log☇︎
989400+ entries in 0.762s
kakobrekla: perhaps for the whole lot
mircea_popescu: is this for real ? pentium 4 buy now .3 btc ?
gribble: Rating entry successful. Your rating for user mircea_popescu has changed from -10 to 3.
kakobrekla: ;;rate mircea_popescu 3 made good on the deeds.
kakobrekla: alright, outweight the missing 0.074% of the settelment payment
mircea_popescu: sent you 1336 mBTC. YOU CAN SUE ME FOR THE OTHER ONE
kakobrekla: between the lines
kakobrekla: i gave it to you
gribble: Rating entry successful. Your rating for user mircea_popescu has changed from 2 to -10.
thestringpuller: but the bot is getting lent money
mircea_popescu: so you know... MPOE is the financial center of lending by a fat margin.
mircea_popescu: and in any event, i don't think THE ENTIRE world of BTC paid 2k interest on deposits last month.
thestringpuller: that amount of capital needed to trade drives up the price of capital expesnes
thestringpuller: because of that model the % was higher
thestringpuller: so the minimum asking was 9.9%?
mircea_popescu: cause that's what bondholders ask for. its an auction model
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller well people can always put their btc in more bonds
thestringpuller: why are the capital expenses so high?
thestringpuller: but it seems like the bot is getting reemed on the capital expenses
mircea_popescu: cause it needs a lot moar then
thestringpuller: half of it was you though
mircea_popescu: or 20k open then closed
mircea_popescu: if those are 2k open/close/open/close
mircea_popescu: the thing is see, if bot trades 20k contracts it matters A LOT
mircea_popescu: was huge capital base too.
thestringpuller: it's just the capital expenses that make it so tough
mircea_popescu: the other was some pennies in june i think
mircea_popescu: the bot itself only lost money two months out of 10
thestringpuller: you are the pimp the bot is the hoe
thestringpuller: but ideally the bot needs to make money
mircea_popescu: will receive it at the end of the current month.
mircea_popescu: they can ask for their capital back at any point
thestringpuller: can the bondholders exit their bond position and get their entire principle back in a liquidation event?
mircea_popescu: it ALWAYS makes money for shareholders on the grounds it can never lose any.
mircea_popescu: that;d be the shareholders.
thestringpuller: for you the busiess
mircea_popescu: well 1. you mean mpoe or the bot and 2. make money for whom ?
mircea_popescu: eventually you passively get all your capital back if the business sucks.
mircea_popescu: if the business makes enough to pay you 10% fine
mircea_popescu: basically, bondholders asked for 9.9%. mpoe made enough to pay ~5%. the rest came out of their capital, as a sort of amortisation of a bizzare kind
thestringpuller: so where does the profit come from?
mircea_popescu: its actually needed to pay interests
thestringpuller: that's taken from the bond
thestringpuller: so the -1961 needed to pay out positions on the contracts
smickles: mircea_popescu: i'm just suggesting to put the equivilant of this "1,961.31822035 BTC extra, which were also needed to pay the bondholders was actually taken out of their bonds" right under the -1`961.31822035
thestringpuller: in more areas than one (pun intended)
thestringpuller: so this makes much more sense
mircea_popescu: by now mpex is obscure enough to warrant a fucking qualification
mircea_popescu: i think ima end up hiring free accounting support for random members of the public
smickles: that way, unless there actually was a loss, the two would cancel each other out
mircea_popescu: i suspect that'd make it more c onfusing.
smickles: mircea_popescu: or, you could but a line item in underneat the 'loss' line explaining that X of the loss was returned principle
mircea_popescu: smickles yeah i guess, but for one i'd end up with having to round interests.
