log☇︎
933500+ entries in 0.704s
mircea_popescu: in the case of bitbet it is outright dangerous, so not worth it.
mircea_popescu: and re the late bets : it is in general not nice to include txs with no fees. it is callous, miners work at this, buitcoin needs the fees to survive.
mircea_popescu: anyway, one measure we're taking is having a special mod tag on the comments so that mod can clarify how they'll judge statements if need be.
jborkl: nice profits, very good for the second month?
therusytrombone: 4) bet on that side
therusytrombone: 3) have your judge/moderator friend tell you how he'll rule
mircea_popescu: and this seems the perfect time to announce the shocker of march results of bitbet. here goes :
jborkl: still looking , but I am seeing a bunch not on the blockchain list
therusytrombone: it stands in your tiny mind
therusytrombone: PLEASE refute that
therusytrombone: there were two batches for preorder
mircea_popescu: this is your refutation. now, whether you take it in or ingore it is up to you, but it stands.
therusytrombone: but it didn't say that
jborkl: i think smickles is right and blockchain info is reporting 500 max
mircea_popescu: therusytrombone one of the batches you count was not supposed to start delivery until after the bet closes.
therusytrombone: you have not refuted that
therusytrombone: there are two preorder batcxhes
mod6: won some off the basketball games this weekend!
therusytrombone: and look at the date it was created
therusytrombone: if you read the statement
mircea_popescu: something's not a scam because it works otherwise than you think it should.
therusytrombone: the fact that the creator of the statement even admitted that part of it got left out
mircea_popescu: if the bet doesn't make it before bet is closed then it's a donation.
podizzle: or if the bet isnt made by closed
podizzle: mircea_popescu so if the bet isnt made by resolved then it will be a refund?
therusytrombone: even says that he put in batch 1
therusytrombone: in the comments
therusytrombone: the creator of the statement
mircea_popescu: except one wasn't slated for delivery by that date
therusytrombone: at the time the statement was created, they had two preorder batches in
mircea_popescu: why not extend to anything they ever mentioned ffs.
mircea_popescu: therusytrombone im sure avalon said something on the forum about a future batch to be delivered in 2014
mircea_popescu: podizzle when the bet makes it .
podizzle: oh damn but i will be put in at the weight it was when i sent or when i clicked
therusytrombone: lol how could you ever read that statement and not think it means all of the preorders they have in at the time
mircea_popescu: a few cents is a nice gesture to support the entire network.
mircea_popescu: 0.0005 works for most people. mpex includes 0.001 on al txs
podizzle: mircea_popescu how much is the fee
mircea_popescu: podizzle if you included no fee a tx can take 2 days.
smickles: jborkl: no, the rest is AMD, it's how they are still in business
therusytrombone: people write crazy vague statements and expect people to infer what they meant
mircea_popescu: therusytrombone if you bet on the losing side i imagine it'd have been a lot more beneficial to argue this afore betting.
therusytrombone: it's ok it's just good to know a site is a scam and not to use it
podizzle: i made my withdrawal to bitbet at 12:48pm
jborkl: network hash rate about a month ago was 24th now, 64th - asicminer has only claimed maybe 10 th- the rest has to be (in a logical conclusion) = Avalon
mircea_popescu: well ok, perfectly valid phylosophically but how the fuck will you run a site with it,.
therusytrombone: refute that.
therusytrombone: they had two batches of preorders in at that time
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 102.51002, Best ask: 102.99990, Bid-ask spread: 0.48988, Last trade: 102.51000, 24 hour volume: 80196.49123987, 24 hour low: 91.00000, 24 hour high: 105.99000, 24 hour vwap: 98.06018
mircea_popescu: and thus no bets are acceptable.
mircea_popescu: therusytrombone if you take a strong nominalist view NOTHING is ever definitively provable
smickles: podizzle: we do go off topic from time to time
podizzle: is this a bitbet site ?
therusytrombone: and that's a bad bet by the rules
mircea_popescu: all text is interpreted.
therusytrombone: but then you are betting on what the creator meant but not what is written
mircea_popescu: no text carries its meaning inside.
therusytrombone: i understand that point
mircea_popescu: well, i read it the following way : the bet can't be about some corp delivering before april 1st items it promised to deliver starting april 5th
therusytrombone: pre-orders mean pre-orders, there is no mention of batches
therusytrombone: read the statement. read the date. how can you infer any other way?
therusytrombone: what a knee-jerk reaction to call that a Yes
mircea_popescu: well, apparently your reading of the text doesn't match the admin's and the majority of bettor's/commenter's etc reading thereof.
therusytrombone: who owns that site, anyway?
therusytrombone: and on that date, they had two batches
podizzle: i see thanks for the info
therusytrombone: it doesnt matter, it was written that they will deliver 1/2 of their pre-orders
mircea_popescu: or the passthroughs
podizzle: this bfl talk haunts me wherever i go
therusytrombone: i'm starting to think the site is kinda rigged
mircea_popescu: a reading including batch two is nonsensical as batch two wasn't even slated for delivery till apr 5
podizzle: i think bitbet has lots of potential but 30btc to buy shares damn
mircea_popescu: any written text has the problem of reading. this is why there exist courts irl.
therusytrombone: so by how it was written, and the date it was created, the outcome should be No
therusytrombone: or how it was supposed to be interpreted?
therusytrombone: are you supposed to bet on how the statement is written
mircea_popescu: yeah. it's been widely discussed here / in the comments there too
therusytrombone: if you go by the timing, batch 1 and 2 were already in
therusytrombone: so you would have to guess or assume that the statement meant only batch one?
therusytrombone: at the time that statement was made, there were two batches for pre-order
jborkl: ok, I am going to go to lunch them I will let you know, shouldnt take too long
therusytrombone: they did not deliver half of their pre-orders lol
therusytrombone: how was the outcome of the avalon bet yes
mod6: just was curious. thx :)
podizzle: how long does it take for bets to show max
mod6: yeah, i guess blockchain.info sometimes loses its wallet connections and takes a bit to reconnect to other nodes.
mircea_popescu: any of you folks running multiple nodes willing to do a node mapping project ?
jurov: so think it's wildly inaccurate
jurov: cuz i have 90 connections now and none of them is blockchain.info (it sees my txs as arriving from around the world)
kakobrekla: this stupid people and money parting is taking too long!
mircea_popescu: jborkl there'd be no way to knopw as a peer
mircea_popescu: smickles now that's a theory.
smickles: that's just blockchain. they might now limit to 500
jborkl: well, people that did not upgrade to .81 or change the locks - I am guessing will no longer show up on nodes
Bugpowdurr: I just don't believe that there are only 500 nodes
jborkl: I have about 200 connections on those 4
kakobrekla: and ppl connect to that
mircea_popescu: so 2% of active nodes is you two.
jborkl: but last time it took 2 dayd
kakobrekla: ya but avg folks need a week to sync