log☇︎
841700+ entries in 0.499s
kleeck_: That would be the difference between the current scenario and the CPU miners scenario. I don't think they really had a place to buy coins.
Jere_Jones: Buying and holding the btc would be more profitable.
Jere_Jones: Is it a profit if you paid for your gear in btc and never make that btc back? Even if the btc you earn is worth more $ than the btc you spent?
kleeck_: Then, all of the sudden it was. Then it was worth much, much more.
kleeck_: I know people who were mining at a loss back at the start. BTC wasn't worth the electricity and hardware.
kleeck_: Jere_Jones, as per my CPU mining scenario, we can't really know that. You are correct that under current ROI calculations it is not profitable. However, if Bitcoin rises appropriately those individuals could see excellent return on their mining investment.
gecko_gs2: Then we'll talk
Jere_Jones: Thus they are a) delusional, b) stupid, or c) have other motives.
kleeck_: shoo gecko_gs2, the grownups are talking.
Jere_Jones: I think jurov has a very significant point that people starting to mine now can't claim profit as a motive because they will never make a profit.
gecko_gs2: Let's just all agree that we gonna be rich
kleeck_: That is absolutely profitable. Not just to you.
jurov: Okay then. If.
Jere_Jones: Concrete example: If I bought a batch 2 avalon for 80-ish btc. They have made back that 80-ish btc. They continue to make more $ than they cost in electricity. That, to me, is profitable.
kleeck_: Oh come on. Profit is clear: a financial gain, esp. the difference between the amount earned and the amount spent in buying, operating, or producing something.
jurov: it's hard to discuss when we have different definitions of profit. For me, profit is computed considering *whole* investment.
kleeck_: (Their investment was pretty small compared to modern asics, also. To be fair.)
kleeck_: Oh wait. No they aren't...
kleeck_: My friends who went out and bought multicore processors for their mining rigs are really kicking themselves for mining at a loss those years ago.
Jere_Jones: Profit *is* my motivation to mine. Except my usb block eruptor. I'll probably keep that guy going for ever... just 'cause. :)
jurov: anyway, what i'm up to is: you compared profit motives of individuals vs. govt ... but there is no such thing with mining
Jere_Jones: ^ Correction: I would say that. You may or may not say that. :)
Jere_Jones: You could probably say that no machine purchased in the last month will ever be profitable (in BTC).
Jere_Jones: In the mining space, I'd say that a year ago is old school. When I say "new", I mean that you haven't purchased anything and are looking to start.
Jere_Jones: *New* miners who are talking about profit are self-delusional. I agree.
jurov: you see. so the profit motive just is not there and miners who are talking about profit are under self-delusion.
Jere_Jones: But, also, there are no asics you could have preordered a year ago where you just got it.
Jere_Jones: I don't know of a single asic where that would be profitable
jurov: let's have concrete example: say you borrowed $$$ a year ago and put them into asic preorder that was recently delivered
jurov: omg all that you're saying is sooo vague...
Jere_Jones: The problem is getting into mining now is not, according to my maths, not going to be profitable.
Jere_Jones: I am profitable every day in BTC and $ with my mining. I expect that many people are. I'm not special.
Jere_Jones: I, currently, would be poorer if I turned them off.
Jere_Jones: Profit means I get more out than I put in, right?
Jere_Jones: I have already made back the purchase price and the machines currently pay for their electricity.
jurov: Jere_Jones so you think you profit or you actually did the math for your machines?
Jere_Jones: Mining to a government will be about control and power. Profit is almost a non-concern.
Jere_Jones: But the moment I think mining is no longer profitable, I turn my machines off. Because mining, to me, is about the money. Mining to some people is about "securing the network", and that's ok.
jurov: actually i think chinese govt (or Party-affiliated entrepreneurs) can buy stuff from friedcat at manufacture price, won't have to pay market rates for electricity, etc.. and thus would be more profitable
jurov: orly, how many private miners do actually profit today?
Jere_Jones: If private individuals were mining, profit is important. A government doesn't have that restriction.
Jere_Jones: I would argue that it does make a difference.
jurov: what's worse, that iDiff-Dec has to be priced around 0.3 BTC (difficulty 3e9)
jurov: anyway, that is of no concern to me who is mining
ozbot: Estimate of ASIC pre-orders (6,000 to 8,000 TH/s by end of 2013)
Jere_Jones: There is a significant difference between the Chinese people getting into the mining game and the Chinese government getting into the mining game. The US people have been mining for years yet that does not mean the US government has ever set up a mining operation. The evidence would have to show governmental entities are responsible for at least some mining.
jurov: do you think that's all just kncminer?
Sandu: is the dif spike evidence in itself?
jurov: Sandu maybe evidence wrt china involvement is there in plain sight?
