log☇︎
923900+ entries in 0.648s
mircea_popescu: hopefully the hos are doing it nude while balancing sandwich plates.
mircea_popescu: yeah totally. we need more huffpo intelligent bitcoin discussion
mircea_popescu: @maxkeiser 5h Could a Patent Lawsuit Take Down the Bitcoin Exchanges Like MtGox???
ThickAsThieves: fo fuck you twins
mircea_popescu: everyone claiming 100k btc like it's a trend
mircea_popescu: Winklevii — as they are popularly known — say they own nearly 1 percent of that, or some $11 million.
Bugpowder: I hope the vwap never goes below 122.
jborkl_: I have some money on there and know what price I am putting my limit at- I hope it gets filled
Bugpowder: Just for the love of god... don't place a market order.
jborkl_: there were 15000 accounts waiting in the Q
jborkl_: it is going to be fun
jborkl_: but they will not, Gox is full of noobs that will be hitting sell and f5
ThickAsThieves: i think people will need to use outside exchanges as reference
ThickAsThieves: greed is on both ends though
Bugpowder: I think greed will defeat fear in the end
mircea_popescu: watch it sit glued in the mp range
taub: think we might actually see a little recovery in the meantime, 99-120
mircea_popescu: it's just funny, where they put the apostille, on your cock ?
Bugpowder: otherwise its too much of a pita
Bugpowder: If you are apostilled you proably have 500k on the exchange
Bugpowder: there are tight withdrawl lmits
ThickAsThieves: only btc there, will be from people that fear/dislike/cant deal in fiat on other exchanges
jborkl_: the ? is how much of that cash has been requested for withdrawal
Bugpowder: tons of cash off the books right now
Bugpowder: there is some captive BTC too
mircea_popescu: jborkl_ well there's capitve cash on mtgox
Bugpowder: better to go for a big spread on your bid/ask, and not get filled, then to go for a narrow spread and get stuck in a losing position having scalped 10%
jborkl_: Good bet for bitbet- mt gox trading engines strokes out in 10 minutes or less
Bugpowder: and then crash
Bugpowder: And then explode up
ThickAsThieves: due to the fact there is so much uncertainty, i think a likely scenario is a repate of last nights oscilations
Bugpowder: Be aware that people will over react to every move
jborkl_: Yeah, the only way I see it ending up ok is if Gox has lined up buyers ahead of time
gribble: There are currently 33641.267 bitcoins demanded at or over 50.0 USD, worth 2504465.676 USD in total. | Data vintage: 16.6801 seconds
gribble: There are currently 94194264 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 5227579.67567 USD in total. | Data vintage: 12.8424 seconds
Bugpowder: We could be in for the mother of all spike ripples
mircea_popescu: that's why you don't want idiots like mtgox involved in situations like these.
jborkl_: bugpowder- since only people with $ on Gox can buy - and so many bitcoins to sell -Unless Gox bust trades or limits somehow
ThickAsThieves: is that the bid book will be so thin
ThickAsThieves: only thing counterbalancing that
ThickAsThieves: i'm having trouble seeing the price drop lower than on outside exchanges
Bugpowder: would love to hear what people think
Bugpowder: The question now is, what is the right play when gox opens?
Bugpowder: it's very tempting to shoot off about specific $ figures, but also stupid to.. Also, whether you are trading $1,000,000 or $100, your emotions are probably more coupled to what % of your net worth is on the line, rather than a specific dollar value
TomServo: np, didn't mean to intrude
unbalanced: Wicked trading.
Bugpowder: Not going to state specific position sizes anymore
TomServo: Bugpowder: how much was the 'bunch of cash' you had on gox before those trades?
Bugpowder: We may be moving into a new market pattern now though, so the strategies I exploited for the last 3 months may no longer work
Bugpowder: Also I bougt on gox today at 121, right beofre they shut down... Doh!
Bugpowder: The sharp move followed by osciallation is classic though
Bugpowder: either that or I have been burned enough to learn common patterns, and have cashed out enough so that I'm comfortable making big bets without pissing myself
Namworld: But then sold the BTC for USD at 250 =P
Namworld: I sold VTX at 0.20 ... in the low
Namworld: I'm doing well on that too... at least I'm on the green overall. But I'm not that accurate =P
Namworld: bugpowder... how do you trade call/puts and Gox so well?
Bugpowder: tough part is getting the orders in 10-15 minutes before they need to go off.
taub: just the stagnation?
taub: how did you feel out the first buy?
taub: nice trades
Bugpowder: 5% of total stack in each
Bugpowder: To make myself feel better.... I present my trades of yesterday
taub: nNotice how btc-e has been running on 50% gox volume the last couple hours without having "success"?
guruvan: yeah - I feel that...I usually keep my btc-e acct cleaned out.....I don't hold anything there
Bugpowder: I won't use anywhere without 2FA. I have too much on gox right now
guruvan: should raise the price ;)
guruvan: tough if you need easy usd in or out, but you're trading for btc you can do well with trade fees only .2%
guruvan: Bugpowder: I've been using btc-e - I wish to god they had 2FA, but man....they have some DDOS protection.
pigeons: the alternatives are only better the rare occasions thye have enough depth
pigeons: btce got hacked and lost money but they ate it
pigeons: "got hacked" in the bitcoin sense, where who knows if its true mybitcoin
pigeons: ThickAsThieves: bitfloor got hacked, said sorry, your moneys gone, come trade with us anyway
ThickAsThieves: whats the 25k bitfloor story? i have some cash there...
jborkl_: yes, I dont think 5-6 hours it is going to happen
guruvan: well....opening up the floodgates for pent-up demand is reeeealy hard on big systems like they have
jborkl_: so, 5-6 hours - I am not thinking is going to work out well for them
jborkl_: well, i sent a small amount to Gox, 9 confirms - no show in my account
jcpham: masters of subversion, now out of the crypto-closet
kakobrekla: howmuch till the gox opens again?
guruvan: (I haven't been all that flush for a lot of it, but I only started with $1500)
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 118.95000, Best ask: 124.90000, Bid-ask spread: 5.95000, Last trade: 124.90000, 24 hour volume: 175853.75589845, 24 hour low: 110.20003, 24 hour high: 203.00000, 24 hour vwap: 159.51856
guruvan: lol - I live in a tiny little town ....there's no jobs....gotta make your own.
MJR_: but till then, work harder
MJR_: soon they will both be the same thing
MJR_: i do what i have to in order to make money
guruvan: I have to earn money from my business......no two ways about it - no burn rate possible here
MJR_: well...you can, i am not saying that it doesn't work out well in some cases
MJR_: but that is my mentality, i'm not used to people giving you money to make your dreams come true
MJR_: and i expect to reap the rewards from my equity
MJR_: i use my salary to fund my life
guruvan: I have to agree.
MJR_: i personally think that if you aren't in the irc channel, learning, and actually care about bitcoin, it will show
guruvan: successful startups do have a plan - it's the VCs who often don't
MJR_: it is the hot ticket item of the day
MJR_: entrepreneurship should be bringing together the pieces to create something more valuable than the sum of its parts
guruvan: no but wee'll see plenty silicon valley startups that it does apply to in the bitcoin biz
MJR_: i also don't like that mentality, i like good solid plans that make sense
guruvan: no - it's not, but it's great for the "thow a buncha shit on the wall and see what sticks" venture capitalist mentality
MJR_: BUT...i'm not saying that applies to coinsetter
MJR_: in some ways, VC's do a disservice by telling people that they are great, when they haven't done anything yet