log☇︎
949400+ entries in 0.713s
mircea_popescu: so they'll have a disaster to account for it.
RandolphDuke: the government has siphoned off the productivity gains through inflation/taxation and transfered them into none-return bearing investments
RandolphDuke: some households already have their kids working part time
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla seriously tho, people need about 3 average incomes now to maintain a 1950s lifestyle. in the 80s needed two.
RandolphDuke: all of those are merely improvements of existing technology
kakobrekla: fine, GSM then
RandolphDuke: phones existed in the 50's
RandolphDuke: name an innovation in the last 30 years that has improved your life other then the internet
mircea_popescu: o, there you are.
midnightmagic: RandolphDuke: That's not true at all re: not budged in 50 years.
RandolphDuke: midnightmagic: with all the productivity gains the government has said weve made over 50 years, 8 hours of work per week should be enough to afford a 1950's standard of living, yet today 2 income earners are required just to make ends meet
jborkl: That seems reasonable to me
mircea_popescu: presume you don't understand what's being said because of the other person once, get shown better, stop making the assumption. at least for a wittle while.
mircea_popescu: well that's true. but he already got slapped once with the entire statistics thing. you'd expect people a little quicker on their feet.
jborkl: Emotions hinder rational thought
midnightmagic: Dinner time. Have fun talking to your echo chamber.
mircea_popescu: why do you presume to guess my emotional state ? does it help something ?
midnightmagic: Pretend you are my better then. I'm confident you don't grow out of that no matter how true or untrue it may be.
mircea_popescu: hm, if you won't think the question too much proof of my many and varied shortcomings,
midnightmagic: So desperately certain; so patronizing. And you continue to rail against that which you have no control over; ineffective. Shouting into the wind.
mircea_popescu: people have never been this smart and yet men your age have never been this childish.
mircea_popescu: i guess for some views that constitutes proof of progress.
midnightmagic: So what? It's true now.
mircea_popescu: for that matter the raw raw raw we are the best the sun has ever seen is possibly the oldest rabble rousing talk ever. older than Athens for sure.
mircea_popescu: where they mean anything they're false, where they're not false they're meaningless.
mircea_popescu: the reason would be that they're empty pr stuff.
mircea_popescu: well, it's true it has no bearing on your assertions.
midnightmagic: They are. We have natural rights now that humans have never had for basically all of recorded history.
mircea_popescu: but anyway. i'm satisfied myself, thanks.
mircea_popescu: or perhaps you're not quite up to the reading, seeing how it's both ancient and banal an example.
mircea_popescu: perhaps human notions of morality and ethics aren't quite as developed as all that.
mircea_popescu: ah but why muddy things up, just answer the q.
midnightmagic: Human longevity has increased; human standards of living have increased; human freedom to pursue a healthy happy life is greater than it ever was; human knowledge is at its greatest peak in all of history; human treatment of disease is greater and more effective than it has ever been, ever in all history; human notions of morality and ethics (on the whole) are greater than they have ever been.
BitHub: gday maaaaate, how the bloody hell are ya?
mircea_popescu: so : if situation A is that 100 people die yearly in forest fires and situation B is that 3 people die yearly in forest fires but one person is kidnapped and tortured to death as a religious practice which causes the reduction in forest fires casualities, is a movement from A to B progress in your view ?
midnightmagic: Well, it does free me up to mock your "my success by my measure makes me right" bias.
mircea_popescu: but let us better understand this notion of progress you use, because after all it's so messed up by commoners chewing on it.
mircea_popescu: well... not like you have to :p
midnightmagic: You make it easy to be uncivil, mircea.
mircea_popescu: (yes, surmise but not conclude. which is specifically why i used that word and not the other. i'm trying to help you judge here.)
mircea_popescu: "no kids left behind" and all that.
midnightmagic: I surmise but not conclude, as you'll note in my previous comment about the possibilities of why you're doing that.
mircea_popescu: you'd have to, in order to maintain coherence.
mircea_popescu: it's because i presupposed in your usage of "progress" that you do not look at percents but absolutes.
mircea_popescu: listen, the reason i phrased that way is not because of a misunderstanding of statistics, as you seem inclined to conveniently surmise.
mircea_popescu: what about these ?
midnightmagic: mircea_popescu: The population of the world also went up. Your statements of statistics are flawed, and either you're doing it on purpose and waiting for me to mock you, or you really do think these things, in which case I .. well I'm not sure where to go from there.
mircea_popescu: you are applying it with no consideration given to the conditions of validity it contains
mircea_popescu: here's the thing : the theorem you cite refers to something very speciffic.
