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mircea_popescu: listen, i'm not arguing with you. i'm telling you. you don't like what i'm telling you, go argue with somebody else.
mircea_popescu: the needs of the bitcoin circlejerk are served elsewhere.
mircea_popescu: indeed there is. get used to the fact that this channel is a public forum, serving the needs of bitcoin trade
mircea_popescu: last i checked you have a free cloak and i have a silver one. let's keep them aspersions at bay.
mircea_popescu: others have tried, and have failed so far, but by all means, if you must.
mircea_popescu: you honestly imagine you can absue the legal process to impose censorship on blogs ?
mircea_popescu: you're obviously missing the context that Trilema has been standing against attempts at internet censorship for half a decade.
mircea_popescu: it's possible if unlikely your page was marked as stale by the time you clicked ?
mircea_popescu: cause that's what spambots usually do, load page make post
mircea_popescu: the impersonal you i mean. the little vessenes group, bfl, mtgox, what have you in there.
mircea_popescu: but anyway, to the more general point : you're powerless. get used to liking it, cause it ain't changing.
mircea_popescu: you highlighted me with whatever q, i gave you an answer, you don't like mine highlight whoever else next time eh ?!
mircea_popescu: midnightmagic this is a logged channel. you weren't aware ?
mircea_popescu: implied btc market cap is larger than the gnp of Dominica ; Tonga ; Micronesia, Federated States of ; Anguilla ; Cook Islands ; São Tomé and Príncipe ; Palau ; Marshall Islands ; Kiribati ; Nauru ; Montserrat ; Tuvalu
mircea_popescu: as per the guidance in feb statement, "Since the BFL bet closed in March the dividend guidance is high for next month - just that bet alone would push profit up 300%."
mircea_popescu: you can work it out, they're supposed to increase in price at a fixed rate
mircea_popescu: tiberiusiv the 10k bits are mine/kako's alternatively, as per the contract
mircea_popescu: i guess he better start looking for crow stew recipes.
mircea_popescu: so wait. luke went to visit bfl, where he was in fact presented with a box of fans ?
mircea_popescu: Guest7560 it's .7 and prev that have an issue. not exactly a bug. just a complex db issue.
mircea_popescu: Guest7560 just the revert to mean theory may be enough. it went up fast.
mircea_popescu: option trade volume varies A LOT. two weeks ago was 20k
mircea_popescu: Bowjob for instance consider O.BTCUSD.C750T. it costs like .05 btc. if you buy it, you imply price goes to like 76+
mircea_popescu: Bowjob you can buy a very expensive call and make the sentiment spike on low volume, i think is what happened.
mircea_popescu: there's a graph in the article on trilema showing it against the actual price
mircea_popescu: it predicted some events in the past and failed to rpedict others
mircea_popescu: however, i wouldn't fall in love with it. we don't know yet if it makes any sense or just is a pretty number
mircea_popescu: it's a pretty sophisticated measure, if you think about it
mircea_popescu: so they aren;t really putting their btc where their mouth is very much
mircea_popescu: of the ~5k btc on the line, only 8.5% belongs to the people expecting 57.59
mircea_popescu: it allows for easy separation between bulls and bears by taking advantage of the the nature of options
mircea_popescu: on average, they expect 39.31 next week. the call side expects 57.59, the put side 37.32
mircea_popescu: it sums up what the option traders think the price will be next week
mircea_popescu: smickles, could $vwap be cleaned up a little so that the 1 more msg thing is not printed ? perhaps take out all the u too
mircea_popescu: way cleanner imo. mpexbot more adequate for programming i'd guess
mircea_popescu: you know in spite of the spikes avg volume is like 20-30k
mircea_popescu: tiberiusiv that's why i regularly use the 30day price figures for mkt cap, and the 24 hour averages for btc prices on option pricing and so forth.
mircea_popescu: the solution is quite simple : don't get politically involved. stick to writing code.
mircea_popescu: Bowjob nah it was sold. he had bought it earlier for w/e
mircea_popescu: heh calls are covering. either they're right and a top is in