log☇︎
813100+ entries in 0.527s
monolithik: yeah he is pretty terrible as a spokesperson. But his code is good
monolithik: I don't know about most of the other people involved, but Amir Taaki is a talented engineer.
mircea_popescu: the wilson guy definitely means well. i don't see he;s delivering any value yet, but it's way too early. the other thing sounds like it means well, same situation.
monolithik: I read some of the libbitcoin source. It is high quality.
mircea_popescu: monolithik probably too soon to have one.
monolithik: that was directed toward mircea
xoinfinityox: for large entities like nations (banks?) i think the value / advantage of ownership would keep them mining
xoinfinityox: i dont think mining cartels would really be profitable or efficient
monolithik: so far, the system has shown to be incentive-safe in practice
monolithik: will people abandon bitcoin if some kind of nefarious mining cartel forms? Is that enough of a disencentive for the miners to do so?
mircea_popescu: Duffer1 that's what i do, i spy.
mircea_popescu: the thing is, cartels are not really profitable.
Duffer1: if it's not an assumption then how do you know?
xoinfinityox: the value of their own coins vs the risk of losing them should keep from cartelizing
mircea_popescu: monolithik mining is roughly slightly unprofitable on the spot today, and has been for a while. on the long term it will remain so.
xoinfinityox: mono: i think once you get the market consolidated to a few big players, they will compete pretty fiercely
Duffer1: mircea what do you base your assumption on that us/china govs are hashing?
monolithik: question: will people run miners unprofitably to ensure that nobody has a majority share?
xoinfinityox: i would prefer to be a slumlord with the same tiles
mircea_popescu: that's the endgame.
mircea_popescu: monolithik i tell you, it's when upscale bathrooms come with miners in the tile
monolithik: network consolidation is definitely a problem. Best case scenario IMO: ASIC development hits the point where an increase in ghash/watt would be reducible to a general improvement in human knowledge of semiconductors. At that point bitcoin ASICs will become commoditized like Intel CPUs, and the distribution of hashpower would settle to some equilibrium where power was not too widely concentrated
mircea_popescu: we're roughly past the point where this is feasible, which is one of the major things tghat changed since back in spring.
xoinfinityox: i gotcha, they can get out in front of the actual chain
mircea_popescu: yeah, the stack exchange link is on point.
xoinfinityox: @monolithik thx
mircea_popescu: can of course does not equal will, but giving that sort of an option to anyone is anathema to the bitcoin philosophy and the expectations built around it.
mircea_popescu: resulting in untrustworthy btc conveyance for as long as their 51% position lasts
mircea_popescu: that party can then do some nefarious choosing in the transactions that get accepted and then rolled back
xoinfinityox: why is that dangerous in a BTC context?
mircea_popescu: a 51% attack is the situation where one party controls a majority of mining.
xoinfinityox: what is that?
xoinfinityox: you talk about a 51% attack
xoinfinityox: @mircea - good article. this might be a dumb Q but whats the danger of controlling interest in BTC?
ozbot: Things that matter these days ; things that don’t matter these days. pe Trilema - Un blog de Mirce
mircea_popescu: http://trilema.com/2013/things-that-matter-these-days-things-that-dont-matter-these-days/ << math is in there.
mircea_popescu: which by now of course does more in a day than the fiat stock exchanges combined in a week
mircea_popescu: what will it look like when the miner producers dominate the silicon industry on the ground, and are like 5 of the top 20 corps on mpex
Bugpowder: how many total computational power of the worlds is that
mircea_popescu: and nobody is doing this, practyically, acoupla noname shops
mircea_popescu: 10^15 maybe, tho that seems improbable
mircea_popescu: i wonder what will be the peak diff.
Bugpowder: sipa charts are off the hook
mircea_popescu: holy shit look at that, 30% almost
mircea_popescu: "make sure you get the crotchless variants"
mircea_popescu: moving on, did i mention body stockings are kinda cool ? they should put this in seventeen or w/e kids read, "if you don't own a coupla good ones you're no woman"
mircea_popescu: i thought we just covered that.
