log☇︎
757000+ entries in 0.515s
Chris_Sabian_: is it true then?
the20year2: When I got into real estate, i didn't believe the statistic they told agents. So, I individually tracked dozens of properties in my area that were listed without realtors, vs those listed with them
the20year2: But , for every dollar you spend on marketing/fees, you typically get 2x or 3x back
Chris_Sabian_: and thay money comes from the seller?
the20year2: Compared to say offering just 4% to the seller's agent, which would result in just $2k to them
the20year2: So, with say a $100k property @ 3% selling agent comission they're gonna get $1500, with the $2500 bonus they end up getting $4k
the20year2: And for most new agents, the cut is 50/50 , so they only get half of the 3%
the20year2: almost all brokerages in the US have clauses that if the selling agent comission goes above the 'area norm' , the remainder passes through to the agent directly
the20year2: If I have control what I do is usually 2% to the listing agent and then 3% + $2500 for the selling/buyer's agent
the20year2: 5% to 6%
Chris_Sabian_: what is a typical comission for a realtor when selling?
the20year2: I don't know how many foreclosed houses I've been in that were 2nd time foreclosures in a 3-5 year period where the buyer had bought a foreclosure in the hopes of doing it themselves, then never completing repairs
Chris_Sabian_: and we trust that you can do that. I trust that you can do that....
the20year2: for a owner occupant, they don't want to lend on a property that might have $5k in repairs, or $15k
the20year2: That's why I did the stock offering instead of just going to a local bank and asking for a loan. The bank wants to see properties in good shape with 3-6mo of cashflow before they'll lend
the20year2: Anymore , banks refuse to lend to people who want a property that needs work. From 2004-now one of the highest default categories is wanabe investors/DIYers who buy a house, screw up the rehab and cost the bank money
the20year2: Bank won't ever lend to them
Chris_Sabian_: So if a property is 30k and needs work, why cant a renter just put the 5-6k down with bank loand instead of going through you?
the20year2: It's proven that you're the sum of the people you hang around. Facebook makes it pretty easy to figure out if your renter is just a redneck, or a druggie
Chris_Sabian_: i would assume that you have some kind of background, fiance or history check with renters before you rentent?
the20year2: Correct, and after 3-4 years, the renters are looking at up to $10k in loss from their damage
Chris_Sabian_: nothing to lose
Chris_Sabian_: makes sense, $0 means the people have no incentive to make sure the property is kept up
the20year2: The quality level of people that have substantial downpayment is much higher than your $0 down types
the20year2: Correct, and you're still allowed to require them to upkeep the property or face default on the loan/rent-to-own
Chris_Sabian_: and hopefully the renters treat the property well
the20year2: So, in that scenario we clear still $100-$150 a month in income off the property, still collect appreciation if the rent-to-owner decides they don't want it anymore (Which is the most likely scenario), AND have $65k-$68k back in our pockets
the20year2: With the scenario of #4, we'd still be eligible for financing on it, which means the new rent-to-owner has paid us anywhere from $5k-$8k in a non-refundable down payment, plus monthly payments of $500-$600 per month. We still are eligible for financing it from a bank (A cashout) and could also get another $60k from the property
Chris_Sabian_: september to december was ~ 1000%, december to now was down ~50%, september to now ~550%.
the20year2: Correct, however you're gonna have to see major jumps in btc prices to compete with the NAV growth
the20year2: It's a hybrid flip , it's the 'get cake and eat it too' strategy
Chris_Sabian_: but if bitcoin price > NAV property then share price should go down
the20year2: Property #1 was $62k>$115k , #2 was $33.5k > $55k , I expect #4 to be $37.5k>$80k
the20year2: Of which, much would flow back to investors/shareholders because they're paying a down payment on the repaired value, not what we have in it
Chris_Sabian_: so the renter is renting to own?
the20year2: It'll start making more sense in a month or two once we get these properties done, and secure at least one seller financed deal
the20year2: The second option will be much better, especially if we successfully start offering seller financing on properties, as we're trying to do with property #4
the20year2: It comes down to waiting for BTC price increase, or increase NAV of properties by 30%, 40%, 50% in a few months
the20year2: in order for it to be worth it
the20year2: BTC price would have to exceed $2500 by mid 2014 if we levered in the next 6 months
the20year2: I agree, however it's one of those things, if we can reach a position where leverage is open, btc pricing will largely be irrelevant because we'll just be playing arbitrage on the variations in interest/property ields
gribble: Bitstamp BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 642.01, Best ask: 643.94, Bid-ask spread: 1.93000, Last trade: 643.97, 24 hour volume: 13390.95777424, 24 hour low: 614.17, 24 hour high: 656.95, 24 hour vwap: 634.354614252
Chris_Sabian_: 2014 will either make or break bitcoin. gox, regulations, tax, government interest, huge boost of awarness, it will be interesting to see
Chris_Sabian_: btc prices are low right now, i would hold off selling for $$ until the gox crap is over
the20year2: We've utilized, or have in contract about 50% of the given capital
the20year2: Hopefully we can get to, or close to full utilization of capital by the time 30 days is up
Chris_Sabian_: i'll see how the next 30 days or so go. i may throw 5 btc at rental and see what happens
the20year2: too costly to do it with traditional investors, with bitcoin the startup cost was almost nothing
Chris_Sabian_: what make you persue the bitcoin option instead of traditional investors?