midnightmagic: You make a nonsense assertion about Bayesian reasoning being nonsense and then tell me I'm incapable of cognition for saying you're making ignorant comments?
mircea_popescu: im pretty sure you lack the cognitive trappings that'd allow you to evaluate that meta-point, so let's allow it to go silent.
midnightmagic: I'm no sure you understand what Bayesian reasoning is at this point.
mircea_popescu: see how it went up by the 100's of %.
mircea_popescu: midnightmagic only if you measure these like the us govt measures unemployment.
mircea_popescu: also, you perhaps hold aumann in too high a regard. he's a minor bayesian, which is another way to say nonsense.
midnightmagic: That is a statement which is pointless: more people live longer, in better health than in 1913.
mircea_popescu: i'll rest on that one, seems too easy.
mircea_popescu: what esle was in there, o, right, freedom.
mircea_popescu: fewer people die today in good health than did in 1913
midnightmagic: Thus, I do not agree to disagree.
midnightmagic: Aumann's agreement theorem states one or both of us is, at that point, being irrational.
mircea_popescu: now let's take your progress apart. fewer people can read in the us today than did in 1913.
midnightmagic: And I would say that those who prey on other humans and run confidence games with them are more responsible for the destruction you think outweighs the progress humans have made in science and medicine.
mircea_popescu: so then we have a point.
mircea_popescu: the only way that collapse can be hidden is by avoiding reference to objective standard.
midnightmagic: mircea_popescu: If you would like to make a specific point about altruism rather than make quotation-like assertions, I would be happy to entertain it.
mircea_popescu: standards of living have been collapsing ever since welfarism (which is a good example of the nice/cooperation confusion)
midnightmagic: Progress does exist in the form of higher standards of living, freedom, and the advancement of human knowledge and science.
midnightmagic: mircea_popescu: Nor is courtesy and kindness in the face of cruelty anything I would espouse.
mircea_popescu: gotta think cleanly if you aim to think at all.
mircea_popescu: you equivocate plenty in there. progress does not exist. humans do live comfortably because they cooperate, but this does have no relation to being nice.
midnightmagic: mircea_popescu: Human progress exists because people cooperate together, and are nice to each other. The peoples whose nature is to prey on other humans, to cast them away, or to be mercenary, these are destructive elements. People who are destructive while pretending their acts select for greater fitness is a perversion of the nature of Darwinism which does not, in fact, match reality.
dub: its been 30 odd years since I've been there
dub: probably need to refamiliarise myself with the best socioeconomic direction
dub: tbh I spent ten minutes looking for porn and gave up
dub: be fun to set two points in london and try to navigate at full zoom
smickles: heh, actually i do think it's funny, but it sends a bad message
smickles: jurov: phantomcircuit nailed the second issue, my server wasn't providing enough of the cert chain, browsers just dl the missing parts, java needs the whole thing spoon-fed to it
mircea_popescu: “Altruism does not mean mere kindness or generosity, but the sacrifice of the best among men to the worst, the sacrifice of virtues to flaws, of ability to incompetence, of progress to stagnation--and the subordinating of all life and of all values to the claims of anyone's suffering.”
mircea_popescu: “The welfare state reduces a citizen to a client, subordinates them to a bureaucrat, and subjects them to rules that are anti- work, anti-family, anti-opportunity and anti-property... Humans forced to suffer under such anti-human rules naturally develop pathologies. The evening news is the natural result of the welfare state.”
Bowjob: my electrum wallet doesnt appear to work lol
smickles: damn early 1.5 at that
smickles: wtf, would they really be on 1.5?
jurov: lol maybe their java is outdated
mircea_popescu: you know they could just add your cert.
smickles: mircea_popescu: when 'they' try to send a callback to my server, their software gives them "Error sun.security.validator.ValidatorException: PKIX path building failed: sun.security.provider.certpath.SunCertPathBuilderException: unable to find valid certification path to requested target" and gives up
mircea_popescu: what's the problem ?
smickles: lol, yeah, import my cert into their java. anyway, sent :)
jurov: maybe you'll have to import them into java then
jurov: i dunno. so 1DzxV3arKg22TfVYx4nw1rLFJmjLTnXHi7 then
smickles: yeah, it's in there, and has been in there
jurov: yea that should work
smickles: is that what you're talking about?
jurov: i remember i had to add them all cause some browser was unhappy
jurov: does apache provide all certs in chain or only the your one and the CA?
smickles: their java install doesn't seem to think my cert is a good cert
smickles: blockchain.info's api making a callback to my server
jurov: what thing?
smickles: but now, the thing that prompted me to do this is giveing another error
smickles: hmm, i'm going to have to send a new csr to those guys now, arn't i