log☇︎
778500+ entries in 0.512s
cads: mircea_popescu: I'm going to investigate the excuse don't worry :D
mircea_popescu: no that's copineaple.
BingoBoingo: Doesn't he also keep a bunch of tomatoes prisoner or am I confused.
cads: "While transactions are signed, the signature does not currently cover all the data in a transaction that is hashed to create the transaction hash. "
mircea_popescu: benkay you know he's the asshole who stole my bentley and gave it to a bunch of kids from like poor countries in india or some shit, and in exchange they hacked a bunch of iphones for him
mircea_popescu: because he likes you and would like to get to know you better.
copumpkin: I tweet occasionally
mircea_popescu: or so they say.
copumpkin: unless you layer additional stupidity on top of it
copumpkin: anyway, it wasn't a threat of loss of bitcoins
mircea_popescu: in this sense security qualifies.
copumpkin: well, they all failed at it in some way or another
mircea_popescu: i think it was a topic of discussion at least monthly.
copumpkin: all the major exchanges and the "official" bitcoin-qt client :P
mircea_popescu: who the hell wasn't srsly.
copumpkin: if you're aware of it, which it turns out nobody was
copumpkin: it isn't really all that much of a problem
cads: Since when the fuck does bitcoin have fucking transaction fucking MALLEABILITY?!
asciilifeform: the 'plant in the audience' recipe, etc.
asciilifeform: benkay: the "ship to forum sockpuppets" asic ploy << there is much to be learned from carnival / stage magic tradecraft re: scams
gribble: Bitstamp BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 666.0, Best ask: 669.0, Bid-ask spread: 3.00000, Last trade: 666.0, 24 hour volume: 20510.92582860, 24 hour low: 628.88, 24 hour high: 673.01, 24 hour vwap: 650.017359511
cads: bitcoinity.org is now tracking bitstamp rather than gox?
pankkake: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1y116j/mtgox_bitcoin_withdrawals_working_again/ successful trolling I guess
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: re: von neumann widget, lol. can't wait for some joker to start 'predicting market'
benkay: the "ship to forum sockpuppets" asic ploy.
gribble: MtGox BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 440.0, Best ask: 442.97, Bid-ask spread: 2.97000, Last trade: 450.0, 24 hour volume: 53582.53478578, 24 hour low: 310.0, 24 hour high: 540.0, 24 hour vwap: 368.92604
Bugpowder: time for the bot to start quoting again
Bugpowder: You could probably do well in the just-dice groupie scene too
mircea_popescu: cads you'll never be popular with the fiat-finance crowds,
cads: This is why I refuse to learn finance first. I'd rather take whatever math intuition handicap than be caught using theorems whose conditions are not satisfied.
BingoBoingo: And the trillions of hashes per second which aren't good enough to find blocks.
mircea_popescu: it is also true of the assets bash.
benkay: this is true of π as well.
mircea_popescu: (because you see, everything is in the torah, including the birthdate of your future wife you;ve not yet met, as well as the name of her secret lover)
mircea_popescu: ie, to predict or enact the word of gawd.
mircea_popescu: the kabbalistic approach is to use them in the manner global warmists use their "data"
mircea_popescu: (ie, as to the message processed)
mircea_popescu: cads except that's the correct way to use numeric methods
cads: So knowing the nth letter of say an english message will definitely give a probability distribution for things like "what word does this letter belong to" or "is this the middle or end of a word."
benkay: cads: well then there ain't nowhere to go but up!
mircea_popescu: which all amount to basically "let's find the parametric function of the future" or meaning or w/e
mircea_popescu: that, then.
mircea_popescu: benkay you familiar with how if you read only the nth letter in an arbitrary string you may find a message in there ?
benkay: cads: you can find greater job satisfaction at a lower rate doing stochastic inventory and supply chain stuff. that said, you have to live in factories or warehouses and interact with line staff from time to time.
mircea_popescu: this is true.
cads: the thing I find very useful about the calculus is that, forget finance, say you're dealing with an arrival process in a factory production cell or in an autonomous agent - now /that/ is a situation where your models basically become the magic word of god.
mircea_popescu: benkay but dja know what the kabbalist ppl mostly do ?
