log☇︎
794000+ entries in 0.567s
herbijudlestoids: im not really saying anything based on a 155 tick sample size
mircea_popescu: you gotta catch one of those events
mike_c: so if a stock trades down for 20 ticks, you're saying buy it or sell it?
herbijudlestoids: 20 ticks == 20 trades
herbijudlestoids: its a different way of plotting the data instead of price/time its price/arbitrary divisions of price
mike_c: i hate technical analysis, so excuse my stupid question: wtf is a 20 tick bar?
herbijudlestoids: definitely starting to look more like the levy distributions that im used to in other stocks
herbijudlestoids: so whatever tails you see are the best/worst of the distribution
herbijudlestoids: no i dont truncat its automatically bucketed
mircea_popescu: did you truncate past -2/+2 or just never happened ?
herbijudlestoids: we are at 155 ticks total
herbijudlestoids: because its highly unlikely that the next bar will be also a -2% return bar or even a -1% return bar, etc
herbijudlestoids: for example, if there is a 20 tick bar with a -2% return, you should bet against it
herbijudlestoids: it also tells other stories ;)
herbijudlestoids: the simplest story the graph tells is that a gambler could bet on any 20 tick bar and more likely expect a positive return than negative one
mircea_popescu: is this good ?
herbijudlestoids: here is the distribution of 20tick lognormal returns for last ~3 days, heavy trading last night means better sample size! http://imgur.com/J7AQWiu
mircea_popescu: i think he's not using that anymoar.
mircea_popescu: herbijudlestoids that is iirc veracruz
mircea_popescu: ;;rate leotreasure 1 Trader.
kakobrekla: i always thougt that were guitar strings or smth.
herbijudlestoids: is that romania? looks nice
gribble: Rating entry successful. Your rating of 1 for user thestringpuller has been recorded.
mircea_popescu: ;;rate thestringpuller 1 I dunno that he's ever pulled any strings.
kakobrekla: ThickAsThieves that thing has been around since time immemorial
herbijudlestoids: are they custom fit? no belt i see
mircea_popescu: herbijudlestoids you know you gotta read the log before linking stuff
gribble: Successfully removed your rating for theymos.
mircea_popescu: ;;unrate theymos
mircea_popescu: ;;rate benkay 1 The original Cascadian.
gribble: WARNING: Currently not authenticated. Trust relationship from user mircea_popescu to user benkay: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 2 via 2 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=mircea_popescu&dest=benkay | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=benkay | Rated since: Sun Mar 10 13:57:45 2013
ThickAsThieves: i havent even opened the package at all
Vexual: does this share keys with bitcoin? can we chared key trade?
ThickAsThieves: i think its .05btc
ThickAsThieves: i missed the whole source code part
Duffer1: tat how much does it cost to coingen a new alt?
Duffer1: "We're totally not trying to reduce LTC diff, MINE ALTCOIN WITH CONFIDENCE"
ThickAsThieves: making slogans is just too easy
ThickAsThieves: hey thats the slogan maybe!
kakobrekla: whats the current diff pankkake
kakobrekla: im jk. its better to put bids.
ThickAsThieves: dunno the bit, but linux is in the package too
Apocalyptic: <ThickAsThieves> can you even do it without the source? // if you have a linux 64-bit exec yeah
mircea_popescu: well so then enforce volume not fees.
ThickAsThieves: seems this would be an opportunity for you
ozbot: X-BT - The new marketplace for trading Bitcoin with Litecoin and Namecoin
ThickAsThieves: can you even do it without the source?
ThickAsThieves: and youll pay me 4btc to list it? ;)
ThickAsThieves: i'll wait for any more meaningful moves til i get the source
Apocalyptic: I heard you have to pay Vern
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves at their level, not like they can make a decision. if you say "i'll put a bid wall for x btc" they can't say no.
kakobrekla: also techically you can say mtgox will suport altchain(s)
ThickAsThieves: i wonder how they decide
ThickAsThieves: gotta get enough interest to get it listed first
mircea_popescu: figure out based on mining cost what diff you want, put a bid wall around there on whatever altscam marketplace
mircea_popescu: not unless youy have all the btc.
