647600+ entries in 0.421s

assbot: Forex Market Regulation: Who Can Really Police
This Global Market? - Forbes
Vexual: wehn considering improvements
to
the valve system i imagined a better concrete pump
Vexual: i attempted
the engine from ore
thing
mircea_popescu: in
things like permafrost you can at least put deep pillars in and pour on
that
punkman: oh lol dam without foundation,
they just pump a mix of water/cement/sand into foundation cavities all
the
time
assbot: Mosul Dam's
Takeover by ISIS Raises Risk of Flooding - WSJ
mircea_popescu: i'd prolly visit just for
to shoot new
trilema header.
mircea_popescu: i kinda am rooting for
them
to invade italy, force italians into sex slavery in morocco
punkman: speaking of syndicates, ISIS in Lebanon already.
They just need some boats now and
then Pirates of
the Mediterranean !
mircea_popescu: allow me
to rephrase : what if
the state went
the fuck away and stopped bothering people.
mircea_popescu: "Another is just a sorrowful question: What if
these
talented criminals had only used
their
talents for good?"
mircea_popescu: FabianB or anyone interested : .ws switch blew.
the rest are fine. ws should be back within hours as replacement gets installed.
mircea_popescu: "the chinese
triads" aren't a
the in
this context any more
than "the chinese government" is a
the. obviously
there's going
to be some sort of government, such as for instance
the one in
taiwan.
mircea_popescu: yeah well
the problem with
that is
that it's more akin
to saying
that detroit or hollywood don't go away.
mircea_popescu: s well as
the United States' $51 billion--annually--War on Drugs.
mircea_popescu: Blockbuster is gone. So are Lehman Brothers, Atari, Pan Am, Circuit City and countless others each year. Startups fail,
too, with 80% going belly up within
the first 18 months. But heres something
to consider in comparison: criminal syndicates dont go out of business.
The Chinese
Triads have been around since
the 17th century. For 25 years, Mexicos Sinaloa Cartel has outmaneuvered vicious competition at home a
assbot: 3 Business Lessons From
The Sinaloa Drug Cartel | Co.Design | business + design
mircea_popescu: that unless he's not running for his life from a coupla
thugs owned by some bookie he owes
to.
mircea_popescu: i'm sure
the schmuck is sitting in a bar somewhere right now, all radiant of his greatness as he imagines it.
RagnarDanneskjol: mhmm. if he hurls enough data
though, surely
this gaping hole will be overlooked
mircea_popescu: "his own data" being an arbitrary, uncontrolled and irreproducible cutout of
the general flow.
mircea_popescu: (5% of your under bet, which we are assuming it is 100 EUR) unless it is HT where
there is no danger. If you place bets for 2 EUR profit, you need now 50 arbs
to recover
the losses and i doubt
that you will make any money.
mircea_popescu: me statistics of collected data from such bets could reveal more, but
this 1/20 goal scoring assumption seems
to be close
to reality. Base on my own stats
the probability of
the goal is 1,8% , which means
that 1,8 goals are scored in 100 bets. My net profit is smth like 65% of my
total profit,
the rest (35%) is
the loss i have suffered from goals being scored in pending
time. You must never place bets less
than 5 EUR
mircea_popescu: Just don't place arbs which gives you less
than 5% of your "under" stake. If you place 100 EUR on under at Europeans , it means
that you must place only arbs which give you more
than 5 EUR.
This way, you need only 20 arbs
to recover
the losses from " 1 goal" for
the 30 (might even less) sec you need after you first bet is accepted probably is less
than 1/20.
This rule of 5% profit from you under stake is reasonable. So
mircea_popescu: but you can't
talk sense into
these overgrown children with
their delusions of independence.
mircea_popescu: if
they just flipped burgers
they'd make more per hour with less work,
mircea_popescu: why attract a horde of internet "entrepreneurs"
trying
to do a lot of high bandwidth nonsense in
their retarded quest of getting five euros off you "risk free" ?
mircea_popescu: RagnarDanneskjol
that's a fine example of why one doesn't really want
to offr live betting.
assbot: Quote by Alan Moore: Heard joke once: Man goes
to doctor. Says he's ...
