log☇︎
922200+ entries in 0.61s
mircea_popescu: you tell me out of 10k banks there's not a single one you can partner with ? that seems improbable.
mircea_popescu: there's what, 150 countries in this world. each has at least five banks.
mircea_popescu: i really think the best way to go is partner with licensed institutions rather than try and do bermudadollars or w/e
pgp: any opinion on best foreign jurisdictions for this sort of activity?
mircea_popescu: if you are already running an exchange you'd better have the paperwork in order already, in which case...
pgp: I wouldn't want to try it in the US...
mircea_popescu: but then again, i participate in 20+ discussions a day, all end with "yes, this is yet another niche, just need the people with a clue to do it"
mircea_popescu: which they'd be in the best position to do.
mircea_popescu: also because they'd have to marketmake it
mircea_popescu: pgp the idea is for someone who has the ability to make fiat settlements to run the future.
pgp: seems to me like you've created something that will evade regulation for a long time because it's strickly BTC
pgp: are you prepared to deal with fiat?
mircea_popescu: so it's pretty much limited to the exchanges. few actuallty have the sense to know wtf this all is so...
mircea_popescu: whoever runs the future will have to yes
pgp: except that means dealing with fiat
mircea_popescu: so there must be someone with the ability to make deliveries.
mircea_popescu: ah. yeah, i've been talking to people. i will list futures, but i will only list physically settled.
ThickAsThieves: just need to write it up
ThickAsThieves: and a green light from the exchange
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves that may work nicel.y
ThickAsThieves: similar to jurov's bond offerings
mircea_popescu: currently everyone is play-pretending this "unlimited theoretical liability" angle. it's just not workable in any practical way.
mircea_popescu: there's a reason llc companies irl list their capital.
mircea_popescu: it's crucial for further development i think.
mircea_popescu: more generally the limited capital and orderly folding is a very important concept that i've been discussing with other people looking to make financial instruments in thsi chan
mircea_popescu: fold orderly, you've contributed no market instability and in fact an orderly folding is better for one's reputation than continued success.
mircea_popescu: this is much better than exchange-level implementation because it's so much easier to limit things. throw 1k btc at this project see how long it takes you to lose it all.
mircea_popescu: yes, i was about to say : a simple way to test rbh specifically is to just open a brokerage offering rbh-based leverage to customers.
pgp: mp: i don't think that you really have to do much more than you already are... your focus on security and availability is what makes MPEX attractive
mircea_popescu: (and the people who really need the instrument, ie miners, are much too financially clueless)
mircea_popescu: the thing is, most of this is yet immature. take the idiff futures as a great example. it will be a great instrument down the road buyt for now the underlying is just too nonsensical.
ThickAsThieves: the more brokers thing could improve soon...
mircea_popescu: truth of the matter is there;'s plenty of room to get mpex stuff packaged as a sellable vehicvle. both equities and derivatives (diff, fiat, etc)
pgp: been thinking a lot about that lately
pgp: and third party platform support to make the options less arcane...
pgp: hmmm... I think that what you need is more brokers...
mircea_popescu: certainly the idea is to keep financial instruments as sophisticated as can be borne.
mircea_popescu: however, we don't have the market to support it yet is my estimation.
mircea_popescu: an upgrade to a more ellaborate model (such as but not necessarily limited to or equal with rbh) has been in the plan since 2011.
pgp: mp: have yuo considered an RBH model for short calls, or do you see the hassle as not being worth the extra liquidity?
mircea_popescu: they just have the advantage of not printing this as mpoe bot does.
mircea_popescu: but there's tons of other issues. so i think pretty m,uch everyotne's models are off the charts,
mircea_popescu: just all the wash trading going on strictly for mtgox's desire to keep on lieing about its market share should be enough of a problem
mircea_popescu: anyway, i think the financial tier is well spooked by all the insanity propagated at the exchange tier.
mircea_popescu: i9t's been days tho.
mircea_popescu: in spite of the huge spreads.
mircea_popescu: notably pretty much noboduy is goiong in the midmarket either,
mircea_popescu: haven;'t had muich trade since the huge swings, no.
pgp: I understand... I am wonderering, though, has anyone bought any of these infinite vol options?
mircea_popescu: this on top of the usual consideration of just letting things be.
