log☇︎
934500+ entries in 0.7s
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla o totally forgot. how's the clay business i wonder
kakobrekla: well you can invest in eskimo bobs ART and thats about it
toffoo: and therefore market prices are following
toffoo: which will cause it's difficulty to start rising,
toffoo: the feeling is that a lot of the GPU mining farms will drop out and start mining litecoin,
toffoo: and now with ASICs moving that to the moon,
toffoo: i've always followed pretty closely the effect of difficulty on bitcoin prices,
kakobrekla: i was riding 0.07 to 0.15
toffoo: well, my investment thesis is something like the following:
mircea_popescu: but i certainly didn't get out at the top. wtf lol
mircea_popescu: yeah. something of the sort.
kakobrekla: yeah i played the game too
mircea_popescu: but then sold it off. apparently i sold too soon
mircea_popescu: i bought some on like the 5th
ThickAsThieves: all in all I'd have been better off not dabbling in LTC at all, other than that it introduced me to Deprived, who's pretty interesting
toffoo: but this month it has gotten my attention
toffoo: i'd managed to ignore it all all other *coins until now,
mircea_popescu: i fail to grok how litecoin can be worth 1
gribble: There are currently 3311.6116 bitcoins offered at or under 93.0 USD, worth 306592.030934 USD in total. | Data vintage: 33.4255 seconds
gribble: There are currently 11822.091 bitcoins offered at or under 96.0 USD, worth 1113104.50621 USD in total. | Data vintage: 21.2181 seconds
gribble: There are currently 6698.9219 bitcoins demanded at or over 88.0 USD, worth 596157.374234 USD in total. | Data vintage: 5.3952 seconds
toffoo: looks like maybe litecoin is the one that's rockin to new highs these days
gribble: There are currently 16264.821 bitcoins demanded at or over 85.0 USD, worth 1422076.42737 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0064 seconds
toffoo: gotta wait for the snail banks to open again to get more fresh buying funds into the market
toffoo: prolly not going to be over easter holiday weekend
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 90.80001, Best ask: 90.98999, Bid-ask spread: 0.18998, Last trade: 90.98999, 24 hour volume: 49893.62640319, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 94.98000, 24 hour vwap: 90.70184
KRS1: ok thank you guys-
mircea_popescu: (the exact way is left as an exercise to the user, seeing how depending on how you do it you get diff results)
KRS1: these are all good indicators i think
mircea_popescu: compare to the total btc in circulation
KRS1: How do you get that figure mircea popescu
ThickAsThieves: alternative idea for channel bannings: offer ignore bounties, pay .001 to anyone that ignored the desired person, if you are caught responding to that troll you pay .1 penalty, profits go to assbot dev
KRS1: so this is a good case of deflation
mircea_popescu: just calculated the implicit leverage for march.
KRS1: maybe i dont understand the context..but..
KRS1: I thought BTC wont go through deflation period until almost mined up
ThickAsThieves: although i think that has been a rumour for a bit
jurov: something like tinfoil hats, just for stupidity?
mircea_popescu: why can't he participate in the chan like normal human beings.
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu: it seems you win again ;) I would say, all and all for a month that is a beating, you have come out relatively unscathed...
brianethier_: With a lot of headecks, we managed to put together another site from wich you can buy Amazon Gift Cards with Bitcoins. You no longer need an account, it’s much simpler to use now. We received a lot of complaints that user accounts are not necessary so we removed them. We are still a bit rugged, but donations are open so you can donate (if you want to) so we can improve the site. The new site is at: http://amazonbitco
thestrin1puller: the original source is still a few % lower than PT price
thestrin1puller: Based on the rise in PT prices
kakobrekla: i dont think so
jurov: slovenia to sunk into adriatic, austrians want some coastline :D
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla what's it like there ? i can't make sense of all the bs i'm reading.
mircea_popescu: (not implying pirate was such a thing)
mircea_popescu: good start point for the history of btc financials.