FabianB: good idea, will implement
that later
mircea_popescu: FabianB maybe make it so if one fails it
tries
the next ?
empyex: FabianB:
Temporarily saved.
FabianB: "03:10 #bitcoin-otc-ratings: <+gribble> New rating | assbot > 1 > fabianb | #bitcoin-assets" <-
thanks assbot
mircea_popescu: um no, don't do
that, because well... suppose
these
two crap out. what'll people do
then without
the other
two listed ?
empyex: FabianB:
Temporarily saved.
assbot: MPEx,
the Bitcoin securities exchange.
empyex: FabianB: Proxies: mpex.ws mpex.bz mpex.co mpex.biz mpex.coinbr.com MPEx-Status: Error reaching
trade engine Current MPEx GPG-Key-ID: 02DD2D91
assbot: MPEx,
the Bitcoin securities exchange.
assbot: The Shangri-Las -Leader Of
The Pack Video with High Quality Sound - YouTube
gribble: Bitstamp BTCUSD
ticker | Best bid: 558.98, Best ask: 561.0, Bid-ask spread: 2.02000, Last
trade: 561.0, 24 hour volume: 7189.81050835, 24 hour low: 556.5, 24 hour high: 572.35, 24 hour vwap: 0
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin
to drop under $450 before September :: 1.22 B (9%) on Yes, 11.62 B (91%) on No | closing in 1 week 6 days | weight: 51`309 (100`000
to 1)
kyuupichan: Does anybody maintain a BTC market cap as % of all coin cap? I
think it must be near a 2-year high.
mircea_popescu: The Presidency
tends, year by year,
to go
to such men. As democracy is perfected,
the office represents, more and more closely,
the inner soul of
the people. We move
toward a lofty ideal. On some great and glorious day
the plain folks of
the land will reach
their heart's desire at last, and
the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.
mircea_popescu: devious and mediocrethe man who can most easily adeptly disperse
the notion
that his mind is a virtual vacuum.
mircea_popescu: The larger
the mob,
the harder
the
test. In small areas, before small electorates, a first-rate man occasionally fights his way
through, carrying even
the mob with him by force of his personality. But when
the field is nationwide, and
the fight must be waged chiefly at second and
third hand, and
the force of personality cannot so readily make itself felt,
then all
the odds are on
the man who is, intrinsically,
the most
mircea_popescu: ully it might be nurtured, could ever even remotely approach it.
The educated negro of
today is a failure, not because he meets insuperable difficulties in life, but because he is a negro. He is, in brief, a low-caste man,
to
the manner born, and he will remain inert and inefficient until fifty generations of him have lived in civilization. And even
then,
the superior white race will be fifty generations ahead of him."
mircea_popescu: "I admit freely enough
that, by careful breeding, supervision of environment and education, extending over many generations, it might be possible
to make an appreciable improvement in
the stock of
the American negro, for example, but I must maintain
that
this enterprise would be a ridiculous waste of energy, for
there is a high-caste white stock ready at hand, and it is inconceivable
that
the negro stock, however caref
mircea_popescu: tain
the funds
to get roaring drunk), as pious "saved" men seeking funds for far off evangelistic missions (to pirates on
the high seas, no less), and as learned doctors of phrenology (who can barely spell). Mencken read
the novel as a story of America's hilarious dark side, a place where democracy, as defined by Mencken, is "the worship of jackals by jackasses".
mircea_popescu: For Mencken, Adventures of Huckleberry Finn was
the finest work of American literature. Much of
that book relates how gullible and ignorant country "boobs" (as Mencken referred
to
them) are swindled by confidence men like
the (deliberately) pathetic "Duke" and "Dauphin" roustabouts with whom Huck and Jim
travel down
the Mississippi River.
