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mod6: that was me just testin the water there, but that was dumb.
mircea_popescu: i distinguish too. it's not that they're not trustworthy. it's that they're fraudulent.
mod6: (10:30) < MJR__> I would say that torbroker seems definitely not fraudulent << i read about this. sounds great until they scam out like TorWallet
MJR__: I guess I distinguish between fraudulent and trustworthy
mircea_popescu: invitation to invest, but neglects to share business plan ? it's a ponzi.
mircea_popescu: without satisfyiong my criteria, they are a fraud.
mircea_popescu: on what basis do you say that it "seems definitely not fraudulent" ?
MJR__: but without any evidence of fraud, I can't call them fraudulent
MJR__: we can agree to disagree on that
MJR__: if their services are useful , they'll do ok
MJR__: I would say that torbroker seems definitely not fraudulent
mircea_popescu: we are merely trying to distinguish business from fraud here.
MJR__: Eastman Kodak was successful until they weren't
mircea_popescu: their busienss model is fine. their execution inept as all hell, but they have a model.
MJR__: and dependent on time scale
mircea_popescu: being the first to offer exchange services is not sustainable ?
MJR__: ok, I don't think their business model looked sustainable
mircea_popescu: they suck, sure. but thast's not what we're discussing.
MJR__: they suck, I would have written them off
mircea_popescu: so then what part of obvious you have tyrouible with :D
MJR__: there is no question of their current success
mircea_popescu: all of them. no exceptions.
MJR__: so I wouldn't throw out everything, and miss a success
mircea_popescu: there are a lot of failures which can be readily identified by the fact they're not successes
MJR__: but I think it's been proven that there will be many failures and a few successes
mircea_popescu: i think your scenario is livresque.
MJR__: so, only point is that a see a scenario where it could work, therefore not a stupid plan, though it may be stupidly implemented and fail
ChaangNoi: it was the weekend dump, finaly
mod6: so i brewed this cup of coffee an hour ago and forgot about it...
gribble: There are currently 3155.8286 bitcoins offered at or under 165.0 USD, worth 513901.693219 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0014 seconds
mircea_popescu: this is not by design of the game of poker. this is because being bigger means you are better.
MJR__: and...without knowing who is behind this, or what exactly they are doing and how well, I would say that I can picture a scenario where it works
mircea_popescu: in any game of straight no limit poker the larger stash has better odds.
MJR__: overall system is designed to benefit the big guy
MJR__: maybe a few tokens...
mircea_popescu: plenty of rules are in place to protect the stupid little guy.
MJR__: do you think rules are in place to protect the little guy?
mircea_popescu: makes no difference, that.
MJR__: are you a fan of the SEC? im not
mircea_popescu: which will be flagged in every sec insider trader investigation from now on.
ChaangNoi: feel good to be a gangsta eh?
mircea_popescu: is ghoing to be done just as wewll by a kid and his etrade acct.
MJR__: there is value in anon trades
MJR__: or, I want to do this quietly to not spook the market (obviously not now, too small)
MJR__: don't want MY name on this trade
mircea_popescu: so the huge counterparty risk they introduce is for the sake of sharing an etrade acct ?! whoa.
MJR__: to allow others to do anon stock trades
MJR__: they'll use their access
MJR__: whoever they are, they have some etrade account or w/e
mircea_popescu: what, this torbroker dood is a direct broker now.
mircea_popescu: well. whty can't they ?
MJR__: lol, there is where we disagree
mircea_popescu: others that can't also shouldn
mircea_popescu: i can't legally and safely buy whatever pills the sr kids do
mircea_popescu: i don't think so.
MJR__: what I would say, and I don't want to delve into the relative pros and cons, is that DPR and SR, managed to create a market using trust...this is more similar to that
mircea_popescu: [\\\] hey how much did you ever pay back off the shakaru fund ?
MJR__: I fail to see how that doesn't make sense
mircea_popescu: you familiar with the shakaru case ?
mircea_popescu: sure you can trust them up to their reserve.
mircea_popescu: and jurov has a good sidepoint there : my system made sense. the system whereby you buy fiat stocks in btc makes none.
MJR__: well, I agree, my point was only can you not trust them up to their reserve
MJR__: maybe that's false
MJR__: I would assume they would only go up to that point
MJR__: well that was my obvious point
mircea_popescu: as it is... it's nothing. any scammer can (and indeed would) do that.
MJR__: I care up to 1k BTC
mircea_popescu: if they simultaneously limited investment to no more than that it'd help.
mircea_popescu: ok. the problem is tghey are flashing 1k btc. nobody cares.
jurov: MJR__: the trust was bootstrapped upon mircea having workable scheme from MPOE
MJR__: and they say we will put this up as collateral
MJR__: so if they have 1000 BTC to start (not a lot)
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 156.89999, Best ask: 157.08000, Bid-ask spread: 0.18001, Last trade: 156.89999, 24 hour volume: 45819.40710651, 24 hour low: 142.01000, 24 hour high: 162.90000, 24 hour vwap: 150.64715
mircea_popescu: i already had it, tho.
mircea_popescu: i simply moved capital (of trust, of fiat, of w/e_) from irl to btc.
MJR__: looking back it's easy to see
mircea_popescu: it obviates the need for me to ASK to be trusted.
mircea_popescu: or else you do what the holders of trust say you must do.
mircea_popescu: the story will repeat itself. either you have the power to draw sufficient force from outside
MJR__: yes, but that doesn't obviate the need for trust in you
mircea_popescu: their boat sunk. i won. my people, who are in btc because they trusted me and i trusted btc,
mircea_popescu: mpex was built by me, and joined by people who only had any trust in btc because i said so.
mircea_popescu: and imagine it is the rtesult of natural evoltyion.
mircea_popescu: yhou are seeing the results of a war
MJR__: but, that had to be built over time, which means at some point, someone decided to trust and risk
MJR__: am I missing something? I trust you more or less implicitly in this space
MJR__: we trust you will pay options out...
MJR__: yes...but now you hold the shares in sdice...
mircea_popescu: nobody did decide to t5rust it
MJR__: better phrasing if no one decided to trust it
MJR__: if EVERYONE did not risk trust in mpex, how could it start?
mircea_popescu: see the last coupla paragraphs
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: he's more (vaguely) Slavophilic than pro-Soviet.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: if you found the "collapse gap" piece interesting, read Orlov's full length discussion "Post-Soviet Lessons": https://docs.google.com/document/d/1M56LtVzVcYJSMGKm5CV2RcePETqK1BwvF-Pb5AkdTXM/
jurov: MJR__: yes he had, but it's not total score that counts
MJR__: mircea_popescu: thanks
mircea_popescu: MJR__ this is also a discredited argument. one second
mircea_popescu: there;'s somebody with a track record to judge based on.
thestringpuller: mircea_popescu: what post is that?
mircea_popescu: i don't care how it makes you feel, this isn't about feelings.