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604300+ entries in 0.427s
mircea_popescu: bounce because mircea the evil can and will tell everyone to go fuck himself with a rolled up newspaper, among other things. because it's his motherfucking million.
undata: I'll admit I've never thought of insurance as such a central component of economics
bounce: you ask for the insurance administrator to hop by and observe your freshly burned-out house
bounce: that would appear to be the rub, yes. pension funds and "financial products" and whatnot
undata: bounce: how does the thing know when to pay out?
mircea_popescu: then the town is bankrupt suddenly, and everyone wonders
mircea_popescu: soon enough they're out there supporting causes and underwriting bonds with gs and stuff.
mircea_popescu: bounce except it never stays that way, does it.
bounce: good thing insurance co-ops only have one thing to do
mircea_popescu: undata well, could be summarized thus. moreover, what it's saying is that capital allocating wisdom can not be faked by merely collecting capital.
asciilifeform: how about the guy with the $m collected from his father?
undata: complicated way to say that the primary role of the rich guy is dispensing his capital-allocating wisdom, if I follow
mircea_popescu: a guy with one million one dollar bills collected from his fellow nobodies is not a millionaire. he's a dangerously overpowered representative of the mob.
mircea_popescu: but irrespective of all this, they play a role to support a theory, and that theory is "we too".
mircea_popescu: they are not slaves, have not the training, nor the skill nor in the end the needs or structures of that relationship.
mircea_popescu: the girls in the ghetto, for love of their fatherland, pick up john, sit him down at the table opposite and cuddle at his feet, just like the others.
mircea_popescu: ie, john is a poor but stupod kid from some downtown ghetto in some derpy town. one day, mircea the evil comes there on business, sits down in the bar with his two bitches cuddling at his feet and drinks a rum or something
mircea_popescu: Ei, asta-i patriotismul, fetele din exemplu dau dovada de “dragoste de cartier”, si asta-i chestia pe care s-a construit Romania socialista daca sunteti curiosi, o structura de altfel imprumutata de la Romania carlista. Totul pentru patrie!"
mircea_popescu: indiferent de toate aceste aspecte, ele joaca un rol ca sa sustina o teorie : ca si la noi aici in cartieru’ curului avem chestii fine, si-un Ion care chiar daca-i numa’ din trei litere totusi e la fel de bun ca orice sef venit din zari.
mircea_popescu: si i se ghemuiesc la picioare si ele, ca alelalte. Ele sigur nu-s sclave, n-au nici antrenamentu’ nici priceperea nici pina la urma nevoile si structurile relatiei respective, acasa nu le-asteapta coloane de marmura, gradini unde apa susura printre chiparosi si havuzuri din care irumpe martipan ci peretii goi de beton, carpeta cu rapirea din serai si noptiera de placaj ramasa de la strabuna cu plosnite cu tot. Da’
mircea_popescu: the relevant part : "Ca sa ne intelegem mai bine : Ion e un copchil sarac si cam prost dintr-un cartier amarit din ceva orasel indistinct. Intr-o zi, Mircea cel Rau vine pe-acolo cu treaba, se aseaza-n bar cu cele doua catele ghemuite la picioare si bea un rom ceva. Fetele din cartieru’ respectiv, din dragoste de patrie (in exemplu’ nostru cartieru’ respectiv) il iau pe sus pe Ion, il aseaza la masa de vis-a-vis
assbot: Tara ca un hotel, sau o schimbare de perspectiva pe Trilema - Un blog de Mircea Popescu.
bounce: you can pot up the risk, which is the function of the rich man in the narrative
mircea_popescu: you can't emulate a rich man by getting 100 poor idiots to donate a dime.
bounce: well, they work a lot better than trying to go to the moon your way
mircea_popescu: just because insurance co-ops exist doesn't mean they're anything important you know.
bounce: look. fire insurance. over some area 2% of the houses burn down every year. so you insure against that by gathering a goodly bunch of house owners and they contribute 2% of their own house's rebuilding value to the pot, plus a little extra to cover administration. instant rich party to cover houses burning down.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform these are things that should be emin ently insurable in bounce's paradigm of insurance
mircea_popescu: enough people with the same problem construct a large problem, not a solution.
asciilifeform: go insure against losing ww2. or failing to invent x.
mircea_popescu: all you need is enough people doing the same.
mircea_popescu: bounce sure. you can also go to the moon by pulling on your underwear
asciilifeform: there are things arguably vital (civilizationally) that are uninsurable.
bounce: you don't need an external rich party to provide insurance; you can create your own. all you need is enough people with the same problem.
mircea_popescu: and it is the ONLY injection of safety in a market,
undata: that kind of thing?
undata: if I'm willing to provide you insurance, I'm giving you useful information about my assessment of your risk-level
mircea_popescu: there's no "distribution " of anything in there.
mircea_popescu: "the odds of this crop failling are 1%, pay me a dime get a ducat if your crop fail"
mircea_popescu: this is why the trading states (historical la serenissima, others) benefited so much from rich people in their midst. it creates stability, when there';s a guy with a large fortune capable to make specific statements about the future.
