log☇︎
926400+ entries in 0.677s
jcpham: but that's me
jcpham: i think it has 2 months of fuel left at least
jcpham: someone lit the fuse on the rocket a few weeks back
gribble: There are currently 33949.898 bitcoins offered at or under 99999999999.0 USD, worth 124147627774.0 USD in total. | Data vintage: 56.7975 seconds
ChaangNoi: we might hit 300 this week
AndroUser2: Freaking out will only lead to impedements ;
gribble: There are currently 32320703 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 15982219.3621 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0107 seconds
jurov: options sold are half put half call by volume, really? then it's okay, should have researched it before freaking out.
AndroUser2: The tide will change though
Namworld: the premium asked by the bot is already MUCH larger
bgupta: and remember because it's $ profits as calls move more and more into the money they have a built in profit limiter.
mircea_popescu: ya but if you think about it, if options sold are half put half call by volume... what's gonna happen ?
ThickAsThieves: jurov, it seems you are questioning mp for bonds you bought knowing the same trend already
jurov: i'm agitated about the call part of oix :)
mircea_popescu: what are you so aggitated about anyway, the oix is half puts
mircea_popescu: im not sure of anything tbh.
jurov: or are you sure this is very unlikely?
jurov: two months in a row loss for MPOE bonds will cause having to cover them all yourself, can't we at least assume that as a baseline?
mircea_popescu: if we knew wtf is ghoing on we wouldn't need optioons in the fuirst place
jurov: what you're assuming then?
jurov: i mean, isn't it so unreasonable to assume March will possibly repeat, and do valuation adjustment?
jurov: <mircea_popescu> jurov all calls the bot sells are short to the bot. <<< and thus to bondholders
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 222.50000, Best ask: 223.00000, Bid-ask spread: 0.50000, Last trade: 223.00000, 24 hour volume: 111105.23170259, 24 hour low: 172.13000, 24 hour high: 223.76000, 24 hour vwap: 194.02951
deadweasel: no surprise there
pgp: an alternative explanation is that they run their matching engine on a commodore 64
pgp: mp: agreed gox is retarded - i'll bet that there system does funding check on every execution - it explains a lot and is consistent with their press release...
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 222.50000, Best ask: 223.00000, Bid-ask spread: 0.50000, Last trade: 223.00000, 24 hour volume: 111105.23170259, 24 hour low: 172.13000, 24 hour high: 223.76000, 24 hour vwap: 194.02951
mircea_popescu: jurov all calls the bot sells are short to the bot.
mircea_popescu: one'd have to be retarded to be like that.
jurov: how many short calls are there, not many i daresay.
mircea_popescu: pgp so what, have trade engine check with clearing ?
mircea_popescu: what's unde about that ?
mircea_popescu: jurov the risk is this : if price goes up, short calls lose money. if price goes down, they make money.
pgp: mp: regardng gox. If I have a funded buy order and an unfunded sell order for same amount and yet another unfunded buy order unde my funded buy order, then when first buy order gets triggered then sell order now becomes funded, no? and when sell gets executed the second buy order now become funded....
Bugpowder: I recommend 0.8 for the C137Ts.
jurov: MPOE is exposing itself to undue risk, don't you think?
mircea_popescu: if calls couldn't make moneuy nobody would buy them
mircea_popescu: well sure it may be in the money.
Bugpowder: C300T will be ITM tomorrow
gribble: There are currently 32320610 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 16067341.6473 USD in total. | Data vintage: 53.9271 seconds
jurov: ^ mircea_popescu, but im serious. C215T may be in the money tomorrow as it looks
pgp: I don't... just was reading their t&c's...
mircea_popescu: why not do something useful, rather than try and squeeze pennies out of a service
pgp: i see - you've tried, then?
Bugpowder: its tough to beat him.
Bugpowder: pgp yes, though during high volatility the price gap increases
mircea_popescu: there's nothing to check.
pgp: mp: I agree they shouldn't, but if their system is built around the idea of allowing unfunded order to be promoted to funded orders, that would occur no just when money comed in or out, but for those making two sided markets as well...
jurov: mircea_popescu: as a representative of bondholders i request you to increase price on calls
mircea_popescu: keep a process on the clearing side, just move things in the active bnook as funds clear
pgp: question: with fastcash4bitcoins.com, isn't there an arb on that 15 min window when volatility is high? kinda like a free put?
mircea_popescu: pgp why the fuck check ?
jurov: accrding to oix, practically all calls are deep in the money... feels sorry for bondholders
Bugpowder: the walls need to be higher
pgp: let's say that I have funded buys and sell in gox and unfunded buys and sell, doesn't an execution on one side force them to check all the orders on the other side for same person?
