log☇︎
941700+ entries in 0.706s
tiberiusiv: its mathematically impossible for even 5% of total bitcoiners to all cashout
tiberiusiv: until then its a paper gain
ThickAsThieves: i will concede that generally buying and holding has been the safest way to invest in bitcoin and make profit
tiberiusiv: with the remaining 20% being fought over by the 99% percenters
tiberiusiv: in the end i would say 1-2% of bitcoiners will control 80%+ of BTC
tiberiusiv: lending bitcoins for example to people who sell them for fiat, you will lose
tiberiusiv: since bitcoin has no bailout mechanism, alot of idiotic users ie those that use their coins wrecklessly drop out
awkorama: at least in bitcoin the tail won't be too long
Bugpowder: tiberiusiv: that is true in all things
tiberiusiv: 5% of the users control 50%
ThickAsThieves: the events of the week can probably amplify or dampen that effect as well
tiberiusiv: in bitcoin at the moment, about 20% of the users control 80% of the coins
Bugpowder: The tendency for downward moves during the weekend is real.
tiberiusiv: and 99% to have little
Bugpowder: tiberiusiv: you are confusing an efficient market with the mtgox market.
tiberiusiv: so it will be a natural tendancy even in bitcoin for 1% to have all the wealth
deadweasel: are any of them making money?
tiberiusiv: look at the bitcoin crowd for example, less then 1% of thetotal "community" contributes anything
deadweasel: because they speculate correctly?
tiberiusiv: and very few of them
tiberiusiv: theres a reason why its the same people making the $ over and over
tiberiusiv: trading is 0 sum, for someone to make money there has to be a loser
deadweasel: we all die in the end
tiberiusiv: for example majority of fund managers cannot even beat the Sp500
tiberiusiv: 1% of traders are profitable in the long term
tiberiusiv: yes and theres a reason 99% of them lose
ThickAsThieves: thats what traders do
tiberiusiv: people love to rationalize and explain away why something is at X price
tiberiusiv: any new demand that is held up by technicalities is already priced in
ThickAsThieves: my name is tiberius and everything you say has nothing to do with anything
tiberiusiv: amazing the level of ignorance of users.
tiberiusiv: first off bidders would already have been buying BTC, just to flip them to the new buyers if "wires clearing" bs. was true
tiberiusiv: bugpowder: wires clearing has nothing to do with anything.
ThickAsThieves: i do think a bump is incoming
ThickAsThieves: and then 66 again
Bugpowder: I think
Bugpowder: sunday night, when the wires start clearing
gribble: There are currently 8894.1816 bitcoins offered at or under 70.0 USD, worth 602226.070138 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0026 seconds
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 61.40136, Best ask: 61.50110, Bid-ask spread: 0.09974, Last trade: 61.50109, 24 hour volume: 167094.40968927, 24 hour low: 52.34560, 24 hour high: 71.79900, 24 hour vwap: 63.67427
kakobrekla: hackers should do code, finance people should do finance and mactards can go play in the sandbox
kakobrekla: yes bootstrap is not too bad
smickles: heh, goat is asking me about my offer to help people short s.mpoe
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 62.52000, Best ask: 63.64999, Bid-ask spread: 1.12999, Last trade: 63.64999, 24 hour volume: 165216.67676446, 24 hour low: 52.34560, 24 hour high: 71.99000, 24 hour vwap: 63.76409
Bugpowder: and the partially funded one shows up as 92.39 BTC instead of 100 BTC
mjr_: not that bad then
mjr_: not sure if they show it, but the end result is that there will be changes in the book that may not be expected
mjr_: not sure where the complete book is
Bugpowder: mjr_: those are incomplete
mjr_: there site is slow too
Bugpowder: what is the order book json?
mjr_: does that include api?
Bugpowder: but they are still listed on my own page as existing but unfunded.
Bugpowder: So I placed a set of bids at 45-50, and by bids at 30 and 35 that I no longer have funds for disappear from the order bood
mjr_: do they put the orders closest to top of the book or furthest
Bugpowder: The bids you don't have funds for are not listed on the order book, starting from the lowest price down.
Bugpowder: You can place more bids than you have funds for
Bugpowder: mjr_ I have the answer
ThickAsThieves: and become the standard
ThickAsThieves: make that index have the best sockets or whatever
Bugpowder: I placed them, they are pending
mjr_: Bugpowder: can you place more orders than you have BP for?
chmod755: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/volumepie/ << should add a pie of exchanges too (not only exchanges per currency and currencies)
mjr_: otc is a good price signal i think
mjr_: because you basically choose what to include
ThickAsThieves: weight them all
ThickAsThieves: why not use that
chmod755: ThickAsThieves, did you try exchanges?
mjr_: that is the obvious solution...
ThickAsThieves: why isnt there in index being used
ThickAsThieves: yet its still the best
chmod755: mjr_, i prefer listening to music
mjr_: anyways, my point is that gox is probably a horrible signal to listen to
chmod755: ya, but if it changes from like a few tx per month
ThickAsThieves: happens all the time
kakobrekla: thats nothing to them
chmod755: lol 1000 transactions of 1EUR?
mjr_: usually those numbers should be the same or maybe soft bp slightly higher
chmod755: ThickAsThieves, i could do something like that in Europe
mjr_: Hard buying power is the limit to how many orders you can have filled
mjr_: that is the limit to how many orders you can place
ThickAsThieves: it does sound like a good idea on the surface
chmod755: i don't have a bank account in the US tho
mjr_: what that is called, by the way, is Soft Buying Power
ThickAsThieves: lets do it then
chmod755: ThickAsThieves, just make a minimum on the bets
jurov: ThickAsThieves, i think even $5 difference in exchange rate is insignificant in the long run
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 61.51000, Best ask: 61.99000, Bid-ask spread: 0.48000, Last trade: 62.00001, 24 hour volume: 164600.00323438, 24 hour low: 52.34560, 24 hour high: 72.35000, 24 hour vwap: 63.77672
Bugpowder: wow. The gox bid ask are soooo far off right now
ThickAsThieves: except theyll get ya on fees
chmod755: Bugpowder, game idea: bernankeDICE - bloat bank databases with small bank transactions!
mjr_: if i can place an order...i can cancel that order
Bugpowder: I can test it right now
ThickAsThieves: thats the problem at campbx too
Bugpowder: mjr_: I don't think so
jurov: it's just cause there are more buyers and less sellers there, so to speak
mjr_: and then pull the plug
mjr_: i can make the order book look really really thick
mjr_: yeah, so you are sending manipulative signals into the market
ThickAsThieves: cant use bitcoincentral when they wasnt such a premium in USD
Bugpowder: I'm not sure if all will display on the order chart if you don't have the funds