log☇︎
220300+ entries in 0.15s
mircea_popescu: if the negotiations can't proceed, the thing fell apart.
mircea_popescu: i do. because it's the same thing.
ben_vulpes: you're conflating "things fall apart" with "texas threatens goldman sachs' control of paper gold price"
mircea_popescu: there isn't going to be a "us mil" if things fall apart. there wasn't a soviet one either.
trinque: asciilifeform: I would say my view of former USSR is as cartoonish as your present view of certain parts of north america you apparently haven't spent time in
mircea_popescu: if they shoot clinton now it'd not be in time either. in time for what.
mircea_popescu: well this can always be said eh.
asciilifeform: not in time.
asciilifeform: trinque: ~everybody in usa is a passable shot. so far dun seem to have prevented washington, lincoln, fdr, et al.
trinque: maybe that passed too quietly; the whole middle of the country can shoot, including the women
mircea_popescu: and the alternative here, ie, "federation", as in weimar republic exacrtly is strictly non workable because endothermic. and there's no heat to be had. not no mo.
asciilifeform: there ~are~, just as in every other part of the world, folx who can live on tree bark and make musket from old truck axle, etc.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform all nation building starts with killing the croat males and taking the females to the breeding pits.
asciilifeform: the 'we are autarkik paradise in the making, as soon as we eject the parasitic rest-of-continent' is only slightly less laughable re tx than re ca.
mircea_popescu: ben_vulpes i think you deeply misrepresent the rural folk.
trinque: liberal potheads save the day again
mircea_popescu: trinque should be interesting, esp seeing how the canabis state laws thing made it quite precedented.
trinque: texas would wrap adjoining states in monetary tentacles over time
trinque: same for anyone whose family moved to new england in the last 50 years
ben_vulpes: the oathkeepers are a notorious joke, and nobody's going to stand up to a commanding officer to defend the good people of texas, no matter how little the ordered disliked texans the day before.
mircea_popescu: moreover california losing about 10mn pop would be great for the planet
ben_vulpes: trinque: recall "the most important part is being wrong together" from the manning piece?
trinque: I don't think most of the continent wants to shoost tejas
asciilifeform: ben_vulpes: the mega-q imho is 'how many days can texaslandia survive without chinese plastic shipments restocking lolmarts'
ben_vulpes: then the gamble becomes "can tejas out-shoost the feds"
ben_vulpes: trinque: that project could kick off quite the conflict if it threatens the value of paper gold significantly.
mircea_popescu: the ideology is still there, just as recoverable today as it was in lincoln's day.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform dude, the idiot kids over at github aren't either civilisation or america
asciilifeform: but usa, like any mega-empire, had a motivatory idiology for the rubes, and said ideology is sinking, because the necessary chumpatronic rewards are increasingly unavailable.
trinque: but there's a kernel in there
a111: Logged on 2017-01-26 20:12 mircea_popescu: asciilifeform don't worry about it -- they had it two generations ago, and will get it again
asciilifeform: http://btcbase.org/log/2017-01-26#1607831 << well yes, it is a given that 'if everybody dies, the cockroaches/mongols/etc. will build own city, from 0' ☝︎
trinque: I really don't give a fuck if the outer husk becomes a nation
ben_vulpes: ferment your trash, fix your neighbors toilets, pray you can get through the long walk in the desert with friends.
mircea_popescu: evidently not everyone in there is good time sally-ing it throughout.
mircea_popescu: ben_vulpes it's not clear. maybe it finds itself a nation at the bottom of it.
mircea_popescu: they don't know it yet, but they're as dead as polish jews.
ben_vulpes: gimme that good debt, right to this clean vein.
mircea_popescu: the louder if useless city kids don't have it, but what they have or don't have is irrelevant - anyone with a social media profile is dead as of last week
ben_vulpes: yeah kind of what i'm saying. the currency degradation is utterly irreversible, and that's the us' death sentence, no matter how great again the temporary may feel.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform don't worry about it -- they had it two generations ago, and will get it again ☟︎
mircea_popescu: the us itself opted for it ; in preference of 4/8 years of increasingly tenous pretense to the contrary by some pantsuited clown.
a111: Logged on 2016-03-30 22:56 mircea_popescu: russia exists out of the tolerance to poverty of its women and the rich subsoil. not much call for the latter in the much slower economy of the future. so rather than buying bonds...
