log☇︎
749500+ entries in 0.481s
mircea_popescu: of which i doubt very much is traded on any sort of a daily basis.
nubbins`: for example, i don't day trade, and i don't think most others here do either
mircea_popescu: i would agree. there's about a million btc represented here,
Namworld: That would make more sense, at least for those that daytrade.
nubbins`: ReutersEmily: in my experience, those who day trade don't really hold long-term, and vice versa
ReutersEmily: like the way you talk about hedge fund guys who make zillions and could retire at 40
ReutersEmily: then maybe people will just be asking if you are going to get out the trading
mircea_popescu: it gets worse, too.
ReutersEmily: yeah that makes sense
nubbins`: the implication being that widespread acceptance is the only thing that will lead to sustained high value
Namworld: So yeah, if BTC is ever worth a fortune each, there will probably be no need to trade them for cash, they'll probably be widely accepted by then for them to have appreciated that much..
mircea_popescu: ReutersEmily instead of everyone else having to get in, wanting or not.
nubbins`: for example: if 1btc=$1m, i wouldn't need to "cash out" because i could just as easily spend my btc at walmart
ReutersEmily: and that is what you were trying to explain to the wired guy who had to go and drink tea and think about it afterwards?
ReutersEmily: instead of continuing to function in it
ReutersEmily: as in, people asumme you're going to get "out" of bitcoin
Namworld: Well it's pretty much what's said in the movie, edited a bit to include Bitcoin.
nubbins`: which begs the question a bit
ReutersEmily: maybe it's because i haven't seen the matrix
ReutersEmily: i lost you guys on that last little bit
mircea_popescu: nubbins` he said "i shall ponder this over tea"
mircea_popescu: "o x y z won't invest in btc" "dude, it matters not if they do it directly or tyhrough n layers abstracting it from you, it's still what's going on"
mircea_popescu: i was actually explaining this to a guy from wired yesterday
nubbins`: i was actually explaining this to my mother yesterday
mircea_popescu: that is EXACTLY the point. go morpheus.
nubbins`: see tsp's link
mircea_popescu: nubbins` fuck, i could have said that. who beat me to the punch ?
ReutersEmily: but of the cases i did cover closely i never saw a defendant i thought was wrongly accused.
nubbins`: "i won't have to"
Namworld: But I haven't had time to think about this topic in details to form a specific or resilient opinion of the matter.
ReutersEmily: mircea_popescu i know. i don't know each of the cases well enough to be able to say they were "all correct"
mircea_popescu: consider for instance the outrageous case of the swiss heinz options traders.
Namworld: But never prevent insider trading on the buying side.
ReutersEmily: mircea_popescu regarding cases brought over the past few years....of the 79 criminal insider trading cases brought by Manhattan federal prosecutor, not one has ended in an acquittal
Namworld: yet cleared the orderbook.
Namworld: But at the same time, if you need to work hard to earn through Business, why shouldn't those who have information through working hard not trade on it? Why prevent use of such information? I would perhaps only agree to go against management insider trading in case of catastrophic scenario (undeclared losses/bankruptcy), where management would probably both have ruined the company and
mircea_popescu: ReutersEmily you've followed the cases in the past few years, since it's your beat. would you say in each and every one it was your opinion that the actions as decided by either sec or courts were in fact correct ?
ReutersEmily: so actually mircea_popescu i am sure i can find this on your site too but how do you keep people from insider trading on MPEx?
ReutersEmily: well they're pretty straightforward in that you have to have a tipper and a tipee, and the tipee has to know that the tipper is getting a personal benifit in exchange for giving out inside info
bounce: hard to see how they would not be
mircea_popescu: dexX7 i do think there's something there myself. just, you know... apparently it also burns.
mircea_popescu: ReutersEmily now that they are.
dexX7: yes, but i really like the idea.
ReutersEmily: anyway, Cohen said in a deposition a few years ago he thought insider trading rules were "vague"
mircea_popescu: dexX7 perhaps. though the rota project as originally designed proved unworkable. it'd have to be worked on.
nubbins`: kinda sad i missed out on that
nubbins`: ah, the rota
dexX7: mpex as sro.. would this also imply things like the rota project? http://trilema.com/2012/the-mpex-rota/
bounce: the name popped up in a wonkblog piece I googled just now; could well be the one I read earlier. name didn't stick, but he got done for insider trading.
ReutersEmily: if insider trading were legal we would have an even deeper gap between have and have nots
mircea_popescu: because i'd likely just start screaming and overturning tables.
mircea_popescu: ReutersEmily i wouldn't want to be in any board where the ceo goes "well icahn just offered me 50mn, what you guys got"
bounce: but anyway, thanks.
