428100+ entries in 0.196s
mircea_popescu: you can also publish the result of the (281032790 +61731894) sum
mircea_popescu: which whiole not precise, will be a MUCH better guess than any other guess someone makes.
mircea_popescu: you just take the entire vwap list and calc the average for everything there.
mircea_popescu: Namworld a sort of "btc value implied by option contracts"
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller no, inasmuch as it's the statjson of that account.
mircea_popescu: final value = (x * 281032790 + y * 61731894) / (281032790 +61731894)
mircea_popescu: in the case of 310 breakeven is x, in the case of 220 breakeven is y
mircea_popescu: "O.BTCUSD.C220T": {"1d": {"avg": "","min": "","max": "","vsh": "","vsa": "","cnt": ""}, "7d": {"avg": "20577298","min": "20577298","max": "20577298","vsh": "3","vsa": "61731894","cnt": "1"}, "30d": {"avg": "19660880","min": "18744462","max": "20577298","vsh": "6","vsa": "117965280","cnt": "2"}}
mircea_popescu: "O.BTCUSD.C310T": {"1d": {"avg": "","min": "","max": "","vsh": "","vsa": "","cnt": ""}, "7d": {"avg": "28103279","min": "28103279","max": "28103279","vsh": "10","vsa": "281032790","cnt": "1"}, "30d": {"avg": "28103279","min": "28103279","max": "28103279","vsh": "10","vsa": "281032790","cnt": "1"}}
mircea_popescu: i imagine you would get a bunch of people going there daily just to check that
mircea_popescu: go into the vwap json, calculate the implicit breakeven of each option line
mircea_popescu: and absent actual experiments (which did NOT occur) the agreement is by definition agreement of idiots.
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller that's not how reality works i'm affraid.
mircea_popescu: consequently, the headcount of "known and respected" is dismal.
mircea_popescu: thestringpuller but you do bring an interesting point. in spite of 1mn words being written a week into this channel, there's an incredible dearth of people doing useful stuff, such as, keeping a blog with good quality research.
mircea_popescu: for that matter the owner himself can come out and make monthly statements like everyone else.
mircea_popescu: you wish to propose something exists, you'll have to do a lot better than that.
mircea_popescu: otherwise, we might as well steal the numbers off of RIAA/MPAA's piracy estimates
mircea_popescu: absent a statement from the owner itself, i want to see the estimate of someone i know and respect.
mircea_popescu: some clueless noob calling his farting "a study" is not going to wash in this conversation.
mircea_popescu: im too lazy to dig up the data, but most of 2012 they ran in the red.
mircea_popescu: they did monthly reporting too for a few months but then gave up
mircea_popescu: pizzaman1337 they'd be around there, possibly, but haven't had a report out in like 18 months i think
mircea_popescu: i don't think it would be too hard, just get the parser and run it
mircea_popescu: no, sdice made like 60-70k, mpoe made like 20k or so, there's a reason these are the top bitcoin corps.
mircea_popescu: i think bugpowder has a copy too, i don't recall where it is on github
mircea_popescu: Ukto it's not site data, someone wrote a chain traverser
mircea_popescu: fydel it comes from dooglus, if you click the link above it you'll see
mircea_popescu: the largest coin here is half a leu which is a 6th of a dollar.
mircea_popescu: i got tired of having to buy new pants cause my pockets were broken
mircea_popescu: people with more experience being = to absolutely anyone stupid enough to try.
mircea_popescu: "I admire the ambition and for this stage of his career he's obviously cleared the bar, but it's also good for him to learn that in the real world security isn't graded on a curve, and people with more time and experience than him have failed to secure Rails apps."
mircea_popescu: anyway. this bitcoininv kid is a pretty good source of funny.