log☇︎
689200+ entries in 0.406s
mike_c: what is BTC stabilization point? when do we get there? I don't think 2016
mircea_popescu: what, it just goes to the moon perpetually ?
mike_c: hard to say then.. would need crystal ball.
mike_c: mircea_popescu: when would you make the first purchase?
thestringpuller: wow it's that bad huh?
mircea_popescu: how about the next five years ?
mircea_popescu: mike_c couple of years is no concern, i don't see how one could fit all the required research in one year.
mike_c: thestringpuller: i've looked into some. but it's hard to find any worth reviewing.
mike_c: and i'd be happy to bitbet back that opinion up :)
mike_c: all I'm saying, is that if you create a BA REIT, it will decline in BTC value over the next couple years.
mike_c: there is a universe available. some people buy t-bills.
mircea_popescu: consider : if only the things that you'd invest in existed, what would you do for food ?
mircea_popescu: well, because if there isn't a universe available and everyone rides on thesame pole we'll sink.
assbot: The problem of too much money pe Trilema - Un blog de Mircea Popescu.
mike_c: unless of course, you have too much money. in which case I recommend reading this article: http://trilema.com/2012/the-problem-of-too-much-money/
assbot: BtcAlpha.com F.MPIF Tracker estimated NAV per share: 0.00021705 BTC (Total: 434.12 BTC)
mike_c: if you have identified a small set of awesome investments, why would you put money in something else that is worse?
asciilifeform: ThickAsThieves: no useful src there (for core)
other_mp: mike_c sometimes i suspect your investment philosophy is roughly the equivalent of the kid that'll only eat cake.
BingoBoingo has seen the ADM elevators on the Mississippi coast of Western IL
other_mp: a lot of those big bn figures are various consolidations
BingoBoingo: ADM basically runs on the Uber model, little actual infrastructure (a few hub) and a lot of subcontractors.
mike_c: I used to think bitbet was an investment until halep pranced her way into the finals.
mike_c: i wouldn't sink any btc into them
mike_c: lots of investments in the world. t-bills are an investment.
other_mp: but are they investments or are they expenses.
mike_c: 40b assets + 23b liabilities, but still, that's impressive.
gribble: ADM: Home: <http://www.adm.com/>; ADM: Careers: <http://www.adm.com/careers/Pages/default.aspx>; Archer Daniels Midland - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia: <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archer_Daniels_Midland>
asciilifeform: the chumpers grow the 'corn'
mike_c: that's fine, but don't tel me that growing corn instead of pot is an investment
mike_c: right, but if that money could have grown 10x instead of 2x..
other_mp: then the word for that expense is investment
other_mp: mike_c if the expense saves 2x the expense for 100 different peopel
benkay: ibid the memory-ing
asciilifeform: (what's there now?)
asciilifeform: afaik the nazitowns weren't walled in
other_mp: how's that thinking go ?
other_mp: it's unsanitary for you to not be periodically raped.
other_mp: trying to explore this theory.
other_mp: perhaps had the whole thing been managed by a corp into which the inerested parties could buy interest
other_mp: theory being that the real estate problems of san francisco today result from poor historical management
other_mp: yes. silicon is on the outs.
asciilifeform: hurting the very thing that made it possible << thermodynamics suggests that this is kinda inevitable for just about anything worthwhile
mike_c: what, you got too much time on your hands?
mike_c: kinda like using btc to develop quantum computers that destroy btc
other_mp: mike_c especially cxonsideringthe sinergies involved. a successful plata valley would by and of itself drive up btc price, hurting the very thing that made it possible
other_mp: you should see the jewish section btw.
benkay: not that i'm terribly sane, but i'm working on it
asciilifeform: isn't ar one of those places where they love expropriation/dekulakization?
other_mp: mike_c very hard to argue with that.
other_mp: i intend to import as many sane people as possible.
other_mp: it doesn't cost you 20 dollars/sqft to acquirethe space.
other_mp: benkay you can generally get about 1 dollar / sqft out of tourists/foreigners from what i see.
