log☇︎
795300+ entries in 0.58s
mircea_popescu: you're trapped in this mental representation wherein stuff can only happen with permission. this is not how things happen. your choice is whether you're on the boat when it sails or not.
herbijudlestoids: implication is that its no longer possible to exchange USD for something with any sort of future value...
mircea_popescu: lol. listen to them go
mircea_popescu: ahahaha! HAS TO ?
mircea_popescu: “The Bitcoin ecosystem of companies and investors has to engage to allay real concerns and avoid being pigeonholed by policy makers,” Klein said.
herbijudlestoids: yet it could still go to 50k?
decimation: It's a huge thing for New Yorkers indeed.
mircea_popescu: "This is possibly the last chance to take those piles of fundamentally worthless US dollars and use them for something with any sort of future value."
ozbot: The future of Bitcoin regulation pe Trilema - Un blog de Mircea Popescu.
decimation: ?That?s a huge thing, for the country and New Yorkers,? Lawsky said.
decimation: Lawsky at times sympathized with the goals of the investors at the hearing, complaining that it could take ?days? to pay his credit card from a bank account. And he criticized fees immigrants pay to send money home, and welcomed the chance to use Bitcoin to reduce the costs.
Dimsler_: well i dont' really want to deal with the west
mircea_popescu: etition at this level. If things don’t get fixed soon the only thing that we’ll be able to say for sure about Bitcoin regulation will be that it won’t be written in English, and it won’t consider US interests or sensibilities."
mircea_popescu: "Nobody will care that the original paper may have been written by an American and the original discussion on the long forgotten original Bitcoin forum was carried in English. I can deal just as well with Russian investors, I can deal just as well with Chinese investors, Bitcoin is completely neutral from a cultural perspective. This neutrality means that cultures will have to compete. So far the US is losing this comp
mircea_popescu: “If that same company can be started in the U.K. or Germany, maybe that innovation just gets pushed offshore,” Liew said.
Dimsler_: from the historical research on bubles i've read
Dimsler_: i think the run up will be one that nobody will be expecting
Dimsler_: i think 50k will be possible
decimation: It's because a few indiviuals in key positions think they can ride the wave of terror to power
mircea_popescu: i guess with the extra "watch us fail" boost 10k may even be possible
decimation: It's going to go to > 1 mil based on this stuff
mircea_popescu: bitcoin was taken to $10 by lulz, to $100 by lulz and drama and to $1000 by lulz, drama and mining.
decimation: The hilarious part to me is that they think their "bitlicense" will allow to them dictate to bitcoin, rather than the other way around
mircea_popescu: it's funny tho, making exactly the wrong moves. you couldn't pay them to be this conveniently stupid.
decimation: Indeed. Exactly as you predicted, the regulators are more than happy to cede currency regulation to Bitcoin, if Bitcoin allows them to crowbar their banks.
mircea_popescu: “If the choice for regulators is to permit money laundering on the one hand, or to permit innovation on the other, we are always going to choose squelching the money laundering first,” Lawsky said at the hearing. ☟︎
mircea_popescu: lol new york, trying hard to outdo new jersey
ozbot: New York State Regulator Promises Tough Bitcoin Rules - Bloomberg Law
mircea_popescu: the mark of the true junkie : he keeps a stable of dealers, rather than the other way around
mircea_popescu: be so kind not to modify my statements by your discussions with third parties eh :D
decimation: Do you think the triangle is in a simliarly precarious position?
mircea_popescu: doesn't mean it's bad. just means it's much better at other things.
mircea_popescu: herbijudlestoids i merely said that out of the various functions, that happens to be the one it does worst.
herbijudlestoids: err if bitcoin is contingent on coordination then the statement "bitcoin just is" is false.
decimation: In the same way, the US political parties stay in power even when both obviously operate against the interests of those who are coordinating
decimation: well, what I was attempting to convey was the idea that bitcoin is contingent on coordination amoung many in a mysterious way
herbijudlestoids: or even the type of answer
herbijudlestoids: decimation: not really sure what your comment re republocrats was about, very far from the answer i was looking for
herbijudlestoids: ok, well im not really sure how bitcoin not being used for retail makes it a bad MoE, but ok thats your view
decimation: I donno, I came to bitcoin via Mr. Yarvin. In retrospect his doubts about Bitcoin look silly.
decimation: like, the bank knows about your actual credit riskiness, rather than just accepting fiat insurance
decimation: I'm also assuming the word "bank" means something different than the modern western concept
mircea_popescu: actually, to clarify, "takes over" != "replaces".
decimation: There's no reason in principle why one couldn't extend bank credit which is convertible to claims on BTC
mircea_popescu: much like... no 1800s woman on her knees polishing the floors is much represented in the modern vacuum cleanner.
mircea_popescu: but btc will dictate how these look and how they work and how they feel and even what retail is.
mircea_popescu: you're going to have stuff built on top of btc to handle the subsidiary and marginal task of retail.
herbijudlestoids: well, i assume your "everything" includes direct means of payment for retail things, since you included even facebook ecash or whatever in your list of things it is to replace
mircea_popescu: has electricity replaced female labour in the house or hasn't it ?