ReutersEmily: mircea_popescu you're right it also does affect the stability of a company's stock price theoretically when you have insider activity
mircea_popescu: unless you want to live in a world of socialised dope care, it'll have to stay illegal.
bounce: difference between having an opinion and letting it colour your writing, which could well be a challenge to separate.
mircea_popescu: Namworld this is exactly the equivalent of "why regulate psychoactives" debate. because if you can you must, and if it's legal to do amphetamines companies will start mandating their employees do it.
Namworld: Information on the market is assymetric everywhere else, almost. I don't see why force it for securities.
ReutersEmily: i guess, without offering too much of an opinion since I am a journalist and not supposed to have any, i would add that the markets aren't fair anyway
mircea_popescu: ReutersEmily well the better opposite view is that it's really not against the people working at companies' interest to allow that "hard work" to fruit, as opposed to the interest of the actual companies.
nubbins`: as an investor, i'd be pretty sore if an officer of the company in which i invested started telling his buddies when to sell
BingoBoingo: I rather hope the SEC decides to be friends http://bitbet.us/bet/790/mpex-to-become-sec-recognized-sro-in-2014/?ref=17sTosfHxNzGD4VUP3pjoHCEVofzSEcL95
ReutersEmily: but the opposite view is that it makes the markets totally unfair
Namworld: I think you're thinking of something else.
ReutersEmily: i guess the people who think insider trading shouldn't be illegal argue that if you can work hard for the advantage--ie get contacts inside a company to leak you stuff or whatever, you deserve the competitive advantage?
mircea_popescu: Namworld but you were about 2k at the top right ?
ReutersEmily: ok so regarding that insider trading question
bounce: well that's clear enough. :)
LordPutin: that's terrible Namworld i feelforyou
nubbins`: it didn't really take
nubbins`: i tried to get a local CBC investigative reporter set up w/ pgp
ReutersEmily: bounce I think carney does think that
mircea_popescu: aite. lots to read, lots to absorb. pace yourself
ReutersEmily: mircea_popescu I would love to do that
bounce: forgot who wrote the piece I remember reading, quick google tells me john carney and dylan matthews said things to that tune not too long ago
mircea_popescu: really if i had to talk to a ws whistleblower, thats what i'd use, or else pgp over email.
mircea_popescu: ReutersEmily the real reason you want a client is that you can then install otr, which is a cryptographically secure plugin allowing you to have private conversations safe from any snoops. and that is good quality safety, not the sort of crud normally peddled. ☟︎
Namworld: About 180 BTC, more or less. I would need to check.
bounce: since you're covering fraud and stuff, what do you think about this stance that insider trading shouldn't be illegal?
BingoBoingo: ReutersEmily: Right. This channel has a log linked in the topic, but for other channels and conversations you depend on your client to keep logs for you
mircea_popescu: Namworld ah ? didn't know that. how much you still have out ?
Namworld: Well technically I have yet to repay everyone, so, no, that's not yet a fact.
nubbins`: thestringpuller: great for when you want your computer to freeze when opening an email
Namworld: [10:19] <mircea_popescu> thestringpuller namworld did it.
thestringpuller: my last office used lotus too!
mircea_popescu: nubbins` nice example nubsy. it's totally like outlook.
thestringpuller: you mean gmail vs thunderbird :P
ReutersEmily: cool thanks
ReutersEmily: yeah i'm using the webchat right now
nubbins`: ReutersEmily: most of us use dedicated software to connect to irc, rather than a website like you're using
mircea_popescu: pick from there.
gribble: The Top 7 Best Free IRC Clients for Windows 7 - MakeUseOf: <http://www.makeuseof.com/tag/top-7-free-irc-clients-windows-7/>; Good IRC Clients? : windows - Reddit: <http://www.reddit.com/r/windows/comments/1eezw4/good_irc_clients/>; XChat: Multiplatform Chat Program: <http://xchat.org/>
ReutersEmily: uh...they just upgraded our computers here at work to windows whatever - 7?
dexX7: look at the hostmask
Namworld: Software to access IRC channels. I suppose you're using the webchat?
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller she's on the webchat thing
mircea_popescu: there was some unfortunate guy that took out a bond in btc and paid it out early on
thestringpuller: is ThickAsThieves the only person to issue a bond and not fuck over people?
mircea_popescu: (for instance i don't write out ReutersEmily every time i name you, i just type out re)
Namworld: He doesn't speak much at all usually. I doubt he'll talk to the press when he refuses to say anything to anyone.