log☇︎
625500+ entries in 0.404s
decimation: this is true, but the us is itching to start exporting natural gas by ship
moriarty: but also the EU has more energy dependency on Russia than the US
mircea_popescu: and germany doesn't want to be in the fallout
mircea_popescu: moriarty no, because the us is getting screwed in its imaginary economic war.
moriarty: well, partially that
moriarty: because Germany has more to lose
mircea_popescu: because the eu is so fucking married to the us and everything.
decimation: last I read in the newspapers, Germany is pretty much on Russia's side
moriarty: EU is the one who has to suffer
moriarty: well, the US won't be affected by the embargo so much actually
mircea_popescu: no, in terms of who gets flattened by an economic war
moriarty: decimation, but for the cost of its own GDP
moriarty: decimation, in terms of land grab, maybe
decimation: what exactly is the us going to do about the ukraine? invade?
decimation: moriarty: it looks to me russia has the whip hand
mircea_popescu: russia is fine. the us is too high to notice how fucked it's getting.
mircea_popescu: pain is not the basis of this discussion.
mircea_popescu: aggression is when it comes to bomb canada and expects the us to mind its own fucking business.
assbot: Philippines to give U.S. forces access to up to five military bases| Reuters
moriarty: mircea_popescu, the passport outlines where china thinks its borders are
mircea_popescu: well yeah, it being the south CHINA sea
decimation: they have been derping in the south china sea recently
moriarty: mircea_popescu, have you seen the latest china passport?
moriarty: mircea_popescu, china is actually pretty aggressive territorially
bounce: the us not only has the most advanced toys anywhere, it relies on them being so. china wouldn't have to. big difference.
moriarty: "do this or we won't sell you cheap shit"
bounce: sure. but you'll note that when the us started to use all those beltway bandit toys they broke in droves and could be pwned by IEDs
assbot: Operation Black Buck - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
decimation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Black_Buck << it took 11 refueling planes for one bomber to bomb stanley field in the falklands
mircea_popescu: or we could read secret dispatches, check out how the various actors behave around it, who knows, even go to a military expo.
moriarty: for now, their leadership is even more pussyfooted than obama
moriarty: until the day it actually uses it, we can argue to no end
mircea_popescu: much better than that, even.
bounce: if china cared enough it could zerg rush just about anyone. plus their gear is getting better -- best stolen from anywhere.
mircea_popescu: in the most humble display of abjection imaginable.
mircea_popescu: you can tell this by the very good predictor that when china told the us to get fucked, the us secretary of state promised to carefully avoid misunderstandings in the future
moriarty: china has to deceive russia into thinking it is using some old aircraft carrier as museum showpiece
moriarty: and as of this moment, they are being led by a pussyfoot for a president
moriarty: the only country in the world with serious military gear is the US
decimation: reading the history of the falklands war demonstrates how threadbare the uk military really is
mircea_popescu: what were the ods ?
mircea_popescu: where the hell did you bet that
moriarty: life has been good to me
assbot: HMS Invincible (R05) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
decimation: I think they recently retired their 'aircraft carrier'
asciilifeform: perhaps ru subs are already in glasgow. without having to also keep scots as pets.
decimation: yeah they still have a handful of nuke subs
mircea_popescu: while england's own "fleet", w/e it is lol... do they still have it btw ?
decimation: russia would love to shower scotland with bezzlars so he could use them as a wedge to split the eu
mircea_popescu: seemed to me putin's counter to the ukraine. fuck with us, lose the uk sorta deal.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: ^ precisely why this outcome wasn't on the menu.
mircea_popescu: plus, russia'd have loved to sponsor them
decimation: and welfare states work much better when the population is smaller
mircea_popescu: so they can borrow anew
mircea_popescu: decimation but they got the oil
decimation: I suspect a big voting bloc were welfare recipients who feared the sudden lack of welfare bezzlars
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: unless i'm misinformed, scotland runs deep in the red.
mircea_popescu: it's like wanting to be part of puerto rico
mircea_popescu: but why would anyone want in the uk ?!
mircea_popescu: or maybe i don't well understand the structures of incentive, not living there
decimation: They should have allowed infants to vote
mircea_popescu: i still dunno wtf they did to make such a wide margin happen.
asciilifeform: independence << that is only a permitted outcome when the 'orcs' vote.
decimation: It would be fun to watch an english-speaking enclave go full libtard
decimation: independence would have been the more amusing outcome, for sure
decimation: which is why victory is so terrible for the triumphant empire
asciilifeform: decimation: 'valve' << except for the problem that the defeated are left alive, to stink loudly and plan a comeback
mircea_popescu: not sure how long that lasts, and it selects negatively.
decimation: the illusion of a mysterious outcome keeps the people invested
decimation: this is one of the 'safety valves' of mass-democracy (like in scotland)
mircea_popescu: quite. and intellectually dead places go beddy-bye whether they agree they're intellectually dead or not.
mircea_popescu: just nobody wanted to sit there and discuss that.
mircea_popescu: for all anyone cares, the ideas of midwest people re cattle and rain are right.
mircea_popescu: it's not even a matter of whether social justice and pc and the rest of the crap is right or wrong
decimation: or the german farmer circa 1850
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform wants to escape it. why ? and how is his desire different from young peasant kid in village in russia cca 1814
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mircea_popescu: well, now the whole us is flyover country.
decimation: this is an illusion to some extant, because new york/coastal cities suck the intelligent youth from flyover country
decimation: heh. he did spend most of his life adventuring among the gauls
mircea_popescu: in the sense that a boring place can not have interesting people.
decimation: in the sense that the dying country will split rather than come under stronger central rule?
decimation: I suspect the American Caesar walks the earth somewhere
mircea_popescu: whether that young lion is mp or not.
mircea_popescu: left to stand on its own, buffett's "immense potential" will die under the paws of some young lion
moriarty: didn't the 1800s also work because EU projected its dominance globally through colonialism?
mircea_popescu: but that's also running out.
mircea_popescu: it got a lease on life once eu once again decided to mismanaged, ]
decimation: and the mass suicide of europe
decimation: yeah that died with wwi, wilson and fdr
mircea_popescu: once that died, the country died.
mircea_popescu: decimation the 1800s worked because at the time europe was mismanaging human resources, and so you could actually get free value by just taking its rejects. then early 1900s worked because the whole country obeyed its betters, so carnegie, rockefeller et co could create a monopoly on the world.
decimation: when I was younger, I wanted to explore the infinite potential
moriarty: most people i know who like coding actually mistake their liking for solving puzzles, for liking coding
decimation: asciilifeform: yeah reading your blog has removed the romance of programming for me
moriarty: asciilifeform, yeah i think nobody likes coding for the sake of coding
moriarty: awh :) daybyter wanted to say something on the main
decimation: I think it has been mooted here that the reason why the early (1800's) us worked for awhile is because of the memories of law&order beaten into the parents & grandparents of those living here
mircea_popescu: by now it's a good three centuries plus a world explored past its sell by date
mircea_popescu: the current libtards are really just trying to do a sort of "being cinderella" except a little deeper than disney