log☇︎
409500+ entries in 0.103s
mircea_popescu: which, on the strength of that alone, i find difficult to contest
mircea_popescu: more like "nothing that goes from 20 to 260 and then down to 60 has a future"
mircea_popescu: that was the entire point of yest's convo
mircea_popescu: as far as the bot is concerned, bitcoin is a dead horse it would seem.
mircea_popescu: this is something we've been discussing at length yest i thought ?
mircea_popescu: on the strength of what it saw in the charts.
mircea_popescu: basically the bot is of the opinion BTC is fucked,
mircea_popescu: the easy way to get 300 is to sell out.
mircea_popescu: yes well, you didn't. you started with 5 btc.
mircea_popescu: even if you count those at $6 each, it's hardly a loser compared to 30 bucks.
mircea_popescu: if you trade it for puts and btc goes to $6, you now have 44/6 * 5 = 35 btc or so.
mircea_popescu: if you keep it as btc and btc goes to $6, you have 30 bucks. so from a fiat perspective lost 90% of your fortune.
mircea_popescu: if you atm have 5.4035 btc, their value is whatever, 300 bucks.
mircea_popescu: ok, let's try the example then. [MPEX] [O.USD.P050T] 5 @ 1.080704 = 5.4035 BTC [+]
mircea_popescu: well... what's a best put ?
mircea_popescu: how so ?
mircea_popescu: pgp 1 is a max for calls, it has no particular relaiton to puts.
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves interesting.
mircea_popescu: i wonder if he learns by it. ☟︎
mircea_popescu: http://www.google.com/search?q=scott+locklin&tbs=qdr:d lol
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: on your teeth motherfucker. this is okay. because most retards are tauight how to write and nothing else, then given internet access.
mircea_popescu: "he's a young dentist learning dentistry".
mircea_popescu: that's exactly what i[m talking about.
mircea_popescu: "young entrepreneurs learning the business" heh.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla how much you got locked there ?
mircea_popescu: doesn't seem likely. i have no idea who'd fix ror code.
mircea_popescu: would have been codebase licensing. for fixing etc.
mircea_popescu: the bitcoinica victims, one of their avenues to recover something of their lost money
mircea_popescu: but! they didn;t obtain permission!
mircea_popescu: you scam, you're dead.
mircea_popescu: build a temple to satoshi ? mnope, doesn't do it.
mircea_popescu: repaying all his debts ? nope, doesn't do it.
mircea_popescu: nothing at all.
mircea_popescu: there's currently absolutely nothing jared kenna can do to become a bitcoin business person again.
mircea_popescu: dead.
mircea_popescu: there must be standards, and if those standards are breached the person must be dead.
mircea_popescu: this will ensure bitcoin's failure on the long term if allowed to continue.
mircea_popescu: if you go by them there is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING one can do to fuck up.
mircea_popescu: currently bitcoin contains this throng of idiots who literally have no standard.
mircea_popescu: no.
mircea_popescu: what more ? what more could one do to be untrustworthy ?
mircea_popescu: they are using the bitcoinica codebase they've stolen ffs.
mircea_popescu: i am boggled anyone'd take that thing seriously.
mircea_popescu: i guess another religion confronts its intellectual bankruptcy.
mircea_popescu: @DalaiLama It’s unrealistic to think that the future of humanity can be achieved only on the basis of prayer, what we need is to take action.
mircea_popescu: notrly.
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller i thought he was getting out of brokering ?
mircea_popescu: because more girls need a good whipping than need money at all.
mircea_popescu: srsly. learn how to handle a whip and rope.
mircea_popescu: heh. i guess the rebellious youth of these days no longer reads sartre & co huh.
mircea_popescu: everybody dies alone.
mircea_popescu: you do ?
mircea_popescu: can't he love me ?
mircea_popescu: heh.
mircea_popescu: i don't smoke.
mircea_popescu: BitHub this chan has a strict no fag policy.
mircea_popescu: ezdiy no u.
mircea_popescu: ahaha
mircea_popescu: yeah, i agree.
mircea_popescu: girls don't mind eating a girl out once they figure out it's safe.
mircea_popescu: a
mircea_popescu: what ?
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder why not tell them ?
mircea_popescu: they're the only ones that can go yes or no on the first presentation and stick to it.
mircea_popescu: ezdiy it only works with self respecting people.
mircea_popescu: haha i missed an s in there to great benefit.
mircea_popescu: works with women, too. ask her out. she fails to accept... well... he'll have to work at it next time.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder this is incidentally why i never raise offers. i make an offer. any further discussion is met with a deduction from the offer.
mircea_popescu: ello
mircea_popescu: 1/99 really is 0/100 after 72 tries or somesuch
mircea_popescu: well... the old black swan. 'it never happened therefore it's impossible" fallacy.
mircea_popescu: he is, he is.
mircea_popescu: this as a restatement of taleb's ideas.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder also someone will tend to represent a 49/51 chance as a 33/66 chance and a 1/99 chance as a 0/100 chance.
mircea_popescu: (ie, imagined threat). nao what ?
mircea_popescu: replace wolves with terrorists.
mircea_popescu: we just don't have that many different things available.
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves i'm always wary when someone proposes something is different from something else.
mircea_popescu: actually the proof of this would be a huge step forward in economic theory.
mircea_popescu: is the same as the difference between the strategy of martingale and the strategy of playing s.dice
mircea_popescu: i think statistically the difference between the strategy of averaging in and the strategy of timing the top
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves to put it simply : the more close to common thought you are, the less likely it is to be correct. the further out you are the higher chances for you to be wrong. this is how thinking about bubbles works.
mircea_popescu: such as, airplanes were made in the 1900s. ants are still not made.
mircea_popescu: and something being simple does not make it easy.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder "I can calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people."
mircea_popescu: 1. we don't really know what it looks like ; 2 we've never constructed it.
mircea_popescu: this is like saying knowing what democracy looks like we can now construct it.
mircea_popescu: not really.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder we have, of course, newton's famous quote.
mircea_popescu: sounds like torture
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder i always suspected the "fight" or "Game" representation of markets is an artefact of the american mind and has nothing to do with market reality.
mircea_popescu: deadweasel sorta like dreams work.
mircea_popescu: leaving aside the quite typical cypriot failure mode of capital controls (ie, corruption), it still doesn't work.
mircea_popescu: did not help.
mircea_popescu: well... mtgox is the most extreme case of capital controls i've ever seen implemented.
mircea_popescu: for instance : the common wisdom is that capital controls help volatile macrofinancial situations.
mircea_popescu: it is a bounty of information and case study for actual economical discussion however.
mircea_popescu: 7.8 15 minutes ago
mircea_popescu: i wonder if their concrete prefab building can take it.