628100+ entries in 0.431s
mircea_popescu: thankfully i dun have
the job
to make
the sort of unpleasant call
TheNewDeal: I would consider an attraction
to a 13 year quasi pedophilia if she was not developed
TheNewDeal: by 16
the woman is virtually sexually mature
mircea_popescu: pedophilia isn't being attracted
to young women,
they have
to be children.
mircea_popescu: i don't see
the problem, she could just as well be 16 or w/e
TheNewDeal: regardless, it's quite funny
to see people jump from dating/fucking full grown women
to pedophilia
mircea_popescu: well
the problem may also be
that
there's like 2 of him and 200 of
those other guys.
TheNewDeal: he's got
the usian culture pegged down quite well "This is because
truth seeking
through argument is not considered
the point.
The point is consensus, so if everybody mutually eye rolls,
then
the job is done. If you do not automatically join in
the eye rolling,
then everything you say MUST be wrong."
mircea_popescu: i left a comment on
the blog he's arguing with. kinda curious if it gets published.
assbot: Pre-rational developmentally impaired
testosterone challenged haters are narcissists « Random Xpat Rantings
dub: sounds like an easy war
to win? poor people can't be very well armed
assbot: Washington Has Wasted $22
Trillion In War On Poverty It Can't Win - Investors.com
TheNewDeal: For instance,
the
taxes I pay on January 1 2014 - December 3x 2014 will be due on April 2x 2015
dub: think
this illustrates my point nicely
though
mircea_popescu: mike_c
tax year is actually april
the nth or some bs in
the us.
mircea_popescu: dub i dun
think
this morsel actually ever ended up in public.
mike_c: interesting.
thankfully i don't do my company's books.
assbot: Six Great
Things an Independent Scotland Could Do « Isegoria
dub: whats mp's birthay? all future dubcorp entities shall be calendared
thus
mike_c: but
tax year is calendar..
dub: mike_c: its probably (as
TheNewDeal said) lining up with
the
tax year? It does in some places by convention
assbot: Creepy expat “dates” 18-year-olds “because
they make excellent devoted sex slaves.” | we hunted
the mammoth
mike_c: well
then i'll shut up
mike_c: i have
to point it out quick before
the data
turns against me.
mircea_popescu: TheNewDeal
try and see,
this is like a
totally real virtual reality.
assbot: BitBet - Bitcoin $817 or above before Christmas :: 1.1 B (20%) on Yes, 4.46 B (80%) on No | closing in 3 months 2 days | weight: 97`758 (100`000
to 1)
mike_c: so last
two days 37 btc ain't bad, i'm still insinuating a causation ;)
TheNewDeal: how far is 50 above
the expected 43.5 :)
TheNewDeal: mike_c in reference
to different weighting mechanisms. How about a price bet
that is weighted by both bitstamp price and
time
mircea_popescu waits for
the "and july isn't really 31 days plus
today should really be sept 3rd" discussion
TheNewDeal: some companies financial year revolves around
tax date in us
dub: yeah well US companies largely use
teh calendar year
TheNewDeal: financial year differs from company
to company, in my opinion
assbot: Market update:
Third quarter 2014 - Fidelity Investments
dub: its
the 3rd quater of a financial year
TheNewDeal: all you have
to do is look at resolution / closing date
nubbins`: like
the bet resolves as yes if
the first day of spring falls on x?
dub: can you nix any bets
that refer
to a season as being related
to a
time of
teh year
assbot: Still Face Experiment: Dr. Edward
Tronick - YouTube
TheNewDeal: I'm not saying it's impossible, but specifying
the date is about as difficult as weighting
the probabilty of
the event occuring in
the first place
mircea_popescu: TheNewDeal you can specify
them by block height and have a reasonable but outside resolve date
mircea_popescu: mike_c actually about 20ish btc a day is
the secular average for bitbet. 50 or so over 3 days is about avg neh ?