mircea_popescu: where's the contradiction ?
herbijudlestoids: if it is to replace everything, how can it also "never be a direct means of payment for retail anything"
mircea_popescu: i have no idea. there's like 7k or so full nodes iirc.
decimation: LoL that German youtube guy "Der Diktator der Kunst ist Ideal."
herbijudlestoids: mircea_popescu: the comment you sent me seems to directly contradict your statement that bitcoin will replace everything
kakobrekla: i dunno, i do not study these things.
herbijudlestoids: decimation: wut? is that seriously the answer?
mircea_popescu: since i'm doing a trilema retrospective apparently, here, see that : http://trilema.com/2013/bitcoin-prices-bitcoin-inflexibility/#comment-92015
decimation: yet they don't
decimation: there's no reason why they exist really, everyone could change their minds tomorrow
decimation: It exists just like the democrats and republicans exist
mircea_popescu: herbijudlestoids ironically, the medium of exchange function is the thing at which bitcoin sucks worst.
herbijudlestoids: can you please explain for us retards, how "bitcoin just is"? considering it requires a globally distributed network of hosts to constantly verify and transact? fractures introduced to the network topology, or similar, seem to argue against the idea that bitcoin is simply a mathematical construct. you need compute power and communication to implement and distribute the construct
CheckDavid: how does gresham's apply to bitcoin'
decimation: he underestimated the avarice of those who would influence USG decisionmaking
decimation: I think Mr. Yarvin was correct in his analysis about the game theory of bitcoin saving
herbijudlestoids: also i dont think bitcoin is worthless, i think it has a considerable value as a medium of exchange
herbijudlestoids: although i would posit that considering the nature of centralisation of the internet currently, it might not be that hard for the USG to do so
herbijudlestoids: hmmm well i would never have argued that the USG will shutdown bitcoin or that bitcoin will be worthless, those seem like two stupid things to bet on
mircea_popescu: and you'll be well advised to take note that for all his childish posturing a) yarvin capitulated and tried to make his own bitcoin
mircea_popescu: for that matter, moldbug is still shy on my bet
herbijudlestoids: mircea_popescu: appreciate that
mircea_popescu: you gotta appreciate this position is in no way novel to me, you know.
herbijudlestoids: i think youre a pretty smart guy, dont really want to get into a full blown thing so i will just say i disagree that through the lens of greshams law, bitcoin is the "strong currency" which savers have a preference to save in. if youre interested in maybe considering a different view heres FOFOA on the topic (a bit long) http://fofoa.blogspot.com.au/2011/06/bitcoin-open-forum-part-3.html
mircea_popescu: in any dispute of currency the more fungible wins, period.
mircea_popescu: (in that no court can order the de-fungibilisation of bitcoin)
mircea_popescu: other than the statistical reason (ie, bitcoin is the strong currency because of its history) there are actually legions of other reasons. bitcoin is fungible, unlike any other fiat
mircea_popescu: it's a better model than the "marginal saver", in that it relies less on statistical artificery.
herbijudlestoids: im not really sure what any of the above has to do with greshams law lol
mircea_popescu: i guess. and obama is increasing the minimum wage, and more qe, and more bailouts, and so on and so forth.
jurov: oh, they did notice ever fattening stacks of bills
mircea_popescu: (much like the actual peasants of zimbabwe, what do they know of finance)
mircea_popescu: basically in the 2010-2014 the entire world had a zimbabwe moment ☟︎☟︎
mircea_popescu: no business in the history of business did anything like this
herbijudlestoids: i.e. what are those entities converting their productive surplus into
herbijudlestoids: you cant just call a currency the strong one for no reason. the use of a particular asset as a store of value by the marginal global saver(s) is what gives it that characteristic
herbijudlestoids: what they save in is the store of value
herbijudlestoids: preference to save is enforced by the marginal global saver
mircea_popescu: compared to anything else man made, bitcoin is adamantine.
mircea_popescu: merely the preference to save strong currencies and to spend weak ones ensures the price differential.
herbijudlestoids: am i wrong? do you expect theres enough liquidity for you to make a transition like that without any loss?
herbijudlestoids: i doubt you actually expect that your net worth denominated in BTC would be equal to a fraction if you tried to convert it all at once to say USD or whatever
mircea_popescu: this is like the intuition of everyone, but it's perfectly false. bitcoin works fine irrespective of what anyone does.
herbijudlestoids: well it works inasmuch as you can convince people to join the BTC economy and exchange real good and services, and in cases where you cant it doesnt work
mircea_popescu: fact is so far it did so work. what the future brings... the future knows.
mircea_popescu: im not trying to convince you. i merely made the previous points.
herbijudlestoids: i guess up to oyu if you wanna use 4Y ROC as proof of its viability as a store of value but i dont feel very convinced
mircea_popescu: those last two digits are the best two digits.
mircea_popescu: so on the right you get a % for free ?
mircea_popescu: where did you get the % from ?
mircea_popescu: some guy there is seriously named FICO ?