log☇︎
502800+ entries in 0.299s
asciilifeform: peak copper is already here. except that massive drop in demand on account of fiber.
mircea_popescu: or for that matter, greek classical period.
mircea_popescu: people who casually do not realise the importance of peak copper in limiting human history are invited to read up on ww2 economic history
asciilifeform: we'll get there, or not, regardless.
asciilifeform: what will happen to the parts when 'peak x' is reached for every element in mendeleev table is an interesting question, but unlikely to get there purely by virtue of making toy choppers.
decimation: ^ toy jets don't have millisecond adjustable thrust either
decimation: yeah but both piston & turboprops/jets need golden toilet metallurgy and production
mircea_popescu: whereas peak copper allows only this much capacity ever being deployed.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform peak oil vs peak copper. except peak oil allows an infinity of capacity to be deployed as long as the sum consumption is under X
asciilifeform: rockets don't have millisecond-adjustable thrust!
mircea_popescu: but then we're back to rockets, and sure, "tile of rockets", consider the mechanical problem that got brushed asiude above
asciilifeform: (to produce the item)
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: this depends on whether there is reserve capacity
mircea_popescu: decimation tiny turboprop or jet works better than tiny engine yea
mircea_popescu: what if the only reason electric seems cheap now is that we don't use it.
mircea_popescu: or maybe the only reason you think so atm is because you're looking at the dynamic equilibrium of proces as if it were static
asciilifeform: how many gasoline-powered toys at your local toy store?
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: performance - will beat the shit.
decimation: ^not the engine but the power source
mircea_popescu: and even this 2 cc combustion engine will beat the shit out of your electrical 10 watt engine
mircea_popescu: making a 2 cc combustion engine is more expensive than 1/50 of making a 1000 cc one.
mircea_popescu: look, a combustion engine works from about half liter to about five. that's what it does.
decimation: actually one could imagine some copters joining the swarm with horizontal attachment
asciilifeform: immensely difficult -except- in this precise way.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: in as far as i am able to ascertain the reason, it appears to be because no one has suggested tiles.
mircea_popescu: if you look at the relative size of a plane when it moves from two to four it's abundantly clear what the sweetspot is like
asciilifeform: choppers aren't meant to cross continents, at any rate
mircea_popescu: decimation yes but there's a reason they have bipropellers and quad propellers, rather than thousandprops
asciilifeform: have tiles which are batteries only. or even small generators
mircea_popescu: so if all the load is cells, long busride ?
asciilifeform: on standard cell. if some of the load is added cells - longer ride.
mircea_popescu: so basically this can be used for a bus ride ?
asciilifeform: but so long as freyacopter could possibly work (and there is no reason why the machines currently existing, with about 1:1 useful lift to own weight ratio and around 1/2hr of endurance on standard battery)
asciilifeform: each of which is a toy
mircea_popescu: the degree of magnitude should be the other way.
asciilifeform: at any rate, everyone is missing the point
mircea_popescu: so will your toys.
asciilifeform: compared to pilot
decimation 's schooling failed to include Norse myth
mircea_popescu: some very simple math : cheapo chinese copter toy = $100. cessna, $100k. cessna powerplant = 100kW. chinese copter toy = 10W
asciilifeform: and scale, scale. (of production, that is)
asciilifeform: 50,000 birthday balloons are cheaper than airplane. but not very much use to fly. on the other hand, if a freyacopter tile lifts, e.g., 500g...
asciilifeform: but i came up with it for a reason. sat the other day for a long time thinking of mircea_popescu's observation that 'industrial product is crud' and the only place where industry wins is - scale
asciilifeform: (is there anyone who doesn't understand why ?)
asciilifeform: i will now take the liberty of calling the hypothetical machine 'freyacopter' ☟︎
decimation: but ultimately fell to USSR & USA's Levée en masse
decimation: Freiherr Hammerstein-Equord's 'method' (if true) built one of the greatest professional land armies the world has every seen
decimation: yeah, that quote seems dubious
decimation: "As King put it: "Winston Churchill once famously observed that Americans will always do the right thing, only after they have tried everything else.""