TheNewDeal: but it becomes very difficult
to pick a day in which
to end
the weighting at
TheNewDeal: I've done
the short
term
targets, and
they're both risky and fun
mircea_popescu: <mike_c> last 48 hours have been busiest
two days for bitbet
this month.. right after btcalpha launched
the analyzer. coincidence? << :)
decimation: asciilifeform: re: green hills os << I've seen
this before. I'm somewhat dubious about
the proposition "we r ultrasecure but we use von neumann cpuuuu!"
TheNewDeal: but with difficulty you get much more data
to look at
mike_c: it's a
tough way
to make an easy living
mike_c: well, if you are focused on return/day you should only bet on
things
that are going
to close early.
TheNewDeal: especially when one considers
their return/day or return annualized
TheNewDeal: but how many days difference was
there between say weight 99994 and weight 56297
mike_c: i could put
timestamps, seemed redundant.
BingoBoingo: I mean
this diff
thing is hitting Moore's law. Future 20% diffs require... big foundries...
mike_c: note
that higher weight had significantly higher ROI
TheNewDeal: because 2000 blocks into each change, it's very easy
to answer
the question "will
the current change be 20% or less?"
TheNewDeal: In
the event
that
this bet
turns out yes early, it will get murdered by yes
TheNewDeal: it would be nice if
the weight dropped
to near zero almost every 2016 blocks
TheNewDeal: well if you look at
the bet I just pasted,
the diff 20% increase one
mike_c: you can make bets with different weight. i used
to make sports bets
that ended at 90,000
TheNewDeal: would love
to see
them develop a separate set of betting system for price bets and difficulty
mike_c: well i am rooting for bitbet.
tired of building
tools
that are obsolete a few months after i ship
them.
TheNewDeal: lots of bets I had made
that lied inactive for a long
time were bet on after
that was released
mike_c: last 48 hours have been busiest
two days for bitbet
this month.. right after btcalpha launched
the analyzer. coincidence?
mike_c: perhpas
the bettor is not considering
this period only.
assbot: BitBet - 20% difficulty increase before 2015 :: 5.39 B (51%) on Yes, 5.09 B (49%) on No | closing in 2 months 2 weeks | weight: 80`729 (100`000
to 1`000)
TheNewDeal: Can someone explain
this bet
to me? Why not wait 7ish days Bet placed: 2.89738396 BTC for Yes on "20% difficulty increase before 2015"
http://bitbet.us/bet/1036/ Odds: 51(Y):49(N) by coin, 50(Y):50(N) by weight.
Total bet: 10.48041982 BTC. Current weight: 80,754.
TheNewDeal: I do some breathing exercises myself, but
the effect from smoking is still noticeable. Along with decreased saliva production /
transport
through
the esophagus
BingoBoingo: TheNewDeal: I played a variant of
the
Tuba so maybe I have
too much lung
BingoBoingo: It's actually very comforting
to
the lungs from
tobacco decline
to comment on
the lesser smoke
TheNewDeal: Temperature doesn't bother, but
the lung capacity gets
to you.
devthedev: Something about inhaling hot smoke doesn't seem pleasant
to me.
TheNewDeal: I hung around people
that mixed
the
two, started doing it myself, continued smoking as a habbit
BingoBoingo: TheNewDeal: I dunno why... Nothing about Cannibais
touches
tobacco's awesomeness
devthedev: Yeah, I'm not authed right now
though.
TheNewDeal: cannabis was my gateway drug
to
tobacco... if only
they would have
taught me in elementary school
BingoBoingo: devthedev: I smoke cigarettes
though and get winded easily.
devthedev: You'd probably be better off with my Kayak
then my wooden boat.
BingoBoingo: I've seen
Titanic. I know Scotland is surrounded by banshees.
BingoBoingo: devthedev: In
that case Buenos Aires still seems a hell of a lot safer, but... Florida would offer me more places
to stock up on Rum as opposed
to
taking
the overland route.
devthedev: You'd have
to pick it up in FL
though.