log☇︎
320500+ entries in 0.19s
asciilifeform: and, like most folks direly missing a tool, come to believe that 'i don't need screwdriver, hammer's claw in expert hands is always just as good or better'
asciilifeform: kakobrekla: my current understanding, based not only on this incident but others, is that he has pretty good (world class?) humint, but atrocious sigint
assbot: The greatly anticipated BitBet (S.BBET) February 2016 Statement on Trilema - A blog by Mircea Popescu. ... ( http://bit.ly/1MiRvWO )
kakobrekla: PeterL re the solution i proposed shortly after the disaster, see footnote for explanation http://trilema.com/2016/the-greatly-anticipated-bitbet-sbbet-february-2016-statement/#footnote_3_65290
phf: PeterL: right, banks have a kind of wot when they deal with each other, quantified as collateral against credit exposure
asciilifeform: certainly i lack the lsd to process the sheer number of my-intel-told-me-so-and-you-will-take-it-on-faith-because-dirigible-and-fuckyou
asciilifeform: he can correct me if this is not a valid summary, when he wakes up.
asciilifeform: that is, that miners do not prb and are not affected by prbism.
asciilifeform: kakobrekla: iirc it is specifically mircea_popescu's position that not-this.
PeterL: Or it can be viewed in terms of WoT, random guy off the street has no trust from bitbet that he won't doublespend, bitbet has been holding the coins and thus has implicit trust from guy that he will get paid eventually
kakobrekla: even further, when chinese miners were asked about blocksize it was "we dunno, it should be up to core devs, they know what is best"
assbot: Logged on 03-07-2015 21:25:49; kakobrekla: but 'miners' are zombies, will eat whatever comes their way and cant count on them thinking about anything
assbot: Logged on 14-03-2016 19:09:28; asciilifeform: it ought not to have been possible for the miners to agree on this.
kakobrekla: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=14-03-2016#1432588 -> http://log.bitcoin-assets.com//?date=03-07-2015#1185942 and further: core devs made the change in 'prb', miners ate it without thinking twice for the benefits visible on the surface. secondly, block reward is too high for / tx fees too low to expect any heavy optimizations for maximizing fees beyond most simplistic or default ☝︎☝︎
phf: PeterL: i think counterparty problem is asymmetrical. that's your collateral is higher then BoA's collateral when you establish partnership
assbot: 1 results for 'from:mircea_popescu tmsr deficit' : http://s.b-a.link/?q=from%3Amircea_popescu+tmsr+deficit
asciilifeform: !s from:mircea_popescu tmsr deficit
solrodar: they chose not to charge it to the company, therefore it didn't count
assbot: Logged on 14-03-2016 18:23:03; mircea_popescu: solrodar mno. you may not realise this, but bitbet has to date clocked close to 2k hours of admin time. and this is pointedly not minimum wage sort of work.
asciilifeform: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=14-03-2016#1432495 << just how deeply in the red ~was~ bbet, if we consider this ..? ☝︎
asciilifeform: PeterL: this must be so because if this were not so, we have buluceala.
PeterL: but would bitbet also extend such to their customers? they seem to be pretty firm about if it is not in the block before bet resolves it becomes a donation to shareholders
PeterL: and then payment was not late just because it was a long time getting into block
PeterL: although, I gues accounting-wise you could say you were paid the day the transaction was created, rather than the day it goes into block
asciilifeform: this is the historic norm, when there was no blockchain, only stone knives and bearskins.
asciilifeform: it is the job of the payer to sign a valid tx, from valid inputs.
PeterL: but that does not stop doublespends?
asciilifeform: rather than 'wait for the miners'
asciilifeform: which is, to define 'being paid in btc' as 'be shown a valid tx that pays you'
asciilifeform: fwiw, i actually thought that mircea_popescu & kakobrekla's original proposed solution was spiffy
PeterL: I still don't see the need for any malisciousness, just somebody holding it in some sort of "side mempool"
asciilifeform: i.e. that someone chose to make a particular exception from ordinary prb rules in order to ding bbet.
asciilifeform: PeterL: well the contention is that it was fired maliciously
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu described the high-S thing as noncontroversial, but for some reason it did not alarm him that miners could agree on something which theoretically leads to dropping PERFECTLY VALID TX on the floor ?!
