log☇︎
935400+ entries in 0.688s
MJR_III: because at the end of the day...it comes down to management
MJR_III: its an interesting challenge, and i think its a testament to the strength of bitcoin that it survives bad management
unbalanced: Thanks for the schoolin'
mircea_popescu: "it costs you less to buy your lube in btc on our site than at your corner lube shop" is a vp.
MJR_III: so a company like GE or Boeing have to do a whole different set of things than a web startup in silicon valley, and the fallacy is that because you are good at one thing, you will be good at the other
mircea_popescu: (leaving aside they don't even know this is where it starts)
mircea_popescu: the test of a business is the value proposition.
mircea_popescu: i don't see that it is a business at all.
unbalanced: Bear with me, I'm just wondering... is this a viable biz for that script kiddie, or maybe a team of 4, at these levels? Is it a good start or is Mr. Bitmit wasting his time?
MJR_III: pinterest, twitter, facebook...they don't actually have to produce real things that take supply chains
MJR_III: and most web startups don't have to work in the REAL world
MJR_III: actually executing in the real world when you have more complex operations than basically posting messages to each other is tough
unbalanced: (From their "worldwide" dropdown in upper right.)
mircea_popescu: you have five minutes to find me a way to spend 10 btc on items that i could conceivably use during the remainder of 2013
mircea_popescu: unbalanced that metric is meaningless.
unbalanced: So... in this case, bitmit.net (they need a better domain at least, I've mistyped it 3 different ways now) apparently has 17029 listings.
mircea_popescu: yeah. they also don't have the chances of a real business.
MJR_III: which is why you see things like BFL and others
MJR_III: but those things do not have the operational challenges of a real business
MJR_III: i think that one of the problems is that the current marketplace loves fuzzy things like "social networking" and pretty websites
unbalanced: True that.
mircea_popescu: there's a lot to business that's not taught in any c++ manual
mircea_popescu: and this isn't random dickery as in "you must be old" or some shit. the ops experience shows.
MJR_III: i would say that it is not so much even their experience (though that is helpful) but rather the fact that they are good at doing what they set out to do
mircea_popescu: a woman that was in charge of maersk pacific ops for the past five years
mircea_popescu: some guy who was the near east distribution manager for coca cola since 1992
mircea_popescu: but it doesn't have to be supercorp ceo.
unbalanced: Roger. So Meg Whitman starts an eBay killer using bitcoin, that's when to pay attention.
mircea_popescu: this doesn't validate them as doctors.
mircea_popescu: you can probably make a fuckton selling folk remedies and straight silicone injections into the ass. heck, some people do.
mircea_popescu: i don't care how much profit the doctor's office makes.
mircea_popescu: let's go into detail here to understand each other.
unbalanced: So it only sucks because it doesn't have proven profits yet? Once proven to have traction and revenue, it wouldn't meet the noob=sux criteria?
mircea_popescu: the only way to obtain such a thing is if someone with a lot of fmcg experience and contacts actually starts one.
mircea_popescu: this "here's a script that sorta replicates functionality now we wait for "the users" to make us a business" is nonsense
unbalanced: As a guy wondering what my place is in the BTC economy, I take that stuff to heart and try to remember it.
mircea_popescu: would that be an amazon killer ?
mircea_popescu: imagine if some kid made a html page which read THE REAL AMZON
mircea_popescu: unbalanced basically it's yet another rehash of the old and by now stale "i wrote a script therefore this is a business".
bugpowderr: don't trust da gubberment
unbalanced: Note to self: one question at a time.
unbalanced: It's been quite the week.
unbalanced: I think someone mentioned building an eBay-killer here this week but now I can't remember who/when/what
unbalanced: And is it, or are any of them, listed assets? Or soon to be?
unbalanced: Is anyone using www.bitmit.net ? Is it the eBay of bitcoin or just one of many contenders?
MJR_III: The change in difficulty is in proportion to the amount of time over or under two weeks the previous 2016 blocks took to find.
MJR_III: you will just increase the difficulty quicker
MJR_III: thats why a huge increase in mining power will not really help you mine a ton of blocks
MJR_III: however long that takes
MJR_III: it compares that to
mircea_popescu: im starting to like the guy tbh.
mircea_popescu: bugpowderr ya i thought so.