mircea_popescu: tjhat thing
benkay: i was cracking wise about the technical folks' tendency to resort to blind incantations.
benkay: mircea_popescu: stochastic simulations, generally? you'd know more than me...
mircea_popescu: cads you seen the predictonator ?
cads: Surprisingly so.... I'd hate for it to go to my head, though :)
BingoBoingo: The stuff that made Madonna dump A-Rod because his Batting average and WAR stopped being good numbers.
cads: I've been butting heads with the stochastic calculus and I think I'm about ready to start reading Probability with Martingales - random variables, random processes, and statistics are starting to feel a lot more natural.
mircea_popescu: benkay what do you think numeric/quantitative methods are ?
benkay: i'll buy that one ;)
mircea_popescu: the volatility in this chan is fantasitc, not two hours ago we were discussing the new and improved ordering whereby you get more phonenumber with your order,
benkay: no mircea_popescu you see i have this model and it shows that if things were different things would be different
mircea_popescu: this remains true no matter how breathtakingly beautiful, elegant or symetrical they be.
BingoBoingo: The herbi lesson where you place orders based on how you want the book to look rather than on how you could buy and sell at palatable prices.
mircea_popescu: on which topic n taleb's stuff can't be sufficiently recommended i guess.
mircea_popescu: bear in mind that quants are idiots tho. always important to keep this clearly in your head
benkay: that'd be the piece in question, cads.
cads: math background is category theory, algebra, graphs and computation/logic
cads: mircea_popescu: some economics and game theory
cads: mircea_popescu: I'm looking for introductory materials in quantitative finance with focus on hedge funds and derivatives valuation. Any input in this direction?
mircea_popescu: you don't disable tokens after use ?
pankkake: I'm trying a herbijujular strategy!
Apocalyptic: unless you submit it before the script has a chance to set the new token ofc
ozbot: X-BT - The new marketplace for trading Bitcoin with Litecoin, Namecoin and Altcoin
ozbot: X-BT - The new marketplace for trading Bitcoin with Litecoin, Namecoin and Altcoin
Apocalyptic: csrf one-time token on every form
mircea_popescu: what's the url again ?
pankkake: there's a usuability issue, when you put an order, you get into the page in POST mode; refreshing it would likely submit the order a second time
BingoBoingo: Looks like x-bt had its first ATC trade
nanotube: nope, that event was on feb 10
nanotube: i think charts has removed anx.hk for the moment
mircea_popescu: nanotube was that day like feb 14th ?
nanotube: mircea_popescu: bitcoincharts average got messed up one day, because anx.hk accidentally pushed dogecoin trade data in place of bitcoin - thus producing high volume at really low price, and screwing things up. ☟︎
mircea_popescu: a ty.
TomServo: Not sure why that's not the default tbh
Bugpowder: EXERCISE THAT SHIT
mircea_popescu: hmm i wonder where that's from.
gribble: BitcoinAverage BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 652.46, Best ask: 654.28, Bid-ask spread: 1.82000, Last trade: 654.25, 24 hour volume: 39430.17, 24 hour low: None, 24 hour high: None, 24 hour vwap: 647.65
mircea_popescu: because i am currently carrying a shitton of puts, which i would contractually be allowed to execute at the 430 bs bitcoincharts price
mircea_popescu: by being in -assets i get the chance to learn how mpoebot etc actually work.
mircea_popescu: anyway ppls thanks for bringing it up lol.
Bugpowder: mircea_popescu taps his keyboard of +3 plausibility.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla because then somehow (?!) the bitcoincharts avg came out as 537
kakobrekla: why was the last quote 13923716xx then
mircea_popescu: anyway, mpoebot isn't quoting because the derivation among exchanges is too large, and likely won't until this is resolved somehow.
benkay: mp wrote a spec that performs
benkay: oh well then
mircea_popescu: it accounted for cases i duly forgot about and then happened
mircea_popescu: no, that's the problem : it did.
mircea_popescu: at a time long ago when nobody had heard of such a case or imagined it likely.
benkay: wow the spec didn't account for all edge cases
mircea_popescu: benkay the sad part of this of course being that this is actually according to spec i wrote myself.
benkay: mircea_popescu's having software trubbles
Bugpowder: A prediction of the future