Adlai: bounce: i don't know what it's worth exactly, but just listening to everybody's fearbabble and the taboo against suicide suggest that it's way overvalued these days
assbot: ClubOrlov: The Wheel of Misfortune
Apocalyptic: <asciilifeform> obligatory: http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2012/02/wheel-of-misfortune.html // thanks for the link, a quite enjoyable article
undata: bounce: they're betting against each other with it
mircea_popescu: no, no, the rich provide the insurance.
bounce: the rich don't need insurance, they can pay the disaster out of the way out of pocket.
[]bot: Bet created: "Director of CDC to step down before March" http://bitbet.us/bet/1057/
mircea_popescu: but insurance is a financial matter, based on the wealth of the rich.
mircea_popescu: this is the communal view, based on a cooperative of the poor.
mircea_popescu: <bounce> you know, insurance by its very nature is a social institution: statistics to spread the pain of disaster over many in manageable proportions. << i do not agree.
bounce: so what is the value and the valuation of a human life?
bounce: you know, insurance by its very nature is a social institution: statistics to spread the pain of disaster over many in manageable proportions.
asciilifeform: what's the market value of the clients remaining alive? (and on what market?)
mircea_popescu: otherwise the market, if left alone instead of forced to "not abuse power" or w/e it's called, would push them to what can be borne on volatility
asciilifeform: and in the case of the latter - they compare notes, throw the 'malefactors' out
mircea_popescu: incidentally, the REASON insurance in the us is so expensive, is exactly the nonsense noise and crap induced in the calculations by the socialist legislation.
asciilifeform: what casino wouldn't love to know if some fellow blessed by the gods to win $maxint that day (or simply a card counter) walks in?
mircea_popescu: doubt it tho, the house edge naturally trails the quality of prediction.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: seems like the fight between insurance client and insurer is really a dispute over what the house edge should be.
mircea_popescu: same thing as discussing "average iq" or other similar insanities born out of an inability to statistics.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform as in, take five people, pretend they're all the same, insure the lot.
Adlai always thought of pool operators as selling insurance to miners... but are miners collectively selling insurance to nonminers?
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform well, the earlier discussion about iq, say, in the recent days.
mircea_popescu: (as to the first part, bitcoin mining is EXACTLY insurance, as a mechanism. it turns a string of discrete events (blocks found) into a practically continuous stream of services (hashes))
asciilifeform: average out nonscalar values << curious what's in there
mircea_popescu: it does not affix to the concepts themselkves.
mircea_popescu: now these may be used synonymously, but this misuse speaks only to the idiocy of the user.
mircea_popescu: then there's sociaism, which makes no sense (average out nonscalar values)
mircea_popescu: there's insurance, which makes sense, if events happen discretely converting them into a continuous stream is useful.
mircea_popescu: i think there's equivocation at work here.
asciilifeform: 'I would like to sell you some hunger insurance. Are you insured against hunger? Perhaps you should be! Without this coverage, you may find it impossible to continue to afford feeding yourself and your family. With this coverage, not only will you be assured of continuing to get at least some food, but so will I. In fact, thanks to this plan, I will get to eat very, very well indeed.'
mircea_popescu: anyway, this is too complex an argument
mircea_popescu: wtf is tyche
mircea_popescu: and it's moira, not tyche
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform he doesn't know the juicy details that fate was held as more powerful than zeus.
assbot: ClubOrlov: The Wheel of Misfortune
mircea_popescu: now THAT fits in one head alright
asciilifeform telegrams mars to ship new set of people.
mircea_popescu: fortunately destruction is an easy enough task
asciilifeform: well yes, these. 'the army you have.'
asciilifeform: that's precisely the thing. and pertains to earlier thread, too. people are reluctant to let go, destroy, demolish.
asciilifeform: propped up by force of the king.
asciilifeform: imagine if we knew precisely when each man would die. would we give up on the concept of life insurance? or would it turn into a ludicrous farce.
asciilifeform: dan mocsny had a thread about this.
asciilifeform: and people continue to build in godforsaken death zones, yes.
asciilifeform: tornados, too
mircea_popescu: but THAT is the abuse.
asciilifeform: usg works this kind of scheme.
mircea_popescu: that way insurers won';t be able to tell the difference in flood insurance between kansas and louisiana
asciilifeform: well, they'll walk into a casino, but not a 'leave yer money here house' typically.
mircea_popescu: if you do this, why not forbid public maps ?
asciilifeform: folks expect insurance to be at least a vegas-grade casino
mircea_popescu: you are objectively more expensive to insure. reflecting this in the cost of insurance is a subversion ?
bounce: it's a subversion from how insurance is supposed to work
mircea_popescu: so what's the problem with that ?
bounce: the fact that your insurer knows you've been ill lately gives them the power to raise their rates on you
mircea_popescu: in short : everything worth talking about "affects the person"
mircea_popescu: bounce how far does this extend ? the fact that i know you're fair haired gives me the power to say "blondie"
bounce: s/to the/to be the/
bounce: why yes, disease affects the person; information about the disease can do the same thing again, and again, and again. so throwing it out for all to see isn't something doctors typically did, and when it inadvertedly happens, it's a big scandal. so the government elevating "sharing" medical details to the new standard just because they went all digital is a bit of a deviation from custom.