983600+ entries in 0.713s
Bugpowder: actually it looks like its start of day, based on
the cutoff
times on
the website.
Bugpowder: " <Bugpowder> like start of
the day or end of day midnight GMT [15:03] <Bugpowder> ? [15:03] <Bugpowder> 00:00 or 24:00 :) [15:04] <kakobrekla> end"
dub: mircea_popescu: via IRC
tho, not blawg
dub: mircea_popescu: last I checked OneFixt was making fuck all doing
that
Bugpowder: kalkobrekla was wrong about
the bet closing
time
mircea_popescu: just
the
tips he can pick up idling in
this chan are enough
to guarantee success.
mircea_popescu: it occurs
to me,
the logical
thing would be for someone with little capital but a journalism degree
to start a bitcoin financials blog
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.50000, Best ask: 13.54467, Bid-ask spread: 0.04467, Last
trade: 13.54467, 24 hour volume: 23705.29840652, 24 hour low: 13.40400, 24 hour high: 13.58900, 24 hour vwap: 13.49859
PsychoticBoy: I oredered a new PSU, send
them an email yesterday and
they offered a new PSU for free and its already in
the mail
jcpham: <dub> don't make obama fire a
tornado at you
jcpham: why i was on ebay i shudder
to remember
jcpham: i say a BFL single on ebay starting at 600
the other day
PsychoticBoy: had one ordered on ebay before contacting BFL
though
PsychoticBoy: 1 day shipping , new record, got
the
tracking code
Bugpowder: 85,000 / 2^(n-1) for sporting
tournaments where n is
the number of rounds and you are betting on
the winner (maybe)
Bugpowder: 85,000 for binary events
taht occur once at a known
time (sporting event)
Bugpowder: I can see
the utitility for
things like earthwuake
Bugpowder: 0 for events
that could be
triggered at any
time (ie earthquake)
mircea_popescu: except i doubt
there's five ppl in btc who could read and comprehend
the faq for
that in one pass.
mircea_popescu: i guess i could do
two-point linear
three point polynomial four point spline
Bugpowder: I
think
the site can be a success with
the right exposure and
the right audience with enough coins and interest in
the propositions
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 13.51931, Best ask: 13.53998, Bid-ask spread: 0.02067, Last
trade: 13.53998, 24 hour volume: 21012.52240497, 24 hour low: 13.40400, 24 hour high: 13.54999, 24 hour vwap: 13.49166
mircea_popescu: this is pretty good
tho, bitbet seems stuck on 100 btc bet a day
mircea_popescu: but i guess
there may be second-level delays due
to chain parsing etc
Bugpowder: how long does it
take for
the bet values
to update?
Bugpowder: mircea_popescu I posted some sports stuff. We will see how
the decay works.
Ukto: ill see if I can
test it late
tonight when
the kids get
to bed and i can hook
thign sto
the
tv without 1mil questions
Ukto: until i have beat
the game
Ukto: should all have support I
think
Ukto: not sure where
the ps1 is
mircea_popescu: I'm hoping for a site
to pop up with floating rates
the way intrade used
to work.
jurov: put it into gramophone
then
Ukto: [23:55] <Ukto> what was
the original deal? 5btc?
Ukto: [12:23] <mircea_popescu> i imagine Ukto is prolly going
to do something like
that
too & [12:24] <kakobrekla> Ukto will just code a new bbet or smth <-- ... .. *whisltes....* ... >,>
Ukto: [12:45] <mircea_popescu> neither jurov nor ukto are
true coders < -- damn straight. and dont you forget it.
Ukto: thestringpuller: did you get my msgs abou
tit?
Diablo-D3: Ukto: I
thought you wanted
the list
jcpham: when can i
tour
the datacenter
Ukto: yeah. what happened
to ukto
topace: who | grep -i assbot | date; cd ~; unzip;
touch; strip; finger; mount; gasp; yes; uptime; umount; sleep
jcpham: working
title for my sci-fi porno
gribble: Ukto was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 11 hours, 19 minutes, and 20 seconds ago: <Ukto> and someone has
to find all my secrets
topace: kakobrekla: you
there? can you let me know how
to interface with assbot ?
topace: mircea_popescu:
that would work
too, how do i do
that ?
topace: dub: for
trades on www.havelockinvestments.com
topace: would anyone object if i wrote a Havelock bot
to output stuff here using identical format
to assbot ?
jcpham: pigeons will pretend
to be alady
jcpham: ^ also grabbed my attention
today
jcpham: alot of
the VC's
thoughts and stuff
mircea_popescu: young-ish sorta out of shape pasty ass jew
today can either go into
the stand-up comedy scene or
the start-up comedy scene
jcpham: there are a couple aggregate news sources i follow daily if i have
the
time
jcpham: that article is popular on
the ycombinator scene
today
mircea_popescu: i didn't call him a moron literally because he'd not have comprehended how
true it is.
mircea_popescu: Seriously, stick
to what you know and understand. Boardrooms aren’t for everyone.
mircea_popescu: And you claim
to be
teaching others “entrepreneurship” ?! Really ? Ridiculous.
Then again I guess
this is how academia became irrelevant in
the marketplace, by hiring complete noobs
to be “teaching”.
mircea_popescu: jcpham left
that
tor dood a comment. real curious if he publishes it.
Bugpowder: 70% of
the action come day before an event.
Bugpowder: cutoff really should be able
to go
to 1 day before
the event
mircea_popescu: it's just, it's something
that can benefit from a little marketplace input
Bugpowder: anyway. I'm going
to hold off placing up my props until
that is implemented. Ready
to drop 100BTC
to seed
the site with some good sports bets.
Bugpowder: for binary events with a fixed event
time
Bugpowder: Yes, a much less steep slope would be good for
those circumstances
mircea_popescu: as in, it's a pretty dumb macro attempt
to handle discrete events
mircea_popescu: but certainly
the linear decay makes no sense in most such situations
mircea_popescu: (if you bet
this week before bronco star kills itself)
jcpham: i've been wanting
to play with it
jcpham: did you guys know bit-pay has an invoice
tool?
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder
the main problem is
that iots so hard
to user-specify
Bugpowder: only
the failure
that is betsofbitcoin
Bugpowder: if
the odds are properly expressed