benkay: there is the thing called buying the hole, where you buy a building or some fraction thereof during/prior to construction for some 30% discount. whether or not the position is liquidatable later, i cannot speak to.
benkay: my intel suggests that residential is not a good play. not enough buyers to support the market, too much inventory to support rents at a rate that accomodates inflation, plus buyers favor newer properties over anything else
mike_c: to put this in perspective. it's August 2013. price is $100. "the price was $240 in april, hasn't moved in months"
other_mp: more interested to settle theprinciple first, then maybe more canbe squeezed from such optimisations
other_mp: i don't know enough about the market to even guess.
other_mp: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=bitstampUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=360&i=&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&v=1&cv=0&ps=0&l=0&p=0& << admirable how glued to 100 it stayed, after the april events.
mike_c: last time it was 50 was mid-march 2013
other_mp: moar like 100 i thought
other_mp: for that matter, btc was 1.2k in jan
mike_c: i don't speak spanish, but i doubt that said "10x in a year"
other_mp: what does the esteemed chan think, mike_c, fluffypony, los_pantalones : am i fucking insane to contemplate a ba real estate investment vehicle for btc ?
other_mp: basically, they had 2.5k building sales in april for an average value per building of
other_mp: en la comparacion interanual, las escrituras se redujeron 2.1% y de acuerdo al colegio de escribanos, la cantidad total aumeno un 20.6% respecto del mes anterior que registro 2223
other_mp: so from my local newspaper (which helpfully includes three pages of stock and equity listings, you should see these things) :
asciilifeform: BingoBoingo, mike_c: transformer/bird hypothesis: beautiful, but one problem. wrong room.
assbot: [HAVELOCK] [SCRYPT] [PAID] 12.01217590 BTC to 29`438 shares, 40805 satoshi per share
asciilifeform: either that or mp has defective u.s. implant and i have a defective nsa camerabird.
asciilifeform: dollars to doughnuts, bad vreg
asciilifeform: fan is normally hardwired to +12v
benkay: re uber: it's the perfect way to roll out a robo-fleet
asciilifeform reads logs, no doubt missed all the good stuff
asciilifeform: clever bugger knows exactly where to go
asciilifeform went to visit meatspace people, came back, bird... still working.
mircea_popescu: a woman willing to part with a juicy set of hooters just to play tennis well probably will train harder than your average.
mircea_popescu: i think few people actually knew her back story.
mike_c: not one person other than mp bet on halep.
mike_c: by the way, this fking halep thing exposes another great money maker. Bettors clearly undervalue low probability events.
mike_c: yeah, another 20 years and she will be the lucky one :)
mircea_popescu: except... she wasn't going there.
mike_c: yeah. but uber has some possibilities because they aren't fucking sharing photos. they are selling taxi rides.
mircea_popescu: here's a true story. when i was in hs they had a sort of homecoming thing, picking teh prettiest chick at the party. as a personal favour, tehy were going to proclaim the chick i went with miss our highschool.
mircea_popescu: mike_c, i just tend to bet on the right tits.
mircea_popescu: and that does mean everywhere, turkmenistan and ghana are equally covered
mike_c: clearly you have staff in france.. top 3 seeds out at garros?? halep in the finals??
mircea_popescu: but you know, coca-cola (100bn in assets or so) has... factories all over the place.
mircea_popescu: most just get the ap and aws instances.
mircea_popescu: a that. yes, easily granted.
mike_c: not what it's worth, i was just saying they've put in more work than most.
mircea_popescu: i also have my own staff all over the place
mircea_popescu: <mike_c> you don't think they have their own staff all over the place? << perhaps you grossly overestimate what that's worth.
Apocalyptic: It reminded me of mircea when I heard the news
mike_c: are you fking kidding me. halep in the finals??
BingoBoingo: And on that note I'm off.
BingoBoingo: Most of Uber though is simply outsourcing to existing operators.
BingoBoingo: Sure, they have a call center.
mike_c: you don't think they have their own staff all over the place?
BingoBoingo: Beyond that Uber just seems to have an App