OneMiner: Umm.... I don't think so dood. Site it or it didn't happen.
jborkl: it adjusts every two weeks maximum
jborkl: killing the network in the meantime
jborkl: if half the network took a shit, then we would drop to one block every 20 minutes and that would last a month
OneMiner: If the previous 2016 blocks took more than two weeks to find <---- suggests that you'd need all 2016 blocks to be found.
OneMiner: jborkl I think you're reading that wrong.
jborkl: If the previous 2016 blocks took more than two weeks to find, the difficulty is reduced
deadweasel: ThickAsThieves: Credit Repair business is actually a good business to get into in the US. since they legislated against all those "instant credit repair" scams, people can actually get help.
jborkl: I have been through quite a few lower diff levels and it adjusts at two weeks
OneMiner: It's not based on time. It's based on number of blocks. You sure about that jborkl?
jborkl: slowdown in hash rate, it will lower in two weeks- not 2.5 or 3 weeks
jborkl: No, the longest the diff will not adjust is two weeks
OneMiner: Hmmm... 2018 or something like that.
OneMiner: The oposite is also true.
OneMiner: pgp Yes, if hashrate always goes up then halving day will come sooner by a bit.
pgp: so, if we assume a constant increase in hash rate, then halving day, by definition will alway be something short of 4 years...
OneMiner: pgp 1 block per 10 min based on rate of block generation during the period.
Guest4504: Goat from a phone. Lol at technology.
ThickAsThieves: but that would get tricky
deadweasel: ThickAsThieves: I didn't catch that. So they might have a diploma from Spain, but want a US one.
pgp: question about network difficulty... does it adjust to bring rate back to 1 block per 10 min on current hash rate, or does it try to compensate to bring overall hash rate from last halving day to 1 block evey 10 min?
ThickAsThieves: tahts why i ask if there is demand for a "US" diploma
ThickAsThieves: thats not the only angle
deadweasel: might be hard to understand btc w/out a high school diploma
ThickAsThieves: is there international demand for getting a US high school diploma with online classes?
bitesak: known for his asymetric language trend analysis, using the change of language in the postings online to derive forecasts for developing trends
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 89.48500, Best ask: 89.50000, Bid-ask spread: 0.01500, Last trade: 89.50000, 24 hour volume: 156731.60658333, 24 hour low: 75.00111, 24 hour high: 94.50000, 24 hour vwap: 86.52536
Chaang-Noi: well gents, tomorrow i gotz to travel so im off to bed, call me if we get close to 100
thestringpuller: people inside trade hardcore here...
thestringpuller: I think as old money enters the btc economy, due to lack of regulation people like mircea_popescu will take their money pretty quickly
OneMiner: You know what's crazy good news? I think the US money laundering news is great. It's step one to establishing bitcoin in US society.
thestringpuller: drive the boom, don't be like a dotcom boom
OneMiner: Ya, the price increase is crazy.
thestringpuller: ADD GOOD JUJU to the mix
Chaang-Noi: btc went from 2 to 90 in like a year, or like x45
thestringpuller: people are getting rich ThickAsThieves are you not
MJR_III: josh bft is trying to beat the bitbet date
Chaang-Noi: lol, its the top of a bubbler
ThickAsThieves: all this i'm so rich talk is bad juju
Chaang-Noi: yeah btc at 5k i could do 4 loti in thailand with no problem
OneMiner: 5k would put me in a sweet spot. I couldn't complain about that.
Chaang-Noi: convient time to "dump" for some
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 88.23100, Best ask: 89.00000, Bid-ask spread: 0.76900, Last trade: 89.00000, 24 hour volume: 156779.61814498, 24 hour low: 75.00111, 24 hour high: 94.50000, 24 hour vwap: 86.53906
Chaang-Noi: :) i still think its a loss:)
thestringpuller: how did that happen
thestringpuller: bugpowderr: do you still think MPOEbot is at a loss?
Chaang-Noi: yeah :/ unless btc goes to 5,000 then im getting 4...
OneMiner: Yes, in that case move first. Less complicated.