Scrat: that's the same 12 million amplified by the new exchange value
Bugpowder: I think the number needs to go up to support the current price though
gribble: There are currently 32321686 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 14630014.4001 USD in total. | Data vintage: 57.1659 seconds
mircea_popescu: then again considering the string of insanities sturles was sprouting the other day, it wouldn't surprise me if they run it like that.
Namworld: lag is not how it's supposed to work either. They must be doing something wrong somewhere...
mircea_popescu: just have a process move order to active when funds clear
mircea_popescu: eh that'
Namworld: Do you have funds to fund the order? Yes. Do you have funds to fund the funds to fund the order? Yes. Repeat process 1 billion time on each order.
taub: 162b eur that is
mircea_popescu: Scrat they've done surprisingly stupid shit before.
Scrat: pgp: I doubt thats the culprit. that would allow anyone to turn captchas into gox lag
taub: >Greece is considering slapping a .162 billion invoice on Germany as compensation for the Second World War.
jurov: and i thought it will abandon the parabolic(or even exponential) rise.. not yet
punkman: "Bitcoin is a tax on people who are bad at Byzantine fault tolerance."
kakobrekla: yeah its true mircea_popescu, something is acting up
gribble: MtGox lag is 327.08457 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.655473816059 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin from the Sun to Venus (0.72 AU).
mircea_popescu: not out of need, but since data should have been plotting and isn't i thought worth the mention
Bugpowder: where is the cancel button on Bitcoin-QT/
kakobrekla: whats the point of the 1mo chart now anyway
kakobrekla: ill see whats up with that if it doesnt
Bugpowder: should have locked it and waited to see if there was a dip
Scrat: ThickAsThieves: whenever there's a rally payments stop :'(
mircea_popescu: but look at the dates
taub: well worse than the time lag is the fact that no data stream is working no way to see the order book and trades
kakobrekla: started logging less than a week ago
gribble: MtGox lag is 198.983512 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.398760730118 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin from the Sun to Mercury (0.39 AU).
taub: cant be dealing with this laggy exchange
gribble: Bugpowder was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 14 minutes and 4 seconds ago: <Bugpowder> Looks like handling the unfunded order book was a source of goxlag... https://mtgox.com/press_release_20130409.html
MJR_: filtering legit users from spam is a lot easier than trying to stop traffic before it hits the router (actually impossible, it'll always hit SOME network device that you need)
MJR_: obviously, you can stop non-legit users from creating accounts by having a funding requirement of 1btc etc...too costly to create the accounts, and why would you want to put all your coins into the hands of the guy you're attacking
jurov: MJR_, Scrat: I also have request limiter set up, caused regular users to get 503 error till i tuned it up
Scrat: don't need a session id to access say logo and css
MJR_: no legit user needs more than 1000 logins per hour...and you only allow legit traffic to pull the resource heavy outgoing data
Scrat: MJR_: it is, incoming traffic is free
MJR_: Scrat: I need to do more research, but it is outgoing that will run up the bill...you can throttle that based on a bunch of heuristics
thestringpuller: wow mircea_popescu that is a simple formula
Scrat: MJR_: yeah I'm not saying otherwise, but in that case the objective of the attacker is to slap you with a $100k ec2 bill
MJR_: but forcing them to blow up all of amazon in order to stop you is quite a barrier to entry
MJR_: Scrat: a million ways to deal with traffic, as long as your router doesn't blow up
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 217.00000, Best ask: 218.50000, Bid-ask spread: 1.50000, Last trade: 217.00000, 24 hour volume: 107667.08430243, 24 hour low: 172.13000, 24 hour high: 218.38000, 24 hour vwap: 191.89077
MJR_: Scrat: i think btctc.co had an implementation to stop that, force a 3 second + redirect to the actual resource
Scrat: MJR_: a smart attack targetted against ec2 would pull static assets with legit looking requests
jurov: All added to coinbr.
MJR_: Scrat: but you will incur more costs as you bring up more servers to handle the CPU side of the DDOS, I was mostly worried about the network hardware side
MJR_: Scrat: so as long as you don't respond to spam, you should be fine