745500+ entries in 0.494s

mircea_popescu: wao-ender
this is going
to
take a year rather
than a weekend.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform could even have
tournaments. who makes
the most out of 100 btc or w/e
wao-ender: we are having
this weekend bithack at our hackerspace, wondering if people would like make some betbot
mircea_popescu: write a google search application
that finds answers
to bets based on queries derived from bet
text,
mircea_popescu: ie, here's a very simple way
to have fun as a bright young programmer :
mircea_popescu: generally speaking mechanical, constraint betting results in better ev
than "feelers".
mike_c: yeah, right after i said
that i second
thought it. lot of
the big profits comes from unexpected results.
mike_c: not bad at all. plus you could surely do better by varying your budget on
the bets.
mircea_popescu: anyway, 5.x btc profit on a 70ish btc budget as a handicapper is really not
that bad.
mike_c: thx. it is cool
to look at some of
the big winners for
the house.
the mtgox closure caused a huge one. 0.07 btc -> 1.36 btc
mike_c: not one of
the first 3
mircea_popescu: mike_c
the point about "it dun really matter so much
to correctly identify
the house" stands
too, for
the angle discussed in chat.
mircea_popescu: ha!
the house clears 10% ? i had it pegged at about 8%
mircea_popescu: 1.
take first 3 bets. 2. exclude one. 2.1 either
the 1st, if it has
the same exit addy as one of
the other 2, and
the
two have same weight, or else
the 3rd.
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mircea_popescu: but
the
two you keep always have
the exact same weight
mike_c: lots of counter-examples
to
that
mircea_popescu: mike_c
the one you exclude a) always has
the same output as one of
the remainder
two and is either made at weight 100k
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mircea_popescu: mike_c
the correct selection for house bets is
to
take
the first
three bets of any wager, and exclude one of
them
mircea_popescu: now i look at
the market, prices fell an average of 40% across all product classes.
mircea_popescu: also in
the news, i
took about a week off because of all
the press nuttery, during which i stopped buying raw materials
nubbins`: mircea_popescu is
there a way
to exchange btc for whatever
the fuck rift uses for currency?
jurov: in
transaction detail
pankkake: many atms or other kiosk stuff stuck on
the "daylight savings" message
pankkake: no, it's
the same machine, with 12 drives wired.
the setup is clearly ghetto (especially
the pci-e extenders
to reach
the drives outside…)
pankkake: I suppose I should blame
the hardware…
though both are raid6
mircea_popescu: aaand
trilema,
teh rift guild just went over 1k members
pankkake: I am
transferring my data from old
to new drives, and I started a checksum verification of
the
tranferred files, for fun.
turns out, a lot weren't
transferred correctly
benkay: now
that's usin
the noggin
kakobrekla: perhaps
the easiest way is
to just loop
through
the ids going from 1
to whatever
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benkay: and i'm not seeing any pagination handles in
the 'resolved' rss
benkay: kakobrekla: is
there a convenient way
to get a list of all resolved bets besides scrolling down
the search page?
mike_c: hah. nothing wrong with
that either :) unless vince mcmahon has some bitcoin
BingoBoingo: I'm still iffy on
the whole NBA
thing. Might as well open a bet on who wins
the whole Wrestlemania
thing.
BingoBoingo: mike_c: I Mr. Stern still
the commissioner?
the20year3: Got a email back
the 13th from
the bank saying "We are ready
to close" ,
the contract's closing date was
the 24th as requested by
the bank. 24th has come and gone and still no closing
mike_c: BingoBoingo: but no point shaving possible here, just 5:1 odds on
the eastern conference.
that's a good bet.
the20year3: Put an offer on a house about 3-4 weeks ago,
telling
them we could close in a week
mike_c: benkay:
there's a json feed by
tacking ?json on
the end of
the bet url
benkay: kakobrekla, mircea_popescu: where's
the bitbet api again?
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assbot: [HAVELOCK] [B.MINE] [PAID] 2.19917759 BTC
to 4`379 shares, 50221 satoshi per share
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thestringpuller: Betting boths sides is a way
to adjust exposure? How is
that controversial?
MisterE: wow
that sparked quite
the debate about bitbet
novusordo: not sure, haven't gotten mine
to play with yet
novusordo: and also prompts
to enter random words between
the actual ones
novusordo: it prompts you
to enter
the words from
the bip32 phrase out of order
novusordo: if you
take a factory-fresh
trezor and you have a bip32 wallet you'd like
to put on it
novusordo: so apparently
the
trezor has a better recovery system
than I
thought
rithm: bitcoin be killin
those encrypted ~ partitions
rithm: i'm just glad my computer works
today
nubbins`: gazing upward with hope and joy in
their eyes
mircea_popescu: i like big women
too, but
these seem big in all
the wrong ways in all
the wrong places.
nubbins`: crumb
took a lotta flak over
the years