log☇︎
928400+ entries in 0.662s
MJR__: taub: agreed, lots of ways to skin a cat
taub: iz: there are endless approaches to trading, mine doesnt include analizing news and causes
abracadabra: so...HomeDepot decides to implement PoS system for bitcoin...irrelevant cause?
taub: what would that help me in trading?
MJR__: so...Walmart decides to implement PoS system for bitcoin...irrelevant cause?
taub: as long as it gets price to move, good then i can trade it
taub: well i dont care about those
deadweasel: cant pick tops/bottoms, onlu guesses
taub: that is one underlying cause to everything, i dont need to know it
iz: there's more to it though
iz: some of them
iz: well, you just looked at the causes...
taub: and that you can trade
MJR__: yes, but picking tips and bottoms is where it gets hard
taub: and that action is reflected in prices
taub: smart money gets upt at top
taub: it goes like this 99% of the time
taub: there is zero point in knowing the cause of a move
gribble: smickles was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 2 days, 23 hours, 25 minutes, and 59 seconds ago: <smickles> a bitcoin atm could be the easiest way to send money to a friend, each of you just goes to an atm
iz: opposed to being intentionally ignorant about the causes
deadweasel: yeah, now that hes out of the US, im actually doubling up while the price is low.
iz: taub: i didn't mean any offense, but i do strongly suggest you consider looking at causes when trading
MJR__: especially with S.DICE T_T
MJR__: deadweasel: yep ^^ this
deadweasel: 90% of the time tne best and hardrst decision is to hold and wait.
MJR__: that's what the market is there for...deciding who is right
iz: but of course it will work in the bitcoin wolrd AS LONG as the bitcoin market keeps growing
MJR__: point taken
iz: but just because ppl do it in other markets and are successful while the market is growing doesn't mean it's a good strategy
taub: i gave my opinion, im not gonna go into some ta debate again
iz: sorry, i didn't maen that to come out that way
iz: taub: other markets are traded by idiots that way
taub: other markets are traded like this, why should bitcoin be different
iz: taub: a broken clock can be right twice a day too
iz: taub: it's not so good to just look at the charts that are effected by causes and doing voodoo and gambler's logic on the charts based on how they look or what your gut says
taub: i dont think about causes
MJR__: I think the number im looking for in long term stability is ~2700
iz: taub: i find with trends it's better to identify the CAUSE of the chart move, and then determine if you are seeing a similar cause happen and then notice the effect on the chart
MJR__: well, all im saying is im glad I have the 164 call
taub: its' less than another 50% move to 200
taub: iz: just the pattern, big move, long congestion, big move
KRS1: cant exactly walk up to a hot women and say, check out my bitcoins beeotch
iz: so the big question is.. are bitcoins cool or not?
MJR__: one could argue that Mercedes are a "bubble" if everyone decides that luxury vehicles are retarded.
iz: taub: what is the something something reason for thinking 200 can happen real fast?
iz: let's start including reasons for our guesses when we voice them.. for example, i think 200 can happen real fast because of something something
MJR__: mircea_popescu: almost nothing is a "ponzi", as it refers to a specific sort of scam. if we are conflating that term with tulip mania or bubble, then most things are...the only difference in them is the probability that they become unpopular
mircea_popescu: it could happen, and i bet you it'd be faster than you'd think
mircea_popescu: for instance, a hot young thing walking into your office naked takes all of 6 seconds
deadweasel: its coming. i threw the bones .. they sgree.
mircea_popescu: anything can happen real fast or at least faster than you think
taub: at least faster than you think
taub: I think 200 can happen real fast
gribble: MtGox lag is 0 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.0 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin ... nowhere, really (0 AU).
mircea_popescu: MJR_ ya well not everything that relies on trust or appreciates in value is a ponzi.
MJR__: that's what I've heard today
MJR__: my earlier point was related to how banks are "ponzis" (loosely using that as a term for general speculation) in any trust based system if trust leaves the last one holding the bag is screwed
mircea_popescu: the founder just looted the corp accoutns is all.
mircea_popescu: the first two lines ? yea.
mircea_popescu: Intrade’s director, Ronald Bernstein, said in a statement that the shortfall resulted from unspecified actions by two other parties, whom he did not name.
mircea_popescu: The online betting Web site Intrade, which gained widespread notice for serving as a predictions platform for elections and events not related to sports, is facing liquidation because of a $700,000 cash shortfall, a development that comes a month after it halted trading and froze its customer accounts.
bgupta: ThickAsThieves: "They" got a chance to buy back in, so it can rally a bit now.
mircea_popescu: a, i can add more at any time
jurov: mircea btw, are there new options with higher strikes planned? or at opex soonest?
MJR__: lol I didn't mean it that way...context
mircea_popescu: no sentiment based thing can take 4 days off
mircea_popescu: <MJR__> ThickAsThieves: it is ponzi mode << no it's not.
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 156.00000, Best ask: 157.99900, Bid-ask spread: 1.99900, Last trade: 156.00000, 24 hour volume: 36710.60460093, 24 hour low: 141.40000, 24 hour high: 159.00000, 24 hour vwap: 148.07204
MJR__: first they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win
MJR__: good long term BBET maybe
MJR__: hmmm Ron Swanson mentioning bitcoin? love of anonymity, but dislike of tech...
MJR__: but not the one from thur
kakobrekla: ill see it then.
kakobrekla: ah the last ep.
ThickAsThieves: it JUST aired kako, not sure where it would be online other than dl'ing latest ep
punkman: and still has time to act
punkman: makes things out of wood with his hands
kakobrekla: url to swanson vid?
punkman: better than weightless paper
MJR__: I saw that yesterday!
ThickAsThieves: Ron Swanson had a funny scene where he says he doesnt know how much gold he has except in wait, and oh some palladium too
MJR__: THAT'S when they'll care
MJR__: all those effects will magnify the inflation
MJR__: you'll see a run on the dollar, and into gold
MJR__: once that becomes unsustainable
MJR__: I think the fed is depressing the price of gold
ThickAsThieves: in the end it would still result in inflation though
MJR__: they gave them money to lend, but they didn't...credit crunch was worse
ThickAsThieves: i dont know enough about how such things work, but I suppose it's at least possible for there to be a macro economy that encompasses much of newly printed money
MJR__: same as the bailout
MJR__: the banks which are selling the debt are not lending and spending...cuz they don't need to
MJR__: no one sees that QE hasn't hit the markets yet. the money is sitting in accounts, but is not widely distributed
gribble: There are currently 1373.9347 bitcoins offered at or under 159.99 USD, worth 218473.092151 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0010 seconds
MJR__: I think there is a bolus of cash making its way to the markets...once it clogs that...embolism of the economy
MJR__: it's not going to be pretty
ThickAsThieves: i think social media has come a long way, and a 3rd party might indeed be able to "go viral"
MJR__: and I also think that big change is coming
MJR__: he won't come close to winning
ThickAsThieves: until less people believe than do, and cash outs snowball
ThickAsThieves: "just the way it is"