PeterL: the fact that 0-fee txn eventually got mined shows that mp is not completely isolated from miners by prb?
asciilifeform: the failure of such a miner to exist is a game-theoretical smoking gun. ☟︎
PeterL: any miner who wants some extra fee-fees just has to sweep up all high-S txn?
asciilifeform: no-fee tx is only ~approximately~ this.
asciilifeform: there is not, reliably, such a thing.
PeterL: aha, so the high-S thing only proves the miners don't like it, you would need to find something the miners allow but prb does not
asciilifeform: it ought not to have been possible for the miners to agree on this. ☟︎☟︎
asciilifeform: the high-S thing was the most serious, imho, warning bell that there ~is~ such a thing as miner collusion
asciilifeform: (note, the protocol PERMITS a block with high-S tx. hence my suggestion to build a high-S-only pool.)
asciilifeform: PeterL: poor example, the extant miners somehow agreed not to mine high-S
PeterL: I guess he could specifically design a transaction which is not passed by prb, and see if it gets into blocks, which I think the high-S thing was an example?
asciilifeform: perhaps this is a failure of my puny brain, but i am at a loss as to what assurance mircea_popescu could possibly have had, and from whom, that there is not a prb vermin between mpb-net and the miner.
asciilifeform: learned this from al schwartz, and eminently confirmed in years since.
asciilifeform: i, for instance, will not deal with han chinese unless the deal is strictly cash&carry basis and involves no ongoing trust arrangement.
asciilifeform: and that whichever meatspace folk with whom he had peering arrangements, a) bamboozled him and/or b) were in turn bamboozled by their peers.
asciilifeform: the 'lighter weight', parsimonious hypothesis is that mpb-net was bamboozled by sybils. rather than miners.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: it is not actually my business how mircea_popescu transmits his tx, but since he chose to present the bbet matter in the tmsr public forum, rather than limiting it to folks 'whose business it is', i will say, that the mpb (client and network both) is a serious ?????? in the story. i have nfi how it works, and imho it actually matters for making sense of the observations.
mircea_popescu: mats the question under audit's not that ; not that it would prevent you from doing whatever.
assbot: Logged on 14-03-2016 18:40:42; mircea_popescu: why is that, if the question's not too presumptuous ?
mats: http://log.b-a.link/?date=14-03-2016#1432527 << as i've been reading it, the 17btc is still in dispute? i don't want to be in the position of resolving this, but i'd be happy to audit whatever coins still reside in s.bbet public (or not) addresses and publish results
assbot: Logged on 14-03-2016 17:25:50; asciilifeform: is this not how sport bet generally works ? BingoBoingo ?
BingoBoingo: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=14-03-2016#1432438 << Generally how the bet goes. blood taken over contest being a farce generally doesn't make it to bettors. ☝︎
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform if i didn't think so, the qntra piece would have read "fuck vc sybils already".
phf: well then
asciilifeform: but if mircea_popescu signed a statement that he transmits directly to the miners, and has no doubt that this is so, because he ran the cable himself, i will believe...
mircea_popescu: phf whatever people do with their private funds is their problem, the contract still says the shareholders get it.
phf: mircea_popescu: not from what you just said about you and kako paying out of the pocket
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: the bbet event suggested that there was at least one layer of prb between mircea_popescu and the miners.
PeterL: phf, to me the listing seems to say during liquidation shareholders get an even share?
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform can i relay directly to miners, or can't i ?
phf: PeterL: oh from ~sale~ you mean. i don't think that shareholders have any claim to sale. since it's a zero asset corporation, the only movable part is "bets come in, percentage collected, payment sent out". "assets" is the percentage that's collected at the end of month, and immediately distributed to shareholders. what is being sold is domain/codebase and a negotiation rights with mp for hosting. that was never funded by shareholders
asciilifeform: sybils putting transactions in their pocket and lying about the contents of their mempool, works.
asciilifeform: at no point did i state a belief in 'imperceptible miners', just observing that the miner collusion is not a necessary hypothesis re the bbet event.
thestringpuller: interesting how much chaos relay policies cause, whereas some want to completely change consensus rules
mircea_popescu: this model of (perceptible relay) + (imperceptible miners) is nonsense of the ilk of meta-nsa-in-the-sky.
asciilifeform: to which the miners connect. and likewise everyone else.