assbot: A Churchill 'Quote' That U.S. Politicians Will Never Surrender : It's All Politics : NPR ... ( http://bit.ly/1EX5CMF )
decimation: re: Freiherr Hammerstein-Equord's quote < Yes, USG specializes in promoting the stupid and industrious
decimation: and part of the reason why he couldn't advance was because the ministry's reforms of the army tended to favor derpy nobles over young talent
decimation: well according to the history to which I have been listening, he was fustrated by his inability to advance beyond a junior officer
mircea_popescu: what was to recognise/promote ? guy was iirc a military officer with interests in mechanics.
decimation: carnot the father was born 1756
mircea_popescu: nothing much left of the king by the time he was 16.
decimation: except the Carnot cycle guy was his son, I was mistaken
decimation: re: carnot < one of the mistakes louis xvi made was not recognizing and promoting him
mircea_popescu: the golden standard (carnot cycle) is too big generally, rather than too small.
mircea_popescu: the problem is tho : the electric machines suck specifically for being electric. this isn't fixed by assembling more of them.
asciilifeform: anyway, i'm not certain what the point of this is, in practice, but having failed to find any traces of it existing, thought it fit to post here.
asciilifeform: (in peacetime this may be a bad idea, they will fall on someone's head)
asciilifeform: why let them drag machine down.
asciilifeform: i'd build it in such a way as to let it jettison dead tiles, too
mircea_popescu: seems exactly the sort of thing to get freak compounding nonsense in.
asciilifeform: other than the graph edges.
asciilifeform: any given point in the 'fabric' is equivalent.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: except that the error does not compound.
mircea_popescu: soon enough you gotta make your bots out of titanium.
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: only 'random' to the extent calculations are off (plus wind, vibration)
decimation: they would need some kind of rods to form a web
asciilifeform: how far - is for the folks who actually want to try this
decimation: I wonder if there is some kind of diminishing returns with having so many rotors in the same area
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform a simple exercise : given each element applies a force F on a random vector, calculate the shear force - probability function for a string of 100 such.
asciilifeform: or the like.
assbot: Sikorsky S-64 Skycrane - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia ... ( http://bit.ly/1EX3eFI )
decimation: how many to make https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sikorsky_S-64_Skycrane
asciilifeform: buy as many as needed to carry load.
decimation: ah I see you want them to physically connect together
asciilifeform: and yes, we all saw that one
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: that's the thing, they have excellent behaviour when perturbed
asciilifeform: one could also, presumably, have 'tiles' which only carry battery (or only thrusters) depending on whether endurance is at a premium
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform it's also much harder than it sounds, because of all sorts of scale effwects
asciilifeform: the choppers will snap together like children's 'lego' and share control and power bus
BingoBoingo: <mircea_popescu> just my impression. << Seems right for an unexplained workweek long disappearance without warning, right after getting things to do
asciilifeform: this is simpler than it sounds because they are traditionally built in such a way that operator sets desired angle and motors 'bang-bang' with pde dampening until it is achieved
asciilifeform: small multicopters could be built which tesselate.
asciilifeform: in other news, i had a most peculiar '1024 chickens'-flavoured thought -
asciilifeform: <mircea_popescu> ... brendafdez -1 Highly intelligent and utterly self-destructive << wai wat, was this in-channel? iirc this person simply vanished into thin air without so much as a squeak ☟︎
mircea_popescu: block. blocks are the timekeeping device
mircea_popescu: not tx
asciilifeform: timestamp of the latest incoming bitcoin transation ought to determine the clock time << this promises to be very gnarly and even non-monotonic unless we're very careful
asciilifeform: <mircea_popescu> three hours with the fucking ram because apparently no fucking blacksmith existed anymore. << l0l, mircea_popescu got a free penetration test from enemy
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mircea_popescu: three hours with the fucking ram because apparently no fucking blacksmith existed anymore.
assbot: Logged on 30-03-2015 17:41:02; nubbins`: did i mention that i saw a cop help someone break into a house earlier?
mod6: ;;later tell funkenstein I don't think you're in assbot's WoT, see about regestering with assbot. http://wiki.bitcoin-assets.com/irc_bots/assbot
mircea_popescu: at the time, the united states was like, a world leader.