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller see -pr's explanation to rassah https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=124441.msg1386249#msg1386249
thestringpuller: but the bond rate made it so half of that wa returned
smickles: mircea_popescu: if you capped the % to not return principle, it wouldn't show a loss
mircea_popescu: smickles i really have to come up with a better accounting scheme for this, it confuses EVERYBODY
thestringpuller: so how is that a profit?
thestringpuller: who pys the 9.9 percent mpoe?
mircea_popescu: but because it used ~40k btc to insure its trades and they ended up auctioned for like 9.9%
mircea_popescu: well, take nov. the bot made about 2k btc trading about 20k each way.
smickles: thestringpuller: basically, the bondholders took some of their own principal
mircea_popescu: due to the cost of capital involved.
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller the bot itself turning a profit and mpoe showing a profit are diff things
mircea_popescu: so flash contest : first to correctly identify the money in the clip gets 0.1337 btc. http://trilema.com/2010/portret-al-artistului-la-tinerete/
mircea_popescu: othwise futures markets fail to work, as icbit is on the verge of proving
thestringpuller: is it just because that's the way contracts were always done?
thestringpuller: mircea_popescu: what value do you see physical delivery bringing to btc?
smickles: I just need to be reasonably sure that it's not illegal for you to do ;)
thestringpuller: I think as mircea_popescu said, it'd be more like a contract settler
smickles: but, as I am trying to become a CPA in the future, there are ethical guidelines I need to adhere too
thestringpuller: “The thing that needs to be emphasized is that futures contracts are risk management tools,” Harangody says. “They are not intended to be procurement contracts” due to the expense and difficulty of meeting the exchange’s requirements. It’s easier to exit your responsibilities in the futures contract and go into the spot market and buy or sell those commodities, he adds.
smickles: thestringpuller: essentially, if you set up a foreign company to do this, and get a lawer to look it over and say it's ok, then I could
smickles: thestringpuller: I don't think I could take you on as a client if I suspected your business operated in violation of the gov't's rules
EskimoBob: figure out your businessmodel and for start, test it on paper
EskimoBob: ask yourself: what is the value I am offering to my clients?
EskimoBob: what is the point?
thestringpuller: dude that's not the point eskimo
EskimoBob: do they?
smickles: heh, thestringpuller i don't see anything about the accountant needing to be registered with the nfa
thestringpuller: smickles: i refuse to be regulated, if money launderers want to by lots of coffee let them
EskimoBob: and that's why I am telling to use distributors that are set in those countries. Not sure, what the value is you actually add to the deal but this is up to you to figure out ;)
thestringpuller: even if the physical side oftheoperation is being run by romanian orphans
EskimoBob: you can live where ever you want but you need to have a actual company in those countries :)
thestringpuller: there's gotta be away to live here and operate it
smickles: so if you want to do this, you either need to 'know your customer' or not live in 'merica
mircea_popescu: smickles at the leves involved i would imagine this would simply count as contract sourcing.
EskimoBob: for start. Go sell a bag of beans you get wfom local whole seller and see what happens. Then try to buy a bag from X and send get it to your destination Y and see, what happens.
smickles: ah, thestringpuller foreign business that do futures business with us customers need to get an exemption from the cftc
EskimoBob: you need to use established shipping routes, wholesellers etc
smickles: thestringpuller: it seems that my company might have to register with the NFA
mircea_popescu: well, futures are not commonly used for procurement irl, but that may be different for btc i guess
EskimoBob: do you see that BTC has actually nothing to do with that :) You need to move goods - few metric tons of beans ?
thestringpuller: by from market X that is in indonesia during a good season sell beans to coffee shops in new york
thestringpuller: also with physical delivery of a futures contract I imagine with something like cocoa it'd be a way to move cocoa from a place of high supply to low demand
EskimoBob: thestringpuller: I am not sure why is this even important. BTC is just a way to transfer fiat
thestringpuller: there'd be multiple trade steps
EskimoBob: you get paid in BTC and this is your business
smickles: thestringpuller: from what i'm reading, it is generally illegal for 'mericans to offer futures to other 'mericans, unless it is done on a US regulated exchange
thestringpuller: it'd be like someone using gold bars to buy oil or something