KRS|Gotyawallet: mircea_popescu: I was wondering about a follow-up on that one, much time has passed in btc time.
xoinfinityox: i'm painfully new to all this
xoinfinityox: god damn btc is the wild west
mircea_popescu: i did have the "ppl stop buying" post prepared, but it never got there, so... crisis averted.
mircea_popescu: mkt can take it from here.
mircea_popescu: we're not imo in dangerous territory, and that's all i care about.
mircea_popescu: not that, really, but anyway. seriously pizzaman1337, it's impossible to make a definitive call like that in the current circumstance.
BingoBoingo: Honeslty it is probably worth an amount such that you yourself would have to pay to get an honest answer
Bugpowder: (not that that is a big thing)
pizzaman1337: he's made calls in the past
Bugpowder: That was a long time ago dude
ozbot: People Bitcoin is not worth 100+ dollars per. STOP BUYING! pe Trilema - Un blog de Mircea Popescu.
pizzaman1337: so do you think it's currently worth more or less than $500 per coin? (seems to be hovering at around 500)
ozbot: BitBet - BTC network difficulty to top 1B before 2014
mircea_popescu: http://bitbet.us/bet/519/btc-network-difficulty-to-top-1b-before-2014/#c2087 << the experts say so anyway.
mircea_popescu: not for you, for them. plunk the whiole thing down on yes :D
Bugpowder: Its going to take a while to get to $4,000 / btc I think. Doubt they will be able to hold on
Bugpowder: oh shit... They needed their coins to appreciate to $75,000??
mircea_popescu: the dollar however, i don't think is worth very much.
pizzaman1337: mircea_popescu: and how about in terms of USD?
pizzaman1337: mircea_popescu: just curious, what do you think bitcoin is worth right now?
nubbins`: i've got a friend who takes t
Bugpowder: my buddy just started getting T supplementation
nubbins`: we got a rush job earlier today, due tomorrow ;(
Bugpowder: I gotta get my T checked
nubbins`: ok enough of this, gonna print one more color
Bugpowder: babies fuck that up tho
KRS|Gotyawallet: how's the libedo
truffles: 5* years tops
mircea_popescu: ;;later tell mircea_popescu remind me in 10 years to neg Bugpowder if his "i will never be frail" promise turns out to be made of milk.
nubbins`: one week each month, the bathroom garbage fills up much quicker than usual
mircea_popescu: and their periods syncronise.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder it'll suck to be you when you're 50 and old and frail
Bugpowder: another daughter on the way...
ozbot: How much for the little girl? - YouTube
xoinfinityox: I WANT TO BUY YOUR WOMEN
mircea_popescu: xoinfinityox "HOW MUCH FOR THE LITTLE GIRL!!!"
mircea_popescu: nubbins` when i was a mobster i didn't wanna go live with all the other mobsters. generally this seems to be a common trend, too, people don't seem to go "a shit, you know what'd be cool ? let's move upstate. the city's a toilet!"
xoinfinityox: you should have traded for the girls
nubbins`: mircea_popescu: you gotta do something like that in a city, not out in the woods. e.g. freetown christiania
mircea_popescu: BingoBoingo re options, you gotta understand that ecosystems are born out of shit.
Bugpowder: couldn't take it
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder i'll bet you they're out at ~550
mircea_popescu: nubbins` gotta give junkies credit when they manage to hold off for a thousand words before bringin; it.
Bugpowder: warned them not to manic sell if it were to drop... I hope the held on...
nubbins`: he waited 8 or 9 paragraphs before bringing up the drug therapies
Bugpowder: they need bitcoin to go to $2500 to afford their land
nubbins`: mircea_popescu: i remember a while back this guy on the forums had a huge thesis-length post about "bitcoin land", a place where bitcoin would be used everywhere
Bugpowder: Geeky father, overbearing fat mother, two incredibly cute blond girls
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder is a family of four mean a guy and three women ?
mircea_popescu: nubbins` they were trying to sell me on the thing. i tell you i don't see it, why would you want to go hang out there ?
Bugpowder: They just wanted to move to Chile...
Bugpowder: I think it was their life savings :(