959100+ entries in 0.679s
Bugpowder: I liked
the previous one 100,000,000% more
jurov: also, existing coinbr users may want
to put
their referral link
there... but i may as well keep
these 0.2%
to myself :P
Anduck: and preferable drag&drop
too
jurov: or he just exhausted all
time in making pretty background, dunno
jurov: since namworld failed in
that
jurov: i'm just engrossed deep into
taming mktdepth data
to be used in google spreadsheet
Bugpowder: just waiting for coins
to go up a bit more...
mircea_popescu: so in short i doubt
the short
term anything but weakly predicts
the vwap
mircea_popescu: but sometimes you made and sometimes you lost on
that strategy
mircea_popescu: well it was a good
theory, but i don't
think it meets
the data so far
mircea_popescu: moreover,
there was a huge differential for days
till yest
mircea_popescu: many
times it was
the case
that large buys didn't match
the
theory
Bugpowder: that big option buy
today is
the exception
that proves
the rule
mircea_popescu: the difference is small, yet i just sold 80% of
the month's book
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 34.10101, Best ask: 34.20462, Bid-ask spread: 0.10361, Last
trade: 34.02000, 24 hour volume: 40252.89496290, 24 hour low: 33.15000, 24 hour high: 34.88000, 24 hour vwap: 33.95090
Bugpowder: as filtered
through options purchases.
Bugpowder: in which case, we might be able
to say (the spot price predicts future 24hprc)
Bugpowder: A lot of
the option purchases occur when
there is a large divergence between realtime spot price and 24hprc
mircea_popescu: looking at it roughly : A
totally
took a bite of concrete, B sort of predicted something, but muchkly exaggerated.
mircea_popescu: there's a very speciffic=looking graph of
the options breakeven points if you calc
them all out
mircea_popescu: draw
the graph if you will, it's a symetrical butterfly.
jurov: i found
them being +- 1BTC
mircea_popescu: it'd only be fair in
the fucked sense
that
term
takes in any natural science/
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder
the
thing is, my bet is
that
there is predictive power of arbitrary precision for contiguous subsets
Bugpowder: of course if
there IS predictive power
mircea_popescu: tell you what, if you promise
to write a good statistical analysis and publish it i'll send you
the ~300 datapoints on
that graph
Bugpowder: is
there historical option
trade data available?
mod6: ahh, its in
the vwap now :)
Bugpowder: Is
the OIX
the like CO2? A
trailing indicator?
Bugpowder: like at
this
time horizion out, even a 100-0 call put ratio can only push
the OIX so high dependent on
the call price
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder i
think miodterm. i
think it was on an otherwise empty book someone buying some weird far out call
Bugpowder: whatever you call
the option market making bot
mircea_popescu: actually,
there was a point where
the oix was pushed
to like 90
Bugpowder: there is, of course, a limit
to how far a put or call imbalance can push
the OIX
Bugpowder: I just wonder how much of
the
tracking of it
to BTC price is due
to
the MPOE bot's algorithm vs.
true market sentiment
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 34.19001, Best ask: 34.24800, Bid-ask spread: 0.05799, Last
trade: 34.24800, 24 hour volume: 40994.03888350, 24 hour low: 33.15000, 24 hour high: 34.88000, 24 hour vwap: 33.96591
mircea_popescu: with a little luck
the comment'll get more upvotes
than
the article itself
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder you're up 12 votes now, and check ouit
the comment
mircea_popescu: you're sure it must be in
there somewhere, but you really don't want
to dig it out
mircea_popescu: it's one of
those cases where his point is like
the puss in a zit
Bugpowder: Yah
that dude has a little internet vote button
mircea_popescu: Bitcoins price sentiment at a bearish weekly high, still
twice as many believe in higher prices within 6 months. You agree? (self.Bitcoin)
mircea_popescu: Bitcoin Options Index (^OIX) price sentiment indicator hits all
time high ($42.66 / BTC) (self.Bitcoin)
Bugpowder: you could have
the bonus vest after x days or y
trading volume
error4733: what is
the last div for asicminer ?
mircea_popescu: "To protect against
the situation where someone deposits, gets
the bonus and immediately withdraws
this offer is only valid for accounts which
trade at least X"
kakobrekla: costs nothing
to register unlike in your case
kakobrekla: its not
taken away, you just dont have
the right
to withdraw it before
that
kakobrekla: in
the news ...Bit4X Affiliate program
mod6: damn grails app was shitting
the bed.
mod6: just got
this huge problem fixed
jurov: look into
the
traceroute i put yest, if
the ip is correct
jurov: mircea, can you pls ask
the datacenter or at least give me
their email?
jurov: maybe
they decided
to start one... it's
too specific and long-standing
to be some routing issue
jurov: maybe i fell into
their new anti-ddos filter :(
Bowjob: now where is
that mpoe havelock pt
jurov: someone used faucet
to annoying end?
mjr_: is
there a unicode character for bitcoin yet?
gribble: (ticker [--bid|--ask|--last|--high|--low|--avg] [--currency XXX]) -- Return pretty-printed mtgox
ticker. If one of
the result options is given, returns only
that numeric result (useful for nesting in calculations). If '--currency XXX' option is given, returns
ticker for
that
three-letter currency code. It is up
to you
to make sure
that
the
three letter code you enter is a valid currency (1 more message)
gribble: BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 34.00002, Best ask: 34.09012, Bid-ask spread: 0.09010, Last
trade: 34.09012, 24 hour volume: 45679.51468007, 24 hour low: 33.15000, 24 hour high: 34.88000, 24 hour vwap: 34.01969
topace_: looking for
testers soon :)
B0g4r7: I don't know
the story, but if
the fees are disclosed in
the
terms and he didn't read or agree
to
them,
then
tough hash.