ThickAsThieves: I want all the diff
Namworld: Altcoin: The Altcoin
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves so what diff are you targetting ?
ozbot: Twitter / Bitcoin_Assets: The Altcoin to end all altcoins ...
mircea_popescu: "i couldn't believe you have a web page asking users for their private pgp key"
mircea_popescu: "I myself had over 20 BTC I needed to withdrawal. I requested that I have my withdrawals open, he said he would, then never did. Last night all the mods began to realize it was true….he scammed us.,..even his own admin team. I mean obviously scamming all of you is terrible, but to scam his own team is beyond a normal scammer. It is someone who is the lowest of the low, the lowest of the scammers who are already so lo
mircea_popescu: for the 2nd rendition in 2018, "i had almost a whole btc, worth 1/4 mn" ?
mircea_popescu: "Right now, I've got less than 1BTC and I'm dirt poor. Back when bitcoins/litecoins weren't worth anything (< 2 years ago), I had what would now be worth over a quarter million dollars worth in my wallet. I ended up wasting it on stupid gambling sites / day trading before it was worth much. Worst foresight ever."
mircea_popescu: every page you turn, reddit gives the gist of itself.
mircea_popescu: "Please only fill out the survey once, and be honest with your responses."
ThickAsThieves: watch a bunch of keychain users lose their coins: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1wozk1/how_rich_are_you_compared_to_other_rbitcoin/
mircea_popescu: Duffer1 this is a diff one.
mircea_popescu: I’m so fucking sorry for everything I’ve said in the past. I got scammed just like every other fucking person. Scared for my fucking life now people trying to fucking dox us because they think we’re in on it. Fucked up man fucked up."
mircea_popescu: ally fucking hope this is just life problems for the admin team, but I have no idea. Thanks man for your support. This is a total fucking disaster though by the looks of it.
mircea_popescu: "I have no idea man. The fucking admin has disappeared. All people thinking us fucking mods in on it and we had no idea. We have no access to anything at all. All we can do is ban users and delete forum posts. We also lost everything. Invested so fucking much. No job, no security, now in fucking huge debt all because of “honest” promise of pay. I stil have some kind of hope, but it’s running out fast. I really re
mircea_popescu: srsly. i mean cryptsy exists to list everything neh ?
mircea_popescu: you zeroconfing the no ?
ThickAsThieves: You think a Cryptsy.com Lists Altcoin bet would pass the Halls of Judgement?
ThickAsThieves: this thing is obv going viral
ThickAsThieves: will Namecheap fuck me if i host the package?
ThickAsThieves: goes to show, spending 10 minutes on a logo is better than spending 4 minutes
ThickAsThieves: people didnt like the ugly blue one
ThickAsThieves: i'll need to pay someone to update the logo in the wallet once i get the source
mircea_popescu: if there's 20k of them it explodes
mircea_popescu: if there's 200 of them it stabilizes
ThickAsThieves: So what if I post that I'll buy 10BTC worth when it lists on Cryptsy
mircea_popescu: the discount rate of commitment is a market variable, roughly analoguous to the risk free rate in an economy
mircea_popescu: in fact, from a game theory perspective, the total dollar value of your comittment sets his maximum comitment in turn
Duffer1: the coin wouldn't exist vs the coin does exist
ThickAsThieves: what does that even mean?
ThickAsThieves: another pm "May I ask what are your plans with this coin, are you gonna take it seriously ?"
mircea_popescu: seeing how buying costs the same, but also pumps it through the trade.
mircea_popescu: actually it's probably better to buy it than o mine it.
ThickAsThieves: No I have vowed not to mine it
mircea_popescu: Currently we advertise on pages like TORSEARCH.
mircea_popescu: I know, we are not looking very legit but if we get some help with popular sites like yours, then everyone will notice how legit we are.
mircea_popescu: We are legit and we do everything to make it the most secure & safe marketplace ever.
mircea_popescu: I am the owner of RoadSilk and I would like to ask if its possible to change the status of our website on the marketplace list.
mircea_popescu: "They chose "password1" as their admin password."
mircea_popescu: this is php syntax isn't it ? or does ruby use that $_post construct ?
mircea_popescu: check that shit out.
mircea_popescu: "It would be neat if a (formerly) decent darknet market were to release their source code under an open source license. Some platform to build your darknet market on would be nice, rather than starting from scratch."
mircea_popescu: http://www.reddit.com/r/DarkNetMarkets/comments/1wh8ey/cantina_marketplace_was_not_hacked/ << typical
mircea_popescu: anyway, this debacle really reminds me of the bitdaytrade thing