Sandu: why MP is not sharing the evidence?
ozbot: Things that matter these days ; things that don’t matter these days. pe Trilema - Un blog de Mirce
Sandu: is there any proof of US/China mining?
kakobrekla: i was looking at ava trade before
dexX7: where are btc cfds traded?
kakobrekla: 2$ on the cfds
assbot: [HAVELOCK] [XBOND] [PAID] 0.69348300 BTC to 1`386`966 shares, 50 satoshi per share
gribble: MtGox BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 203.00000, Best ask: 203.10999, Bid-ask spread: 0.10999, Last trade: 203.11000, 24 hour volume: 32421.85068733, 24 hour low: 187.79998, 24 hour high: 205.50000, 24 hour vwap: 196.27046
taub: i seriously had buy orders at the lows which i pulled last second
taub: its going to a milllion!!!
nubbins`: assembling zines, fun times
phungus: < mircea_popescu> phungus> the original "Behind the Back Door" < you mean green door ? < No, I mean "Behind The Back Door". It was made in the 80's. HAWT
mircea_popescu: how much does that cost, 500 bux ?
mircea_popescu: they got some good stuff there.
mircea_popescu: The cash shipment was headed for a $6 million dollar Bel Air home (7400-square-feet with five bedrooms and eight bathrooms) owned by Shapiro’s in-laws. Pictured at left, Shapiro declined to answer TSG questions about the package sent to him by Sadler. Until about a month again, Shapiro worked for the National Football League as an ad operations manager in the NFL’s Culver City office.
Kleeck_: How many illicit market places will pop up now? Let's get a bitbet for that set up. I'm guess no less than three new ones.
Kleeck_: says - "don't do the crime if you can't do the time.... you rat..."
Kleeck_: LOL. ANd the one comment: Brad Dodge
Kleeck_: He wants to be known as Stephanie Saddler now.
Kleeck_: Referring to “unusual circumstances,” Woods noted that “through reasons unrelated to” Sadler, his cooperation “abruptly came to an end this morning.” Sadler’s lawyer told Tsuchida that her client was in “constant communication with the government.”
mircea_popescu: you kniow shit has to propagate etc.
ozbot: BitBet - Litecoin to fall below .01 BTC before 2014
Bunnyh: http://bitbet.us/bet/525/litecoin-to-fall-below-01-btc-before-2014/ is resolved but not paid. i have no problem waiting a bit, but just noticed the faq says "Resolution and payment of winners are simultaneous events."
mircea_popescu: da fuck is going on over there.
Kleeck_: Oh, God. Not the Captain America shirt!
mircea_popescu: http://i.cdn.turner.com/dr/teg/tsg/release/sites/default/files/assets/stevensadler.jpg < this dork is a top narcotics dealer.
ozbot: Top Silk Road Drug Dealer Was Flipped By Feds | The Smoking Gun
mircea_popescu: i guess uruguay is going to be the new silk road
Bunnyh: so it's actually intended by the bet creator that nobody can bet on it after oct 13th ? even though the bet might be unresolved until the end of the year
mircea_popescu: Bunnyh so that bet was just created with a very early close date for some reason
Bunnyh: ok. maybe i should use the bet comment field for asking these things instead, just trying to understand bitbet. i didn't even bet on that
mircea_popescu: Bunnyh possibly in part because nobody cared enough to ask so far
ozbot: BitBet - bitstampUSD will trade at a higher price than mtgoxUSD in 2013
Bunnyh: http://bitbet.us/bet/537/bitstampusd-will-trade-at-a-higher-price-than/ why is this still pending resolution? and did the price on bitstamp go higher than mtgox on the 13th?
bloctoc: I think air gapping medical records is illegal since HIPAA
mircea_popescu: “My medical practice has gone off line. Effective yesterday, the computers that contain patient’s account information including billing diagnosis, have been completely de-linked from the internet. Therefore, your health information is completely secure. Accounting will be done in house with Quickbooks on a PC that is not connected to the internet."
mircea_popescu: in fact, the radiation the us has been and will be eating from fukushima is significantly over the radiation japan ate in ww2.
mircea_popescu: ironically, they nuked themselves about 100x
KRS1: we probably shouldn't have nuked them.
mircea_popescu: "Of the estimated 13 million unmarried people in Japan who currently live with their parents, around three million are over the age of 35."
ozbot: Why have young people in Japan stopped having sex? | World news | The Observer
Jere_Jones: You'd need a team of "curators". There are about 10 new posts a second.
mircea_popescu: by taking out the 99% crap idiots barf into it and taking out the gems basically.
mircea_popescu: you know, i was bitching years ago about yahoo selling email content to spammers, ppl were ono not possible.
ozbot: Experian Sold Consumer Data to ID Theft Service — Krebs on Security
bloctoc: nice article about experian selling full consumer profiles to a bonafide identity thievery service.
mircea_popescu: phungus> the original "Behind the Back Door" < you mean green door ?
mircea_popescu: <dub> im sure google is happy to "protect" any content they can <<
Jere_Jones: I wonder if there would be a market for a bitcointalk archive...
Diablo-D3: hes now claiming I changed the DMC final notice in the past day or so
Diablo-D3: its all in pm, although hes trying to drag yochdog and ukyo into it