PeterL: oh, looked like you left out shareholders on that part
phf: PeterL: that is what i said
mircea_popescu: if not, then in what way ?
mircea_popescu: do they not exactly read "i, asciilifeform, hereby do declare there's no relay network other than the miner's own" ?
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: this is synthesis from earlier threads where you stated that yes, there are sybils, but your octopus of mpb connecting to various trusted folks, incl. over crypted links, is not sybilable
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform did you not say the words "mircea_popescu having a notion that he knows how to avoid connecting through them to the minerz" ?
asciilifeform: the 'is not stable' thing is pure handwaving.
asciilifeform: well if mircea_popescu demonstrated the logic whereby miner collusion is a necessary hypothesis, vs sybils alone, i must have slept through it ?
phf: so whatever %1's been collected so far is divided between mp,kako,shareholders with receiver making a call there, pay outs go to original addresses, assets are auctioned and the auction proceeds are split between mp,kako with receiver making call there
mircea_popescu: it just happens to be exactly what you said.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform funny how this goes.
assbot: Logged on 14-03-2016 18:39:24; mircea_popescu: asciilifeform> and possibly he is now cured of it. <<< amusingly - quite on the contrary! ~you~ had that notion, and appeared to stick to it even in the face of my pointing out that this arrangement is not stable, and only the miners could possibily be running the show.
asciilifeform: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=14-03-2016#1432524 << i STILL do not see the miners thing as a necessary hypothesis. ☝︎
mircea_popescu: if more people had at any point throughout the intervening tax seasons stopped and thought "hey, i made whatever, 100k dollars this year, of which i'm signing off 60k to usg - might as well send tmsr the 0.1% it charges in tax!" then perhaps the foundation would have enough money and i could just donate it there as an endpoint.
mircea_popescu: well, i'm not entirely sure it can charge 1% if it doesn't resolve the bets.
phf: so bitbet has 750.4 in open bets, 742.9 to pay out, 7.5 goes to shareholders/mp?
mircea_popescu: why is that, if the question's not too presumptuous ?
mats: jurov, i'm happy to do the audit but not act as receiver
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform> and possibly he is now cured of it. <<< amusingly - quite on the contrary! ~you~ had that notion, and appeared to stick to it even in the face of my pointing out that this arrangement is not stable, and only the miners could possibily be running the show. ☟︎
BingoBoingo: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=14-03-2016#1431962 << ty ☝︎
assbot: Logged on 13-03-2016 21:30:36; pete_dushenski: last one was nigh on two years ago now : http://www.contravex.com/2014/04/07/results-of-first-bitbet-audit-april-7-2014/
mircea_popescu: iirc originally a chunk was sold, then sometime early last year or perhaps late 2014 the remainder of the shares were distributed to the principals. iirc i didn't sell much, mostly now and again to try and temper overexcited price action. should be something like .5 to maybe 3mn shares outstanding depending how much kako himself sold.
solrodar: speaking of proceeds, how much of the bitbet IPO was ever completed?
mircea_popescu: but hey, if that's above what can be had, whatever, i'll build a shrine to allah / brothel / whatever out of the proceeds and that's that.
mircea_popescu: phf in general it'd be helpful if other avenues were found from this sort of situation. in any case it'd be good for bitcoin.
phf: i'm trying to compartmentalize where there's none, ultimately the whole thing is a counterparty problem, and only recourse is loss&negrate
mircea_popescu: it's a disease of the mind that i don't really think can be cured, just quarantined.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform> and don't need a 'speaker for.' <<< the problem with the democrat's mind is that he's been ruined by low effort "success" and so will forever be seeking this fantasy of a "silent electorate" to propel him through a life without labour.
mircea_popescu: so in this sense, bitbet's coffers ARE mp's coffers, and no separation is to be had.
mircea_popescu: phf there's no guarantee offered or even contemplated that bitcoin is not fungible.