ThickAsThieves: plus it still could crash to 25
mircea_popescu: as it'd be unfair to bondholders (whether any harm comes to them from it or not)
mircea_popescu: can't make changes midmonth, especially as they'd be towards a reduction of premiums
ThickAsThieves: was about to say i think bit is done for the month
mircea_popescu: in no case will this be before the end of the month however.
pgp: mp: is the bot ever gonna price puts below 1 ?
ThickAsThieves: fees are back too
KRS1: is trading open on mtgox?
mircea_popescu: seems pretty normal to me.
Diablo-D3: so we're back to normal?
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 104.11100, Best ask: 104.70999, Bid-ask spread: 0.59899, Last trade: 104.11100, 24 hour volume: 181576.37623180, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 117.88999, 24 hour vwap: 102.05784
pgp: the bitcoin "symbol" on the pants is priceless
mircea_popescu: for the classically-minded.
KRS1: ill tell you a joke in return :D
KRS1: might not be much to you, but its a big deal to me
KRS1: ill take some free coins..im poor man just tryin to make it in this world
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 100.72001, Best ask: 101.33741, Bid-ask spread: 0.61740, Last trade: 100.71001, 24 hour volume: 181415.51969588, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 117.88999, 24 hour vwap: 102.31635
mircea_popescu: The French government announced that starting this week, ketchup will no longer be allowed in any school or university cafeteria
c1n0: "satoshi's miracle" 3 more before we have to decalre him a saint
c1n0: almost had to fake my death
c1n0: so glad we survived that crisis
KRS1: not that fox news and kudlow are the standard or anything..just using them as an example
KRS1: In Mircea we trust
c1n0: mircea is alive, fox news lied to me
Namworld: Hmm, quite late it seems. ALready morning... I'll be on my way I think.
Namworld: Albeit the drop was much steeper, resulting in a large gap in prices, which might have helped the rebound
mircea_popescu: sorta "see what you expect to see" thing
mircea_popescu: june did no such thing
mircea_popescu: i mean june had a pronounced bear trap on the way up
mircea_popescu: but to my eye the rise and the fall are pretty distinct
mircea_popescu: well in as much as there's rebound oscialltions after yeah
Namworld: It mirrors the 2011 almost perfectly, albeit on a different price scale
Namworld: oh, I've made another chart of prices compared to the 2011 bubble in it's last days
mircea_popescu: on the other hand people like bitfloor indeed don't opr at least didn't protect the walletr worth a shiot.
mircea_popescu: they've done about the same thing, been in business for about the same interval etc.
mircea_popescu: well take bitcoin-central.
Namworld: They know others were hacked but somehow don't protect their wallet still, despite having more than a fair warning that's not something to do.
Namworld: How many other platforms again and again, despite it occuring regularly, popped up with all funds on a hot wallet only to get it all stolen?
Namworld: Well they could. I see it more as a longstanding history of not getting hacked out of all users funds. There was hacks but they at least protect their BTC wallet.
mircea_popescu: but then again i guess people have this too big to fail mentality going.
Namworld: Needs a better trading platform but trading elsewhere than MtGox can be risky.
Namworld: That's kind of part of the problem
mircea_popescu: heh, in the 100 to 130 corridor huh ?
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 103.50000, Best ask: 104.99991, Bid-ask spread: 1.49991, Last trade: 103.50000, 24 hour volume: 179212.74308339, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 117.90000, 24 hour vwap: 103.55658
gribble: There are currently 11300.548 bitcoins demanded at or over 90.0 USD, worth 1071065.90632 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0046 seconds
gribble: smickles was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 1 week, 2 days, 7 hours, 31 minutes, and 42 seconds ago: <smickles> a bitcoin atm could be the easiest way to send money to a friend, each of you just goes to an atm
gribble: MtGox lag is 21.636523 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.0433593498374 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin ten times between Earth and Moon (0.0257 AU).
mod6: but... heh, who would want to trade gox?
mod6: book depth looks strong down to $70: http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/mtgoxUSD_depth.html
gribble: There are currently 68666.837 bitcoins demanded at or over 60.0 USD, worth 5118822.40047 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0057 seconds