985300+ entries in 0.677s
Bugpowder: that person
that sold 1.5M @ .0018..
Bugpowder: Thats
the exact right strategy
to buy S.MPOE
though
Bugpowder: that's just about enough
to sell
through
the S.DICE IPO
mircea_popescu: well ya,
thing is... crime usually gets caught not by whatever having been
too difficult, but by it being
trivial and nobody
thinking of it.
Bugpowder: clicking
through blockchain.info is not
the right way
to do
this
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder
that is an entirely plausible hypothesis also
mircea_popescu: drop in
the bucket. unless he'd spin it like 50
times each coin, in which case it should be bleedingly obvious.
mircea_popescu: but on
the other hand, mpex volume isn't 500k. it's 100k. not all of
that is s.dice either. he'd have 20k or something
to pump price with
mircea_popescu: the
thing is, long or short interval, makes no difference in
the blockchain
Bugpowder: which you might expect if someone stupid would
try
to pull
this off
Bugpowder: The dates of IPO share sales don't consistently lead
the volume spike days
though
Bugpowder: Its a small number of addresses
that bet heavily for a day at irregular intervals
Bugpowder: This evoorhees recycling mpex share sales
to goose volumes hypothesis is... disturbingly plausible.
mircea_popescu: i
tell you what, if you can prove
that one you're
the new bitcoin star.
Bugpowder: They are all going
to be
traced back
to evorhees
Bugpowder: You know more about bitcoin and network analysis
than me
mircea_popescu: you're
the research scientist cum brain surgeon, do something
mircea_popescu: isn't something like
taint analysis usable in principle
to do it ?
Bugpowder: Also fascinating, who is doing
this?
mircea_popescu: tbh it's likely s.mpoe was overbought because
the large blocks on sale for s.dice had a depressing effect.
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.43996, Best ask: 13.44994, Bid-ask spread: 0.00998, Last
trade: 13.43996, 24 hour volume: 15187.67923515, 24 hour low: 13.36000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.46604
mircea_popescu: well, very different
things. mpoe was mostly profitable
through share appreciation, dice mostly
through dividends
Bugpowder: If
this volume keeps up after Jan 1...
mircea_popescu: i guess
the problem with sdice is
that anyone can make competition for
them etc
Bugpowder: Wait a sec.... is
that more
than MPEX???
Bugpowder: They may surpass 500,000 BTC volume
this month
Bugpowder: but 20 minutes ago
they were down 3000
Bugpowder: over 80k bet on S.DICE
this morning
smickles: but 10.43 seems like a long way
to go down
to
to break even on
that
smickles: I'm mostly workin out other kinks right now
tho
smickles: hmm, yeah, apparently my volatility measure is up
there
Bugpowder: TONY ROMO comes
thru in
the clutch
Bugpowder: I will figure
this out later... mush watch
this game
Bugpowder: I gotta write a sciprt
to do it
then
Bugpowder: its not in
table or list format so I can't figure out how
to pull it properly into
the google doc. any suggestions smiles?
gribble: Error: I
tried
to send you an empty message.
gribble: Error: I
tried
to send you an empty message.
smickles: it seems
the bitcoincharts # is based on all exchanges
Bugpowder: Is
there a web feed of 24 hour vwap
that I can scrape from somewhere?
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.45001, Best ask: 13.49880, Bid-ask spread: 0.04879, Last
trade: 13.45001, 24 hour volume: 12002.95742282, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.46419
smickles: Namjies:
there is not mpsic for btc
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.37397, Best ask: 13.46467, Bid-ask spread: 0.09070, Last
trade: 13.37394, 24 hour volume: 11910.87556799, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.46368
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.47001, Best ask: 13.49500, Bid-ask spread: 0.02499, Last
trade: 13.36634, 24 hour volume: 11919.39373294, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.59000, 24 hour vwap: 13.45637
Ukto: chang... you
there?
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.45000, Best ask: 13.45006, Bid-ask spread: 0.00006, Last
trade: 13.45006, 24 hour volume: 7984.25471044, 24 hour low: 13.35000, 24 hour high: 13.50000, 24 hour vwap: 13.42313
Bugpowder: ES down 26.70 after hours... probably more
tomorrow
Bugpowder: "‘Major setback’ in fiscal cliff
talks" Yesss.
pigeons: enough of
that, release
the volatility!
pigeons: shit i have no money in mpex
to buy up
Bugpowder: looks like
the bot owner just realized what was happening :)
Bugpowder: evoorhees pimpin' S.DICE on
the forum
Diablo-D3: end of
the world, it was late, but here it is