind of looks like down a little for t least some of them
knotwork: damn i turned the mousing thing off so i could make the chart bigger, but that turned off the ability to zoom, i can hardly really see if its downticks or just levelled off
knotwork: ok they are up
knotwork: it has been like oh gosh is Martian BotCoin doing what bitcoin did back when bitcoin topped oout over $30 ???
knotwork: log scale makes the skyrockets look so un-dramatic! its almost worth not being able to see the low valued assets on non-log scale jsut so you can see how exciting the skyrockets were really looking
knotwork: ahh finally the latest sets of numbers are complete and i can plot new plots
knotwork: and if i do sell some of it, well it was looking like something might have to be sold anyway so what the heck
knotwork: basically its like hey I have two things I can sell, but maybe if I sell people the option to buy one or to sell me (at les than i sell it of course) one, i can make money on my inventory without even necesaarily selling it
smickles: heh, not much looing into, calls and puts are essentiall the same thing if you know how to look at it
knotwork: so pick any pair of this and that you have plenty of on hand and can no longer get as high interest on by loaning it
knotwork: those are the ones having the interest rates crunch, so they are thinking hey maybe we can set up safe options, where we sell options to make a secure income on our heaps of this and that
knotwork: well those smooth lines on the plots are of course the folks mostly valued by their compound interest deals theey have/had
knotwork: sorry i mixed up x and y axes, its y that is log, x is time
Ukto: cant be able to post options on somethign that you cant enforce
Ukto: to be able to option it out
Ukto: just have to setup an mpex account, and ppl have to xfer the mpex shares to that account
Ukto: and offering options on mpex assets from the new asset system wouldnt be hard tbh