Chris_Sabian_: i may pick up some then
the20year2: It depends on what the median price is leading up to the 30 day period
Chris_Sabian_: for the next round?
the20year2: It does take a little while to buy & rehab properties, so the capital doesn't get utilized immediately
Chris_Sabian_: what is the share price?
the20year2: No , to reach #1m we'd need to do all 4 rounds, we just finished #1
Chris_Sabian_: so did you raise all of the ~$1 million?
the20year2: Really don't want to go with the overly-dramatic HGTV videos
the20year2: The video logs for properties #4 and #5 make me excited, since they're both big rehab jobs and I do believe they'll come out good. I've got part of the #4 video edited and voice-overed. My plan is to break up the voice-over version between properties so I can get feedback on what people like
the20year2: I try to keep everyone updated. The video logs and the audited finaicial reports I think will put us over the top in terms of quality of transparency
mike_c: One of the ironies of the stock market is the emphasis on activity. Brokers, using terms such as "marketability" and "liquidity", sing the praises of companies with high share turnover (those who cannot fill your pocket will confidently fill your ear). But investors should understand that what is good for the croupier is not good for the customer. A hyperactive stock market is the
Chris_Sabian_: The level of communication from 'Branny' is excellent. Sad to say that it is a rarity in bitcoinland
Chris_Sabian_: Is that the Rental Company in Ohio?
the20year2: Closed on property #3 today, sellers did transfer us remaining rents + original deposits
Chris_Sabian_: does anyone know what is going on with AM? 181 from last week and only 31 coins this week...
MAKABEakira: BingoBoingo, jush needs the money
BingoBoingo: Thanks. I've got a piece to sell, because fucking Dreamhost emailed me that the hosting's renewal is coming up soon.
asciilifeform: i think i threw this one in here at one point!
BingoBoingo: Once I finish my write up on baseball betting I might give translating it a shot.
ozbot: Moment de intimitate-n baie pe Trilema - Un blog de Mircea Popescu.
gribble: LA PERLA CLASSIC... Intimate and seductive... right on the ... - FlipKey: <http://www.flipkey.com/baie-rouge-vacation-rentals/p282190/>; Coolest places to propose in the Caribbean - USA Today: <http://www.usatoday.com/experience/caribbean/best-of-caribbean/coolest-places-to-propose-in-the-caribbean/5293329/>; Grand Baie Bay - Holiday Lettings: (1 more message)
benkay: ^^ again with the absurdities.
benkay: american white-collar folk are generally sent to the hospital, where the peeing happens in a luxurious room, in private.
BingoBoingo: From stories it seems most of the enlisted drug tests now happen as an absorbent patch that collects sweat.
mircea_popescu regrets that his peeing article is in romanian
asciilifeform: always seems to be happening to some other fellow.
asciilifeform: caveat - i've never seen this ritual alive, personally.
asciilifeform: this (and airport arsesearch) is more or less the only place where it is permitted.
asciilifeform: everybody gets the correct witness, it is said.
mircea_popescu: and it'd be sexist to enforce genders
MAKABEakira: mircea_popescu, experian will have a whole new report to sell
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform except men can't piss in the company of womenz generally speaking
mircea_popescu: MAKABEakira that is true.
asciilifeform: i imagine the pisstest is a massive boondoggle for folks selling GC/MS gear.
asciilifeform: but i do not know whether this tradition is 'honoured in the breach'
asciilifeform: by tradition, one is expected to actually piss in the company of a witness
asciilifeform: all i can tell from my perch - somebody must be buying those false bladders and their refills.
benkay: it's the kind of hilariously fucked up situations you get under communism i guess
MAKABEakira: next time i have to do a UA (which is never) I should stock up on some methylene blue beforehand
benkay: "did you smoke pot in the last thirty days? oop - insurance doesn't cover that. guess you're out an arm!"
benkay: the post-incident piss test.
benkay: the really funny part of the whole charade?
benkay: senior management generally being reluctant to sacrifice the potsmokers, you see.
asciilifeform: a few days warning suffices for everyone save the potsmokers.
benkay: if insurance companies insist on tests actually happening, managers are discreetly dispatched to discover who the safe testing targets are.
asciilifeform: chum of mine worked at a military lab where they occasionally tested people (oddly enough, the one where i worked - never. other than enlisted men) and noted that there was usually warning.
benkay: the testing is not random, it rarely even appears that way.
benkay: this, as one might expect, is just another tool to control the cattle in america.
benkay: net result: test everyone. randomly.
benkay: gotta keep risk down on insuring those line operators, and can't sow dissent in the ranks by testing the operators and not the engineers.
benkay: most american desk jockies as well, especially if your desk is attached to a manufacturing operation.