asciilifeform: http://btcbase.org/log/2016-03-30#1442347 << there was another, deeper thread re 'tolerance to poverty', the thing chinese have, and usa does not -- but i cannot seem to find ☝︎
mircea_popescu: the dollar is never again going to be anywhere near 1k / btc. that's cut and dried.
ben_vulpes: this may be so, but getting the dollar back to 1000/btc is going to be harder with every rod of rebar.
mircea_popescu: strong currency is counterproductive before the folks even have what to save.
mircea_popescu: japanese yen in the late 1800s
mircea_popescu: hence the early soviet ruble / 1970s renminbi etc
mircea_popescu: in fast times, the unlikely is a good predictor.
mircea_popescu: likely/unlikely is a decent heuristic in slow times.
ben_vulpes: comeback necessarily would have to entail sane monetary structure, which is even less likely than gutting the department of labor.
mircea_popescu: well... has time.
asciilifeform: 'american comeback' is a lulzy thing coming from folx who do not ~explicitly~ discuss the necessary crematoria
asciilifeform: and why even the advertised elbrus sits on 100% taiwanese chipset.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: not really clear to me , from here, that comeback is genuine. consider: where is 'elbrus'.
mircea_popescu: similarily, left state, purged the apparatus, came back out right ?
mircea_popescu: recall, the case of "comeback" that happened in your lifetime ?
mircea_popescu: this wouldn't be a civilisation comeback. on the contrary, it would be controlled civilisation demolishing. in preference of the inevitable alternative.
mircea_popescu: it won the popular vote and lost the electoral.
asciilifeform: what happened to 'moribund byzantium', 'all pasture in the city walls'
mircea_popescu: i think you deeply misrepresent just how easy sanity is.
asciilifeform: we can start as soon as mircea_popescu gets the landsknecht through the time machine booth
mircea_popescu: then trump can write De Belo Iraco.
mircea_popescu: tear down every last mosq, and sink the bricks.
mircea_popescu: and i mean it literally. either you're in the church or in the morgue.
mircea_popescu: what i said was, "make iraq 51st state, shoot everyone who refuses to attend sunday mass."
asciilifeform: in place of the old.
asciilifeform: or what, it oughta be tried with new, martian army?
asciilifeform: as for 'iraq as 51st state', we saw result of this attempt in 2003-present, neh..?
mircea_popescu: ben_vulpes totes.
trinque: I cannot see the error in that logic.
ben_vulpes: er "why you don't like the epa gutting"
ben_vulpes: "oh i see why you don't like the epa, they fucked up the white pennsylvanian red state people you hate so much. so it's cool that penn no longer has potable water, because they're vile trumpers, right?"
ben_vulpes: trinque: yeah actually that's a good one to roast liberals with.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform no. they did it because they were derps.
asciilifeform: which is why bush, reagan, et al, kept the derps around.
asciilifeform: usa dun really have a purge apparatus. or experience thereof.
ben_vulpes: gonna hear the same wail in re the fda as well, with the same response. "they fed us meth under doctors orders. kill them all."
trinque: this changes 0 in regards to what is beneath the soil
mircea_popescu: not so ; providing jobs for the new york times staff bfs.
ben_vulpes: stood by while the water table was ruind.
asciilifeform: ben_vulpes: was repurposed under obummer to fund climatism
trinque: I don't like the insane asylum in dc any more than anyone else
ben_vulpes: epa was doing fuck all in the first place.
trinque: why do you think the EPA is being gutted as we speak?
trinque: asciilifeform: the prospectors ~know
mircea_popescu: better ; you get the upper ones out this way.
asciilifeform: killing derps doesn't get the ruined expensive gear back.
ben_vulpes: put ten through get one out. almost as good for the body politic as war proper.
mircea_popescu: once chitlin get to look into the face of their own irrelevance, things get going in a jiffy.
mircea_popescu: fine, so they get skilled or they die.
mircea_popescu: random 20yo piucked off the street thinks it's his option as to whether he works oil rig or not.
ben_vulpes: asciilifeform: there are a zillion fracking taps the saudis 'tricked us' into putting in.
asciilifeform: trinque knows about reserves that the prospectors don't know about ? why he is not out drilling ?
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform it does, but for the reason above.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform and if it WERE a problem, make iraq 51st state, shoot everyone who refuses to attend sunday mass.
trinque: what the fuck imaginary world is this
ben_vulpes: yeah what fucking missing, there's shittons.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: where'll the missing 80% of petro come from