These scam-artists swindle by posing as enlightened speakers on
temperance (to ob
decimation: we did worse - we made
them depend on
the bezzle for welfare - now most of
them exist in a drunken half-stupor
mircea_popescu: "The Pioneer has before declared
that our only safety depends upon
the
total extirmination of
the Indians. Having wronged
them for centuries, we had better, in order
to protect our civilization, follow it up by one more wrong and wipe
these untamed and untamable creatures from
the face of
the earth."
decimation: deciding what not
to spend mental cycles on is a valuable skill
mircea_popescu: decimation> man I
thought mircea was hard on
the guy but after reading a few pages of
the book he deserves worse << and importantly, i read no pages of
the book.
mircea_popescu: <decimation> I just mentally edit his posts with s//gold/bitcoin/ <<
that's a way
to go about it. prolly would have made hitler quite palatable
too
decimation: I'm
trying
to figure out what his angle is. What rich prince (perhaps in his mind) wants poorly-written anti-bitcoin pablum?
BingoBoingo: Also
the fucking page numbering, lack of citation style, etc
decimation: man I
thought mircea was hard on
the guy but after reading a few pages of
the book he deserves worse
BingoBoingo: Nah, it means
there's people with
too much fiat who can't be arsed
to secure it
themselves yet
decimation: somehow
the fact
that bitgo and xapo have raised money means
that bitcoin is expensive
to secure
BingoBoingo: decimation: Well, in
the San Francisco world of Bitcoin ATM's
transactions actually do cost $40 or $50 above spot
decimation: becuase once
the world has passed
through
the bitcoin vortex, all prices will be recalculated - and
there's no formula
to get from here
to
there
decimation: THis is another mistake swanson makes.
THe idea
that
transactions are so costly in dollar
terms is quite irrelvant
to bitcoin holders.
decimation: "On
the dollar's last day as a meaningful unit of account,
total dollar net worth is at its historical peak. ... Best of all, unlike
theglobe.com,
this boom is sustainable. Ideally, it
terminates in an allocated BITCOIN standard with no debt -
the American and European economies at present, of course, being brutally overcapitalized. "
decimation: he
thinks usg will stop bitcoin - I don't find
that a very credible
thesis.
decimation: I'm riffing a bit, he was
talking about gold mainly
BingoBoingo: mircea_popescu: Honestly I often spend more
time
trying
to make
the stupid posts less stupid
then say fuck it and hit publish
decimation: someone standing on
the shore
today sees only a ripple where
that vortex will one day consume everything
decimation: moldbug describes how all prices will be recalculated once
the world passes from
the dollar
through
the bitcoin-vortex
BingoBoingo: I've spent anywhere from 30 minutes
to a day and a half depending on
the post.
mircea_popescu: <mike_c> i don't know about you guys, but my blog posts are done when i can't stand
to look at
them anymore. << i
take about half an hour.
BingoBoingo: decimation: Still,
the container has a standard form.
Toilets can have different looks, but are recognizable as
toilets.
decimation: you see a book is a container
that holds words
that you vomit
BingoBoingo: decimation:
That doesn't explain his ignorance of how
to structure a document he is going
to
try
to label a "book"
BingoBoingo: mike_c: It's like
that for about 50% of mine
mike_c: i don't know about you guys, but my blog posts are done when i can't stand
to look at
them anymore.
assbot: Twitter / jasonplusone: "@BigBoi: Wow !
This cop points ...
assbot: Surreal Video, Images Out of Ferguson as Unrest Resumes Following Shooting of Unarmed
Teen: I Cant Believe
This Is Happening | Video |
TheBlaze.com
BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> if you can actually read
trilema you're above about a
third of native speakers. << You know on
this point alone if Silicon Valley really cared about BTC
they'd be wining and dinign me by nao
BingoBoingo: ;;later
tell
TimSwanson I don't have
to be a Bitcoin
Taliban
to understand how it works << Actually
the model is more like ISIS