mircea_popescu: i guess btc is still very much a contrarian market. whatever the public consensus is, it's prolly wrong.
jurov: but won't dare to repeat it
jurov: and indeed nothing happened then
mircea_popescu: also true
taub: they dont have to
mircea_popescu: taub those'd be related tho
mircea_popescu: jurov yeah, you could be trading options too
mircea_popescu: it's moot practically as they're not listed, but since we're discussing theory.
mircea_popescu: so maybe the best play is a weighted binary portofolio, bonds and mtgox shares
mircea_popescu: thestrin1puller thinking more about your question : it would seem to me there is some relation here:
jurov: tiberiusiv, you forget there's someone who actually sees your portfolio and call you on your BS
thestrin1puller: August was terrible
bitesak: I have been saying that for sometime in Switzerland :)
mircea_popescu: actually... this is interesting. from a purely fiat perspective mpoe bonds may be one of the best btc-investments you can make.
mircea_popescu: jurov that is a point, in fiat terms the bondholders made money :D
mircea_popescu: to hedge you would need things which for good reason move in opposing directions.
mircea_popescu: yeah, but these aren't related
mircea_popescu: bitesak lol considering the state of finances everywhere in europe vs romania... that's not quite so far off.
jurov: thestrin1puller hedge them by buying options :D
jurov: MPOE is the options trades, MPEx is the exchange
benkay: ooh. what's the difference between MPOE and MPEx?
bitesak: Roumania is taking Europe over__
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 90.49001, Best ask: 90.50000, Bid-ask spread: 0.00999, Last trade: 90.50000, 24 hour volume: 51005.98011536, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 94.98000, 24 hour vwap: 90.64316
mircea_popescu: now "people" are confronted with the rude awakening of reality. kinda bound to be a little thrashing about.
mircea_popescu: meanwhile it's been taking over.
mircea_popescu: "people" have been busily ignoring it for the past year or two
mircea_popescu: thestrin1puller ya well, the thing is this : mpoe and mpex are VERY complex, well thought out intricately designed gems.
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu you make a bunch of people rich this month, and people still complain...
benkay: then, how many months of 15kbtc losses can the exchange sustain?
mircea_popescu: it's a romanian-based llc (srl in romanian) that i own ~99% of
jurov: thestrin1puller i told ya, he knows everything
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu: it seems tiberiusiv knows your financials because they are all public
mircea_popescu: thestrin1puller no. i paid twennyfive dollars for a girls pair of stockings out of pocket yesterday.
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu: are ALL your financials public knowledge? lets clear this up
jurov: tiberiusiv: there's mircea's private activities like MPHF
benkay: what sheet, tiberiusiv?
thestrin1puller: you keep saying that like it's fact
thestrin1puller: insurance companies make losses all the time...
thestrin1puller: that's not up to mircea_popescu it's up to his bondholders
thestrin1puller: insurance companies also have reserves they invest to hedge that risk...
jurov: tiberiusiv: those who profited by buying calls see the credibility soar :)
thestrin1puller: I know they are, this month they are, just like an insurance company loses money during a natural disaster...
thestrin1puller: Up until this month MPOE bonds were profitable long term (all profits + all losses > 0)
thestrin1puller: Not sure if tiberiusiv is serious, or just trolling.
jurov: thestrin1puller: he knows everything, no need to explain anything to him. and ofc, thars NO LIQUIDITY
thestrin1puller: so overtime MPOE will be profitable to bondholers
thestrin1puller: tiberiusiv: option writers make the most money when there is no volatility in the underlying security
jurov: he;'ll benefit tesla motors
thestrin1puller: Maybe he'll start a company to benefit bitcoin (yay optimism LOL)
mircea_popescu: the next they ANGRY MOB WITH PITCHFORKS
mircea_popescu: maybe he's just talkin'.
mircea_popescu: do you even know that ? lol